Making the rounds on the various boards and blogs is a hypothetical trade of Travis d'Arnaud and Michael Conforto for the Tampa Bay Rays' Drew Smyly. I like him a lot despite a lackluster 2016 campaign. In fact, I had opined earlier in the year when Matt Harvey went down:
"My preference, however, would be the somewhat unheralded Drew Smyly who has quietly put together a nice little career. He started off shuttling between the bullpen and rotation for the Detroit Tigers before making his way to Tampa. The lefty owns a career 26-25 record with a 3.69 ERA, a 9K per 9 IP strikeout record and a nice WHIP of under 1.2. This year he’s earning $3.75 million and is arbitration eligible for the first time next season, not a free agent until 2019."
However, the prospective price for Smyly seems way too high. Yes, it would give the Mets the ability to include one of their starting pitchers in a trade to help another area, but if that's the ultimate goal, why not simply use Conforto and d'Arnaud to fortify the roster rather than making it a multiple-step deal? Conforto is coming off a very down year as well, but I'm firmly in the camp that he'll adjust.
Don't get me wrong. Smyly is an underrated pitcher who could be a middle-of-the-rotation guy on most clubs. I just don't see that you'd want to use the few chips available to buttress what's arguably a strength. And as good as he's been, the conventional wisdom is you don't trade a good hitter even up for a good pitcher. In this case you're giving up Conforto AND d'Arnaud without having a plan for catcher. Furthermore you're removing Conforto from the outfield equation when you're likely losing Cespedes and thus opening up a spot for him.
It's a bad idea all around.
I agree. Keep Conforto..I firmly believe he will be a star someday soon...
ReplyDeleteI agree. NYM fans won't be smiley about that trade I'd it happens.
ReplyDeleteI agree. NYM fans won't be smiley about that trade I'd it happens.
ReplyDeleteIf I was a GM of another team and I heard the Mets were thinking about Smyly for Conforto/d'Arnaud, I would call and try to get in on the action because it seems like the Mets could be drastically undervaluing Conforto. Giving up on your top prospect after a bad couple of months(May/June) seems pretty unwise. He hit .425 in the minors and hit pretty well in 220ABs in July/August/September in the majors.
ReplyDeleteI think that the rumors about this trade, that I posted about earlier this week, has turned out to be a bogus trade proposal by either team...
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