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12/1/20

Mets360 - The 2021 center field options for the Mets

 


By Gus Livaditis December 1. 2020

Much digital ink has been used on the need to get George Springer onto the Mets because he’s “a real center fielder” and the one the Mets used this year isn’t. To this, we will examine how good does your center fielder have to be in order to win a championship and is signing Springer to major dollars the best scenario? First, we will examine the center fielder production for the last 10 World Series champions and their team’s dependence on their play. Then, we will examine the names in the news for the Mets, my mystery acquisition and how they compare to our incumbent.

First, a brief summary of each year’s World Series winning center fielder and their relevance to the team’s production. Pitching is always referenced because some teams expect to win because of their superior pitching. All WAR values come from FanGraphs.

 

fWAR

Offensive/Defensive Grades

2011 Cardinals CF:

Jon Jay

2.3

7.7 Offense, -1.2 Defense

Top Performers:

Yadier Molina

5.9

9.1 Offense, 31.3 Defense

 

Lance Berkman

4.7

44.4 Offense, -17.5 Defense

 

Matt Holliday

4.4

29.9 Offense, -3.9 Defense

 

Albert Pujols

3.9

28.9 Offense, -11.6 Defense

The top nine WAR players were all negative on Defense expect for Molina.

Pitching: Chris Carpenter 4.5 WAR, Jaime Garcia 3.2 WAR, Kyle Lohse 2.3 WAR, no one else was over 1.0.

 

fWAR

Offensive/ Defensive Grades

2012 Giants CF:

Angel Pagan

4.6

21.7 Offense, 2.7 Defense

Top Performers:

Buster Posey

10.1

41.9 Offense, 36.5 Defense

 

Melky Cabrera

4.5

33.4 Offense, -5.6 Defense

Pitching: Matt Cain had a 3.2 WAR and Madison Bumgarner had a 2.7 WAR. No other pitcher came close.

 

fWAR

Offensive/ Defensive Grades

2013 Red Sox CF:

Jacoby Ellsbury

4.6

19.1 Offense, 2.9 Defense

Top Performers:

Dustin Pedroia

4.9

11.1 Offense, 10.4 Defense

 

Shane Victorino

4.7

17.6 Offense, 8.6 Defense

 

David Ortiz

3.4

27.0 Offense, -15.0 Defense

 

Mike Napoli

3.4

17.5 Offense, -4.9 Defense

Five pitchers with WAR of 2.3 or greater, led by Jon Lester at 3.3.

 

fWAR

Offense/Defense Grades

2014 Giants CF:

Angel Pagan

1.8

7.6 Offense, -3.4 Defense

Top Performers:

Buster Posey

7.6

25.3 Offense, 25.7 Defense

 

Hunter Pence

4.0

23.4 Offense, -7.9 Defense

 

Pablo Sandoval

3.2

2.4 Offense, 7.9 Defense

Bumgarner had a 3.6 WAR, three pitcher had 1.5 – 1.7; no one else close.

 

fWAR

Offense/ Defense Grades

2015 Royals CF:

Lorenzo Cain

6.1

26.0 Offense, 11.8 Defense

Top Performers:

Mike Moustakas

3.8

10.9 Offense, 5.2 Defense

 

Eric Hosmer

3.5

21.7 Offense, -10.8 Defense

Pitching: Yordano Ventura 2.7 WAR, Edison Volquez 2.7 WAR, Wade Davis 2.0 WAR

By contrast: Curtis Granderson 5.3 WAR, Travis d’Arnaud 3.4 WAR in just 67 games, Lucas Duda 3.2 WAR, Yoenis Cespedes 2.6 WAR in just 57 games, Daniel Murphy 2.2 WAR, Michael Conforto 1.9 WAR in just 56 games.

Jacob deGrom 4.9 WAR, Matt Harvey 4.0 WAR, Noah Syndergaard 2.9 WAR, Bartolo Colon 2.5 WAR.

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