#Mets relief prospect working back from TJ RT @jawalters11: Feels good to toss the rock!!
As you can all see, the comments section of The Morning Report has gone down, probably because the content has gotten a little redundant. The good news is posts by guys like Reese Kaplan, Christopher Soto, Thomas Brennan, and Ernest Dove keep the site humming.
Do me a
favor.
Just shoot
me a question/topic you want us to cover in the Morning Report, I’ll give you
my take, and then I’ll turn it over to the comment makers.
macksmets@gmail.com
macksmets@gmail.com
It sure would
help during this off-season.
Keith
Law listed his top 30 draft picks…
for insiders only.
Here are his
top 15:
1 LHP Brady Aiken
2 RHP Mike
Matuella (Duke)
3 SS Brendan
Rodgers (HS)
4 LHP Nathan
Kirby (VA)
5 LHP Kolby
Allard (HS)
6 RHP Walker
Bueller (Vandy)
7 RHP Kyle
Funkhouser (Lou)
8 OF Nick
Plummer (HS)
9 SS Dansby
Swanson (Vandy)
10 OF Alonzo
Jones (HS)
11 RHP Mike
Nikorak (HS)
12 OF Daz
Cameron (HS)
13 SS Richie
Martin (Fla)
14 RHP Kyle
Cody (Ken)
15
RHP Cody Ponce (Cal Poly)
But
the split was less drastic in 2013, when he hit .356 with a .997 OPS at Coors
and .311 with an .852 OPS away, and in 2012, when Cuddyer hit .268 with an .858
OPS at Coors and .250 with .744 OPS away.
http://www.nj.com/mets/index.ssf/2014/10/mlb_hot_stove_is_michael_cuddyer_a_fit_for_mets_in_free_agency_an_analysis.html
Mike Vorkunov on Michael Cuddyer -
His
production in Colorado was superb but limited. In three years, he hit .307 with
an .886 OPS. But he played more than 101 games just once. That came in 2013,
when Cuddyer hit .331 with a .919 OPS, 20 home runs and was an All-Star. This
season, he actually topped those numbers but only played 49 games due to
injury.
There is
also the asterisk attached to all standout Rockies hitters. How much benefit
did Cuddyer derive from Coors Field? He hit .400 in 20 games at Coors last
season and .282 in 29 games away from it. The difference in OPS was drastic
(1.255 to .734).
http://www.nj.com/mets/index.ssf/2014/10/mlb_hot_stove_is_michael_cuddyer_a_fit_for_mets_in_free_agency_an_analysis.html
Andy
Martino on
Mets SS –
They are
most likely to go internal, with Wilmer Flores and
Matt Reynolds and possibilities. We can tell you
that Ruben Tejada will either be gone or a
backup, barring injuries to others. That experiment has run its course.
We can also
tell you something else sorta interesting, about a player Sandy Alderson has liked in the past: Oakland’s Jed Lowrie will be a free agent, but is not a target
of the Mets right now, according to sources. That’s a decent indication about
the desire to play with toys already in the cupboard.
As far as
the long-rumored possibility of a trade with the Cubs, for Starlin Castro or another of their bazillion
shortstops -- sources on both sides consider a deal unlikely. It’s only a fit
in the most simplistic “you have pitching, I have hitting” way. http://www.nydailynews.com/blogs/baseballinsider/yankees-ny-mets-time-change-shortstop-blog-entry-1.1989792
Mack
– Jeez, I can’t wait for the Hot Stove season to start so I could stop posting
about the same old shit.
Comment From
Smooth PumaMoistCooter - what do you make of the Maddon situation? Dodgers?
Dan
Szymborski: There are
a lot of teams denying interest who should have been very interested… Like the
Mets. Terry Collins is awful.
Mack
– We haven’t discussed TC in quite a while, probably due Sandy Alderson’s statement that there will be
no change in the Mets manager in 2015. This also has probably backed off Reese Kaplan from his bi-montly rant posts
about Mr. Collins and the myriad amount of miscues he has made as the manager.
Any
opportunity to sign Maddon will be long gone if and when the Mets start off
slow and are below .500 at the all-star break. The current team of excellent
young pitching could have them almost there, but frankly, I think they are
still one more bat and another lights out reliever away from the playoff. The
reliever could be Rafael Montero, but the bat is going to have to come from
outside the organization.
From Ernie –
Mack, when does free agency start?
Mack - Here’s how it works.
The
World Series ends…
Then
five days for teams to negotiate exclusively with the players that are
scheduled to be eligible for free agency
Then
free agency begins.
Tom –
Hey Mack, is
it too early to discuss how St. Louis is going to deal with the loss of Oscar Tavares in their 2015 outfield?
Mack
– Well Tom, it probably is, but the reality is the team has to move on at some
point and take a close look at what the current system offers them in the
outfield:
LF Matt Holliday - $17mil-2016, team option-2018
– Holiday is a fixture in Cardinals outfield.
667-PA, .272-BA, 20-HR, 90-RBI
Alan
Craig – traded to the
Boston Red Sox near the end of the season
CF John
Jay - $3.25mil –
ARB-1/2014 – 468-PA, .303, 3-HR
Peter
Bourjos -
$1.2mil/ARB-1 – 294-PA, .231, 4-HR, 24-RBI
Shane
Robinson -
$519K-pre/ARB – 66-PA, DL, .150
Stephen
Piscotty –
pre-ARB – AAA/PCL: .288, 9-HR, 69-RBI
Randall
Grichuk –
pre-ARB – MLB: 110-AB, .245 –
Holiday and
Jay seem set and 2015 is the year that Piscotty, the number one prospect, is
supposed to step up. Still, I wouldn’t be surprised to see the Cardinals go to
work to add another player at right field.
So sad.
Michael –
Mack,
do you think the Mets will go after Yoenis Cespedes?
Mack – Hey Michael.
Actually I don’t, but not for the reasons most people
speculate. It seems he isn’t the most liked person in the clubhouse and there
are reports that he makes Jordany
Valdespin look
like a choir boy.
Being a bad guy alone would probably prevent the Mets from
signing someone like him or Delmon
Young. The Wilpon owned
Mets have the lock on being the Mets’ prick and like it that way.
No, Cespedes is going to demand a multi-year contract well
past the money the Mets will spend to fill left field in 2015. Sure, the team
salary will go up… new arbitration numbers alone may get the team payroll to
$100mil… but the plan is in effect for their team salary to increase each year from within the organization through the arbitration process and re-negotiations of contracts.
2016: Brandon
Nimmo
2017: Michael
Conforto
I can't say it enough, but andrew miller should be the free agent we target this winter. Whatever it takes to get him we should do!!! 4yrs 28 mill, sign me up. Would love another strong presence in the bullpen, especially a lefty.
ReplyDeleteI agree we should target Andrew Miller above all free agents.I would like to know a list of young ready to promote to the ML propects for rightfield that we could trade for and possible cost like Buxton,Pederson,Soler and the Josh Bells of the League.Also a list of possible leadoff hitters in that list.
ReplyDeleteHey Zozo!
ReplyDeleteStill have not gotten my brother Steve to post here, but he 100% agrees with you on Miller.
My guess is: they ain't spending there. maybe they should, though. Look at KC's bullpen, and where it got them.
So you're saying Delmon is a saint compared to Yoenis, Mack? Sign me up for a cruise on the SS Delmon. After responding to Eraff's comparison of Paul Blair and Lagares, and seeing how lousy Blair was once he turned 31, it reinforces that old guys often decline rapidly, so I'd take Delmon over Cuddyer.
Good to see Walters gearing up for 2015 - wish him well.
I would not spend that sort of money on a reliever if the BP was barren and certainly not with the internal inventory on the staff and just below in the upper minors. I prefer patience this off season on making any big moves, the FA class is weak and available trade candidates extremely expensive. Not only does this team need one more "step forward" year (playoff run possible) in 2015 for the major league needs, but it also allows other offensive players in the minor gain value. Even if Nimmo does not make it up to the Bigs next year the Mets could see Nimmo in AAA, Conforto and Cecchini in AA and likes of Rosario and Smith in High A at least. In one year (with a little luck) the Mets could have significant offensive pieces moving towards the upper minors and I cant remember when that was the case. The staff will round of over the course of 2015 and finally do away with inning limits or shutdowns, players like d'Arnaud, Lagares and Duda will have a couple of true years under their belts and the Vets will be traded to improve an already top Farm and clear away additional payroll for redeployment.
ReplyDeleteThe best part of this boring time of year is that that Mets really only have 2-3 questions to answer and so many pieces to be excited about next year, so there is not much to talk about and that is a GOOD thing for the Mets!!
Anon Joe F
@Joe F.
ReplyDeleteHole-heartedly agree.....our bullpen is stacked right now and spending $7 million per season on a NON-CLOSER who will make only 70 appearances is just ludicrous.
Save that money and spend it on a guy who will play 155 games for us in the OF.
Having great starting pitching and taking them out of the game to handoff to the BP and having them blow it like a Farnsworth did is more ludicrous.We need the pen to hold the game of our great starting staff,that is our strength.Having a strong staff and pen can open more trades with our pitching coming up the ranks.Miller is a proven commodity.
ReplyDelete@Rene
ReplyDeleteBut Rene....we no longer have re-treads like Farnsworth and Valverde in the bullpen.
From mid May through the rest of the season....Mejia/Familia/Edgin/Torres and others combined for a 3.04 ERA which is 6th best in the MLB and 0.26 points BETTER than the Kansas City Royals.
Adding Parnell and subtracting Carlyle only makes the bullpen better and practically allows us to start next season with a Top 5 MLB bullpen.
ReplyDeleteThere is no need to fix what isn't broken.
Like rene said if we signed Miller we could deal more players from the bullpen like a Mejia to get us our stud shortstop/ right fielder. Our bullpen also needs a stud lefty to really turn the corner and by doing so probably will make everyone else that much better. Also not to mention a little less wear and tear for all the BP.
DeleteWe also have a numbers problem on our 40 man coming on very soon, so we need to make a 3for 1 type trade to free up some more spots. With all this young pitching coming up and no where to put them, that's where we should trade from. Teams want proven commodities so if you throw a Mejia as part of a trade for a Cubs shortstop they might come around to dealing one of them. Maybe a Mejia, Gee and Montero gets ups Starlin Castro? Or mejia and fee for Addison Russel?
How about a lefty who posted a 1-1 record last year with a 1.098 WHIP and a 2.63 ERA at age 30?
ReplyDeleteOr a 25 year old lefty who for his entire minor league career is 20-14 with a 2.66 ERA and a 1.178 WHIP?
Both are currently on the Mets payroll -- Dana Eveland and Dario Alvarez. I wouldn't be alarmed by Alvarez' bad trial in September or in the AFL as he's done this consistently good level of pitching for much longer than his couple of missteps. Eveland to me is more of a gamble as he's not had as much success in the majors or minors and his short trial (positive) may be an outlier. Still, both cost much closer to minimum wage and give you a second lefty after Edgin. (And don't forget Leatherocket).
Reese how much better would Alvarez and edgin be if they didn't have to be the main lefty? Miller has proven it and especially in big game situations and I believe that is what's needed to lead this young but talented bullpen. Best of all it only costs $$$, I would prefer him over a Rios or Cuddyer type.
Delete@Zozo
ReplyDeleteA bullpen arm is not going to get you a "stud" SS or OF during the off-season with so many FA and prospect arms available going into 2015. Relievers only carry trade value at the July deadline.
That said, Juerys Familia may be the only one in that bullpen right now with trade value and there's no way in hell that I would trade him.
@Reese
I actually think Dario's numbers are more unsustainable than Eveland's. Have to remember that ALvarez has a total of 12 IP above the Savannah level. He needs far more time in the minor leagues.
As for Eveland....despite his up and down career, Eveland has always been able to get K's against lefties. In his career he has struck out 18.3% of left handed batters and last season he K'd 28.8% of them.
In addition his .241 Avg against lefties, while not superb, is pretty good and is even inflated a bit thanks to a .351 BABIP.
He has some value and I would definitely tender him a $1.0m arbitration contract
Hey guys. Dario Alvarez had a phenomenal minor league season. Acknowledging that, can any of you guys succinctly summarize what sort of stuff he has (e.g, does he throw 94-97, etc.).
ReplyDeleteThen we can factor in his inexperience and better categorize him.
@Tom
ReplyDeleteIn the few games that we saw Alvarez I picked up the following data.
Alvarez only possesses 2 pitches.
Cutter:
- 90-92 mph, Max 93mph
- Uses 48% of the time
- Has 3 inch horizontal movement away from lefties
Slider:
- 79-81 mph, Max 83mph
- Uses 52% of the time
- Has 8 inch horizontal movement away from lefties
Its worth noting his usages splits too.
ReplyDeleteVs. Left Handed Hitters
Cutter Usage: 29.4%
Slider Usage: 70.6%
Vs. Right Handed Hitters
Cutter Usage: 71.5%
Slider Usage: 28.5%
Thomas -
ReplyDeleteGood afternoon.
Don't get me wring... I really don't care how big of a pain in the ass you are in the clubhouse if you produce on the field.
Would sign either Young or Cespedes if I could for one year, but the Mets won't.
@ Chris - Great stuff on Dario.
ReplyDeleteMack, we'll sign Julio Franco - I hear he is available
Mack--We don't need to sign Cespedes for a year or two or more. He's already SIGNED through 2015. If we trade for him he's ours for next year, and his performance and behavior will determine whether we look to re-sign him or let him walk.
ReplyDeleteThat said, as a one-year filler to hold the fort until Nimmo and Conforto arrives, there are others I'd go for-- Cuddyer, Rios, Gomes and Byrd the prime ones. And only Byrd would require trading talent.
Metsiac -
ReplyDeleteYou're right - my bad.
In that case, Boston would gladly trade him for the right pitcher/package...
Montero + Plawecki might get it done but that's an awful lot for a one-year outfielder who doesn't fit in