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10/17/25

Reese Kaplan -- Cream of the FA Crop for OF and DH


While the club has many issues to address regarding its roster, the outfield and DH positions have for several seasons provided less than optimal output.  On the outfield front, no one is complaining about the offense provided by Juan Soto or Brandon Nimmo, but both have demonstrated defensive lapses that make what they do at the plate somewhat less appealing when you need to factor in glove work. 

On the DH side of things this role has been an embarrassment since the National League embraced the position back in 2022.  Yes, they did sign career DH star J.D. Martinez but at the tail end of his career he didn’t provide the output they had expected.  I won’t turn your stomach by reciting the litany of less than solid pretenders who didn’t produce the offense most other clubs enjoy from this position.  Suffice to say the Mets need to improve it significantly.

Many have argued already that Juan Soto should be moved either to first base in the event of a Pete Alonso departure or to the DH position so that he can deliver what he does best with the bat and on the basepaths.  Less often a similar sentiment has been raised about Brandon Nimmo as well, though his commendable run production is not quite in Soto’s stratosphere.  

Another DH option brought up includes the defensively challenged Mark Vientos but he has not shown the consistency needed to play regularly, let alone in this key offensive role.

Given the roster imbalance it is entirely possible that new outfielders will be needed to help enhance the team’s ability both to score runs and to prevent opposing hitters from doing the same.  Three clear names exist on the upcoming auction blocks for free agents.


Cody Bellinger opting out from the Yankees offers up the possibility of someone who can provide far better than average defense at any of the three outfield positions as well as having played 350 games at 1st base.  Offensively he’s going to provide middle of the order offense with the addition of 15 SB capability.  

He’s not going to be cheap but if Alonso departs the money you would otherwise have allocated to him could instead be used on Bellinger while adding defense and running speed.


A bargain basement solution with two Gold Gloves also comes from the Yankees in the form of Trent Grisham.  Think of him more as a Jose Siri alternative, someone whose defense is quite good but who struggles with batting average.  Closing the 2025 season he slugged 34 HRs and drove in 74 but hit .235.  That achievement is quite a flourish for the man with the career .218 batting average.  

Yes, he’d provide power but is the defense good enough to withstand the poor ability to get on base.  He earned just $5 million for 3.5 WAR last year and it may be that Stearns feels his defense makes his offense acceptable.


The crown jewel among outfielders is now former Cub Kyle Tucker.  He’s twice hit 30 HRs and twice eclipsed the 100 RBI level while playing for the Astros.  To accompany his one-time Gold Glove he also is capable of 25-30 stolen bases.  

Some are projecting a long term deal for the turning 29 year old Tucker could reach up towards $400 million.  That seems highly excessive but getting somewhere in the $30 million range for several years is entirely in the cards. 


On the DH side there are two very obvious options.  The first is the Philadelphia Phillies departing hitter Kyle Schwarber.  Embracing him is acknowledging the all-or-nothing nature of what he does with the bat as he is truly incapable of playing the field anywhere.  

This past year he hit 56 HRs, drove in 132 and hit .240.  That number is significant as he is a career .231 hitter.  Think of him as a slightly more powerful Dave Kingman who has twice exceeded the 200 strikeout plateau while finishing each of the past two years at 197.  He’s going to cost a fortune but you have to consider if the long balls make up for everything else.


Finally there is soon to be former Brave Marcell Ozuna.  We won’t dwell on his personal issue that took him off the field for domestic violence back in 2021.  However, on the field he is just as lethal with the bat.  

This past season while earning $16 million he had something of an off year but in 2023 and 2024 he hit 40 and 39 home runs respectively while hitting triple digits in RBIs.  Turning 35, it’s possible to get him on a short term deal with options but is the 21 HRs and 68 RBIs where he is now at in the latter stage of his career? 

 

15 comments:

  1. What makes all these calculations tough is how much a player will cost and for how long. ozuna May just be one year, but is he washed up? He faded in the second half, has stolen 3 bases in 6 years, and probably would want JD Martinez money next year. I keep thinking, “it might have quite a few bumps, but just play the kids in 2026. By 2027, we will thank ourselves.”

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  2. I'm sticking to my bridge year plan. Do nothing to sign outfielders that get in the way of Benge, Ewing, and Moribito

    As for DH, I would make Vientos a permanent platooned DH

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    1. I agree that permanent platooned DH is the best role for Vientos. But that half player costs a full roster spot on a team looking to advance youth. Is it time to consider a Vientos trade while the rest of the league still sees value in him?

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  3. Mack, Marcel Ozuna was up 1100 times at age 24 and 25, and had just 2.7 WAR. Those 2 years, he hit like Vientos but with far less HR power. Then….it clicked and he started to pick it up. I think if Pete leaves, tell him to be ready to play first base and be AGGRESSIVE at the plate to cut down his % of two strike at bats, and you will have a cheap Pete replacement. Heck, he can’t field any worse, can he?

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    Replies
    1. Understand.

      Them find him a field and get a couple if coaches to work with him at Clover now

      Oh

      They don't have any of them

      Fine

      Get two of the minor league guys...

      Oh

      They aren't rehired yet

      Fine

      Than go watch the 3rd season of The Diplomat on Netflix

      Delete
  4. Vientos, same two years age-wise as Ozuna, and with 200 fewer plate appearances, had 2.9 WAR vs. Ozuna’s 2.7.

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    1. He can grow that WAR as a DH

      The fact remains that he plays third and first as if he's trying to catch with a dull.knife

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  5. Mack, we shall see. But if he is DH, I don’t want him platooning. As a righty, a platoon means lefties only. If Pete leaves, 150 games of Vientos. If Mark fails fix it mid season, or next off season. His 2026 salary will be drastically lower than what Pete will get, so spend it wisely elsewhere…or get under cap.

    Someone soon (not me) should write an article on what would this team look like if it got under the cap in 2026. Like Mike write, the Mets won’t beatLAD in 2026, even with Skubal, so why not seriously look at doing that for one season? They spent billions this year and missed the playoffs anyway.

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    Replies
    1. I tried that but the Mets would have to eat a ton of contracts and I believe that money would still count in the original amounts and years contracted

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    2. Can someone confirm that I am correct about eaten money?

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    3. Mack, I believe you are correct on that. Fangraphs writes:

      a) The average annual value (AAV) of guaranteed contracts is included, not what the player is actually being paid that year. The AAV of contracts with deferrals is lower due to the payout structure and is based on the inflation rate stated in the contract, but unless the exact AAV as calculated by the league is publicly reported, the AAV is calculated as it would be without deferrals.
      b) Other payments, such as money to and from other teams, are included. Buyouts of contract options are not included.
      c) Players no longer on the 40-man roster are included in all cases, regardless of whether they were optioned or released.

      I could be misinterpreting that.

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    4. The Mets just can't get under it for 2026

      They can in 2027 if they target their future on team controlled players

      Delete
  6. Would love to see them do that, but I fear the pressure on Stearns won't allow it.

    They would have to find a way to trade Manaea, McNeil and possibly Senga also. They would have to let Alonso walk. Maybe keep Diaz around for 2027 and beyond.

    Use Vientos and Mauricio as DH.

    Not sure about 1B or CF. Maybe an aging veteran on 1 year deals?

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  7. Ozuna would be a great fit for the Brewers -> if they paid Hoskins $17 million they can easily stomach $20 millon

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  8. Yes Mack. Montas's money and any money left over from trading someone would be added to the 2026 payroll and beyond if necessary.

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