Fangraphs - Milwaukee Brewers Top 15 Prospects (2012-13)

#1 Tyler Thornburg (P)

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Age	G	GS	IP	K/9	BB/9	GB%	ERA	FIP	WAR
23	8	3	22.0	8.18	2.86	42.4 %	4.50	7.09	-0.5

Questions about Thornburg’s ability to remain a starter have been raised since he entered pro ball. He’s a shorter right-hander and has some effort to his delivery but, to this point, he’s been durable by providing more than 130 innings in each of the past two seasons. The Texas native is a hard thrower. As a starter, he works in the 89-94 mph range but has hit the upper-90s as a reliever. He flashes a good changeup and a solid curveball.
Thornburg, 24, has steadily moved through the system since being selected in the third round of the 2010 amateur draft out of Charleston Southern University. He made 13 starts in double-A and then another eight in triple-A in 2012. He also made his MLB debut with eight appearances (three starts) but an ideal situation would allow the right-hander to return to triple-A to open 2013. With the big league rotation as thin as it is, though, Thornburg has a decent shot at opening the year in the starting rotation.

#2 Taylor Jungmann (P)

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Age	G	GS	IP	H	HR	K/9	BB/9	ERA	FIP
22	26	26	153.0	159	7	5.82	2.71	3.53	3.62

The Brewers selected two highly-regarded college arms in the first round of the 2011 amateur draft. Selected 12th overall, Jungmann’s value to date has far exceeded that of fellow first rounder Jed Bradley, who fell on hard times last season. Jungmann, selected out of the University of Texas, spent the entire year in high-A ball and provided a workman-like 153 innings.
At 6’6” 210 lbs, the Texas native is built like an innings-eater. Although he looks like a fire-baller, Jungmann struck out just 99 batters in 2012 and was a pitch-to-contact guy. He induced twice as many ground balls as fly balls. Jungmann has a solid fastball that can touch 94 mph. He also shows a promising curveball but is still working on developing his changeup, which will help him against left-handed hitters (splits: .309 vs LHH, .224 vs RHH). He has shown above-average control but is still working on his command.
I spoke to a talent evaluator familiar with Jungmann and he stated, “Taylor is a different breed. Last summer he was working on one thing… He was working on his breaking ball most of the year, not worried about consequences or numbers… and if you look at his K-rate the last month that’s where you’ll see his strikeouts as it became more effective… because he started to get a better feel with that pitch.”
The depth in the big league rotation is far from impressive and there aren’t many arms ahead of Jungmann in the minor league system. He’ll move up to double-A to open 2013 and will be a welcomed addition at the major league level as soon as he’s ready. His ceiling appears to be that of a mid-rotation workhorse.

#3 Wily Peralta (P)

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Age	G	GS	IP	K/9	BB/9	GB%	ERA	FIP	WAR
23	6	5	29.0	7.14	3.41	55.3 %	2.48	2.65	0.8

I’ve always been a little more lukewarm on Peralta’s future than most but he’s big league ready — something very much needed in Milwaukee right now — and he should provide a ton of innings as a durable No. 2 or 3 starter. The right-hander averaged more than 95 mph on his fastball at the big league level, which is higher than he typically worked at as a starter in the minors when he was more in the 90-95 mph range while touching the upper 90s. He also leaned heavily on his 85 mph slider but will need to mix in his changeup a little more consistently as the scouting reports circulate throughout the league.
As mentioned, Peralta is ready to assume a role in the big league starting rotation. He held his own at the big league level in five late-season starts and will open 2013 looking to pick up where he left off. After seven seasons in the minors, the Brewers are ready to reap the rewards from the Dominican native’s lengthy development. If he continues to maintain his higher velocity and continues to sharpen his secondary stuff, Peralta could be an impact arm.


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