Tom
Brennan - MAJORING ON THE MINORS – WHO’S HOT, WHO’S NOT – WK 1
Well,
the 2015 minor league season started on April 9, so several games are now in
the record books. So who's hot, who's not? I thought you'd never
ask. So I’m gonna spill.
LAS
VEGAS (AAA) (3-4):
Soup is RED HOT. And flying east to Queens, the wright move to
make. Eric Campbell was an offensive behemoth in his 6 games
in AAA, hitting .550 with 3 walks and 4 extra base hits. May he forever hit
.550 in the big leagues and never return to a league that is not major.
Jack
Leathersich is HOT. FUEGO! The old critique
is Jack can't handle AAA, can't pitch in thin air, lousy control, can’t get
lefties out, blah, blah, blah. Boring. Talk to da hand. Well,
he's faced 9 guys, not walked any, and K'd 7. Lefties? 1 hit,
3 outs, all K’s. Easy breezy. Those zero BBs are
after his last 6 official spring training games, in which he walked, oh, let me
break out the calculator and add them
up. NONE! Strikes and Ks - Matt Harvey and Dwight Gooden approve of
this message.
Plawecki
and Reynolds? The 2 can't miss prospects are
missing one key thing so far: hits. Both are NOT HOT – but in Wednesday's game, they both picked
up a pair of hits. Ahh, progress.
Mack
Ade fave Alex Castellanos is HOT.
Hitting .318 with a dinger and 6 RBI, 4 BB. Solid veteran start.
Brennan
fave Danny Muno - NOT HOT,
but even hitting .235 in 17 at bats, his walks etc. have him at a fine .364 on
base. He gets on base a lot. Always. So even when he’s not
hot, he’s pretty hot stuff. With Campbell up to the Mets, he may get
more ABs in week 2. Fine table setter.
Dilson
Herrera - NOT HOT - but
getting there. 5 hits and a BB in 4 games since starting out 0-8. .227 so
far.
Darrell
Ceciliani, who has the size to hit homers,
but has never hit many, teed off twice in week one, so he is off to a solid
start. OK, HOT. 16 times up, 3 hits, 3 BBs qualifies.
RHRP
Hansel Robles – HOT: (a former
starter of renown for the 2012 Brooklyn Cyclones in 2012 – see more about that in
AA section below) has had a scoreless start to his season thru 4 innings.
RHSP Matt Bowman asks, "Can you just
mention my 11 Ks and only 2 BBs in 10 innings?" Sorry, Mr. B, those
stats are great...but...NOT HOT, as I
do regretfully have to add that Matt has allowed an ERA-killing 11 earned runs
and 3 taters in those 10 innings. Rocky start, but like deGrom,
he can hit...1-3 yesterday, so perhaps he can hit his way out of this
slump.
BINGHAMTON
(AA) (4-3)
HOT? Assume TJ Rivera is HOT, because the Bronx native
is never not hot. The first two
words he spoke as a toddler were “base hit” and his first rattle was a
Louisville Slugger. He is a career .318 hitter in the minors
in over 1,600 at bats. Democrats say that puts him in the TOP 1%,
because he hits his fair share. So far this season, he is hitting .417.
Gavin
Cecchini – HOT: the 21
year old SS (yes, he is still that young, and for all this season, in fact),
Gavin is showing real progress, in a high league. .318 so far, with pop.
Keep it up.
Rainy
Lara and Luis Cessa – HOT:
both dazzled in their first starts, as did HOT Gabe
Ynoa. Those 3 were starters in the fine Brooklyn Cyclones
starter class of 2012, where they combined with Hansel Robles (see above) for a
24-10 W-L record.
Not
Hot, REALLY, But That's OK: Brandon
Nimmo, because despite hitting only .192 so far, he has 2 homers already. Homers bring happiness, especially
Nimmo long balls. And he has 5 hits (and the 2 dingers) and 2 walks in the past
4 games...on his way.
Dustin
Lawley - Hot. .294 and a HR in 18 plate
appearances. And just 2 Ks, a previous problem area. Lower the K rate and
that will be hot stuff.
Aderlin
Rodriguez - Hot. A grand slam gets instant
"Hot" recognition. So far, he is a decent 4 for 13, 2 BB, only 3 Ks.
Fine start. Keep it up.
Xorge Carillo - NOT HOT: 2
for 15, no BB. He’ll do better –
he can hit.
Matt Koch - NOT HOT: always prone to allowing a lot of hits.
His first two starts in AA have led to a 7.71 ERA, 15 hits in just 9.1
innings, just 1 walk, and just 5 Ks. I frankly see too many hits and too few Ks
from him. He seems to be more suspect than prospect in his career to date.
Domingo Tapia - ICE
COLD: The puzzling career of Domingo
Tapia prior to 2015 has become...even more puzzling. In 2 outings,
spanning 1 inning, he allowed 4 hits, 4 walks, 4 runs. I wondered if we'd
see a transformed Tapia, like Familia, with his transfer to the pen.
Transformed, all right - for the worse.
Ice might be getting a bit thin for Mr. T. He needs to figure out how not to be
baffling.
Champ Stuart - RED
HOT: The CF lad with the supernatural
speed is hitting .409 and been on base via hit or walk 17 times in 30 plate
appearances. Throw in a HR and 5 walks. Only flaw is 8 Ks, which is an
area of focus for Champ.
Michael
Conforto - HOT: you
like to see your first round slugger hit a grand slam, just to make you feel more
certain you got a great pick. Conforto deliver yesterday in St Lucie's 8 run
2nd inning explosion. That brings him to .292 (7 for 24), with 6 BB, 2 HR, 8
RBIs. Keep on slugging.
Amed
Rosario - HOT: the 19
year old (he’s always so young!) has jumped 2 leagues and is 7 for 25 out of
the gate. No walks, but only 3 Ks. Sweet.
Akeel
Morris - what do
you think - HOT!
The guy who gave up an inconceivably low 3 hits per 9 last year in Savannah
surrendered no hits in his 3 official spring games. First minors week? How
about 4 more hitless innings and 6 Ks. When he allows a hit, and it
better be just one, he will be my bum of the week. Kidding...keep mowing
them down, Morris.
Robert
Gsellman - HOT: 2-0, 1.74 in 2 starts. And why not? This
righty is a really good one. Keep it up, RG.
Miller
Diaz - HOT: after
Parnell and Black threw rehab innings Tuesday, Diaz (in his only game
so far) threw 5 scoreless, 2 hits, 6 Ks. Nice, but Akeel asked the
obvious question: Miller, what's with giving up 2 hits?
Kevin
McGowan - HOT: in 1 start the 6'6" righty threw 6.1 scoreless innings. Just one
start to go by, but no runs allowed, over 6 innings...HOT.
Maikis
de la Cruz- HOT: "de
la" had a delightful week, hitting .381 with a dinger. The 24 year old has
decent career #s and a great start in 2015.
Colton
Plaia - HOT: the
catcher is hitting a Ted Williams-like .400. OK, only 15 at bats, but
who's counting. Plus a HR. Nice start.
Jhoan
Urena: NOT REALLY HOT OR COLD. Folks want to know "what about
Urena?" .222, but 5 RBIs in 7 games is nice. 5 a week, we're
happy.
Dominic
Smith - ICE COLD: Still 19, Smitty's hitting rhymes with something
that would describe his struggles. 3 for 27, 1 BB, 7 K's, no
HR, 0 RBIs. Bartolo Colon said “I can do that.” Let's see what
week 2 brings.
SAVANNAH (A) (2-4)
Only Gnats' stats thru
Tuesday’s games, not because I got lazy - they were rained out Wednesday:
DH
Jon Leroux – HOT: 6 for 15, 4 walks. Has
pop, with 47 extra base hits in 361 career at
bats. Needs to get the average higher than his career .246 and
a lower K rate. So far, so good for the 2012 32nd rounder.
CF
John Mora - HOT: 7 for 19, 4 walks, 2 Ks,
1st minor league HR. Career .298 lefty hitter/.394 on base %. Small stature, plays big.
LF
Vicente Lupo – NOT HOT: 2 for
17, but the old bugaboo still there: 10 Ks. He was red hot during
his last month of 2014 at Kingsport, but otherwise has not done a lot of this
in his stateside minor league career.
1B
Pedro Perez – NOT HOT: 2 for 18 and a walk.
SS
Luis Guillorme – HOT: 6 for 18 with 7 walks and
just 2 Ks. A .520
on base % through 6 games is certainly laudable.
RHRP
Alberto Baldonado – HOT: 4.1
innings, 2 hits, no runs, 7 Ks
RHSP
Martirez Arias – HOT: first start 5
innings, 2 hits, 2 runs, 6 Ks
yes long, but very good...
ReplyDeletemy player of the week is Cecchini who, as you have pointed out, is still VERY YOUNG and playing at the AA level. He just may turn out to be the player the Mets hoped he would develop into when they drafted him.
my major disappointment is Tapia, who I was expecting big things out of him in the pen... he also is hitting people when he's not walking them... my guess you will see one of those mystery trips to the DL for a muscle strain or something else that will shelve him for awhile...
I think you've got to mention how Becerra- Not hot or cold... in any weekly review of the Mets minors.
ReplyDeleteI agree on Cecchini, Mack - maybe a breakthrough is imminent in 2015, now that he is 21, and he proves all naysayers wrong and becomes a star even. I am not suggesting he will, but no one seems to ever mention that as a possibility.
ReplyDeleteTapia needs to fire Steve Blass as his pitching coach, perhaps. I can't figure him out. Seems no one can.
Brian, very good point on including Becerra - I covered him favorably a lot last year, thought he should have been the Sterling Award winner for Kingsport in 2014, and next week, he will be included.
Love these snapshots of the minor leagues Thomas. Please keep up the great work. It's great for us to look at each guy and how they are progressing or not. Some of these guys will be the Mets near future so that's the appeal for to read
ReplyDeleteThanks, Bob - appreciate it
ReplyDeleteCrazy (small sample) beginning for Akeel Morris and the Leather Rocket with their video game numberz.
ReplyDeleteAnd whats up with Champ Stuart? I thought he couldn't hit? Guess he can.
Yep, Ernest, Champ Stuart is a very pleasant surprise. With his 80 rated speed, if he develops, he could really be something. Maybe a Carlos Gomez type, but as fast or faster.
ReplyDeletethe Mets on Stuart:
ReplyDelete“Stuart rates at the top of the scouting scale [as a] runner. A former multi-sport standout, the other part of his game are a bit raw, but he’s not without tools. He’s willing to work counts and draw walks, knowing his job is to get on base,” the report goes on to say. “He has some strength, unlike some pure speed guys, giving hope that there’s some hitting ability to be unlocked. He uses his speed well on the basepaths as an efficient basestealer, something that will only improve as he learns the nuances of his craft. He covers a ton of ground in centre field, showing improvement on his reads and routes. Stuart’s plus tool will give him many opportunities. If the bat comes around, he could be more than just speed off of the bench.”
@ Mack
ReplyDeleteReal early, but it sure looks like Champ's bat is "coming around."
Just be the next Willie Davis, Champ, if that's not asking too much.
First it was Carlos Gomez, now it's Willie Davis... after one week of A+ games
ReplyDelete:)
Mack, wonder if Willie Davis ever took an 0-4 Sombrero like Champ Stuart did tonite. Ahh, a little adversity.
ReplyDeleteChamp Stuart could have a lil ellsbury in him. Would be nice to see him lead off and play cf in triple citi. I also love Cecchini. Saw him in spring, he looks like he can handle position right now, very polished, Bigger than I realized too. love this site as well.
ReplyDelete@ Mark Hunchik - glad you love the site. It is very hard to predict guys like Stewart, and they will definitely have highs - and lows like his last 2 games (0-9 6 Ks). But I bet when all is said and done with his 2015, we'll be impressed, and have a far better feel if he could be an Ellsbury, or something else. Lots of really interesting minor leaguers, and several are getting early call ups.
ReplyDeleteabsolutely, very hard to make predictions.just a lot of fun to make big league comps on these possible gems.Ellsbury is without a doubt on high end. conforto is quite vottoish at the dish.
ReplyDelete