Being in a time zone 12 hours different than what those of you in the USA’s east coast enjoy as part of the Mets chase for the pennant opportunity, I sometimes find myself using numbers that are just slightly off as I’m routinely a game behind when these pieces are written.
What I got to thinking about was not the who’s coming back from injury, who needs to heat up and who needs to reside on the bench for the remainder of the October baseball race. No, it was quite a bit different. If the season ended today and you had to name a Mets MVP, who would it be?
I’m going to go right out and take Francisco Lindor off the ballot. He’s operating at a level that would have him in mind for the league wide award if it was not for the otherworldly stats being posted by Shohei Ohtani. It’s an easy and highly expected answer to this Mets question.
Of the others, however, not only is it a question of most valuable but perhaps baked into it is most surprising. So here we go:
Mark Vientos stands pretty much alone here in that he earns next to nothing, had no expectation even to be playing this season and was on the roster but not regarded as a starter. All he’s done is lead the team in OPS, SLG and is on his way towards a possible 30-HR/80 RBI season if he has a strong September. (And those totals don’t even factor into the greatly reduced number of ABs he has received).
David Peterson was behind Tylor Megill on most folks’ depth charts given his very ordinary looking numbers over his entire Mets career. Then when Megill started off with a very loud bang in pre-season and Peterson was on the IL still recovering from injury, well, if someone had bet you then he’s have an ERA well under 3.00 ahead of everyone else in the rotation, you’d have taken that easy money bet as there was no way that was going to be happening. And you would have lost.
Sean Manaea is a great example of the flaws of the Internet age when evaluating ballplayers from the American League. Just as no one was entirely sure what to make of the Chris Bassit acquisition from Oakland a few years back, again no one was doing carthwheels over Manaea becoming a Met. Right now he’s the number one starter, has stayed healthy, and is making that modest payroll hit seem like money very well spent indeed. As September 3rd begins he is holding a record of 11-5 over 27 starts with a 3.35 ERA. His player option for year end is going to be costly to keep him from bolting from the Mets.
Another starting pitcher who surprised a great many is Luis Severino. Coming off his 7 innings of one-run ball against the Red Sox, he’s not missed time due to injury which is a major achievement and his thrown to a top three level ERA of 3.84 to go with his 10-6 record over 27 starts. As a pending free agent the Mets need to decide how much they need him in 2025 and how much he will cost.
There have been other very solid performers who have not had the good health nor season-long regular playing time to warrant consideration, but Jose Butto, Dedniel Nunez, Jose Iglesias and Luis Torrens have all been great members of this 2024 team.
Then there are others whose numbers are not quite where you’d expect them to be like Brandon Nimmo, Jeff McNeil, Pete Alonso, Starling Marte and Francisco Alvarez. Still, somehow manager Carlos Mendoza has worked around these limitations to field a team that likely can’t win it all but could still make it into October.
The key to a successful season is getting rid of those who are unsuccessful (like YOHAN Ramirez, who has a 6.20 ERA this season=with 4 teams) quickly and having guys have GOOD seasons. Lindor is having a great season, Manaea almost as good, along with David Peterson. Then, replacing sluggard utility guys (Short, Narvaez) with better pieces like Torrens and Iglesias. This team is 51-29 over their last 80. The team may be even better than that now.
ReplyDeleteOMG I would also give a down ballot vote to Iglesias as well. Wasn't he called up just around when that "last eighty games" started. I believe that he added something to the team then other than just a hot bat.
ReplyDeleteSomeone I didn't expect to say
ReplyDeleteDavid Stearns
This team is overperforming right now and it needs to continue doing so. Atlanta is within reach and the Mets have to play all remaining games as if they were playoff games.
ReplyDeleteTo do this, Nimmo and Alvarez have to start doing their part.
This means NO DJ Steward in my view.
If Senga can make it back, it will be a big boost to the team.
For 2025, they have to find a way to keep Manaea, Severino, Torrens and Iglesias.
Senga, Manaea, Severino, Peterson, Scott is not a bad rotation.
This season has shown the Mets that they had a couple of in-house players good enough to be part of the future core. Vientos, Peterson, Butto, Nunez, etc. Add a couple from free agency and this team can go from good to great.
IMO, Severino and Iglesias will not be back. Believe they will sign one of the top free agent pitchers and Acuna as utility guy
ReplyDeleteTo me, the 2025 starting lineup depends on two things:
ReplyDelete1. ALONSO
2. If MAURICIO is ready
Rotation wise, Senga, Peterson, and Scott line up with a free agent signing (Burnes?) and a TBD SP5
Ray, one of the two glue players that I want back is Inglesias. Last year he wasn’t even offered a MLB deal, so he won’t be so demanding. And, I’m sure he loves the attention of NYC. The second glue guy that I’d like to see is Winker. Though we don’t know him for that long, his reputation and his personality show that he is a team first guy. The players that I would lose very quickly are:
ReplyDeleteMarte
Bader
McNeil
Alonso
While I like Alonso, his mentality reminds me of Conforto, another player that we can tell would never want to come back. Alonso says all the right things, but his actions and team quotes - when Nimmo said that Lindor and himself were the team leaders - scream disconnect. Also, all year long we have never once heard that Alonso has mentioned anyone else when being interviewed.
I agree 100% on Pete, but I would definitely keep McNeil. Whatever was wrong offensively, he certainly seems to have fixed it. And his versatility gives you some prospect insurance at 2B, where neither Acuña nor Williams is a lock to this point, or in the OF, where Gilbert may still need some time.
DeleteMack, a rotation of Senga, Peterson, Scott is very thin when you factor that Senga has been hurt almost all year. I would add at least Manaea to that.
ReplyDeleteAgree with Adam on McNeil. He is just too versatile which makes him an integral part of the team.
Let’s hope Manaea wants to stay. Sproat will start in early 2025 for the Mets. Senga, I think, should be fine….weird year. Scott, who knows? Let’s see if he dodges surgery first. Severino? If reasonable. Only Sproat is a probable Mets starter in 2025. Who else from the minors? Really?
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