There’s been a
considerable amount of positive chatter here on Mack’s Mets about the long
range future of the Mets system. None of us are thrilled with the limitations
of the current budget being given to Sandy Alderson,
but, at the same time, we must give credit to what he has accomplished via the
draft, trades, and signing international free agents.
Below is what this team
could look like come the 2018 season:
1B – Dominic Smith –
ETA: 2018
2B – Dilson Herrera –
ETA: 2017
SS – Amed Rosario –
ETA: 2017
3B – David Wright
C – Travis d’Arnaud
LF – Cesar Puello –
ETA: 2014
CF – Brandon Nimmo –
ETA: 2017
RF – Wuilmer Beccera –
ETA: 2018
There’s one other way
we can look at this team… currently. What is the current starting lineup and
the last ‘best year’ they have had in baseball?
1B – Ike Davis: 2012: MLB: 32-HR, 90-RBI
2B – Wilmer Flores: 2013: AAA:
.321, 15-HR, 86-RBI
SS – Ruben Tejada 2012: MLB: .289
3B – David Wright 2013: MLB: .307, 18-HR, 58-RBI
C - Travis d’Arnaud 2012: AAA: .333, 16-HR, 52-RBI
LF – Chris Young 2011: MLB: 20-HR,
71-RBI
CF – Juan Lagares 2012: AA .283
RF – Cesar Puello 2013: AA .326,
16-HR, 73-RBI
-sure, half of these stats were in the minors and the
majority of them were not last season, but don’t let anybody tell you that this
team doesn’t have a lot of hitting talent. They simply have to do it again,
beginning in April, in the majors.
First it’s Jhonny Peralta. Now I read that OF Nelson Cruz is seeking a 4-year, $75 million dollar
deal and I’m starting to figure this whole thing out. Basically, you take
anything you can get your hands on before the last season you are under
contract and, if you are tested and things come up positive, you take your 50
games in stride and just tell your agent to pump up the volume because there is
going to be some dumb son of a bitch team to pay you what you want, right? I’m
sure the players union would fight this, but we need at least a one-year
suspension with full loss of pay to begin with. I also think baseball needs to
come up with some kind of formula that limits the percentage of addition salary
a druggie can get on a new contract. That’s right, a druggie. These are
professional ballplayers breaking the rules and altering their performance for
nothing more than personal gain. But let’s be clear… there is no one more wrong
here than teams like St. Louis that are willing to pay this kind of bloated
salary to cheats and liars.
I managed to catch OF Chris Young live on MLB-TV on Wednesday morning and it
was interesting that he said that Sandy Alderson gave him a promise that he
would play every day and ‘he would get his 600 at-bats’ next season. That was a
lot more than Alderson said last week to reporters. My assumption is Young is
reporting this correctly and Alderson was easing all of us into this decision.
More slickness by Sandy. Boy, I get sick of all this syrup.
Alderson on Shortstop:
“So is it conceivable that Ruben
Tejada or someone within in the organization is playing shortstop for us
on Opening Day? I think the short answer is yes. But, again, what we’re trying
to do is improve the team as a whole. And so while shortstop is an obvious
place for improvement, it’s not the only one. And if we’re successful
elsewhere, as many clubs do, they get by on their strengths and hope to be as
adequate as possible in those areas where they’re weaker.”
Mack – It amazes me how much Sandy Alderson is sounding like a
politician these days. I guess you do reach a time when you realize that it
wouldn’t kill you to say something nice about the ballplayers you already have
on your team, especially when you are also beginning to realize that the market
for a decent free agent shortstop is quickly coming to an end. Now, go back and
read the paragraph again and you’ll see what a half-assed attempt it was for
saying something nice about Tejada.
I would like to see Tejada get another shot but
it’s not going to work unless somebody starts publically believing in this kid.
There was no problem here two years ago so there easily could be no problem
this year. Age doesn’t come into play, only confidence, team acceptance, and
attitude.
It is so important that guys like Tejada, Ike Davis, and Travis d’Arnaud get off to a good
start. It’s no guarantee for a great season (remember John Buck’s start last year), but
these guys have already proven they have the talent to succeed at this level.
All they have to do is to remember how to do I again.
Mack, with Herrera and Nimmo do you realy think it will take 3 years? Both open in St Lucie next year. And finish in Binghamton. So you might see a September call up in 2015.
ReplyDeleteCeasar Puello plays RF (in my book)
4/$75 fort Cruz is outrageous, but at the least it will serve to drive up his price, and perhaps some schmuck will actually pay it. (Jeez, I hope that schmuck's initials are not S.A.) I am ready to pass on Cruz, not so much for the PED connection or for his chutzpah in asking for $75 million, but his stats away from Rangers Ballpark are very weak. I'm concerned that he could become another Jason Bay for us.
ReplyDeleteRe: Young - Regardless of what he says Sandy promised him, if he gets off to a really slow start, I would not be at all surprised to see him in a platoon with den Dekker or Nieuwenhuis by June.
Re: Tejada - I don't think Sandy was trying to make nice. He was just stating the obvious. He is a consumate politician, or maybe poker player is a better description. He never gives away his intentions. Stating that Ruben could be his SS sends the message that he will not act in de3speration when talking trades with other GMs. I think the odds are actually very slim that Ruben will be his guy. And I don't think for one minute that he will sign Drew. He's going to get an upgrade at short in a trade. Whether his best deal winds up to be Lowrie, Gregorius, Escobar, Aybar, Cabrera, Hardy, etc, who knows. But I think there will be a new face next to David next season.
What kind of effect would Young getting 600 at bats have on the Mets decision to sign another outfielder? Also, how does this effect Cesar Puello?
ReplyDelete0 effect on Cesar Puello since Young's deal is of the 1 year variety. Lets say the baseball gods shine down on Young this year and he's hitting .250 with 20 HRs.
ReplyDeleteYou better bet your ass Sandy is going to turn right around and trade him for an organization's Top 15 prospect and call Puello up to finish the season.
Jonah -
ReplyDeleteI'm always conservative when I project players, especially when it comes to the Mets. They move their players so slowly.
Ernest - I think the '600 at bat' comment by young was more him sending a message back to Alderson. And I don't think it has anything to do with anything. The Mets still have, in comparison to the rest of baseball, a shit outfield and they need to continue to improve it.
ReplyDeleteRegarding Puello, you simply don't know what you have with a 'prospect' until you play him and find out. Right now you can only project what he may do which could still even be a burnout at Vegas.
Build a decent outfield without him and Puello just becomes a bonus
Hey Mack
ReplyDeleteI just noticed that Wilmer Flores is now playing winter ball. Do u know what position he is playing? I'm extremely curious about it.
It doesn't really matter as he won't be playing for the Mets because he's young, can hit and it makes too much sense. He'll be bundled off for some middle reliever or washed-up starter we don't need.
ReplyDeleteErnest - yes... Flores is playing EXCLUSIVELY at second base.... he went 2-2 yesterday with 2-BB and is now 6-8, .750
ReplyDeleteReese - you have no reason to bad mouth Alderson & Co. that way. This is not your older brother's front office. Did Sandy pack off Beltran for a middle reliever and washed up SP we didn't need? Or Dickey? Or Byrd/Buck? If Sandy makes a trade, you can bet your ass he will get top value back.
ReplyDeleteMack - with Flores playing 2B in winter ball, it must tell us that they have absolutely no plan to give him a shot at 1B next season. He's either trade bait or a legitimate candidate for the second base job in spring training.
Herb - My guess ( and it's only a guess) is Flores is your new Mets second baseman and Murphy will be packaged in a deal. It also looks like there is no action on either Duda or Ike, so I may get my wish and see Davis back for another try.
ReplyDeleteMack - You could surely be right, and I certainly would not have a problem with it. But unless they get a shortstop or another corner outfielder who can be an effective leadoff hitter, they may be forced to play EYJ at second. The ideal, of course, would be to sign Choo to a reasonable deal late in the off season and use EYJ as a 4th OF with Flores at 2B. Choo would be optimal as a leadoff hitter.
ReplyDeleteYou know I am hoping for Davis to get one last shot too. We really don't know what kind of discussions are taking place involving Duda or Ike. Alderson is generally very tight lipped until something definite is done. Wouldn't a Duda for Yunel Escobar trade with the Rays be fair?
Herb -
ReplyDeleteI would be willing to trade Lucas Duda for a PTBNL based on Duda's output in 2014 for his new team.
Mack- I'm not sure you are still monitoring this thread, but . . I don't think it's allowed to make the PTBNL contingent on performance. Moreover, it would be impractical to wait until the end of next season for the player to be selected. We'll just need to trust Sandy to get the best return he can for Duda. I'm guessing he'll be a throw-in to a package for some decent player.
ReplyDeleteI was being more of a wise ass than an accurate one :)
ReplyDeleteI have never thought of Lucas Duda as an MLB baseball player. I love him at AAA for emergency purposes, but nothing else. Nothing against the guy, but it's just how I feel.