Bret Baty - just one Cyclones hitter raking far better at home than on the road
Before my article: Mets had a low scoring, "Thrill of Victory, Agony of Defeat, Man on 2nd to Start Extra Innings" doubleheader split yesterday. 10 straight Nola Ks. Shame, shame, shame - of course, that's the game the Mets won.
ON TO MY ARTICLE:
I have often heard how “tres difficile” it can be to hit in Brooklyn's Cyclones Park.
I like to draw proper conclusions when I check out the minors stats of Mets’ prospects.
If you look at overall stats for any and each Cyclones player, however, I believe you get a major misread on that player.
In each of their cases, you have to look at their road stats only.
In baseball, there is generally some home field hitting advantage…but in Brooklyn, it is the exact opposite.
On the road, the fellas as a team are hitting .253/.340/.461.
How good is that?
Simply, the league's highest road average, by far the highest team slugging % (next best team is 28 points lower), and 3rd in OBP. They may have the most talented bunch of hitters in the league - just based on looking at those fine stats.
And, wait, there's more 37 road homers in 23 games! How do you spell Souvenirs?
However…AT HOME?
Drastically lower…just 8 HRs in 18 games (through a few days ago). Just .196/.268/.294.
What a huge gap.
It makes their hitters look crappy, when they ARE NOT. Collectively, they are far from it. The park is simply a crappy place to hit.
Now...Cyclones Pitching?
A decent 4.04 home ERA, vs. a decidedly "less decent" 5.69 road ERA.
AGAIN, A DRASTIC DIFFERENCE.
Hitters playing at Cyclones Park seem akin to a marathoner running a race all uphill, or all at sea level. The time will be much better on the latter (normal) racing course.
Pitchers? Pitching in Cyclone City is like throwing the ball downhill.
So, from here on, when I attempt to evaluate and even appreciate Brooklyn players?
I will only look at their road stats to get a truer picture.
Their home conditions greatly lower (and distort) pitchers’ ERAs and hitters’ slash lines. Pitchers have to like it - hitters have to hate it.
Great way to build a park, if you ask me. Not.
Meanwhile, who in the Mets' minors has been on base 70 times in 37 games?
ReplyDeleteJOSE PEROZA.
Is anyone besides me getting on board the Peroza Freight Train? He's not in the Mets' Top 30 - but Sherveyn Newton is? That had to be a mix up. Peroza is creeping up towards my non-updated Top 10.
His OBP is .429. Compared to Brooklyn's Mauricio (albeit a level higher and 10 months younger)? .279.
Peroza is just the guy who, in 616 pro at bats, has 43 doubles, 4 triples, 16 HRs, and 106 RBIs. Nah, definitely not Top 30, right?
Why?
ReplyDeleteBecause he gets on base.
I love guys who get on base - and score a lot - and drive in a lot.
ReplyDeleteI just moved Peroza up to my # 10. Could be wrong, as he is still doing it in St Lucie. But he only turned 21 ten days ago, so he's got time.
Just 10 errors in 86 games between 3rd, 2nd, and 1st in the 2018-21 timeframe, too. Don't know his range, but at his age, those error totals are solid.
His teammate Jaylen Palmer is improving and he has great speed, but I have him just outside of my top 15 right now. Ks are improving, and he has a .364 OBP. Power is low this year, but that's fine - I want to see better contact, and that is improving. He's big, and once he makes more consistent contact, he can add power back.
Is he the next Jeff McNeil Tom, although not this year, or better? The park difference is crazy but the same stupidity as the Citi-field fiasco back in 09 that ruined DW and is still a factor.
ReplyDeleteGary, I think the next Jeff McNeil could be Carlos Cortes, another OF/2B. Binghamton Basher… 25 XBH in 41 games.
ReplyDeleteJust to add a huge exclamation point to this Cyclones Park article, let's look at Mauricio drastic home and away difference thru June 26:
ReplyDeleteAway: 21 G, 23 RBI, .330/.364/.670 - superstar numbers
Home: 20 G, 2 RBI, .110/.156/.123
Reminiscent of Sandy Koufax's career hitting stats: .097/.145/.116 - except Mauricio doesn't pitch.
Get this kid "out of Dodge" and up to Binghamton.
Maybe they could move the entire Brooklyn Franchise to Albany. Sounds like a great idea.
ReplyDelete