Mack’s Morning Report – 8-6-15 – ROY WAR, David Wright, Marcos Molina, Yoenis Cespedes

Good morning.


Well, THAT was interesting,

Thank God we didn't blow this 8-0 leas like we did recently with the 7-1 lead against San Diego. It still sort of felt like a loss tonight, didn't it?

I wonder what Jason Werth is saying tonight?

Matt Harvey's ERA in his last nine games...  1.64



BTW... Michael Fulmer pitched for Portland on Augst 4th... 6.2-IP, 0-ER, 0.00, 6-K, seasonal ERA: 1.75

 Joel Sherman  uses Wins Above Replacement (WAR) as a 2016 Rookie of the Year comparison:

Using Fangraph’s version of Wins Above Replacement (WAR), Bryant led NL rookies at 3.4, and Pederson actually had sunk to a third-place tie at 2.7 with Pittsburgh’s Jung-ho Kang and St. Louis’ Randal Grichuk. Giants third baseman Matt Duffy was second  at 3.1.

Syndergaard — despite making just 15 starts — already led all major league rookie pitchers in WAR at 2.4. And, as opposed to Bryant and Pederson, he was trending in a positive way. In his last eight starts, Syndergaard had a 1.44 ERA and a .176 batting average against.

Mack – It seems to me that Syndergaard is really going to have to keep up the positive heat on Bryant who, right now, looks like a lock to follow Jacob deGrom for this award.

Fangraphs projects it this way:

	WAR	ROS WAR	UPDATED WAR
Kris Bryant	3.4	1.6	5.0
Matt Duffy	3.1	0.8	3.9
Joc Pederson	2.7	1.1	3.8
Noah Syndergaard	2.5	1.2	3.7
Jung-Ho Kang	2.7	0.8	3.5
Randal Grichuk	2.7	0.6	3.3
Chris Heston	2.3	0.9	3.2
Maikel Franco	1.3	0.7	2.0

Still, you never know…

Fact:  Vic Black has now given up only one run over his last 8 innings pitched in AAA with only three walks in that span.

Kevin Kernan  outlined the plan for David Wright to return in his Wednesday morning NY Post story:

Here is the Wright Plan.

The third baseman will go through anther workout here Wednesday, then head to Port St. Lucie. On Thursday morning he will practice at the Mets facility, a workout Collins will attend. There will be workouts Friday and Saturday and then Wright will be re-evaluated and could be in minor league games by Monday.

If all that goes well, Wright will be in the Mets lineup shortly thereafter. He hasn’t played since April 14.

Mack – It’s amazing how a five game winning streak, four new players in the dugout, and standing alone in first base can make someone forget about their.

One thing about stenosis. This is NOT a bulging disc. You’re not going to cause the canals to narrow any quicker by playing baseball. You can aggravate the situation and cause new pain, but therapy and heat can immediately bring relief.

I start every day without paid and some days I have none at all. Others, a small turn of my neck the wrong way start a whole new set of problems. For me, I immediately spend 15 minutes in a hot, strong shower, running the water on the pain spots and follow with a tens unit application and two hours on the couch using a ¾ donut pillow to support my neck.

Wright will have his game strength back by the time he returns. He’s also have a recovery plan like I do if he has any minor setbacks when he plays.

SS Anderson Bohorquez is the second Columbian to sign with the Mets this year. He played his first game last light in right field for the DSL Mets.

As Tom Brennan reported yesterday in the comments, Mets SP prospect Marcos Molina apparently didn’t have TJS and pitched three scoreless innings yesterday during a rehab session for the GCL Mets. This is especially important since the Mets have traded away so many of their secondary pitching prospects this year.

I expect the 20-year old to eventually return this year to St. Lucie where he should finish the season out. This would project him at the AA-level at the ripe old age of 21.

 Andy Martino wrote on the Yoenis Cespedes comments:

This is a savvy and ridiculous comment, worthy of the ridiculous topic. Cespedes has played two home games in Queens, and the Mets haven’t lost since he arrived. And he already knows that he wants to be with the team for a “long, long time?” It’s what he has to say in that situation, but we should take it for what it is.

Expect Cespedes to do this winter what just about every player would do, and follow the money. Why wouldn’t he become a free agent? Checking in with a few executives and evaluators on Tuesday, we gathered that the strong expectation is the Cespedes will find a contract of at least six years.

                   

                    Mack – I hate it when I agree with Martino but I do here.

No matter how much I dream, Cespedes’ agent is going to force his client to see what comes in during those five days after the World Series.

Trust me. Some team will offer him a six-year contract, something you’re not going to get out of the Mets. It’s not something the Mets are going to do for a 29-year old… think David Wright and the result so far there.