Good morning.
In my opinion, Brodie's good free agent signings since he came the Mets General Manager in October 2018 total 2:
2018: C Wilson Ramos
2019 stats: 473-AB, .288, 14-HR, 53-RBI
2019: RP Justin Wilson
2019 stats: 45-appearances, 4-2, 2.54, 39-IP, 44-K
That's it.
We have done this before, but it is time to update the rise of our future top prospects into the majors.
Last season, we saw 1B Pete Alonso and almost-rookie IF Jeff McNeil come into their own. This year, SP David Peterson and IF Andres Gimenez have joined them. Who's next and when?
First, I assume there will be no team in Binghamton or Kingsport. Sad as that is, it will bring some urgency to the pace of the minor league prospects moving up the ranks. I see International signs playing two seasons in the DSL league while domestic draftees will dominate the GCL team. That leaves our current crop of future stars playing 2021 for one of the full season teams, leaving me to project then all rising in 2021, 2022, 2023, and 2024.
2021 - RP Ryley Gilliam
2022 - SPs Thomas Szapucki, Kevin Smith
2023 - IF Ronny Mauricio, 3B Mark Vientos, OF Freddy Valdez
2024 - SPs Matt Allen, JT Ginn, Josh Wolf, C Francisco Alvarez, 3B Brett Baty, OF Pete Crow-Armstrong, Isaiah Greene
Fangraphs.com on Edwin Diaz on August 8th:
“After a third scoreless outing on Friday, a 1-2-3 inning with his team trailing by one run to the Marlins, it is likely that Diaz will return to the closer role in the very near future or, at the least, be could become part of the closer committee with Seth Lugo and company.
By not committing either way, Luis Rojas could remove some pressure from the 26-year old when he gets his next save chance. If Diaz executes, the job is likely his again whether he is named the “closer” or not.
And lastly...
Fangraphs showed a new kind of chart that shows the progress some batters are having by hitting more home runs while striking out less.
The current results are:
| Name | 2019 FB% | 2020 FB% | Diff |
|---|---|---|---|
| Niko Goodrum | 31.5% | 50.0% | 18.5% |
| Wilson Ramos | 19.2% | 34.3% | 15.1% |
| Pedro Severino | 36.9% | 51.7% | 14.8% |
| Trevor Story | 42.3% | 56.5% | 14.2% |
| Starlin Castro | 33.0% | 46.9% | 13.9% |
| Max Muncy | 38.7% | 51.2% | 12.5% |
| Matt Chapman | 43.1% | 55.0% | 11.9% |
| Yoan Moncada | 34.5% | 46.3% | 11.8% |
| Wil Myers | 35.1% | 46.7% | 11.6% |
| George Springer | 35.7% | 47.1% | 11.4% |
| Eddie Rosario | 42.2% | 53.5% | 11.3% |
| Fernando Tatis Jr. | 30.9% | 42.1% | 11.2% |
| David Dahl | 32.5% | 43.2% | 10.7% |
| Trea Turner | 32.8% | 43.2% | 10.4% |
| Nolan Arenado | 44.7% | 54.9% | 10.2% |
| Marcus Semien | 38.9% | 48.9% | 10.0% |
Mack, man, oh, man, I think back to my first article for Macks Mets - on Duda needing badly to swing much more at first pitch strikes. He was terrible once pitchers got him to 2 strikes. But...He never changed. He could've been a lot better.
ReplyDeleteThe lack of a VISIBLE minor league season makes it hard to evaluate guys - guys like Szapucki have to be pitching in intrasquad games. Gilliam too. Maybe your projections are a year too far out. I hope so. Particularly in the pitching department, you can never have too much pitching. And free agent signings depend on whether guys not in the majors yet are ready to step up like Peterson has, or not.
Also, wouldn't it be great to see Edwin Diaz come back with a vengeance? I was rough on him a few weeks ago, but he has been fine lately.
ReplyDeleteTom -
ReplyDeleteOne thing that is being unrecognized right now is the resurgence of Diaz. I don't know who is doing what to this guy but it is working.
Tom -
ReplyDeleteMy level projections are conservative at the AAA/AA level. I would have had only Peterson as another 2021 arrival in Queens.
I'd love to see Diaz return to the 2018 version, but even if he doesn't our pen is as solid, top to bottom, as it's been in many years.
ReplyDeleteNow that Sewald is gone, there's not a single one who makes me cringe when he comes in.
And Lugo, Wilson, Familia and Dellin can all close
Agree with you, Bill. It's a very impressive collection of arms.
ReplyDeleteWith Diaz, moving him off the closer position seems to have relieved some stress. Every inning counts. I don't know that I rush him back there.
I'm trying to remember the closer for the Twins. He always put up good numbers, but wasn't ever the best arm back there, just the best temperament for the job.
Diaz is a very useful piece no matter how he's used.
I don't know if Betances is healthy. Otherwise, it could be argued that Brodie has put together the best Mets bullpen of all time.
Jimmy