MLB.com ranked their top 100
baseball prospects on Friday.
The
Mets had five players on the list… SP Noah
Syndergaard (#10), C Kevin Plawecki (#63), SP Steven
Matz (#66), OF Brandon Nimmo (#72), and
OF Michael Conforto (#82).
I
was surprised that 2B Dilson Herrera didn’t make
the list, but that might be due to the rules of the list. MLB states: “To be
eligible for a list, a player must have rookie eligibility. To qualify for
rookie status, a player must not have exceeded 130 at-bats or 50 innings
pitched in the Major Leagues, or accumulated more than 45 days on the active
roster of a Major League club.” Herrera played in only 18 games and had 59
official at-bats, but I have no idea how long he was on the parent roster.
Needless to say (or either way), I still consider Herrera a top 100 prospect in
baseball.
Jonathan May also
ranks the Mets 9th in what he calls ‘prospect points (212). Ranked
first was Minnesota who had six players on the list, all of which were ranked
in the top 40 portion of the list.
Here’s
a link to a story about this: http://m.mlb.com/news/article/107760132/jonathan-mayo-breaking-down-mlbcoms-top-100-prospects
It’s
no big secret how fond I am of signing international free agents (those 16-year
old bonus kids) and how I wish the Mets would increase their budget in this
market.
Well,
Fangraphs[i]
had a very interesting series of graphs breaking out all the players signed
from various countries since 1998. The result (at least to me) was startling:
5th
in playing baseball players born in the Dominican Republic (league total since
1998: 618… Mets: 49)
5th
in playing baseball players from Venezuela (league: 321, Mets: 25).
5th in playing
baseball players from Cuba (!) (league: 186, Mets: 7)
1st in playing
baseball players from Japan (league: 61, Mets: 11)
Check the story out: http://www.fangraphs.com/blogs/the-link-between-mlb-teams-and-specific-countries/
I
find it quite amusing that the MLB decided to send a memo to all the teams,
advising them not to sign any additional Cuban players until the U.S. Office of
Foreign Asset Control (OFAC) can find someone to guarantee that these
ballplayers aren’t falsifying their identities. We’re still talking about a
Communist country no matter how much you read about improving relations between
our two nations. And these guys basically have nothing and are being paid close
to $300 per month. I’m not talking about the low levels of the minors here. These
are the stars of the Cuban National team.
Let’s
see… $300 a month with your current identity…
$30mil if you change your name to Katy Perry.
Seriously,
I can’t see a problem here. There’s plenty of paper trail on the starts of the
Cuban leagues. All major league baseball has to do is figure out how they are
going to compensate the teams down there that are going to lose their best
players.
Also
worth noting… this is not a country we are trying to introduce a new sport to. Let’s
remember that baseball is the national sport there and no matter how many
players just ship and come north, there will always be plenty of young players
playing on the local fields in Cuba.
(note:
OFAC has issued their own statement and says that the entire onus is on major
league baseball. I’m sure this issue will resolve itself in good time, but I’m
interested in your opinion, both of Cuban baseball in general (I’m still
shocked at the Mets ranking in signing Cuban players), and this issue, in
particular.)
Hey,
let’s play a Monday game.
We
know we’re running out of subjects waiting for this team to do something
(anything) else in this off season, so while we sit here, let’s make believe
that the MLB has announced that at 12 noon today will be the beginning of a new
baseball expansion that will bring in four new teams into the league (Puerto
Rico, Jacksonville, Mexico City, and Montreal), Each team will have the ability
to hold back five franchise players that will not be available when one of the
teams listed above picks a player from the Mets 40-man squad.
My
question to you… who would be the first five you would protect?
Mine
would be pitchers Matt Harvey (gotta take a
chance here), Zack Wheeler, Jake deGrom, OF Juan Lagares, and 2B Dilson Herrera.
I’d
dangle all my contracts for that first pick and pull back David Wright with the first pick in the second round.
Your
turn…
And lastly...
Dustin Lawley has
46 home runs and 165 runs batted in over the past two seasons (A+ through AAA -
916-AB, 245-K)
Travis Taijeron has
33 home runs and 133 runs batted in over the past two seasons (A+ through AA –
750-AB, 238-K)
Both
of these guys will probably play Las Vegas in 2015 which will just add to their
home run totals.
Are
we missing anything with one of these guys and, if they cut down their
strikeout rate, could we possibly have another Juan
Lagares here?
I
mean, both these guys can hit the ball over the fence. Even Lucas Duda only had 45 major league home runs and
125-RBIs (832-AB, 237-K) over the past two season.
Neither
one of these made my or Tom Brennan’s prospect
list, but that doesn’t mean they can’t make their way to Queens someday. You
especially want to root for Lawley, whose first position is third base though
he does play a credible corner outfield as well.
Hey Mack
ReplyDeleteI was tempted to add Taijeron to the list. His homers #'s are solid, but he collects doubles like some guys collect stamps.
68 doubles in 750 official at bats the past 2 years. That is a WOW #. He also has a career .363 on base %. Nice.
His strikeouts are high, which is why I (barely) left him out of my top 30, but in today's game, that flaw does not disqualify. Being a righty, he'll get plenty of ABs vs. righties in 2015 to continue to try to reduce that flaw.
Lawley is not as good on base - I think he is from the same mold but more of a long shot.
Chris Davis exploded for the O's in 2013. I'm not saying Travis will duplicate that on the major league level, but I see some similarities - high K, high power.
Dilson better have been left off due to major league time - has to be a top 100 player.
I don't think I'd pull Wright back that early, unless I was pretty convinced his production can uptick for a few years. Mets got better average, power and run production #s from CF than 3B last year.
It would be interesting if one of them were to break out.
ReplyDeleteFrom Amazin Avenue -
ReplyDelete"Looking at the position player side, Law praised Dilson Herrera, mentioning that he just barely missed his top 100 list."
I have to agree it makes no sense to leave him off the list. Youngest player in the majors last year when he came up and had some success. Some flawed logic to have him miss.
Several weeks ago I did a column about a hypothetical draft and I also left David Wright out of the first round thinking his production and price would make him undesirable for a drafting team.
ReplyDeleteSo, MLB leaves of Herrera and Law leaves off Matz?
ReplyDeleteI guess neither wanted the Mets to have 6 players on the list.
It makes no sense since all the folks who follow the Mets have Matz and Herra ranked above every Mets prospect other than Thor.
The biggest Post-It on my draft bulletin board would say, "If someone drafts TdA or Pawlecki, protect the other."
ReplyDeleteOn Lawley and Taijeron - I don't see either being more than a minors slugger.
ReplyDeleteFirst, Lawley was 25 last year in AA and struck out at a 30% clip - he struck out at a 22% clip in St Lucie. He also doesn't walk much at all and seems to have no other real skills than hitting the ball really hard the few times he hits it. Plus, his numbers vs. LHP is not much better than his number vs. RHP
Taijeron also has his age and k-rate working against him - however, he at least showed a hit tool in the past (.291 in 64 games in Savannah and .303 in 55 games in St Lucie).
Also, last year Taijeron pummelled LHP - that was the first year he showed splits that extreme, so maybe he changed his approach a little and can repeat that success vs. LHP
If he does, he could be a useful 4th /5 th OFer, but he needs to get the K-rate under control - his is worse than Capt Kirk - and he doesn't have the secondary skills Kirk does
Hey Lew
ReplyDeleteIf, performance-wise, Nimmo matches O'Neill, I'd certainly be pleased.
From 1993-98, O'Neill was actually stellar: he hit .317! He had a combined OB% of over .400 and a slug % over .500 in those 6 years. if he'd done that for 6 more years, maybe he is a legit HOF candidate.
Rest of his career was more of a .260 type average offense, though, but those 6 years are unparalleled in Met OF history, except perhaps for Strawberry.
No one in Met OF history had a better 6 year stretch. May we someday be able to say the same about Nimmo.
I am pulling for Lawley being the dark horse and breaks out
ReplyDeleteLawley has nowhere to go with this organization.
ReplyDeleteSorry to break your heart but he is Evans and Lutz.
These are exciting times for Mets fans and prospect watchers.
Steve
Maybe he breaks out and we package him in some sort of deal?
ReplyDelete