One of baseball’s most popular sayings about hitting goes
something like this: “Toughest things in all of sports is to hit a round
baseball with a round bat, squarely…” It
has been proven that it is even tougher for players to do that when they do not
play regularly. Add that to a young
player that is trying to get acclimated to the majors, and it can be downright
impossible.
Many fans see a player struggle and say: “Get rid of them” or
“He can’t hit”. At times they can be
correct but also it could be that the player is struggling with not playing
regularly for the first time in their career while at the same time trying to
make it in the Major Leagues.
Take a look at one Met, Tomas Nido, a solid to great
defensive catcher. He led the Florida
State League in batting in 2016. He was
on the Mets in 2018, hit .167 in 12 games in March and April, .150 in May, and
was sent back down to AA on May 30th. When
I saw him in June in Binghamton, he was still trying to get going with the
bat. When I saw him again in July, he
was a different hitter and ended up hitting .274 for the Rumble Ponies before
heading back to the bench at Citi Field on August 24th.
This year it has been a lot of bench riding
for him again as Wilson Ramos has provided solid offense for the Mets. This
last weekend against the Royals, he played Friday going 0 for 2 with a walk but
playing Sunday, he went 2 for 4 with two doubles.
Now look at Juan Lagares.
A career .255 hitter, Juan has had a very tough 2019 hitting just .219
so far. Wait, it gets worse, up until
recently, Juan was hitting under .200 for pretty much the entire year.
What happened recently? Injuries provided regular playing time. In the last 7 games, Juan has hit .423. Do I think he is a .423 hitter? No, not even Tony Gwynn could hit .423
forever, but with regular playing time, Juan is better than sub-.200 and
provides solid (if no longer great) defense in Center Field.
Then there’s the case for Luis Guillorme.
He hit .307 with 7 homers this year for
Syracuse, .304 last year for Las Vegas but is struggling in the majors so far
this year hitting just .209. Another
solid defender, Luis can be a valuable player.
So, what’s the answer?
Play players who hit under .200 until they hit .300? I wish it was that easy. All I am saying is that to fairly evaluate a
player they need to play. Who knows,
imagine if there was a player that led the Pacific Coast League in hitting with
a .342 average only to hit .175 in 103 at bats with the major league team. The next thing you know is that he could be
hitting .310 with 15 home runs for another team.
Wait, that did happen to the Astros, and now
the Mets are benefitting with that same player driving in the winning run in
the 10th inning after a 9 pitch at-bat.
The Player? J.D. Davis.
Can any of imagine...
ReplyDeleteWhat the heck would have become of playing time this year for JD Davis and Jeff McNeil if Frazier and Lowrie weren't hurt for the first several weeks (or longer) and Nimmo hadn't gone down?
Remember JD started, as you suggest, a little on the struggle side - was it a 3 for 20 start for him? He has hit like blazes ever since.
McNeil and Davis combined this year?
703 at bats, .322/.388/.524, 47 doubles, 30 HRs, 112 runs, 99 RBIs. Doggone!
Guillorme - 5 for 17 since his return, with good D and some timely hits. Sadly for him, the armada of infielders is close to returning.
Lagares - man, did he hit like crap for the longest time. I often advocated for a change. But Nimmo, Broxton, and Altherr did him real favors, Nimmo by staying hurt, and the other 2 by hitting far worse than the Mets pitching staff. So he was a default choice. Last 30 games, .321/.397.429 (18 for 56, 7 walks). Add that to his above average D, and Nimmo should be coming off the bench BEHIND him until further notice. Or at least 50-50 split of time.
Nido - I remain unsold on his bat. Hit like Juan, and I will quickly change that.
Tom. Thanks for the great comment. I am on team Nido abd team Mazeika. Could be from watching them up close last year in Binghamton and seeing them deliver.
ReplyDeleteMaz is barely hitting.250 in AA. Not nearly ready for Prime Time.
DeleteI have another take on this topic tomorrow, though profiling a similar hitter and a different decision making path.
ReplyDeleteGreat column.
ReplyDeleteAll the Mets cylinders are striking in proper order lately, especially from the guys you listed.
Ask for an all-star ballot to be filled out now on the results since the All-Star game and the first name I would fill in would be Davis.
Now, here's the 'good' problem...
What do we do with him when Nimmo, Lowrie, and McNeil return?
That's a GREAT problem to have. My guess? Frazier sits, JDD or Squirrel to 3B.Nimmo platoons in CF, but if Lag stays hot Nimmo PH's.
ReplyDeleteLowrie can't be counted on, after not even having a ST. He can be an asset off the bench.