Seattle Mariner 1B
prospect Evan White (No. 58 on MLBPipeline)
Top 100) is set to sign long-term deal with the
team. Guaranteed $24
mil over first six years,
also includes three club options. Should be
announced Monday. White
hit .293/.350/.488 in Double-A this year,
also outstanding
defender.
My questions to you are:
1.
Is this a good idea for the Mets?
2.
And, if it is, who would you try to
sign up to a deal like this?
The Indians had success doing deals like this after the players showed they could play in the majors. I would do a deal like this for Pete Alonso. For minor leaguers or Pitchers it is very risky. Imagine if we had given Matt Harvey a long term deal after 2015.
ReplyDeleteSure, Jarred Kelenic.
ReplyDelete... oh, wait.
I have two.
ReplyDelete1. Alonso
2. Lugo, which would probably be very affordable
Extending young, established players like Pete usually makes sense, although the Mets were burned by the
ReplyDeleteJuan Lagares extension. If that is what we are talking about, then players like Pete and Jeff are who I would target.
However, if we are talking about prospects who have not played an inning of major league baseball then I am much
more skeptical. I think Mack estimated a very low success rate of "prospects" at some point in the past, something like
5 or 10%. IF that is the case, then you are taking an even larger chance by extending the contract of an unknown quantity
when compared to an established player.
I think the chances of getting burned are much higher then the money you would save by controlling the costs of a young
player's tenure before free agency begins, but that's just me.
Bad move...and if I were a 28 year old Jeff McNeil making under a million after what he has DONE, I would be very upset at the inequity of it.
ReplyDeleteThey can do this, but the Mets can’t do much, so near the cap. A deal like this would or might change baseball’s compensation structure. If year 3 McNeil makes $1 this year, he’d have to feel angry at being underpaid...which he is, after the last 2 years.
ReplyDelete