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6/4/13

DC Pro Sports Report - Final Mock Analysis



The 2013 Major League Baseball Draft is just a few days away, with the draft beginning this Thursday, June 6. The MLB Draft is widely known as one of the biggest crap shoots in all of sports. No matter where MLB teams draft, even in the first round, there are very little guarantees to major league success. Still, the MLB Draft has its fans and the baseball world is excited about the coming draft.
The MLB Mock Draft Database is the original MLB mock database to ever appear on the web, now in it's tenth MLB draft. It is modeled after our original NFL Mock Draft Database, again, the first to ever appear on the web 15 years ago. You see many other ones modeled after our concept. It is also the largest array of baseball mock drafts you will find anywhere. Updated today, we added 9 new mocks to bring the total today to 54 mock drafts for the 2013 MLB Draft. By Wednesday this week, that number will increase. We will keep you updated, that's for sure!
That being said, the top 6 projected picks are far from a crap shoot. According to our MLB Mock Draft Database, mock writers are pretty consistent in their projection of the Top 6 spots, with 5 of the top 6 spots having projections of 50% or more.
Earlier in the Spring, it appeared as if Stanford pitcher Mark Appel was a solid #1 overall pick. Appel was selected 8th overall last season by the Pittsburgh Pirates, but chose to not sign and instead return to Stanford for his senior season. He put up even better numbers this year, posting a 10-4 record with a 2.12 ERA. Opposing batters batted just .203 against Appel, while he racked up 130 strikeouts to just 23 walks through 106.1 innings. However, Oklahoma ace Johnathan Gray is the favorite among mock writers to go first overall to the Houston Astros. Gray posted an 8-2 record in 13 starts with an impressive ERA of 1.43. In 94.2 innings, Gray fanned 112 batters while yielding only 19 walks. Opposing batters struggled against Gray, batting just .175 against him. Damn impressive!
Here are a few more stats of the Top 6. Kris Bryant had a heckuva season with the University of San Diego. The third baseman batted .3629 through 62 games. His power is impressive. He launched 31 home runs and drove in 62 runs. Bryant hold leverage because he is only a junior and could opt to return to San Diego for his senior season. High School senior pitcher Kohl Stewart is a projected Top 5 pick. Stewart is also a 20103 signee for Texas A&M as a quarterback. Stewart could be a huge risk at the #4 slot, given his leanings to Texas A&M. Third baseman Colin Moran is also slotted for a Top pick. The third baseman out of North Carolina batted .351 with 9 doubles, 2 triples, and 13 home runs this season. He also drove in 85 runs.
So how do the mock writers see the Top 6 slotting out. Well, we munched together the mock drafts that were updated between May 27 to June 3, a total of 25 mock drafts. We munched them together and here is where mock draft writers stand.

http://www.dcprosportsreport.com/mlb-draft/mock-database-johnathan-gray-projected-top-pick-in-mlb-draft.html

PICKTEAMPLAYERS% OF MOCKS
1HoustonJohnathan Gray68%
2Chicago CMark Appel64%
3ColoradoKris Bryant84%
4MinnesotaKohl Stewart76%
5ClevelandColin Moran56%
6MiamiBraden Shipley48%

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