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11/8/25

Reese Kaplan -- Which Current Mets Could Be Traded?


The Daily News yesterday wrote a piece about the gargantuan to do list David Stearns currently has in front of him after, to be charitable, a disappointing season filled with problems.  To be more direct, think about how you had a team at the top of the NL East in April and May only to have it spiral out of contention by the end of the season in September. 

Now, to be fair, there were a few moves made to try to improve things.  On paper Gregory Soto was a moderate and credible reliever though not exactly a standout.  However, with Brooks Raley being the only known lefty in the pen the acquisition made a little bit of sense.

Tyler Rogers was the big can’t miss type of move.  He had quietly built a rock solid setup career based mostly on his odd delivery that was highly challenging for the batters he faced.  How good was he?  Well, for his entire career he owns a 2.76 ERA.  That is not a typo.  He’s twice hit the 80 game mark per season.  The strikeout numbers were not good but he walked well under 2 batters per 9 innings pitched.  About the only black mark was his career .241 BAA and with the Mets it climbed to .260, but he’s not exactly a batting practice pitcher.  If Stearns has any resolve then Rogers should be on his list for a call back conversation.

Then there is the monstrously bad performance of the man people felt was the key acquisition in Ryan Helsley.  There’s no way to sugarcoat the 7.20 ERA nor the .301 BAA as a Met  His WHIP was an astronomical 1.800 and he was walking 5 batters per 9 innings pitched.  Yes, he has a solid record as a closer.  No one knows if it was a blow to his ego to be a setup guy, self-pressure from putting himself into the midst of a playoff chase or simply a six week slump that came at the worst possible time.  He will want closer duties as a free agent and unless the Mets miss out on Edwin Diaz his name should be removed from Stearns’ Rolodex.

The last (and only) offensive contribution was the Mendoza line hitting Cedric Mullins who caused every Mets fan to draw blood scratching their heads in wonder and disbelief.  Yes, the club needed a solid center fielder and Mullins’ only positive was his skill roaming the outfield.  However his offense has been lackluster for quite some time and that carried over consistently as a Met.  After hitting respectively a mere .233 and .234 in 2023 and 2024 he went an abysmal sub-Mendoza .182 with the Mets.  It’s not as if you were realistically expecting him to do much better given his track record for the past three years, but we are talking about the same POBO who felt Jose Siri was the hidden gem answer to center field.  Hopefully Stearns finally learned those lessons.

Of course the departing free agent list contains many others but the team is also bereft of coaching replacements in the bullpen and at first base.  Not coincidentally the Braves hired the Mets ex-coaches Jeremy Hefner and Antoan Richardson this week.  Apparently they saw more value in these folks than did Stearns.  While I understand about inherited vs. chosen coaches, the fact is that there was a lot more good than bad that exited Citifield. 

Then there are the player decisions to be made from among those folks still on the roster.  Remember that neither Pete Alonso nor Edwin Diaz are there any more.  You know who is?  Frankie Montas!

So, moving forward it would seem you have a few buckets to consider as the roster gets rebuilt yet again.  Some players are proven, some are not and some are still in the minors.

Major League Chips


Jeff McNeil likely heads up this list with a relatively strong finish to another otherwise mediocre season.  For a guy who way back when lead the entire league in hitting, since then he’s tallied three years of .270, .238 and .243.  That’s not a bad week or two.  It’s three full seasons.  He’s also slated to earn $15 million this year.  It would appear that the only way to move the man is to pay down his now inequitable salary.


David Peterson is likely on this list as well because he’s in the arbitration phase of his career after imploding in 2025 which surprised most folks after a strong 2024.  For his entire career he’s a 4.12 ERA pitcher with good stuff but how long do you continue to wait for the man to blossom and establish himself as a bonafide major league starter?  He won’t require a pay-down of his contract if dangled in trade talks.  It’s more of a cleaning of the slate than it is someone whose paycheck is unfair.


Mark Vientos is clearly not on the same path he was in 2024.  With Brett Baty having delivered a mixed bag between third base and second base this past season he showed defensive skills and versatility to accompany his mid range bat.  If Vientos channels what he did in August and for all of 2024 then he has value on the market but the defensive minded Stearns is much more likely to retain Baty and hope his bat improves to a 25 HR/75 RBI level.  With strong defense you can live with low average. 


Francisco Alvarez was long regarded as the solution behind the plate with the Mets with his slowly improving defensive skills and his home run bat.  Then came various injuries and a demotion to Syracuse that questioned whether or not he is still in that previously held regard.  He did finish the season over the course of a half year’s worth of ABs providing a best ever .256 batting average to go along with an extrapolated 22 HRs and 64 RBIs.  If the defense is solid those are certainly numbers you can live with.  However, his name has come up as a centerpiece for a prospective Tarik Skubal trade, so he apparently belongs on the list of major league trade chips. 


Kodai Senga is as perplexing as his ghost fork.  You have seen top of the rotation stuff, then came injuries and finally a shuttle ride down to Syracuse.  What was most interesting in his team perception is that while the club was fighting tooth and nail to get that one extra win to assure themselves a trip to the postseason, he was never called back to the big club.  Still, as you slice it, in the majors Senga has made 52 starts, struck out 320 in 286 IP and owns a major league ERA of just 3.00.  The batting average against him is just .213 and he earns a modest $15 million per year for 2026, 2027 and an optional year in 2028.


Sean Manaea had a highly credible first year with the Mets which inspired the front office to bring him back in 2025.  Unfortunately between injuries and ineffectiveness he was not $25 million pitcher.  He earns that same salary in 2026 and 2027 as well.  Considering he finished 2025 with a 5.64 ERA no one is going to want to take him unless the Mets eat more than half his salary.  While not quite as bad a selection as Frankie Montas, he’s pushing it. 

Monday we’ll take a look at the unestablished major leaguers and minor league fodder who may or may not have a future in the Mets dugout.  The organizational ranking for prospects is quite good so it is certainly reasonable to expect 29 other clubs to take an interest in developmental talents.

22 comments:

  1. Evening Reese and morning to the rest of you

    My list...

    1. resign Pete (if he won't do this early, at least get a handshake from Boras that the highest oofer will come back allowing me to top it and sign him. If he screws me in the end, play Alonso/McNeil at first until Clifford is ready)

    2. resign Edwin (same as Pete. if you can't get this done early, go hard after both Helsley and Rogers in hopes of getting one signed to hold the closer fort down until Dylan Ross is ready)

    3. Keep McNeil on second untill Jett Is ready

    4. Make a whopper 3-year offer to Bregman, then, if no, sit down Baty and tell him the hot corner is his through 2026

    5. Get as many hitting and catching Latin instructors as I can find to work with Alvarez

    6. Find mtself one more 1-yr outfield contract for 2026, then step back and wait for the kiddies to arrive

    7. Find myself a decent DH to pair with Vientos, until the kiddies arive in the outfield. Then move Nimmo to DH

    8. Trade... NOT FA SIGN... a decent starter to pair with my growing youth movement in the rotation... send Tong to AAA... package Manaea in this deal with me paying 50-75% of what's owed him... start the season with New Guy, McLean, Senga, Holmes, and Diet Sprite

    9. Tell my AAA bullpen coach to kiddy-up with Dylan Ross and Ryan Lambert... inform David Peterson and Christian Scott that they are joining the pen for different reasons (still trying to trade Peterson and slow pace Scott's new arm)...

    10.go to lunch

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    1. Signing Bregman would be a really stupid move.

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  2. Mack has a plan. Will you come back and let us know how close you got to actual results?

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  3. I want to keep McNeil. His OBP wasn’t bad, and his glove was fine. Consider a mid season trade away. Sometimes, guys like Peterson, Manaea, and Senga come back with a vengeance - but I am open to a trade involving one or two of the three.

    Bregman? Puzzler in that he hit 50 points lower at Fenway. Also, McNeil fielded better. Also, they have the kids are very close to matriculating. I want the kids to have a wide arrival lane.

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    1. True

      One of The Three Amigos may graduate in May

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    2. Bregman will become someone's Jason Bay. Hope it's not us.

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  4. So my question for the group: do you set up entering 2026 as primarily a youth play that may or may not be a legit playoff team OR do you go in with a clear playoff contender that still provides openings for the youth OR do you reload for a division run?

    The strategy for entering 2026 will (or at least should) drive the tactical moves.

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    1. for me, 2026 is a transition year... keep productive veterans with existing contracts til kids graduate... get rid of some bad money... fill in gaping holes line a true starter

      then... 2027 "it's a small world afterall". Everybidy under 5-10 plays

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    2. Mack, how “competitive” is your ideal team next year? Invest enough to be a legit playoff contender or hope for the best & top off by the deadline as needed to go for it if they are in the playoff hunt?

      If it takes 85-87 wins to get into the playoffs & th full reset team is hovering around .500 ball & the kids are developing, do you go for it?

      If they got for it & fall just short - like this year, I think the fan base will explode.

      No “right” answer here - they need to create clarity on the strategy to inform their decisions.

      Also, we have already wasted 5 years of prime Lindor, so next year makes it 6 years. Nimmo too. 2/3 of their expensive core wasting away again in Margaritaville… while Dodgers pull away. SC’s gotta love that scenario.

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  5. Whether a move is strategic or tactical depends on time horizon. If strategy is to get to WS in 3 years, how to approach 2026 is largely a tactical, not strategic decision. That said, I think they have in place a long term articulated strategy to create a sustained, long term playoff team that will win some number of WS over the length of approximately 15 years. I think they believe that means you need a mix of vets at the middle of career and youngsters with genuine promise that has been confirmed by performance, etc. I also think it means you have a view about construction of the team, offensively and defensively, starting rotation and bullpen that is itself agnostic with regard to the distribution of vets and youth via position. I do think they have subplans within the overall strategy, and these subplans are the most sensitive to or impacted by data analysis. These include, speed and atheticism is drafting position players, versatility in position players, modest length of contract for pitchers adjusted by competitive market factors, shorter term contracts for relievers, etc. The strategies and substrategies are developed in the light of the strategic goals and and what we can think of as the budget line; the action plan is always to maximize against the budget constraint (however high or low it may be). All our collective speculation is done in the abstract given our interests and goals; their decisions are not. We are fans; they are decision makers. One reason all of are disappointed from time to time with particular decisions they make (a reason we don't give adequate weight to) is that you don't know whether you have a plan or not until you say 'no' to an option on the grounds that it may make sense in the abstract to go forward, but it is inconsistent with the plan. Plans are designed to accomplish goals, and one of the most important ways in which they do that is by giving the plan maker reasons to say 'no', even when it hurts psychologically, emotionally or personally.

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    1. very well put

      this team HAS to improve defensively. Would have clearly won 4 more games last season with people using their glovers properly... 2 miore with more accurate arms

      2028 is the perfect goal to win a WS

      2027 is a perfect year to transition the youth and go deep in the playoffs

      2026 is a perfect year to win ONE MORE FRIGGIN GAME

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    2. Just read this after my response to your last post. :)

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  6. My plan is a full-on youth movement. If it does not show real promise by the trade deadline, adjust. It worked for the Marlenes last year.

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  7. I expect Steve, after last season's embarassing end series with the Marlins, to get much more invloved this off season

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  8. Great responses - it seems we are all broadly aligned here.

    Given the Mets existing MLB assets & internal developing MiLB assets combined with their financial resources - I see zero reason where we can further develop & play our best young players - over the course of the year - & compete for playoff entry.

    The Mets successfully did this in 2024. If we look at the Reds, Diamondbacks, Guardian’s, Brewers, Marlins & other playoff-level contenders, there is absolutely no reason the Mets cannot execute against the long-term strategy & compete next year.

    Better execution alone last year gets them into the playoffs. Hopefully, better coaching (Stearns is building HIS coaching bench now), some positive regression to the mean for pitchers & a little luck, complimented with some youth emerging should get them “playoff competitive”.

    If that’s accurate, then several key moves should set the team up nicely: 1B bridge replacement (Goldschmidt?), resign Diaz, two reliable BP pieces, one established 2-3 starter, a bridge CF player.

    Let the kids play, learn, grow, & really prep the next wave (Jett, Tong, Wenninger, Benge, Reimer, etc) for mid-year promotions.

    Then sign the remaining difference makers next offseason

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  9. Everyine has an opinion. We share our opinions to have something to discuss ans pass the time. We all know Stearns won’t read it, but if we ever met him face to face and asked us for our opinion, would we actually tell him some of this stuff? I have questions:
    1. Vientos had a bad year after a good year. Trade him. Then what if Baty has a bad year after this good year. Are we trading him too?
    2. We want rhe kids to play… kids, kids, kids… great. So why are we signing Bregman, who obviously has started his descent to a “massive” three year deal?
    3. Do we need to empty out the farm for one year of Skubal or can we wait a year and instead get a player like Luis Castillo for a much lesser package and have him for two years?
    4. Do we really want Cohen involved and being pushy? How did that work out for us when he wanted Lindor’s buddy Javy Baez? Wouldn’t it be better to maximize your assets rather than chucking them for short term gains?

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  10. RVH, Tong had the hidden blessing of high pressure baseball in September against the best. I am sure he learned volumes. Why can’t he be ready day 1 in 2026?

    My example comparison is Koosman, who had a 6+ ERA in 1967, and pitched the whole year with the Mets in 1968 and should have at least shared the ROY award. Seems he learned from his initial 1967 foray, and then exploded in 1968. Why can’t Tong similarly be ready on day one?

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    1. Tom, I wouldn’t blink to put him in the opening day rotation. They just have too many bodies & he could benefit from a bit more seasoning.

      All three of the starters will benefit from the pressure of the playoff chase.

      One alternative is to really bite the bullet & trade at massive discount (75%+ if needed) & move Manaea, put Holmes back in the BP & move Peterson to the BP to open up spots day 1 for Sproat, Tong, Scott & let them pitch.

      Also, thy should just release Montas.

      I also believe that they could release Manaea & pay him in full to wind down his contract & salary cap issue during the 2026 season (I researched this a couple weeks ago but I’m not an attorney) & help clean up the 2027 payroll burden.

      We also have to assume at least one of our young pitchers will require TJS at some point, so playing them now gets them experience.

      I would still
      Like them to trade some of the surplus MiLB talent (plus some come combo of Mauricio, Vientos, Peterson) for Alcantara. Some veteran presence will help the young starters mature faster.

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  11. I'm with Tom and RV. To me to go all in this year would be irresponsible.

    JUST SAY NO to crazy bloated contracts for aging veterans. That means NO to Bregman. Why would you or anybody for that matter want to throw money at him when he just opted out of $40m a year. Lets not forget his diminishing skills.

    Do we really want to empty our farm system for 1 year of Skubal.
    Don't forget BORASS is waiting in the wings.

    Forget Henley, he sucked last year. His BA against last year was over .300.

    Moving forward trade away as much as possible (McNeill, Manaea, Peterson?) and go with the youngsters.

    If Alonso doesn't come back, you go with a stop gap 1B this year. If Diaz walks also then make it a total retool this year.

    This year the need a starting pitcher, several bullpen arms, and a platoon partner in CF. NO CRAZY LONG TERM DEALS.

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