It’d be a BLAST to go out for tasty “steamers” with Pastor Darryl
BTW - If I Was the Mets Owner Back Then, Darryl’s a Lifetime Met.
We always find ourselves as fans wondering how this or that prospect might do during the next season, in this case, in 2026.
Well, that is where Fangraphs and “Steamers” comes in. They project 2026 for everybody in the majors. and in the minors, that they believe will get some MLB time in 2026.
Let’s look at 14 Mets hombres - I hope you are sitting down.
Steamers projections? They may make you mad, regarding these 14 dudes, and it may make you question your own internal thesis about the rapidity of the rise of those players Mets-ward in 2026.
Steamers/Fangraphs Projections:
Carson Benge: 57 games, 245 at bats, 6 HRs, 27 RBIs, .236/.314/.372.
Ryan Clifford: 57 plate appearances, 2 HR, 6 RBI, .207/.303/.371
Jett Williams: 62 plate appearances, 1 HR, 7 RBIs, .218/.305/.346
Jacob Reimer: No projected 2026 MLB action.
AJ Ewing: No projected 2026 MLB action.
Nick Morabito: No projected 2026 MLB action.
Jon Santucci: No projected 2026 MLB action.
Jack Wenninger: 2 games, 9 IP, 4.32 ERA
Relievers?
Dylan Ross: 50 games! 9.4K/9, 3.85 ERA.
Ryan Lambert: 24 games! 10 K/9, 3.99 ERA.
MOVING ON FROM THE PROSPECTS, A FEW YOUNG METS “VETERANS”:
I show both Fangraphs and Baseball Reference projections for these four “vets”, who have roughly 150 combined innings at the MLB level.
Christian Scott: 53 IP, much in relief, 3.80. BB Ref has him at 65 IP, 4.15.
Jonah Tong: 8 starts, 44 IP, 10 K/9, 3.69. BB Ref has him at 69 IP, 4.59.
Brandon Sproat: 67 IP, 7.2 K/9. 4.14 ERA. BB Ref has him at 70 IP, 4.24.
Nolan McLean: 163 IP, 8.5 K/9, 3.76 ERA. BB Ref has him at 84 IP, 3.12.
My conclusions?
HITTERS?
Either their projections are extraordinarily conservative for the listed Mets hitting prospects, or many of us fanatics may be grossly overestimating what offense those hitters may provide the Mets in 2026.
Because those projected hitting combined stats up there? In 2 words?
Very sparse. Only about 400 total PAs from Benge, Jett, and Clifford.
PITCHERS?
As far as the pitchers are concerned, I think the projected MLB numbers for McLean, Ross, and Lambert are very reasonable. I do think Baseball Reference is way too low on McLean innings (did they not watch him?), and Fangraphs is much more reasonable, innings-wise, for Nolan.
I think Tong and Sproat projections of 2026 MLB innings are far too light.
- I guess we’ll find out how that pans out. I’m betting the OVER.
I personally think that Santucci and Wenninger will both pitch in the major leagues, even if only on a limited basis, in 2026, as opposed to Fangraphs showing them not pitching in the majors at all in 2026.
However, who cares what I think?
What the heck do you reader-experts think?
just more reason that 2027 should be the target days
ReplyDeletethis 2-3 HR projections will jump to 15-20
and those ERAs will lower to the 2.75-3.25 range
also
ReplyDeleteI know who one of you are
who is the dude in the sports coat? (sic)
Looks like they went shopping together for shirt & tie.
DeleteHe’s just some tall guy who snuck into my picture LOL
DeleteFunny, for some folks who don’t follow baseball, if I told them that was a picture of Darryl and the Mets GM, they probably would have said yeah, nice pic.
DeleteDarryl would have loved me as a GM. Why? Those Shea fences would have been made much friendlier. 8 feet closer in. Maybe Darryl would have passed his 39 HR Mets season peak a few times as a Met.
If they don’t follow baseball, they would be proud of you for being the GM but they would have asked, “who’s Darryl”?
DeleteThose fangraphs projections were a steaming pile of you-know-what.
ReplyDeleteI do think so too. Oozing pile might be more precise.
DeleteI wonder if those same players were with Pittsburgh, would their estimates have changed. Perhaps, since with a weak team, they’d perhaps all start the season in the big leagues, and certainly play a lot more.
DeleteStearns will assess what these youngsters will provide the Mets and build his team accordingly. Miami’s multiple rookies last year did quite well. I won’t look, but I wonder how their Steamers numbers looked going into 2025. Probably too conservative. We’ll see how well their Mets projections hold up in 2026.
ReplyDeleteAnd just wait for the Marlins rotation to mature
DeleteAlthough those projections seem to be a bit harsh, if we are being truthful with ourselves, we shouldn't really expect to see anyone other than McClean or Sproat, until midseason.
ReplyDeleteBenge has yet to master AAA. Why would we bring them up if they are not ready to play every day.
Scott and Ross should be eased into the bullpen when deemed ready. I really think Tong, Williams and Clifford need to master AAA before being promoted.
They always are conservative
DeleteI think Benge is very close to ready, because he in large part did not hit well in AAA due to an HBP that caused him to miss games. He hit well over the last several games of the season.
DeleteStearns wouldn't have made those comments about Benge unless he's close
DeleteTom, are you really Joe McIlvaine? Did you change your name when you got the boot?
ReplyDeleteJoeP, that is what I thought when I dug out that picture…Joe Mac. LOL
ReplyDeleteWell
DeleteHe ain't Jelly Roll
It’ll be interesting to see if the team can move Nimmo this offseason. I think they’d be willing to pay down his contract, but he does have a full no-trade clause, so it’ll be difficult. If they can, then I think Soto moves to LF and Benge, with a decent spring, could be the opening day RF. I’m not sure that they’d want to him to start the season as their everyday CF.
ReplyDeleteMINIMUM 50% EAT
Delete