Hitters have hot and cold streaks. It’s a fact of life. They’re usually not as good as they looked
during their hot streak (witness Yoenis Cespedes in August and September). Plus they’re not as bad as they look during
their cold streaks (witness the 1-18 start to 2015 by Curtis Granderson). Relief pitchers similarly tend to go through
periods where they’re lights-out and others where they can’t find the plate
with a GPS.
Starting pitchers, however, are another animal
entirely. They earn their paychecks
based upon predictability and consistency.
You know going in that on an average day a pitcher will give up X number
of runs, Y number of walks and strike out Z number of hitters. Going into the 2016 season from Matt Harvey
those numbers were a very impressive. He
delivered ERAs of 2.73, 2.27 and 2.71. He’s
given up just around 1 baserunner per inning pitched, walking under 2 and
striking out nearly 9 every 9 innings.
Just before the bell rang to start the 2016 season Harvey
was sidelined by a non-pitching medical condition lampooned by the NY Post in a
series of headlines here. Having
endured many health issues in my lifetime, it’s entirely possible that the
drugs given to aid Harvey in his bladder problems have had some impact as he
adjusts to them. After all, the results
are very non-Harvey like through two starts.
Thus far The Dark Knight is a very pedestrian 0-2, 4.63 ERA, 1.543 WHIP,
3.1 walks and 3.9 Ks per nine innings.
Ugh!
While it’s certainly too early to panic about Harvey, the
lackluster offense and other issues that have the Mets starting the year with a
2-5 Won/Lost record, the fact remains that with Jacob de Grom sidelined (Logan
Verrett taking his start), the rest of the pitching rotation looks a bit
shaky. Noah Syndergaard certainly showed
the Royals what he’s capable of doing and the ageless Bartolo Colon gave up a
single run while fanning 8 in just over 7 IP.
However, Steve Matz is technically still a rookie (and the long layoff between starts showed on Monday evening). Without Harvey
pitching like Harvey and de Grom out with both the lat issue and the birth of
his child, the core strength of this team is somewhat diminished.
Everyone looked at the schedule and said, “pshaw” or
whatever the more in vogue expression is to convey smug self-satisfaction about
how easily the Mets can get off to a fast start. Phillies?
Marlins? Braves? Reds?
These teams are the very definition of bottom feeders, yet somehow the
Phillies just outperformed the World Champion Kansas City Royals against this
now seemingly mortal team from Queens. Monday's showing against the Marlins was the worst one yet.
It’s just one week of a very long season and surely time
heals most wounds, but now is when you need a strong manager to get the team
focused and ready to perform, rather than resting on their laurels expecting
their competitors to just cede defeat to them. Skipper Collins said it was vital for the team to get off to a fast start to avoid the World Series hangover. This year the expectations are sky high for Collins as he’s been
given both pitchers and hitters capable of going all the way. Let’s see him earn his paycheck.
I am trying to stay optimistic. We need a top notch Harvey and deGrom (and Matz) or it will be a tumultuous season
ReplyDeletenot fun, but still early...
ReplyDeleteLet's give credit where credit is due. Someone whispered into Skip's ear that maybe what he was doing wasn't working and today he made some changes. The results were different. Perhaps when the regulars return he goes with some of the relatively speaking hot hands in productive spots in the batting order and not sticking with pre-defined roles based primarily on veteran status or paycheck.
ReplyDelete