Pitching Prospect Update:
AAA Chris Schwinden 32.2-IP 1.01-WHIP 31-K 12-BB .247-BABIP 2.73-FIP
AA Mark Cohoon 42.2 1.24 34 14 .285 3.93
Robert Carson 36.1 1.43 33 13 .340 4.10
Brad Holt 34.2 1.30 24 20 .224 3.97
Jeurys Famila 7.0 0.71 6 0 .250 1.96
A+ Scott Moviel 41.2 1.37 16 13 .308 3.63
Matt Harvey 36.1 1.18 42 12 .315 3.31
A Eric Goeddel 37.0 1.11 38 8 .289 4.05
Greg Peavey 36.0 1.22 36 7 .356 2.90
Ryan Fraser 36.1 1.21 16 12 .273 4.86
Gonzalez Germen 31.2 1.48 32 11 .359 3.87
Batting average on balls in play (abbreviated BABIP) is a statistic measuring the percentage of plate appearances ending with a batted ball in play (excluding home runs) for which the batter is credited with a hit. BABIP is commonly used as a red flag in sabermetric analysis, as a consistently high or low BABIP is hard to maintain - much more so for pitchers than hitters. Therefore, BABIP can be used to spot fluky seasons by pitchers, as those batters whose BABIPs are extremely high can often be expected to improve in the following season, and those pitchers whose BABIPs are extremely low can often be expected to regress in the following season. A normal BABIP is around .300, though the baseline regression varies depending on the quality of the team's defense (e.g. a team with an exceptionally bad defense could be expected to yield a BABIP of .315) as well as the pitching tendencies of the pitcher (for instance, whether he is a groundball or flyball pitcher).
Fielding Independent Pitching, a measure of all those things for which a pitcher is specifically responsible. The formula is (HR*13+(BB+HBP-IBB)*3-K*2)/IP, plus a league-specific factor (usually around 3.2) to round out the number to an equivalent ERA number. FIP helps you understand how well a pitcher pitched, regardless of how well his fielders fielded
We did not include either Jenrry Mejia’s (DL) numbers or what Familia did at A+. This also does not include Sunday’s games.
The good news here is the list is more than one pitcher. It’s always great when one of your top pitchers is doing his thing at the AAA level. The Schwinden story has been one without fanfare, which makes it even more exciting. Peavey is beginning to step away from the pack and is close to derserving a move on to St. Lucie. That’s the only bump up I recommend between now and the end of June.
Binghamton:
I wanted to spend a few minutes on 1B Alan Dykstra. In terms of a prospect, yes, he has been a bust. He was a big time prospect when he was picked in the first round, 23rd overall, by the San Diego Padres, in 2008. His OPS for his three years at Wake Forest were: 1.149, 1,094, and 1.164. Since then, it’s been .772 in A-ball (2009) and .810 in A+ (2010). Yes, he did hit 27 home runs in those two seasons but he batted .226 and .241.
Dykstra came to the Mets in a trade for RP Eddie Kunz. Both represented players each organization was obviously done with. FYI: Kunz is currently 1-0, 6.39, 4-K, 9-BB, 12.2-IP for San Diego’s AA team.
This year, for the B-Mets, Dykstra is currently hitting .271, with three home runs in 70-Abs. More importantly, his OPS is at a professional high of .874. He continues to strike out too much (23 in 70-Abs), but what slugger doesn’t?
Allan will have a birthday on the 21st of this month. He will turn 24. He will never take a job away from Ike Davis, but he does give the Mets a legitimate, young, emergency backup first baseman for the next five years that can buy a house in Buffalo and settle in. I have him as the 57th Keeper.
Alan Dykstra for Eddie Kunz? Every day of the week.
SP Jeurys Famila passed his second AA test on Sunday: 7.0-IP, 0-R, 3-H, 6-K, 3-BB, 0.64.
St. Lucie:
The Lucy bats are back.
There’s a 22-year old outfielder in St. Lucie hitting .302/.340/.479/.819. He has four home runs, knocked in 19 runs in 27 games, has struck out only ten times and has stolen three bases. The only problem is we gave up on this guy three years ago, plus he’s been around for what seems like ten. It’s Juan Legares, the once top infield prospect that broke his Mets cherry in 2006, when he was 16. I had the pleasure (?) of watching him for three years in Savannah and, honestly, I forgot he was still around. Well, this is what happens when you sign 16-year olds. Some of them grow up and become baseball players.
Savannah:
It’s funny how slumps end. Two nights ago, the top four players in the lineup, led by CF Darrell Ceciliani produced more runs and hits than any other game this year. On Sunday, they were joined by the lower end of the lineup.
C Blake Forsythe had two hits, including his first triple.
No comments:
Post a Comment