Good morning.
Terry Collins –
We
on Mack’s Mets have been telling you for quite a while that Terry Collins does
not pull the shots on this team.
We’ve especially singled out the issue of
filling out the lineup cards and pointing out that the decisions who plays
where and when have come from the troika of John Ricco (Sr.
VP of Baseball Operations), Sandy Alderson (GM)
and J.P. Ricciardi (Special Assistant to Alderson).
Now,
even more is coming to light and Collins might be being axed out of being
involved in the reporting of injuries to the press. See this story
.
Maybe Collins and Sean Spicer can get an
apartment together and tell each other all the things they are being kept in
the dark about.
Betsy Helfand @betsyhelfand - LHP Dave Roseboom
hurt his foot during a game in RR. Was placed on DL yesterday. Lopez said he
was "probably going to be out for a while."
Promotion Time –
We’re getting
close to June 1st (no, I’m not talking ‘Super 2’) so promotions
within the pipeline should start to begin soon.
There’s
no absolute science here. 10 starts is the norm for a starter to earn an extra
stripe, but some have risen far before that and many definitely far later. Half
the batters rise when there is an injury while there just doesn’t seem to be
any predictable pattern with relievers.
Other
factors are age and team needs.
Here’s
my thoughts on some of the guys that should be moving soon –
SP
P.J. Conlon – Conlon has a 3.02-ERA/1.04-WHIP
after nine starts in Binghamton and we all know that the current Las Vegas
rotation is from hunger. Corey Oswalt is probably not far behind Conlon, but he’ll
be the first to go.
RP
Tim Peterson - Is there something wrong with this guy that I
don’t know about? He’s pitching 1.23/0.61 for the Romper Roomies and he’s dying
of old age at 26. I mean, we screw up every other reliever we have by sending
them to Nevada, why not Peterson? The only downside would be that he only has
13 appearances so far.
SS
Luis Guillorme – let’s stay in New York State…
eventually SS Amed Rosario is going to be promoted from Las Vegas to Queens. Guillorme
will then fill that open slot with the 51’s. This also will allow JC Rodriguez
to move from St. Lucie to Binghamton and give Cody Woodmansee more shortstop
time in Florida.
SP
Andrew Church – Some starter is going to have to
move up soon from St. Lucie to Binghamton. Marcos Molina and Chris Flexen just
returned to the Lucy rotation and there will be two gems (which we’ll talk
about more later) heading there soon from Columbia. There’s been starters with
better mid-season stats (9-starts, 3.81, 1.33), but he has pitched better since
an ERA high of 5.10 on May 4th. We can slip nicely into Conlon’s
open slot in Binghamton.
RP
John Magliozzi – Magliozzi has earned a
promotion into the open slot that will come open in the Binghamton pen when
Peterson is promoted to Vegas. His stat line so far this season for St. Lucie
is 16-appearances, 3-1, 2.77, 0.96, 26-IP, 21-K, 5-BB. Like Peterson, the only
reason that could hold him back is the number of appearances so far, but the
Vegas pen is failing and the best at each level needs to step up.
3B
Jhoan Urena – Here’s your first tough decision. It’s obvious
that Urena has earned the promotion… 171-AB, .333/.386/.719. The 22-year old ex-prospect
has been around for a while and has fought through injuries and slumps to get
back on the horse. Now all he has to do is push David Thompson to the
Binghamton bench while he once again becomes the favorite someday to replace
David Wright on third in Queens.
C-1B
Patrick Mazeika – You just can’t put a lasso on
these Stetson boys, can you? Mazeika is making quite a name for himself in
Florida, hitting .325 for St. Lucie. His 3-year pro totals are
.328/.425/.485/.910, but his slugging percentage this season has gone from .402
to .532 and his OPS has risen from .816 to .937 (2016 Columbia to 2017 St.
Lucie). The real interesting thing is his moving to first base after the injury
to Peter Alonso. Where do you play him in Binghamton? First base and return
Matt Oberste to a DH? Tomas Nido who has been hitting better lately? Nice
problem.
SP
Merandy Gonzalez – The 21-year old Gonzalez has
been amazing: 8-GS, 6-1, 1.75, 0.84, 51.1-IP, 46-K, 9-BB. My guess is 10 starts
will still be needed to move him along with his buddy in the next paragraph. Gonzales
needs a couple more years to mature (keep him away from Vegas!!!) and we may
just have a buddy back end starter here!
SP
Jordan Humphreys – Gonzalez may be a buddy back
end but Humphreys looks like a front-ender. His 8-start stats are spot on: 7-1, 1.57, 0.70, 51.2-IP, 65-K. I really believe in his guy. So much that I have moved him to the #2 position on my prospect list.
Sam Carlson –
We’re
14 days away from the first round of the 2017 baseball draft and various mock
pundits have been posting the name Sam Carlson as
the player that the Mets will chose in the draft.
Carlson
is a 6-4 Burnsville HS (MN) LHSP that will most probably not be picked by the 19 teams that will pick ahead of the Mets. His fastball sits 94-96 and was
clocked recently at 99. Do you have any idea what a 99 mph fastball from a lefty looks like
when you standing in the box?
His
three-pitch repertoire includes a 75-curve and a chang-eup, but it’s the
fastball that has attracted scouts to his Burnsville starts.
Keith
Law has him as the 15th top prospect in the draft
Tuck
his name away with the others I have given you. We may be writing more about
him come June 12th.
Follow Up –
Hudson
Belinsky - @hudsonbelinsky - I'll take a few draft questions here now. Be
warned: I will shamelessly plug @BaseballAmerica articles in responses.
Mack
- @JohnMackinAde - Hudson, how far do you think Seth
Romero is going to fall?
Hudson
Belinsky - Biggest question mark in the first round. I think Romero will still
be a high pick.
Carlson would be good to draft...but if there is another Aaron Judge out there, I'll take him! Sixteen homers and .321. And still May.
ReplyDeleteTim Peterson's problem in terms of # of outings is two fold: rain outs and a killer pen.
I would like Luis Mateo promoted to AAA With Tim too. After a brief bad start to the season, he has been lights out in the Bingo pen.
Tom -
ReplyDeleteThe 'other' Aaron Judge out there would be either Huntington Beach HS (CA) 1B Nick Pratto or Missouri State 3B Jake Burger.
As of yesterday, Burger has 67-G, 22-HR, 63-RBI, 223-at bats, only 32 strike outs
Mack, I am a big fan of Burgers on Memorial Day.
ReplyDeleteI know we have been through a pitching melt down lately, but I think the ship is largely about to aright, with Lugo and Matz to return certainly 5 days from now, and Harvey, Jake, Wheeler and Gsellman all looking better, more like expectations.
Sewald has made us proud too. What a GREAT month for Paul.
Lots of excellent young pitchers that will be ready to help starting next year and in 2019. so if I can sign a REAL stud bat, I'd prefer that. Look at the joy Conforto brings.
Hey Mack
ReplyDeleteIs that a picture of Carlson?
His velocity sounds amazing especially for a lefty.
But I am very intrigued about Romero, can they fix his attitude?
Mets are last in baseball in ERA and WHIP. They will be much better than that going forward.
ReplyDeleteOffensively, they have sued in May, even without Cespedes. When he returns, watch out.
Zozo -
ReplyDeleteYes, the pic is Carlston.
I believe passing on Romero would be a big mistake. My guess all him problems were youth based and involved his relationship with teammates and his coach.
If we can have a head case like Cespedes, a wife slapper like Reyes, and a past starter PEDer like Colon, I think drafting Romero would be just fine.
Let's remember he was leading D1 baseball in Ks at the time of his suspension.
Of course, you would need some kind of backdoor assurance by him that he would sign and not go back to school at some CC to bump up his signing bonus someday.
I think he's a righty though not a lefty?
DeleteUrena has started 16 games and been in 20 games total at 1B this year with one error. 3b, in 33 games, 12 errors.
ReplyDeleteDavid Thompson has been on fire for the past few weeks, and only made 1 error at 3rd all year in over 40 games. I think before too long that Thompson will be the obvious 3rd base guy to ultimately replace Wright (if anyone currently in the system does ultimately get there).
Mack and Zozo, I agree on Romero. Let me make a comparison.
ReplyDeleteI used to be a Brooklyn Nets fan until they destroyed the franchise with incredibly bad decisions.
One of those was drafting Derrick Favors over Demarcus Cousins. Cousins was viewed as a bad boy, and it has surfaced at some points. But in the past season, he averaged 24.5 points and 13 boards, Favors 9.5 points and 6 boards. They passed on Cousins mostly because he was a bad boy. BUT...Nice guys often finish last.
The Mets foolishly passed on Sheffield in 2004, after 39 homers and 132 RBIs for the Braves in 2003, because he was a bad boy. The Yanks smartly signed him His first 2 Yanks seasons, he hit 70 homers and plated 244 guys. Sometimes "bad" is darned good.
If the opportunity presents itself, do your homework and draft the bad boy.
Yeah remember that last time the met won '86 the whole team was filled with bad guys...
ReplyDeleteI don't need them all to be choir boys
Eddie, very true
Delete