Pitch Profiler @pitchprofiler
TYLOR
MEGILL IS THAT DUDE
Tangotiger @tangotiger
Statcast
Aging Curve for Swing Speed (updated with 2025 data)
I also included quasi-best-fit line, which you can play around with as more data comes in. This line in vertex form (which is much much much easier to understand than off-putting quadratic):
-.02*(Age
- 25.5) + 72
Thomas Nestico @TJStats
Best
4-Seam Fastball Z-Whiff%
4-Seam
Fastball Z-Whiff% is a great indicator for assessing the best FF in MLB.
Typically, pitchers fill the zone with their FF, so if they are able to
generate whiffs on their most hittable pitches, they will have a lot of success
Tylor Megill continues to dominate as he fired off 5.1 IP with 10 K and 0 ER
He
lowered his season ERA to 1.09
CYLOR
MEGILL!
Starters
ERA vs Bullpen ERA
Mets Analytics @MetsAnalytics
Entering
a huge series with the Phillies, the Mets have their best division odds of the
season, which have nearly tripled since the start of the year.
Thomas Nestico @TJStats
5 Hot
Starts that Matter – Pitchers
Tylor Megill
Tylor
Megill has always been known for his incredibly deep arsenal, which contains
pitches such as his aptly named “American Fork.” Megill’s flexibility and feel
for picking up new pitches have always intrigued me. Still, inconsistencies
have kept his results from matching the intrigue.
Megill is
off to a hot start with a 1.40 ERA and 2.19 FIP across 19.1 innings. You may be
inclined to think that he added yet another pitch; however, his arsenal is
smaller than ever before. In his current form, Megill is effectively a 3-pitch
pitcher: a mid-90s rising fastball, a mid-80s tight two-plane slider, and a
mid-90s running sinker. Typically, pitchers want to add in new pitches to their
arsenal to address holes in their approach. Megill didn’t need to add any more
pitches; he already threw 8 distinct offerings in 2024. The reason why
shrinking Megill’s arsenal to 3 pitches works well is because they are his 3
best offerings, and he can mix and match them to handle both LHH and RHH.
Against RHH, he goes heavy sinker and slider, and against LHH, he leans on his
fastball.
Megill
also has another weapon on his side: elite stuff. Each of his offerings grades
out above average according to tjStuff+ with his fastball registering an elite
113 score. His combination of velocity, extension, and ability to impart
movement on his pitches elevates their effectiveness. He has also exhibited
solid command this season, and while the whiffs are slightly below average, he
is generating plenty of chases.
This
subdued version of Megill feels ideal. He is leaning on his best pitches and
has refined them to make them better. The Mets pitching development team tends
to get the best out of their arms, and Megill looks to be yet another example.









The graph I put up here about aging curve is not the history of my sex drive
ReplyDeleteBaseball players stayed in the game far past when I scored
No one likes me anymore 😔
ReplyDeletereally liked the TJStats on Megill and the aging curve on swing speed. never thought Megill would be that good a starter and that he needed to switch to the BP to be a top reliever like his brother; her's certainly proving me wrong. as to the aging curve on swing speed, as hot as Pete Alonso is, it shows David Sterns is correct not to want to sign him long term; his hitting will probably fall of a cliff after a couple of more years.
ReplyDeletenow you just need to move to my over age 55 community, then you'll be me middle aged friend. amazing what happens to everyone when you've lived in a community like that for 19 years.
DeleteI missed this post. The aging curve speaks volumes. We can worry about Pete extension when the time comes.
ReplyDeleteWhat would be interesting is an analysis of those stars who have defied this aging curve.
I'd love to see a pitcher curve graph
DeleteFunny that Elissault’s velocity on different pitches mirrors Megill’s.
ReplyDeleteWe probably need at least 10 more appearances by pen prospects to determine if they are possibly the real deal 😉
DeleteMaybe moving these from 5:00 to 7:30?
ReplyDeleteNot.my decision
DeleteBat speed….Marcel Ozuna is 34.5 years old, and hitting .323 with a .481 OBP. BAT MUST BE QUICK!
ReplyDeleteThe faster the bat, the harder it makes for the ball hit to be stopped
Delete