Pages

10/3/13

Mack Ade – Morning Report – 10-3-13 – Noah Syndergaard, Red Sox, EYJ, ARB List

 

avatar - nyc 13

11. Noah Syndergaard, RHP, New York Mets - Affiliate Team: Double-A Binghamton Mets  Age: 20  Ht/Wt: 6-6/240  Bats/Throws: L/R  Drafted: 1st Round (38th overall), 2010  Mets Minor Leagues - Syndergaard, following a solid 2012 season with Low Class A Lansing where he posted an 8-5 record with a 122/31 strikeout to walk ratio in 103.2 innings, has been ranked amongst the top pitching prospects in the minor leagues. A tall, sturdy frame allows Syndergaard to throw downhill with a plus mid-90s fastball that has decent movement. Syndergaard has showcased one of the better fastballs in the minors this season, an elite pitch that should propel him to the Mets’ big league rotation in the coming future. He maintains mid-90s velocity on his heater and is able to reach back for more if needed. Syndergaard delivers from an angle that gives the ball strong sink and deception, inducing groundballs and preventing batters from squaring up on the ball. His pitching arsenal not only includes a powerful heater, but also off-speed offerings such as a changeup and curveball that he throws hard and effectively. Syndergaard’s sound mechanics, pitch offerings, and ability to throw strikes will allow him to become a frontend starter for the Mets within the next couple seasons. http://baseballnewssource.com/prospects/bns-top-50-mlb-prospects-end-of-season-report-and-analysis/26685/22/

Mack - We're going to have to wait for this one.

This one is going nowhere. He projects better than Wheeler who projected better than Harvey.

Sadly, Sandy Alderson now has to put a plan together that doesn't include Harvey... ever. There is always the Mark Pryor possibility and you have to be ready for this.

I guarantee you will see a veteran arm (Santana, Dice-K, Arroyo, etc.) signed for 2014.

 

Because what doomed the Red Sox last season was less a lack of talent than clubhouse dysfunction, Cherington and his staff made a point to value character in their free-agent acquisitions. That was a strategy they knew from the start they would pursue. Whether those character players would agree to join a team with as much chaos in his recent history -- well, they were less certain about that. It wasn't until Cherington picked up the phone to talk to targets Jonny Gomes and David Ross -- the first two free agents signed last winter, and now two of the veteran leaders of the playoff-bound Red Sox -- that his mind was put at ease. http://www.providencejournal.com/sports/red-sox/content/20131001-how-jonny-gomes-and-david-ross-set-the-tone-for-the-red-sox-last-offseason.ece

Mack - Gary  and I were on the phone two days ago discussing how it would be in the best interest for the Mets to follow what Boston did to rebuild their team. Now, a couple of days later, no one would believe us we thought of that before the stories were written...  lol

I look for 3-5 'building blocks of intermediate free agents in the 1-2 year range to turn this team around and make it immediatel competitive in 2014.

 

Eric Young Jr. has deficiencies in the outfield, namely a weak throwing arm and a hard time going back on the ball, but he’s also made a number of game-saving and inning-saving diving catches. The problem is, compared with Matt Den Dekker and the astounding Juan Lagares, Young’s fielding deficiencies seem particularly glaring. There are ample reasons to believe that Young, despite his weak batting average, could have a future atop the Mets lineup, especially if they acquire a power bat. A low batting average and a weak throwing arm in left field are hard to justify, even in a player who provides, hustle, electricity and a great example for younger players. Furthermore, having him in left field prohibits the acquisition of a power-hitting outfielder. Fortunately, Young is also a second baseman by trade. Moving Young to second base would have two primary effects: 1. It would free the Mets to use Wilmer Flores and/or Daniel Murphy, both promising hitters who are average defensive second basemen, as trade bait. Flores or Murphy, packaged with a pitching prospect or a draft pick, might be able to land the kind of power hitter the Mets really need. Ideally, they could acquire shortstop Troy Tulowitzki from the Colorado Rockies, in exchange for a couple of young players and maybe the work-in-progress shortstop Ruben Tejada. And if they were to acquire a big hitter like Carlos Gonzalez without giving up Tejada, then the lineup would be strengthened enough to be worth giving Tejada a chance to right the ship. Then the Mets could move Lagares behind Young to provide a 1-2 speed combination at the top of the order. http://throughthefencebaseball.com/eric-young-jr-second-base-mets/38337#P6lcbAFyRurY9rfW.99  

A very interesting option if you can move both Murphy and Flores. You go from ann under-producting, poor defensive right fielder to a good production decent leadoff man... but you now have no starting outfieders except the two-headed defensive monster in center. Fill this is with tow new guys plus a Tulo deal at short and we might have something here.

 

A.J. Burnett certainly doesn’t look like an old-school baseball player. The Pirates right-hander’s arm are covered with tattoos, and when he takes the mound before the first inning of his starts at PNC Park, music from punk rocker Marilyn Manson blares over the sound system.         

The 36-year-old was also famous for wearing nipple rings when he broke into the major leagues with the Marlins.

Once you get past his appearance and drill down to the core – in those times when Burnett will provide a little window into his world – you find out he really is an old-fashioned player http://www.timesonline.com/sports/pirates/pirates-burnett-is-a-throw-back/article_47ec111c-c526-57e1-a7e0-0f29292be9da.html

 

Clayton Kershaw and Zack Greinke didn't know one another until this year and — even with their pedigrees — can't recall if they had ever spoken.

Their personalities, after all, are as different as the states from which they hail, the suburban Texas kid who exudes diplomacy and exercises restraint, and the Florida guy speaking without filter, no matter who it might offend. http://www.usatoday.com/story/sports/mlb/dodgers/2013/10/02/clayton-kershaw-zack-greinke-dodgers-greatest-1-2-punch/2912923/

 

Alderson has three men penciled into his 2014 rotation: Zack Wheeler (7-5, 3.42), Jon Niese (8-8, 3.71) and Dillon Gee (12-11, 3.62). If Harvey opts for surgery – the bet here is he eventually will – then the Mets will need to fill two spots. "We’ve got some guys coming off injury, like [Jenrry] Mejia, who pitched great for us in a limited sample," Alderson said. "But given the injury situation, I’m not sure how we count on him going forward without seeing more in spring training and what have you." But if you believe Alderson, the Mets will not be going after the biggest fish in the free agent pond. On Monday, he basically discounted a pursuit of a guy like Japanese pitcher Masahiro Tanaka. "I think we’re going to look for somebody that can pitch innings for us and fill those spots if we need to fill them while waiting for some of the other guys," Alderson said. Those other guys: Noah Syndergaard, Rafael Montero and Jacob deGrom. They are the three latest studs to emerge from the club’s pitching-rich farm system. It is unlikely any of those young men will start the season at Citi, but the Mets are hopeful at least one of the three could join the major league team by midseason. - http://www.northjersey.com/sports/226256281_Mets_are_OK_with_their_pitching_Mets_OK_with_their_pitching.html#sthash.Z4gUuPkV.dpuf

Mets arbitration list:











































































PlayerService Time2013 SalaryProjected 2014 Salary
Daniel Murphy4.1$2.9 million$5.8 million
Ike Davis3.1$3.1 million$3.5 million
Dillon Gee3.0$527,000$3.4 million
Bobby Parnell4.1$1.7 million$3.2 million
Eric Young Jr.3.1$490,000$1.9 million
Lucas Duda2.1$520,000$1.8 million
Scott Atchison4.1$700,000$1.3 million
Ruben Tejada2.1$514,000$1.0 million
Omar Quintanilla4.1$500,000$900.000
Justin Turner3.0$504,000$800,000
Mike Baxter2.1$500,000$500,000

 

18 comments:

  1. Mack, I am not comfortable penciling in Lagares at the top of the order. I love the glove in center but he is clearly an 8 hitter on a decent team until he proves otherwise. Maybe a two hitter vs lefties if he shows it over a larger sample. I see no way that they can go with both Lagares and Tejada in the same lineup if they are truly serious about 2014.

    ReplyDelete
  2. As much as they need outfielders, to me the biggest thing is a steady, sane first baseman. It's probably a really subjective viewpoint, but every good Mets team had a good, if not great, first baseman. They anchor the team.

    Davis/Duda are not in that class. Both seem to have head issues coming from opposite ends of the spectrum. Duda, laconic, introverted - Davis total chaos.

    I'm no shrink, I'm no scout. I'd take Overbay, any veteran with a brain. Another season of these guys is doomed to fail.

    ReplyDelete
  3. I know that Harvey is just one guy, but for some reason I can't stop thinking that a Harvey-less 2014 equals one more year of signing past-their-prime hitters and innings eaters, and another year of 'PROSPECTS' being hyped up to keep fans excited.

    ReplyDelete
  4. that wasn't written by me... the link didn't come out highlighted for some reason. I don't frankly love either one of them and think that the Mets are just average when either are in the lineup.

    ReplyDelete
  5. This is why I sign off on the Mike Napoli option.

    ReplyDelete
  6. one thing more Ernest... free agents use this kind of situation as a tie-breaker when their agent brings to them the deals he has worked out for them.

    Trust me, a player wants to play for a team that has a healthy Harvey and Wheeler much more than what is going on right now.

    ReplyDelete
  7. This "following the Red Sox model" is all well and good, the problem is that the Metd have less talent than the Sox did before they signed their mid-tier free agents.

    The Mets need to add 2-3 hitters to Wright and THEN fill the team with average players. Boston was starting with Ellsbury, Ortiz, and Pedroia before they made their additions.

    ReplyDelete
  8. Trade Murphy, Flores, Ynoa, Tejada, and DeGrom for Tulowitzski.
    Trade Duda, Vaughn and Robles for Hellickson of the Rays
    Sign Beltran
    Sign Arroyo or give Johan an incentive laden deal...

    Lineup would be
    Young 2nd
    Lagares rf
    Wright 3rd
    Tulo ss
    Beltran lf
    Ike 1st
    dArnaud c
    Den Dekker cf

    Pitching staff
    Niese
    Gee
    Wheeler
    Hellickson
    Arroyo, Johan, Mejia or maybe Harvey

    ReplyDelete
  9. Also I have always said I wanted Cano, but once I heard $300 million I have backed off that. I would offer him 7yrs $175 mill though, and then forget the Beltran signing.

    ReplyDelete
  10. I don't see how either of those trades make sense for the Rockies & Rays. I'll go out on a limb and say there is 0 chance u get Tulo without including Syndergaard, D'Arnaud, Gee or Montero. They already have a catcher but they could always flip D'Arnaud. Flores needs to go to a team to primarily play 3B and Colorado already has a 3B. I would think to get Tulo you would have to trade Syndergaard/Wheeler, Murphy & Ike. Tulo is the face of their franchise. Best all-around SS since early ARod. He hits and plays good D. He just can't stay healthy.

    ReplyDelete
  11. I think any trade for Tulo starts with Wheeler and Ike and then tacks on from there...Murph/Flores (COL choice), Familia/DeGrom (ditto), etc. Expanded enough I'd like to bring back Pomeranz (their Ike-ish flop) and Kyle Parker.

    Sign Beltran and live with Duda/Satin or go for Napoli (Mornaeu?)--with the latter maybe Duda/Tejeda can bring back something of near-term value. Johan/Dice-K/Arroyo probably one of.

    ReplyDelete
  12. Mack,
    I think Tejada needs to be replaced. I can definitely live with Lagares at 24 years old in CF providing gold glove D, batting out of the 8th spot, pushing a .700 OPS, and hopefully improving at the plate as he reaches his peak years. That does require a SS that can at least handle the bat enough to hit 7th and maybe even 2nd. Guys like Drew and Ramirez on Chicago fill that role. I like that Ramirez provides plus defense, but he will cost in prospects. If Mets can get him for a couple of lower prospects, I would be on board.

    ReplyDelete
  13. you're not getting Tulo without Wheeler as part of the deal... period

    ReplyDelete
  14. EYJ at 2B would be alright. It would allow the Mets to trade Murphy and Flores. With the talk of the Mets possibly wanting to deal for Howie Kendrick, I'd rather give EYJ the chance and save any of the Kendrick trade bait for other deals.

    ReplyDelete
  15. I think there are currently better options, both through FA and possible trades, for a quality SS than OF right now.

    Go get the SS first.

    ReplyDelete
  16. Forget trading Murphy. And having EYjr enables this trade? EYjr is a back up player on a good team. Having him as a bench player is alright. Teams that him him as a starter finish below .500, as the Mets will if they actually end up with him as a second baseman. Unless, of course they trade the farm for Stanton.

    If the mets are trying to build a winner next year, that plan shouldn't include EY as their second baseman. I'd trade Murphy if Flores ended up at second because he could drive in runs.

    Any deal involving Murphy better get the mets a huge offensive player because it has to justify losing Murphy's production which isn't bad by the way. Personally, I say stick Murph at first, put Wilmer at second, and try to trade Ike. He's the guy I'd look to involve in a big deal. He is the one guy in the league that could be a Chris Davis type success story.

    I think the mets should upgrade positions actually in need of upgrading and leave guys like Murphy alone.

    ReplyDelete
  17. If the Mets could swing a deal that brought back Tulo and Pomeranz around Wheeler, Ike, Flores, and one of Familia/DeGrom, I am all in. Following that with Beltran on a 2 year deal would be tremendous. That would give them a 2-7 of Murphy-Wright-Beltran-Tulo-Duda-D'Arnaud. If they picked up a Drew/Ramirez at SS, they could flip that bat into 2nd vs. lefties. They could probably live with EYjr at leadoff n that scenario, and Lagares hitting 8th. They would need to add a legit starter to go with a DiceK-type. Montero-Syndergaard-Puello on the way in 2014. It would push payroll slightly over $100 mil, but that would be spectacular in my book.

    ReplyDelete