During the off-season between 1998 and 1999 the Mets engaged in an interesting three-team trade that sent Charles Johnson to the Baltimore Orioles, Todd Hundley to the Los Angeles Dodgers and the pair of Armando Benitez and Roger Cedeno arriving at Shea Stadium in New York. While the sacrifice made -- Todd Hundley -- was significant, the fact is that he’d lost his job to 1998 arrival Mike Piazza. After some ill-fated attempts to play left field, it was clear Hundley needed to leave town. Following his 41 and 30 HR seasons for the Mets (which may have been aided by the syringe), he never approached these numbers again and was out of baseball at age 34.
Compare that style to Benitez who was once recorded throwing his fastball at 102 MPH and you can see why people were anxious to yank the closer’s job away from Franco for this alleged man’s man of a fireman. Benitez had his moments, including a pair of All-Star appearances. However, for his career he held a losing record, a good, but not stellar 3.13 ERA and he struck out nearly 11 per game. Unfortunately he also walked nearly 5. Consequently, the bad days with Benitez may very well have outweighed the good ones.
This Mets history came to mind while watching the last few games closed by Edwin Diaz. Everyone is aware of his terrible arrival performance in 2019 and the price paid that included giving up uber-prospect Jarred Kelenic. He finished that season going 2-7 with a 5.59 ERA and despite saving 26 games he was regularly and deservedly booed when he came into games.
During the pandemic-shortened 2020 season Diaz seemed to remember what made him a Rookie of the Year and an All Star in the American League. He finished the season at just age 26 going 2-1 with a splendid 1.75 ERA and 19 saves in a 60-game season. Extrapolated he was on a path to finish with well over 40 saves. More importantly, he struck out an ungodly 17.5 per 9 IP yet fans weren’t so quick to forgive and forget.
The 2021 season has been a bit more up and down when there are days Diaz looked unbeatable and days when you didn’t entrust him to close an inning let alone a game. However, if you paid attention to his last couple of saves you saw some things that really stood out. Diaz is also regularly crossing that triple digit market when it comes to throwing the baseball, yet despite the two straight three-strikeout saves he notched against the Blue Jays and Braves, it was the way in which he notched the K’s that really caught my attention.
Unlike most power arms who simply try to throw the ball past you in your attempt to get around and swing solidly, Diaz reminded me of John Franco. No, he’s not a lefty, not he’s not a diminutive presence on the mound and no, he does not throw a screwball. However, what both pitchers did effectively was get batters to swing weakly at the illusion of a strike. None was more relevant in this observation than the inning ending whiff with a pitch both low and outside. He’s best not in the power arm game, but in confusing the batters as to where the pitch will break.
Right now Diaz has 22 saves, an ERA of around 4.00, but if you’d ask any major league hitters there is no way they volunteer to face him when he’s in the kind of groove he’s established lately. It’s about time for the Mets fans to begin to appreciate the quality of pitcher they have in Diaz and instead look for them to reinforce other arms in the pen to lead to his closing opportunities.
Edwin is not perfect. But his excellent games far outnumber his bad ones - even, frankly, in 2019.
ReplyDeleteBy my count, he's had about 5 bad games out of 41. His ERA is about a run higher merely due to that grand slam hit by the Cincy (Pirates?) catcher that, when you look at the pitch on video, you wonder how he hit it at all. But hit it he somehow did, laughing a 335 foot fly ball homer.
I'll take 5 bad games out of every 41.
I always think, some of these teams are downright dangerous hitting-wise, and they are geared up in close games. It is a TOUGH job.
He is one of the Mets WINNERS so far in 2021. Clearly 1 of the best 10 Mets this year, and a case could be made for top 5.
not laughing, launching. another auto-incorrection
ReplyDeleteThe problem is not Diaz.
ReplyDeleteIt's starters and bats
Back to 5 starters this weekend with deGrom due to comeback soon. Only trade I would make is to reinforce the bullpen.
ReplyDeleteAgree the BP and we all pray Jake comes back as Jake if we are to hold any hope for the post season.
ReplyDelete