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2/28/13

Rotations Projections (Updated v4.0)


Rotations Projections:

AAA-Las Vegas

1.         Zack Wheeler (23) – RHP – one of the top 10 prospects in baseball – A rating – 92-96, 98 with sink…curve, changeup… ETA: 2013 rotation

2.         Jenrry Mejia (23) – RHP – 5/yr minor league stats: 16-14, 2.95, 1.21 – has had control issues + Mets converted to relief for one year – TJS – only 6-0, mid-90s, CUwith sink – ETA: 2014 rotation or trade

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4.         Darin Gorski (25) – LHP – 88-90 FB, + 10-6 curve, being considered for LOOGY beause of his cross body deliveries to lefties.  4-yr pro stats: 29-23, 3.68, 1.23. ETA:  2014 pen or AAAA

5.

AA-Binghamton

1.         Rafael Montero (22) – RHP – Highest ceiling in organization – minor league career stats: 15-8, 2.42, 1.01, 175-IP, 156-K, 32-BB – mid 90s FB, up to 98, excellent command and secondary pitchers. Conservative ETA: 2015 Rotation
2.         Cory Mazzoni (23) – RHP – 2nd Rd. 2011  - 2-yr pro: 12-7, 3.70, 1.30, 88-92, 95 FB, curve…relies on control,  lack of height projects him eventually to pen. ETA:  Trade

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4.         Tyler Pill (23) – RHP – 4th Rd 2011 – excellent pro stats so far: 10-5, 2.43, 1.16, 122-IP, 115-K, 25-BB – low-90s FB, deceptive delivery, late release, curve, change, slider  - ETA: Trade
5.

A+ - St. Lucie

1.         Noah Syndergaard (20) – RHP – top 50 prospect in baseball – projected SP2 – 3-yr pro stats: 13-8, 2.35, 1.09, 103,2-IP, 122-K – 92-94 FB, + curve – 6-7, 200 – ETA: 2015 Mets Rotation

2.         Domingo Tapia (21) – RHP – UDFA –incredible velocity, sits at 98, hits 100 consistently, 97-slider – needs to work on control – ETA: trade or 2016 Mets closer

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A – Savannah

1.         Rainy Lara (22) – UDFA -2012 Brooklyn: 8-3, 2.91, 0.96, 77-K, 68.0-IP - + CU, curve, low-90 FB – old for level being pitched – ETA:: trade

2.         Gabriel Ynoa (20) – UDFA – 2012 Brooklyn: 5-2, 2.23, 0.93, 76.2-IP, 64-K, 10-BB – ¾ slot, 89-92 FB, 76-83 slider, 89-90 CU – ETA: 2016 Rotation or trade

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9 comments:

  1. imho opinion you are reeeaallllyyyyy high on montero. I definitely wouldnt say he has the highest ceiling. I have him as either the 4th or 5th best pitcher the mets have in the minors (Wheeler, Noah, Fulmer and then maybe Tapia).

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  2. And???

    What does that have to do with where he pitches? The Mets love him and he was invited to ML camp. He showed that pitching in Lucy was a piece of cake for him. AA is the next step on the ladder.

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  3. I am quite clearly commenting on his remark after his placement:

    Rafael Montero (22) – RHP – Highest ceiling in organization – minor league career stats: 15-8, 2.42, 1.01, 175-IP, 156-K, 32-BB – mid 90s FB, up to 98, excellent command and secondary pitchers. Conservative ETA: 2015 Rotation

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  4. Montero may not have the highest ceiling in the organization but he is great story. He's flown through the system in two years without so much as a speed bump. He's a third pitch away from being a top prospect. Very exciting player.

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  5. Let me define "ceiling".

    It's talent you haven't shown yet.

    Two pitchers in the Mets system have the most 'ceiling'... Montero and Domingo Tapia.

    Syndergaard may have more talent, but his 'ceiling' isn't as high...

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  6. Mack I love your stuff but to say montero has a higher ceiling than snydgaard is kind of ridiculous. Montero isn't goin to start sitting at 95mph

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  7. Pitchers that already have plus plus control of three pitches, one that's plus already, and two that could be plus, have high ceilings. That's Montero.

    Syndergaard has a plus fastball. He needs to develop his secondary pitches and control then still.

    I won't debate each's ceiling, but will say that Montero looks to get there first. That was evident by the Mets starting him, a guy who never pitched above A ball, against the Nat's "A" lineup last night.

    Lets just be thankful they both belong to the Mets.

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  8. (actually, I may be wrong... Tapia could have the highest ceiling...)

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  9. Ceiling is the highest point a player can reach if everything breaks perfectly. You can develop off speed stuff you can't develop a 98 mph fastball the has movement.

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