SAVAGE VIEWS – Projected vs Actual 2025

 

  

At the start of every year, I do a projection as to how well individual players will fare during the upcoming season. I fully expected the 2025 team to field a dynamic hitting group of position players that would break previous records, especially with the addition of Juan Soto. Truth be told, the team, as a whole, underperformed my projections.  Let’s take a look.

 

PROJECTED 2025						ACTUAL 2025
PLAYER		BA	HRS	RBI		PLAYER		BA	HRS	RBI
Francisco	Lindor	0.280	34	108		Francisco	Lindor	0.267	31	86
Mark	Vientos	0.265	38	96		Mark	Vientos	0.233	17	61
Juan	Soto	0.292	42	120		Juan	Soto	0.263	43	105
Pete	Alonso	0.262	45	126		Pete	Alonso	0.272	38	126
Brandon	Nimmo	0.285	23	72		Brandon	Nimmo	0.262	25	92
Francisco	Alvarez	0.256	35	85		Francisco	Alvarez	0.256	11	32
Jeff	McNeil	0.312	18	72		Jeff	McNeil	0.243	13	54
Winkler	Marte	0.240	15	60		Winkler	Marte	0.254	10	54
Taylor	Seri	0.230	21	62		Taylor	Seri	0.207	9	35
Torres	Acuna	0.250	8	48		Torres	Acuna	0.229	5	37
						Brett	Baty	0.254	18	50
						Others			4	14
TOTALS			279	849					224	746

 

What’s funny is that although I forecast the Mets as having a strong offensive year, I did not feel confident that they were playoff bound. I had too many concerns about the pitching staff. In the end that turned out to be the case. However, the lack of consistent offensive production was a major factor in us missing the playoffs.

 Looking back, I was especially disappointed in the regression of the “baby Mets”. None of Baty, Alvarez or Vientos took the next step forward, If the Mets are to be successful in 2026, at least two of these three need to make a major contribution. Only Soto, Alonso and Nimmo met or exceeded projections last year.

My next post in two weeks will be a projection of how well I expect our hitters to do this upcoming season.

Ray

February 7, 2026