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12/24/14

Mack’s Top 2015 Prospect List - #33 – SS Luis Guillorme



My rankings is solely subjective and based on nothing more than what is in my head at time I’m writing this. I’ve followed the Mets minor league players for many years and I feel I can recognize talent at various levels of their development. What I have failed at is how to determine when this talent seems to diminish. It’s amazing how many first round picks never make it in this game. 

I’m old school, so you won’t seem much SABR-discussion here, I do research and, when I find a good quote or two, I’ll add them to my analysis, but, like I said in the beginning of this post, most of this us subjective.

Let’s get started.


# 33 –

SS Luis Guillorme – Age: 20 – 5-10, 170, L/R – Drafted 10th round 2013

                                    No college – Coral Springs Charter H.S. (FL)

                                                2013:  GCL, 159-AB, .258/.337/.283/620, 0-HR, 11-RBI

                                                2014:  K-Port, 238-AB, .282/.337/.324/661, 0-HR, 17-RBI

                                                2014: Savannah, 9-AB, .333/.400/.333/733, 0-HR, 0-RBI


Guillorme was another of the highly touted high school picks by the Sandy Alderson team, primarily for his defensive skills. ‘Perfect Recruits’ had him as the top defensive shortstop in the draft. Jonathan Mayo had him as ‘one of the best defenders in the draft class’ and Todd Gold called him a ‘walking webgem.

People I know and whom I have talked to still rave about the ‘clinics’ he would put on while taking his turn at shortstop with the other minor leaguers. Crowds were literally created by the wizardry competition on the backfield practice fields with Guillorme, Amed Rosario, Milton Ramos, and Alfredo Reyes turning one webgem after another.
No one expected Guillorme to hit decently and yet he put up a respectable .258 in 2013 for the GCL-Mets and finished the K-Port season last year at .282.

His 2-year stat line is .273/.339/.308/646. He also has only 45 strike outs in 457 plate appearances.


Projection - 

Here’s where things start to get murky.

It’s amazing how many legitimate shortstop prospects a team has and they can’t even find anyone to play in Queens. I’ve got four of them on my list and, in a perfect world, Matt Reynolds will open up at the AAA level, Gavin Cecchini will play Binghamton, Amed Rosario will jump all the way to St. Lucie, and Guillorme will start in Savannah. All this falls apart if Cecchini stays back in St. Lucie or Rosario is in the Sand Gnats opening day lineup.

Still, Guillorme has been a huge bonus for the organization and easily walks away with the honors of ‘best defensive shortstop’ in the system. This alone can get him someday to the majors.


on

8 comments:

  1. UnknownDecember 24, 2014 at 12:12 PM

    Mack - I want to love this kid. I was drooling when I read about his glove - the fact that he is hitting at all is a big plus.

    While he shows no power (although, he is still young and has time to get stronger), he clearly has an advanced approach at the plate and good pitch recognition - as an 18 year old, his K% was right around 10% - that is FANTASTIC.

    He also seems to have decent speed - not a lot of steals, but only 4 GIDP over a full season

    What is also promising is while his glove is considered as good or better than Tovar's, he is putting up better hitting numbers than Tovar did in A ball at similar ages

    I am hoping his bat develops just a little bit

    ReplyDelete
  2. Tom BrennanDecember 24, 2014 at 1:01 PM

    Guillorme was very consistent with the bat all of last year, and I am looking forward to a strong season in Savannah's line up. Mazzilli's 50 game suspension should benefit all of the other middle IFs including LG.

    No reason LG can't add some pop - Harrelson had trouble ever getting above 150, this kid was already 170 last year. maybe he comes to camp at a solid 175-180

    ReplyDelete
  3. Mack AdeDecember 24, 2014 at 1:15 PM

    He also should benefit from the pitfalls of the Mazzilli situation

    ReplyDelete
  4. greg bDecember 24, 2014 at 4:37 PM

    Happy Holidays Mack to you and your writers.

    ReplyDelete
  5. AnonymousDecember 24, 2014 at 5:15 PM

    Mack and gang
    May you all have the very holiday seasons and may 2015
    Bring health wealth peace and happiness
    LGM

    ReplyDelete
  6. ZozoDecember 25, 2014 at 10:48 AM

    Merry Xmas to all

    ReplyDelete
  7. CharlesDecember 25, 2014 at 10:53 AM

    I see Reynolds in Vegas, Checchini is Bingo, Evans left back in Lucy, Rosario in Savannah, and Guillorme in Brooklyn. Ramos likely will go to K-Port.

    Not a bad group of guys there. I see two or three possible future regulars to possible one all star caliber player in that group.

    Rosario and Checcini obviously have the biggest upside, however I think Ramos has the chance to end up somewhere in between those two ceiling wise with Rosario obviously the most talented.

    Checcini is probably the safest bet right now to end up a solid major league regular. Reynolds will probably be a good major leaguer on some roster, fitting in somewhere as at least a utility guy.

    The issue is that the Mets' positional prospects haven't developed as quickly as their pitchers, but after this season, they'll be catching up.

    Soon, the Mets will have young players ready to step up, but are blocked by players like Grandy and Cuddyer.

    ReplyDelete
  8. Mack AdeDecember 25, 2014 at 11:13 AM

    Merry Christmas Charles -

    You have this SS analysis down pretty good.

    For me Evans will be the first one to fall off the list and Guillorme will be slotted in, probably in Savannah.

    Yes, there are a bunch off low-end SS prospect talent on this team, but doesn't it seem like it's been that way for years?

    I am not a robot.

    ReplyDelete