Tom Brennan - Updated Retrospective on Mets 2013 Draft

  

I thought it might be fun to look back and see who got drafted by the Mets in rounds 1 thru 5, how they panned out, and which of them (and those from rounds beyond round 5) made it to the dance. 

I thought I’d start at 2012 and work forward towards 2022 from there, a year at a time.

Today?  The Mets' 2013 Draft 

1st Round - Dominic Smith - two years ago, I wrote that the "Jury is still out on whether Smith was a good first round pick or not.  If he reverts to 2020 form, absolutely.  If not, he reverts to Lucas Duda.  Fangraphs expects him to do modestly better in 2022 than he did in 2021; let's hope for Smith's sake, he does even better."

Well, he didn't get better.  738 at bats the past 2 seasons, just 63 RBIs.

A lot of at bats for a mediocre player with a career 1.1 WAR.

Conclusion: 

Busted first round pick.

2nd Round - Andrew Church - he'd struggle, show promise, struggle some more, show promise...but the righty hurler never made the majors.  When he went 7-4, 2.92 in A ball in 2016, I thought he was on his way.  Ultimately, though?  30-33, 4.93 in minors, no inning in majors.

Bad pick.

3rd Round - Ivan Wilson - the Mets opted to go with a stud athlete, hoping they could fix the strikeout hole in his swing.  They couldn't.  Athletic, but at draft time, I read he had contact issues.  I wonder if that deficiency was sufficiently taken into account by the Mets' drafting experts.  His last season in low A, he hit .197 with 80 Ks in 236 PAs.

Bad pick.

3rd Round - Casey Meisner - he got traded away by the Mets.  After showing some promise in the minors, especially his 13-5, 2.45 season in 2015, he had a rough 2019.  Hasn't played since in the minors.

Bad pick.

4th Round - LJ Mazzilli - What were they thinking?  Fine if you draft him, but maybe do so in the 7th to 10th round, not in the 4th round. Minors career ended in 2018, at .265. 

Bad pick for round 4.  If he was selected in rounds 8 thru 10, that would have been OK.

5th Round - Jared King - another failed pick - career .240 , less than a HR every 100 ABs in the minors.  Not sure what they expected from this 5th round pick - I'd have drafted power instead, or another arm.

Typically mediocre pick.

Miserable Mets selection effort, results-wise, on rounds 1 thru 5.

They improved in Rounds 10 thru 12, nabbing a trio of major leaguers.

Luis Guillorme, Tylor Bashlor, and a wise pick in round 12 with Jeff McNeil.

Luis has been a decent fill in, but is not at all a big run producer, despite being a glove wizard; he has put up a modest 2.9 career WAR. 

Bashlor failed, ultimately, at 0-6, 5.78. 

McNeil thankfully has won a batting title and compiled 19.2 WAR. 

Drafting Jeff McNeil almost made it a decent draft, but it was still a weak draft overall.

Next up?  2014.