Pages

10/22/24

SAVAGE VIEWS – POST NLCS THOUGHTS

This was supposed to be a transitional year where the Mets were generally expected to finish below .500. Clearly, they exceeded most expectations. They proved to be a resilient team and wound up as one of the top four teams in baseball. Actually, they probably finished top three because I don’t consider the Guardians to be a top tier team. 


Here are some of my thoughts now that the season is behind us.


          Carlos Mendoza – The Good and The Bad         

It’s likely that Mendoza will garner a lot of well-deserved votes for Manager of the Year. He led the team to the post-season and is deserving of recognition. In all probability Pat Murphy of the Brewers will win the award. That’s not to diminish the accomplishments the team under Mendoza’s leadership. The one area that garnered most criticism during the regular season was his handling of the bullpen.


In my previous post I declared that if the Mets starting pitching could go deep in games, the Mets would win. On the other hand, if we had to rely on the pen, we would lose. There were a couple of instances when I thought he was too quick to yank a starter. He was under the misguided impression that he had a solid pen. 


I’m still at a loss to understand why Phil Maton was brought into a game with the season on the line. What could he possibly be thinking? Also, the decision to play JD Martinez in games 3&4 over Winker defies explanation. Loyalty is great but in a best of seven series your best guys should be playing every day. I’m glad Mendoza has established himself as a credible manager for the long term and hopefully the experience he gained serves him well next year and into the future.


          MATURING YOUNG PLAYERS

It was exciting to capture the growth of Mark Vientos and Fransisco Alvarez. Mark was clearly the most prolific Met throughout the post-season. His performance under pressure looms well for the future. We saw Alvarez become the player we thought he would be. His future was always bright and now he looks as though he will be an impact player for years to come.


          Brett Baty

The typical Met fan seems to want to move from Baty much as they did with Vientos. Compare his first two years status against JD Martinez’ career after three years. JD did not hit his stride until his fourth year. I’ve always been a believer in Baty and expect a breakout year in 2025.


          THE ALONS0 QUANDRY

As a long-term Mets fan, I love the Polar Bear and wish it was possible for him to end his career here. However, his contract demands may be so exorbitant that he might be better off signing elsewhere. If the Mets were able to sign either Soto or some other big bat to complement Pete, I’d be ok bringing him back.


          THE MVP VOTE

The argument has been that Lindor deserves MVP consideration over Ohani since his fielding expertise and leadership qualities were essential for the Mets to make the post-season. However, I must concede that Ohani is from another planet. He ranks among the best players ever to play the sport.


          CHANGES ARE COMING

Next year’s team should look markedly different from this year’s product. 

-        The bullpen requires a complete overhaul. It’s remarkable the team lasted as long as they did with a mediocre pen. Time to start learning from the successes of other teams, i.e. The Yanks and Dodgers.

-        Ronny Mauricio should be penciled in as the starting second baseman, if he is healthy.

-        The starting pitching needs upgrading. Of our free agents, I’d bring back Manaea and let Severino and Quintana walk. I’d like to see Fried or Burnes signed to complement Senga and Peterson.

-        Iglesias gave us a nice run, but if faced with a choice of Acuna or Jose, I’d go with the younger talent.

-        It’s going to be Baty time with Vientos either becoming the new first baseman, assuming Pete walks or the full time DH.


That’s it for me. I’ll not be watching the World Series because I’d prefer if neither wins.

 

Ray

October 22, 2024

10 comments:

  1. Ray, good points.

    The series may have been lost regardless, but I think Mendoza made a big mistake by putting cold defense-first hitters in the line up. Winker and McNeil should have been in there every game. If you can't stop a team with your pitching, you have to put your best offense on the field every game to try to fight fire with fire.

    Alvarez learned a lot. I think it will transfer over well to 2025.

    I think if you are hoping to count on Acuna and Mauricio as two key offensive pieces in 2025, you will lose. They both have to adjust. And I really would like to see Acuna playing a lot of 2B and Mauricio in the OF, not the other way around. We need to objectively see that Mauricio is an error-prone infielder throughout his career to date. That would be a step backwards.

    ReplyDelete
  2. Senga's nearly season-long absence, along with that of Dedniel and Scott starting in August, resulted in a worn-out staff. The Dodgers pounced.

    ReplyDelete
  3. Why is Pat Murphy going to be manager of the year over Mendosa I don't get it? The Brewers were expected to go deep in the playoffs we were expected to have a transitional year and we beat them unless its that NY/Cohen thing. Also why can't the MVP be split like they did in 79' with Keith and Willie? No one is more deserving than Lindy a guy who checks all the boxes and for the most important one which is team leader. I've never read anything about Ohtani's leadership abilities and frankly the lack of respect for a guy who plays everyday is just crazy.

    ReplyDelete
  4. I agree with you on the use of Maton in such a critical situation. Misguided trust at the wrong time. To me, all arms should have been available because you don't win game 6, there is no game 7. As such, I would have brought in Severino to relieve Manaea to try and keep the game close knowing that Severino could go all out for 3 innings or so.

    2025 is going to have a lot of questions that need to be answered. What do you have in Mauricio, Acuna and is there any future in Baty?.

    If Alonso is willing to take a contract no longer than 4 years, he should be back, otherwise, so long.

    Somehow I don't think the Mets, even using a crowbar, are going to be able to pry Soto away from the Yankees.

    Rotation? Senga (fragile) Manaea, Peterson, etc. Burnes would be nice but we would have to get him and if we do, Severino is a better #5 than everything else the Mets have.

    For the DH I would use Marte to keep him healthy and McNeil takes over at RF. Nimmo moves back to CF and that opens up LF for Mauricio and 2B for Acuna. If Pete is gone, Baty 3B, Vientos 1B.

    Acuna, Lindor, Nimmo, Vientos, McNeil, Marte, Alvarez, Baty, Mauricio. Yikes, fast team but lacks serious power and has lots of question marks.

    Stearns is going to have to be very creative, very.

    ReplyDelete
  5. Several good points in Ray’s piece and the comments. I think Mendoza did a great job this year but also agree that he over-trusted two players, Maton and Martinez. Both will not likely be back although I would love to see JD return as a hitting instructor.

    ReplyDelete
  6. I was very impressed with how quickly Acuna adjusted. He was undaunted by the pressure when he had to fill for Lindor. I expect a full season from him next year. My thoughts on Mauricio appear in my Thursday piece.

    ReplyDelete
  7. I tend to almost always agree with Ray - good insight and good writing. I guess we'll have to wait and see, but I would take the bet that Mendoza will get the Manager of the Year award. Murphy did a great job with that team, considering everybody thought Counsell (sp?) jumping to the Cubs would sink the Brewers into the second division, but Mendoza seemed to be the glue that took the Mets to the NLCS.

    One other nit - I think Cleveland is definitely one of the top clubs. Their pitching, particularly their bullpen was top-notch this year.

    ReplyDelete
  8. You are not going to hear from me for the next 4 weeks. Going on a Viking cruise to France with one of my sons.

    ReplyDelete
  9. Viper no crowbar just lots of $$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$

    ReplyDelete
  10. I agree it’s too early to give up on Baty and Vientos looks like a solid hitter, but Alvarez has been in a hitting slump since late 2023. Our 2024 top minor league prospects were a disaster. Our top 30 either were hurt or had sub par years. Even Sproat got hammered in AAA. Scott’s future is in doubt. Too soon to predict Tong or McClean, but our highest level pitching prospects Vasil, Tidwell and Hamel were awful. Benge was considered the steal of the draft but so were Parada and Houk. So, the jury is out on our entire minor league system with no apparent help on the horizon for at least 2 years or more. Unfortunately this leaves us in a poor position to trade minor league prospects for starting or relief pitching help. This forces us to use Cohen’s billions to get free agents. We need an ace and Burnes is out there. We need a presence in the middle of the lineup and no one should outbid us for Soto. Manea, Severino and Quintana had good years with fantastic finishes, but forgive me for not drinking the Kool-Aid. I’d rather give a 5-6 year contract to Fried than a 3-4 year contract to Manea based on a breakout year at age 32. Vientos was our only currently signed player under 30 who had a good year. We have to do a better job in drafting and player development. If you want to compete with LA you have to stock your team with stars like LA. Sign Burnes, Soto, Fried and Tanner Scott. Thank Severino, Manea, and Quintana for a great season and wish them well. Burnes, Fried, Senga, Petersen and hopefully a late season Sproat call up is a top of the line rotation. Again with all our minor leaguers hurt or coming off poor years they have little trade value. Other than maybe McNeil we have no 25 man roster players to trade. It’s time for Stearns to stop shopping in the bargain basement and spend Cohens money.

    ReplyDelete