Mets Futures – Outfield (Part 1 of 2)
There are a bunch of Mets minor league
outfielders that could some day play somewhere in the majors.
For now, I’m just breaking out RED
Prospects. There are lots of names below this that could emerge some day… Gilberto Celestino, Alex Ramirez, Diego Mosquera, Collin Houck, Willy Fanas (lol), Jeffry Rosa… but, for now, I’m sticking with the red meat:
They are:
Drew Gilbert/Syracuse –
24/years old 5-9
195 LHH LHT
Acquired by Mets in 2023 in trade with
Houston (was #1 Astros prospect). In return, the Mets sent Houston pitcher Justin Verlander.
Stillwater High School –
Junior )2018): .400-BA, 7-1, 0.63, 100-K, 55.2-IP
Senior (2019): .417-BA, 0.14-ERA, 97-K
University of Tennessee –
So. (2021):
.274/.341/.437, 10-HR, 62-RBI
Jr. (2022): .362/.455/.673, 11-HR, 70-RBI
2023/High-A: .361/.421/.686
AA: .325/.423/.561
Total 2023: .289/.381/.487, 18-HR, 59-RBI,
12-SB
And then…
2024/AAA: Limited sue to hamstring strain in
April
.206/.313/.393, 10-HR,
33-RBI in 62-G
2025/AAA (thru 6-2):
.211/.337/.308/.646, 2-HR,
13-RB1
Line-drive hitter, raw power, quick
hands, excellent hand-eye
Exit velo exceeds 110
Strong plate discipline (9.4% in 2023)
Scouts project being a .820-OPS hitter with
above-average contact
Defense:
strong in center. Arm hits 95
Covers significant ground at all three
outfield positions
Projects long-term as an above-average
centerfielder
Intangibles: Fiery competitive nature, plays with
intensity
Plays with “hair on fire”
Strong leadership playing center,
positioning corner outfielders
Comp: Michael Conforto with a higher floor
Needs to develop more consistent power
MACK – It seems like Gilbert has lost the
ability to hit since the hammy thingy. Frankly,
I wish the Mets would assign him as a pitcher only in the winter and come back
possibly as a power starter or multiple-inning reliever. On my team, he no
longer is my #1 centerfielder target.
Jett Williams/Binghamton –
We covered Jett in our shortstop
analysis plus we are all pretty much up to date with his progress in AA ball.
If you are reading this it means that he still hasn’t been promoted to AAA to
fill the slot left open with the Ronny Mauricio promotion to Flushing. If you
aren’t reading this, it means he has. This is getting weird.
MACK - The first thing we need to
remember here is also the most exciting thing we need to remember here… his age
of 21.
I’m happy with
his progress, but, to me, nothing is jumping off the page here. Is batting
average isn’t embarrassing, but it also isn’t above .275. He walks a lot, but
his OBP isn’t above .400. Both his home run and batted in numbers are nothing
to write home about and, frankly, the only exciting thing so far is the amount
of his successful stolen bases. Lastly, the Mets continue to not expand his
game by playing him more in center.
But, he’s 21.
I simply can’t
project Williams yet. I just can’t.
Next, is a guy I can get my teeth
around…
Nick Morabito/Binghamton –
22/years old 5-10
185 RHH RHT
2nd round pick by Mets in
2022 draft, out of Gonzaga College HS (DC)
Compensation for Noah Syndergaard signing with Angels
$1,000,000 signing bonus (slot:
$873,300)
HS senior: .545, 12-HR, 52-SB – Washington DC Player
Of The Year
2022 –
GCL-Mets: .091/.167/.136, 6-G,
14-K, 2-BB
2023 –
FCL-Mets: .324/.437/.432, 30-G,
1-HR, 11-SB
St. Lucie: .286/.403/.378,
27-G
2024 –
St. Lucie: .297/.530/.513,
24-G, 11-SB
Brooklyn: .294/.373/.374, 3-HR,
48-SB, 110-H (single-season record)
Named Mets minor league player of the year
2025 –
May 1 through June 3: .320
Known for his speed, contact-hitting,
and defensive potential in center
Scout Report –
Hitting - Grades: Hit: 45-50
Power: 40-55 Speed: 70 (++)
Fielding: 55
Arm: 40-45
Short compact swing with above average bat speed
Minimal wasted movement allows hard contact
2024 exit velocities: 90.7-102.1
53.5% ground ball rate (too high)
Tendency to swing and miss IN the zone
Explosive raw power but current approach is limiting his power potential
Speed is his best tool both on the base but also in centerfield
Defense – converted from SS in HS, now has over 1,000 pro innings in OF
Projects as a capable centerfielder with potential long-term
MACK – I really like this guy and you know how much I like this guy in center.
Yes, his arm is below what you want from a centerfielder, but his speed will get him to what is hit in front of him.
Right now, I have no idea who wins the center-war, but my
money is on this guy long term. Would fit perfect with this next guy in left…
on Wednesday, with the other three current RED Prospects.
What might New York need at the trade deadline?
https://www.nytimes.com/athletic/6396693/2025/06/02/this-week-in-mets-trade-deadline-needs/
How much
of a boost will bullpen need?
The
bullpen has been even better than the rotation, though its ERA is only good for
second-best in the NL behind San Francisco’s relief corps. Edwin Díaz has looked sharper than he did at any point
last season, Reed Garrett has been lights out
for two months, and Huascar Brazobán has been a
revelation as a high-leverage innings-eater.
At some
point, they’re going to hit a snag — the way they did when A.J. Minter and Danny Young went
down for the season days apart. New York has other options built in: Ryne Stanek has rebounded well from his rough period
in late April, Dedniel Núñez should come back to
the majors eventually, and Brooks Raley can help
out from the left side in the season’s second half. But the likelihood is the
Mets seek out assistance for the pen, whether it’s just another left-handed arm
or a fresher arm for the back half of the pen. Remember, Stanek was Díaz’s
primary set-up man in the postseason last year, and he was a mop-up man in
August and September. Things change quickly down there.
Eno Sarris’ MLB starting pitcher rankings for the rest of
2025
#42 Tylor Megill
109
Stuff+ 3.66 ppERA
Stuff+ 109
Location+ 99
Pitching+ 108
Health 75%
Proj. IP 135
ppERA 3.66
ppK% 25.0%
Early MLB All-Star team picks
https://www.nytimes.com/athletic/6401037/2025/06/04/mlb-all-star-team-predictions-2025/
Kodai Senga, Mets — After a lost 2024 season (5 1/3 innings pitched),
Senga is healthy and showing he’s the ace of the Mets’ staff. He is 6-3 with a
1.60 ERA over 11 starts. His ghost forkball has again been sensational;
opponents are hitting just .108 against it.
Top 100
MLB Prospects for 2025
https://www.justbaseball.com/prospects/top-100-mlb-prospects/
41. Carson Benge – OF – New York Mets
Height/Weight:
6’2″, 185 | Bat/Throw: L/R | 1st Round
(19), 2024 (NYM) | ETA: 2027
HIT PLATE DISC. GAME POWER RUN FIELD FV
50/55 50/55 40/50 50/50 40/50 50+
Much like
his OSU teammate Nolan McLean, Benge was a legitimate two-way talent for the
Cowboys. After a big freshman season, Benge tapped into much more power in his
draft-eligible sophomore year, making it clear his future was in the batter’s
box and there might be room for even more impact.
Hitting
A noisy
operation in the box, Benge starts with an open stance and rocks into his back
side with a big leg kick and barrel tip. He starts it all very early with
impressive lower half control and balance that likely spills over from his
experience on the mound.
After
struggling to elevate in 2023, Benge slashed his ground ball rate by more than
10%, more than doubling his home run total to 18 while increasing his slug by
130 points. Upon shifting his focus to the batters box, Benge has tapped into
much more raw power, posting above average exit velocities in High-A.
Benge
could still benefit from getting the ball in the air more frequently and his
moves may be difficult to time up against upper-level pitching. He has great
hand-eye with impressive swing variance to get to pitches in tough spots.
A patient
hitter, Benge has continued to draw walks at a high clip as a pro and can be
difficult to put away. With the added raw power, Benge’s ceiling has been
pushed a bit higher, with 20 home runs not completely out of the realm of
possibility, but at least the chance to hit 15 with plenty of doubles.
Defense/Speed
He
predominantly played right field in his collegiate career, but he looks like he
can play up the middle. Though he’s closer to an average straight-line runner,
Benge’s athleticism paired with the great reads he gets and efficient routes
give him a good shot of becoming an average center fielder. If he moves off of
the middle, he would grade as an easy plus defender in a corner where his plus
arm would play well.
Outlook
Benge is
a unique athlete who may just be scraping the surface of the player he can
ultimately be. Early returns in 2025 have Benge on an upward trajectory as he
has clearly added impact and made a seamless transition to High-A Brooklyn
where some hitters can get frustrated by the ball flight. He has a wiry build
and could probably add some more strength without losing speed and It’s not
uncommon for two-way players to add mass upon shifting their focus from the
mound. Added strength could also facilitate a simpler operation in the box.
Benge has the potential to be an everyday center fielder with average or better
tools across the board.
Mets are
better equipped to hang with the Dodgers
https://www.nytimes.com/athletic/6404763/2025/06/05/mets-dodgers-pitching-details/
The Mets’
catchers aren’t moving behind the plate
In spring
training, the Mets’ front office instructed their catchers to cut down on
movement behind the plate. For example, no coming up out of the squat for high
pitches or moving over for pitches inside. Instead, they wanted their catchers
to set up directly behind the plate.
While
they were in Milwaukee, president of baseball operations David Stearns and vice president Eduardo Brizuela
had the Brewers work this way, too. The way some executives see it, positioning
catchers up the middle provides a better tunnel for pitchers. Some pitchers say
it gives a better visual for command purposes.
“We
started doing that early in the season, and we’re getting really good results,”
Luis Torrens said.
This is a
small thing. But four of the six games so far this season between the two teams
have been decided by one or two runs. The small details matter. And that’s
especially true when it comes to the Mets’ pitching staff and command. In the
six games during the National League Championship series last year, the Mets
walked 42 batters. In the six games against the Dodgers so far in the regular
season, the Mets have walked 22 batters.
Still,
catchers can only provide the target; it’s up to the pitcher to remain
confident and execute.

Morabito is my guy for CF. He has been hot hot hot for the last 4 weeks.
ReplyDeleteGilbert is just not hitting enough and turns 25 in 3 months. Conundrum.
Jett is an enigma. He may be an excellent 4th OF on this Mets team in 2026.
Benge? Remember he is in Brooklyn. Promote him after the ASB to somewhere more hospitable to the long ball - then see how he adapts. .
Senga is great. Megill might be a #1 starter on a few teams, and an SP 2 / SP 3 on many teams. The Mets are super loaded with starters, but Megill should be highly valued, not devalued. Let's see his start today in the Rockies finale.
I notice the HR differential between Cal Raleigh (25) and Alvarez (1) a lot, despite Alvarez's power. Did the hamate surgery sap some of his power.
I became aware that the Rockies catcher is 25 year old Hunter Goodman, and he has 26 extra base hits, 36 RBIs, and a .281 average in 62 games. The Rockies need pitching. Let's trade them Alvarez and a prospect pitcher (and/or perhaps Blackburn) for Goodman.
Mine too, with Benge or Ewing in left
DeleteGilbert - Morabito will quickly pass him by
DeleteJett
DeleteAt least he is getting his head into the game
Senga
DeleteKodai's contract with the Mets runs through the 2027 season.
He has an opt out at the end of this season, IF he pitches a total of, at least, 400 innings from 2023-2025.
Right now that totals 239.2
He would have to pitch 160.1 more innings this season to allow him to excercise that option
Cal Raleigh was a 3rd round pick so EVERY TEAM PASSED ON HIM FOR AT LEAST THEIR FIRST TWO PICKS
Deletenot an exact science
He's 28. Not great his first four years.
DeleteJared Young has hardly played and he has more HRs than Alvarez.
ReplyDeleteAnd this is not as much a positive statement for Young as a negative for Alvarez.
DeleteMendoza had some public negative comments about Alvarez yesterday. Managers normally only do that just before a new assignment comes down,
Mack, Alvarez would be a back up catcher - for the Rockies.
ReplyDeleteSenger still is 5th in the MAJORS in DRS even though he hasn't been in the majors since APRIL
DeleteCome on guys
If Williams was short like Eddie Gaedel, the pitch would have missed him entirely. The same pitch to Aaron Judge would have hit him in the shoulder.
ReplyDeleteKidding aside, I hope one takeaway for Jett is that he really gets laser focused on the dog-eats-dog aspect of this game, and adds dogmeat to his diet, if you catch my drift.
The Yankee prospect who hit him in the head at 98 seemed to casually walk off the mound, take the baseball throw back, and return to the mound. It looked heartless to me. Dog eat dog.
Thanks for the updates Mack.
ReplyDeleteLooks like Senga isn't going anywhere.
Sadly, Gilbert has become an afterthought.
Jett Williams doesn't sound to encouraging to me Mack. I had dreams of him batting leadoff with a .400 OBP. Now he looks like a super utility guy.
Very encouraging about Morabito and Benge let's hope they don't fizzle like the others.
Alverez in my mind is officially unwatchable...please send him down to AAA. Right now, he is just awful.
I don't have anything against Jett but I just don't see a long term path for him in Queens
DeleteIf he is truly the Mets number one prospect, he should be traded for either an established successful back-end reliever, a top level power outfielder, or a front line full dimension catcher
That stat about Senger is unbelievable. If Alverez is going to hit .230 with no power, bringing up Senger is a no brainer.
ReplyDeleteAt least we will be very sound defensively behind the plate.
I like Morabito, but I think that the next full-time CF to come out of the Mets system may be AJ Ewing. 40 SB already on the year, hitting north of .340 between A and (mostly) A+ at 20 yrs old. He’s primarily played CF all season, even moving Benge mostly off the position in Brooklyn.
ReplyDeleteAs to Megill, I’m not sure if that #42 ranking was for the NL only, or for all of MLB. In either case, I doubt that very many teams’ fifth (6th?) starter is ranked that high. All credit to our revamped FO and our coaching staff for the unbelievable job they’ve done evaluating/choosing/improving pitchers.
Anonymous...is that you Reese. Can't include me in the Alverez gushers. I've been telling everyone how awful he is since last year.
ReplyDeleteI did buy in on the hype for Jett though, but a player has to adapt to his capabilities. At 5'6", I don't need Jett to be a power hitter. Just stop striking out, make contact and get on base.
I would start Torrens more often and make Alvarez the backup. Sometimes sending a message is all that's needed.
ReplyDeleteLet's see now. Alvarez is 23 and in his third season with the Mets. We have seen his tremendous upside and some of you want to trade him? My gosh.
ReplyDeleteSo, send him down to AAA, let him work his ass off to get better. You say he has upside, but he has gotten progressively worse every year. In all facets of his game.
ReplyDeleteCurrently, this version of him is awful. A .230 hitter, who is horrible defensively and strikes out a ton. Where's the upside.
Cal Raleigh was a far worse player over his first years and look at his today.
ReplyDeleteMy bad. Was looking at Raleigh's BA. All achievements after he turned 14.
ReplyDelete