Good
morning.
1.
Once again, SP Corey
Oswalt failed at the major league
level. We’ve seen this before with dominant minor league pitchers, like Rafael
Montero, In the case of Oswalt, he
hasn’t pitched dominantly since last season in AA-Binghamton. And then there is
guys like Jacob deGrom… 4.80-ERA in 2013 for Binghamton… and 4.52-ERA in Vegas.
Some pitchers turn stats around, other do not and having a dominant fastball
like Montero doesn’t mean you are going to be any more successful than a soft
toss pitcher like Oswalt. For now, I would send Oswalt back to where he had
success (Binghamton) and then have him as SP1 in Syracuse next season.
2.
Everybody is spending the past
few days bitching and moaning why Dominic Smith is
the latest young prospect chip sitting on the Mets bench. I’ve watched Mets
Twitter readers and Mets writers (including my own) complain through, now, two
Mets managers and two management teams, and still, no change in operational
philosophy. I just don’t understand why any of you can’t understand or accept
what I have been saying ad nauseum… it’s NOT the field manager or General
Manager that is making these decisions. ALL are being, and have been, made by
the Wilpons via John Ricco.
3.
I especially appreciated Jake
deGrom’s comments after his loss on
Saturday. Even he admits he is sick of losing at this point. I guess Brandon
Nimmo is the last one left with a
smile on his face. I expect we are close to the beginning of the selloff.
4.
If this was my team, I would
focus the rebuild for the 2020 season, not 2019. Success takes time as well as
the removal of failure does. Think of this as a business that needs to be
rebuilt. Imagine owing 20 billion dollars, spending 900 million more a year
that comes in, and having 80% of the monies that come in represent fixed assets
that can’t be lowered. Try turning that madhouse around. Well, the Mets aren’t
that bad, but let’s pass on the quick fix and build a team around our 2020
assets. 1B Peter
Alonso… 2B
Jeff McNeil… SS Andres
Gimenez… 3B Amed
Rosario… OF Brandon
Nimmo,
OF Michael
Conforto, SP Noah
Syndergaard, SP Stephen
Matz,
SP Justin
Dunn.
SP David
Peterson, SP Anthony
Kay…
RP Drew
Smith…
RP Robert
Gsellman, RP Seth
Lugo,
RP Ryder
Ryan,
RP Nabil
Crismatt. And right behind these guys
will be coming SP Jordan Humphreys,
SP Thomas
Szapucki, RP Harol
Gonzalez, RP Joseph
Zanghi, IF Ronny
Mauricio, 3B Mark
Vientos, CF Jarred
Kelenic. This is a good base to start
with if you target it for the 2020 season. Keep the veterans on this list
healthy in 2019… fast track the kids. And you have plenty of players on your
current 40-man to go out and fill in this list. We need a quality catcher, another
strong healthy bat in the outfield and maybe keep Luis
Guillorme around as a young defensive
minded utility infielder. Past that, a good quality fill-in outfielder, and two
or three more powerful young healthy relief arms. We must keep looking for a
successful pen. You can’t win at this game without one. Remember… target 2020.
5.
Ken Rosenwald has
reported that trade talked between the Mets and Yanks, for the services of Jake
deGrom, are ‘heating up’. He said that any trade possibility would have to include
RP Chasen
Shreve in the deal. Shreve is an
ex-11th round pick by Atlanta in 2010. He’s 27 and has a five year MLB stat
line of 185-G, no starts, 14-6, 3.76, 1.36, 176.1-IP, no saves, 205-K, 90-BB.
He’s 2-2, 4.82, 1.57 for the Yanks this year. Hell, we got better LOOGY stats
than this on the team now.
6.
Mets transactions this week… IF
Andrew
Ely came
off the Binghamton disabled list while IF Nick Sergakis bounced
back on it. I don’t know why Sergakis never seems to stay active this season
and this could be nothing more than one of those roving phantom injuries you
find on minor league rosters. He’s only hit .179 in 56-ABs this season for the
Rumble Ponies…once prospect chip and recent suspended meth head, Columbia IF Walter Rasquin, has come off the medical table for one reason, only to go back on the DL for reasons unexplained...
7. Dov Mochari - @DovMochari - Columbia Fireflies, 24yr old,
RHP, Joe Cavallaro, is now at: 8-2, 2.09 ERA, 1.03 WHIP, .199baa, 77.1inn/83k/26bb,
Promotion...?
8. Vets4Mets - @Vets4Mets - 29,831,205 million dollars.
That’s the amount the Mets will have paid Bobby Bonilla
by 2035 as a deferral for a 5 1/2 million dollar buyout. And it was all Bernie Madoff’s idea.
9. Fangraphs question from reader - is the Mets’
player development as bad as it seems from the outside? Media reports on that
front have not been glowing, basically describing it as a disorganized mess
with no communication or consistency between any levels, leaving it to the
major league staff to do basic instruction –
Eric A Longenhagen: I
think there are issues, yes. Especially with player dev and the way the pro
department covers ground (as in, not enough) but also think the amateur side,
especially internationally, has done a great job. It’s a mix, like with most
orgs.
10. Keith Hernandez:
"I've never seen anything like this in my entire career in
professional baseball. I'm from a different school but at this point right now
this club is sleepwalking and waiting to lose, and someone needs to rattle
their cage."
11. Mickey Callaway: "We haven't gotten the job done
on defense, for whatever reason."
12. Devin Mesoraco: "I don't think I've caught anybody with
the stuff that Jacob has."
13. The Boston Red
Sox sent scouts to the Mets-Miami game on Sunday. They need of a middle infielder
(Cabrera?) and late inning reliever/closer (Familia?). Remember… I’m looking
for chips to help me in 2020, not 2019. Power bat, 3B Michael Chavis, potential
SP3 RHP Tanner Houck, potential power reliever RHP Mike Shawaryn, and (my
favorite out of their chain) catcher Roldani
Baldwin are some to consider.
14. Matt Ehalt - @MattEhalt - My understanding is Mets
pitchers have all drawn trade interest. Now, we'll see if they actually will
move any of them.
15. Devan Fink - @DevanFink
- Matt Harvey has been worth 0.8 fWAR in 10
starts since joining the Reds. He had been worth -0.9 fWAR in his last 27
appearances (22 starts) with the Mets.
16. Jesse Sanchez - @JesseSanchezMLB - Here's
another for the Mets. Their reputation in Latin America and across the globe is
a strong one. Source: #Mets agree to a $1.45 million deal with outfielder Freddy Valdez, #25 on @MLBPipeline’s Top 30 Int’l
Prospects list.
Others
signed are C Francisco Alvarez,
OF Mario
Paiva,
SS Luis
Castillo
SS
Bradley
Encarnacion, LHP Javier
Atencio, OF Jhonny
Ventura
LHP
Brandon
Sanchez, RHP Jhon
Franco
17. Mike Puma - @NYPost_Mets - The book on Venezuelan
catcher Francisco Alvarez, who is receiving a
$2.47 million signing bonus from the Mets: Good power, solid arm, but needs to
improve his catching.
18. Anthony DiComo - @AnthonyDiComo - Francisco Alvarez ($2.7
million) sets a record for the largest bonus the Mets have handed out in a
signing day deal. For a farm system lacking top-level talent, it's an important talent infusion at the lower levels.
19. Michael Baron - @michaelgbaron - Overall, Steven Matz is 4-5 with a 3.46 ERA on the year. But in
his last 11 starts, he’s pitched to a 2.92 ERA. His road ERA for the year is
now 2.25. He has shown a marked improvement as the season has gone on, which is
a big key for his career.
20. Carlos Collazo - @CarlosACollazo - Mets No. 6 overall pick Jarred Kelenic has gotten off to a hot start as a pro:
.579/.619/.737 (1.356 OPS) through 21 plate appearances. Just five games, but
nice to see in the Gulf Coast League.
21. Matt Ehalt - @MattEhalt - The Mets may soon need to
hire a new GM. The early favorite is John Ricco since
a logical pairing is him with Omar Minaya as his
top lieutenant. However, keep an eye on JP Ricciardi.
Sources say he has a very big ally in the organization in Fred Wilpon. It sure didn’t
take long for Sandy’s name to not even make the paragraph. Can you imagine what
it must be or these three to go to work every day? They have to have around the
same kissy kissy relationship that Crosby Stills and Nash had back in the day.
Me? My money is on none of these guys, though I do expect Ricco to survive in
some front office role.
Oswalt needs to figure out something after getting torched the last start.
ReplyDeleteIf Thor has his health, the Mets really do have a fine first four starters. The rest of the team, in total, is brutal.
Can the Mets play off ravenous teams against one another to get them overpay in a significant manner for Jake and Thor? The Red Sox deal is a starting point. Whoever gets Jake ma win a few World Series as a result, so the cost must be PAINFUL.
Mets could play a parlor game with their troika
ReplyDelete3 calls same time to 3 clubs
No one is worse, then the kid of the parent who made all the money. You cant run multi-billion dollar businesses like small family businesses in anything but real estate bc its such an easy business to make money in. After you build or acquire you really dont have to do much. Im not sure why anybody would ever think someone who made their money in commercial real estate is qualified to run any other type of business. The Mets seem to prove that theory.
ReplyDeleteThe Wilpons are dug in.
ReplyDeleteOnly their own Board or the league can change the course set
Let me get this straight.
ReplyDeleteKen Rosenwald is talking about a deGrom to the Yankees trade and identifies the Mets as
having one "must have"?
Ok...
I get that.
BUT .....
The "must have" is a RP???!!!
AND...the icing on the cake is that he is 27 yes old???!!
I would completely dismiss this as obviously insane....if it weren't for last year's trade deadline disaster.
Shreve would be a dealbreaker for deGrom?
ReplyDeleteFML
Bob/Michael -
ReplyDeleteSo...
you both assume that all this desire for 4.00+ ERA 25+/yr old relievers is... Sandy?
Never did, this ownership group is poison
ReplyDeleteMack
ReplyDeleteI guess this trade season will tell the definitive story.
See what Wilpon meant by the "be creative" directive he gave Ricco and crew
Bob -
ReplyDeleteI don't look for much.
The 29 other teams know that only Cabrera and Familia offer them any true mid-season value.
I also don't think they will trade either Syndergaard of Jake. Fo different reasons. Thor because his healing period is too long and Jake because the fans will burn the stadium down.
Disappointing thought.
ReplyDeleteI would love to use deGrom, Syndergaard, Wheeler, Familia, and Matz to see what riches could be gained from the Yankees, Braves, and White Sox.
Have to cash in 30-y.o. DeGrom, but it won’t be the Yankees. The Yankees will either not give up the package needed in order to not look like they caved in, or will get JDG at cheaper than they should pay. Problem is, I just don’t see the prospect haul out there for an ace with three years’ control to pitch in playoff games.
ReplyDeleteThe reason I don’t see it being the Yankees is that in their top 20, the Yankees have like 15 pitchers and the Mets don’t need pitching. So, Cashman would have to gut his player prospects to make a deal and I don’t think he will. Happ for a couple of young pitchers keeps the balance. Only if the ultimatum is JDG or bust, can the Mets really cash in.