There are many ways
to build a team to compete for the World Series. The most recent example, the Houston Astros,
is a good combination of terrific drafting, judicious trading, smart free agent
signings and shrewd waiver wire watching. Let’s take a look at how their 2017 World
Series team was assembled and compare that to the current Mets roster
construction.
Perhaps the greatest
difference between the two organizations is in how they go about drafting their
players. Now some will quickly point out
that the Astros suffered some 100 loss seasons which resulted in high draft
picks, but you have to remember that gems can be found at any spot in the draft
order (as can duds).
The Astros’
homegrown talent includes All Stars Jose Altuve, Carlos Correa, Alex Bregman,
George Springer and Dallas Keuchel, plus Lance McCullers and Derek Fisher.
Now the Mets’
in-house talents include some good ones like Jacob deGrom, Jeurys Familia and
Michael Conforto. Some are showing signs
of solid performance like Brandon Nimmo, Wilmer Flores, Seth Lugo, Robert
Gsellman and so far Tim Peterson. Then
there are the works in progress like Steven Matz, Amed Rosario, Dominic Smith,
Luis Guillorme and Kevin Plawecki.
Then we have the
trades that have been executed by the Astros.
Incoming players from that route include Justin Verlander, Brian McCann,
Evan Gattis, Marwin Gonzalez, Chris Devinski, Ken Giles, Joe Musgrove and Brad
Peacock. Notice that real live major
leaguers populate this list.
By contrast the Mets’
trade acquisitions tend to be the minor league prospect types who may or may
not ever develop. They would include
just Zack Wheeler and newcomer Drew Smith.
There is one major league trade acquisition in a barter of bad
contracts and underperformers – Devin Mesoraco – who the Reds paid down to match
what the Mets were paying Matt Harvey.
That’s not exactly a game changing move like Verlander, McCann,
Gonzalez, Gattis, et all.
Then there is free
agency. Houston has used this tool as
well. The Astros acquired some top tier
talent in Carlos Beltran, Josh Reddick, a reliever with a strong track record
in Luke Gregerson, a Cuban free agent in Yuri Gurriel and a key pitcher in
Charlie Morton.
The Mets have
embraced the free agent route but not with nearly as much foresight and
success. They have inked Jose Reyes,
Asdrubal Cabrera, Todd Frazier, Anthony Swarzak, Jason Vargas and Jerry
Blevins. Though mired in a horrific
slump, only Cabrera has been a net positive of that bunch.
Finally there’s the
scrap heap picking of other teams’ castoffs.
The Astros unearthed former Met and Rockie Collin McHugh, reliever Will
Harris and outfielder Cameron Maybin.
Sandy Alderson
picked up career 5.94 ERA pitcher Chris Beck and 37 year old Jose
Bautista. How much are they contributing
to the problem?
So what have we
learned here? Well, for starters, the
Mets have very little clue about identifying young talent. When they got lucky, it was converted
infielder Jacob deGrom, failed starter Jeurys Familia, and injury desperation
promotion Michael Conforto.
We also see that the
Mets are seemingly too cowardly to make trades for major league players (or
even close to major league ready prospects).
On the free agent
front the Mets tend to avoid the top tier players (yes, I know they spent
foolishly on Yoenis Cespedes and Jay Bruce who are both currently on the shelf). They take on pitchers like Swarzak with no
track record rather than proven ones like Gregerson. I can’t fault them on Jerry Blevins who had
been very good here in the past.
Asdrubal Cabrera was decent value.
Todd Frazier has yet to earn his keep.
However, the Jason Vargas signing after his horrific 2nd half
and Jose Reyes made no sense whatsoever.
On the scrap heap
picking, we saw and dispatched with Adrian Gonzalez and Buddy Baumann already,
but still hang onto unproductive players that shouldn’t have been signed in the
first place. Is Sandy Alderson hoping to
prove he was smart in making these deals and too proud to admit when he is
wrong (which he apparently is nearly all of the time)?
One thing’s for
sure, there are no Jose Altuves or Carlos Correas or George Springers or Alex
Bregmans coming up through the Mets farm system. How can one club be so consistently bad in
drafting?
Reese -
ReplyDeleteMy fractured childhood made me live a life of 'don't look back while not looking too far forward'. I have always lived with the results of my actions and tried to make better decisions in the future.
I am no longer going to pick Sandy and Company apart player by player.
A general statement applies here. They haven't done their job well.
Even a pile of 'pick up sticks' can be released and a few are easily scooped up. Conforto is a perfect example of this.
There are enough decent players here to start anew.
SP: deGrom, Syndergaard, Matz, Lugo, Wheeler, Crismatt
RP: Gsellman, Bashlor, Bautista, Peterson, Sewald, Drew Smith, Oswalt, Flexen, Ryan, Roseboom, Blackham
C: No one
IF: Flores, Guillorme, Alonso, McNeil, Rosario
OF: Conforto, Cespedes, Nimmo, Dom Smith, Kacz
Here's 27 players that will be ready next year. Not a world championship team but a young team in the making.
The difference between us and Houston, their brass could fill in the holes with quality players obtained with the Mets players I left out of my chart, or free agents that weren't already drawing social security benefits.
Mack, I agree with you in not starting over, but I disagree on what they have left. I like Mesoraco as a catcher because he’s smart; a smart hitter and a smart pitch caller. Two things the Mets lack. If you want to bring in a complimentary catcher like an Avila, it can work.
DeleteI also like Smith in the outfield. He seems to move ok, and I hope to see more of the line-to-line hitting.
The infield is terrible. I love Flores, and maybe he can be a good piece. McNeil hasn’t playing but a few innings at AAA, let’s not get carried away. Rosario still needs to grow. How do you find two quality corners in a penny pinching ownership? The problem with Frazier, is they bat him fourth. He should be a six or seven hitter. I would keep him and get an upgrade. How about Murphy to play first and add average?
Your bullpen is too raw and too far away in some cases to already be in the depth stage. I would have added Callahan. And starting pitching, I’d like to put Oswalt over Crismatt because I just don’t see Crismatt lasting in the majors.
Does it even matter anymore ? Mack was right with his assessment the other day that this most likely that Ricco under the guiding hand of Jeff Wilpon is making these moves . Sorry I’m just finding myself apathetic to the entire situation
ReplyDeleteI love when the Mets sign old guys. I don't feel so old then.
ReplyDeleteThey have drafted weakly forever and like you said, were remarkably fortunate that no one picked deGrom before they did in Round 9, or the last 10 years' drafts would have been woefully weak.
Very little from the international prospect world, either, of real impact.
It just compounds the other player assemblage blemishes.
That said, like Mack shows, there is fairly decent young talent left. But big free agents likely will be loathe to sign with a loser franchise that is hitter-unfriendly.
Or better, put Murphy at third base and put Smith at first while using Flores at second. That would give a good lineup and decent defense.
ReplyDeleteAlonso can only play 1B
ReplyDelete