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9/18/24

Reese Kaplan -- Small Moves Sometimes Bring Big Results


As the Mets begin game three of the Washington Nationals series, it represents the first of the eleven remaining games.  

No one can forget the come-from-behind extra inning swat to victory off the bat of Starling Marte as well as the shutout relief pitching delivered by Jose Butto, Edwin Diaz and Reed Garrett after yet another stellar starting effort from Sean Manaea.  By the time you read this column they will have finished the second game as the quest for October baseball continues.

While people obviously focus on the big things that go right and wrong in the quest of victories, sometimes it is the very small things that take place that should get more attention than they do.  

Take Monday’s game when Luisangel Acuna was inserted late in the game to play shortstop.  While he may never live up to his brother’s run production and All Star capability, how nice was it to take a well above average fielder and place him into the game knowing that not only will errors less likely occur, but he will also know how the game is played to keep runners in check and executing plays accurately?

The same is true for the unusual outfield alignment used in this game.  It is understandable that Marte was benched while he was recovering from a hit-by-pitch a few days ago.  Obviously D.J. Stewart doesn’t play defense on a contending team.  That left the Mets with an outfield of Tyrone Taylor, Brandon Nimmo and Jesse Winker.  It’s not exactly the best of the best, but it worked.  Later in the game Harrison Bader was a late entry as a pinch runner for Mark Vientos who was the last out in the 9th which didn’t exploit his Gold Glove defense, but it was he who scored the 10th inning run when Marte delivered.

Moving forward through these final games you will see Carlos Mendoza making lineup adjustments based upon who needs to play, where various folks hit in the batting order, who is starting each game and how relievers are deployed.  

Take for example Tylor Megill who has pitched far better than anyone has expected...what becomes of him if Kodai Senga or Paul Blackburn or Christian Scott return from the IL?  Does he go to the pen?  Does someone else move there?  Jose Quintana has already volunteered to take relief duty if it was easier for Mendoza that way.

As of right now it would appear that the middle infield is going to be some combination of Iglesias, Acuna and Eddy Alvarez until Francisco Lindor is healthy enough to play again.  We all know the exploits of Acuna in the minors showing better than average home run power, fantastic base running and well above average defense.  Less well known is that late addition to the roster who forced Pablo Reyes into being cut just a few days after arriving.

On the whole the veteran Alvarez was not known as a formidable prospect.  Currently age 34, he didn’t even crack the majors until 2020.  However, this season in Worcester he was on his way to a 20-20 season with 18 HRs and 18 SBs.  The down side was his .247 batting average which is well below his .279 career norm but sometimes a big bump in power contributes to more swings and misses.  Towards that end, he had already posted 109 strikeouts in under 400 ABs. 

It will be interesting to see how Mendoza arranges the pieces on the playing board as the Mets finish up the remainder of the 2024 regular season.  For now without Jeff McNeil, Francisco Lindor, Christian Scott, Paul Blackburn, Sean Reid-Foley, Kodai Senga and others on the injured list, he needs to reach deep into his experience as well as gut instinct to figure out a winning formula.  

23 comments:

  1. I actually thought Megill would pitch all year as well as he has recently. He kept the Nats in check early when they scored an unearned run and were threatening for more, and dominated. Acuna hit so well last night.

    Blackburn? After the game he got hurt in, when he was shelled, I am in no rush to see him back in this pennant race. If it ain't broke, don't fix it.

    Senga? Start pitching to hitters already...we need you pitching meaningful innings in the playoffs.

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  2. In his last 26 MLB innings, Megill has allowed 4 earned runs. Youza.

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  3. I have not predicted the Mets were playoff bound because I never anticipated this much help from the other teams trying for the Big Three

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  4. Magill...

    Always thought he was capable of this kind of pitching but I thought his future would be in the pen.

    Seeing him and Peterson "growing up" on the mound makes me now wonder if the 2025 rotation will need an outsider

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    Replies
    1. As I've said earlier, I'm a believer in one of Dear Abby's fave phrases, "if it ain't broke, don't fix it".
      The current Mets rotation is at or near the top in every category, and Senga, Scott, Blackburn and Butto will be competing by ST.

      Spend the big $$f on OFFENSE, while keeping Manaea, Sevy and Megill.

      Delete
  5. Mack, I believe the Mets will need at least one #2 type pitcher. I use the #2 and not #1 because those guys aren’t easy to find. With Scott, Senga, Megill, Peterson, Butto, I would like to see them flip McNeil for Luis Castillo.

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    Replies
    1. My vote would be to lock down the rotation with a signing of either Burnes, Fried, or Snell

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  6. Mack do you believe Burnes has Aces level performances for the next 4/5 year (back end of contract i would assume to be sunk cost)

    I love the idea of burnes but this year seemed to be a good starter but not one worth over 200million so I am feeling like if they truly unlocked something in Manea maybe he is the way to go in a 4 year deal

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  7. Remember that resetting the roughly $240 million cap (penalty threshold) for luxury tax purposes by getting under it is NOT a Cohen priority. He is mega-wealthy. What he is no doubt looking to do is get the taxable salary below the level at which your first pick slips 10 spots, which is around $280 million. Would he like to get under the penalty threshold and completely reset it? Sure, but not if it means giving up being a playoff team in 2025. His goal, in my opinion, is to never again lose those 10 slots on the first round pick. Because that is long term suicide talent-wise. Maybe Benge (# 19) will turn out better than the player the Pirates picked at # 9 (Konnor Griffin), the pick slot the Mets would have had. But you keep slipping 10 slots every year, you will get inferior talent most likely.

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    1. Slipping 10 slots has cost the Mets dearly in signing more talented prospects

      You can only make this up by giving huge international bonuses and throwing money at free agents which seems to be the Cohen template

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    2. Mack I would say
      1. not signing sproat the year previously and having to draft him again
      2. picking Kumar and not signing him so losing first round draft slot
      3 picking Parada
      is really the cause of the Mets hurting dearly in signing more talented prospect

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  8. Mack, I can't imagine Cohen wants to skip years by spending under $280 million, if it takes more than that to win. That is why it is so good that the $65 million paid to Verlander, McCann and Scherzer by the Mets in 2024 falls to $0 in 2025. Lots more elbow room. I could see Stearns trying to keep spending under $300 million, so that if the team falls out of early in 2025, he can move expensive assets mid year to get under $280. But he may not want to play games and just keep it under $280 from the get-go.

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  9. But planning salary levels for 2025 and beyond us a topic better tackled in the off season.

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  10. Eddie, they also traded Pete Crow Armstrong, the 2020 pick who will probably be an All Star next year at age 23

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    1. Isn't that what was said about Kelenic and (I believe) Dunn to get Diaz?
      Noting against Crow, but it's too soon to evaluate him.

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  11. Gis, you guys just can't get your heads out of your past

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  12. Mack, you’re right about not getting over things, but there is a saying:
    “Those who don’t study history are condemned to repeat it”.

    Hopefully, we can avoid such errors in the future.

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    Replies
    1. Study it is one thing

      Obsessed over it is another

      Delete
  13. Not convinced PCA will be more than an average player.

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  14. Ray, Pete Crow last 30 days .337/.396/.562. Have a good trip back.

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