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12/8/24

MACK - MY Sunday Observations - My Spin On Mets 40

 


Morning

I wanted to give you my spin on where I think the Mets 40 man roster stacks up... this just what I think. 

I show 32 (feel free to correct me if I missed anyone) players on the 40 man and break them down to four categories... locks, maybe, long shots, and Minors. 

Locks:

SP - Senga, Peterson, Montas, Scott (IR)
RP - Butto, Diaz, Garrett, Nunez
C - Alvarez, Torrens
IF - Lindor, Vientos, McNeil
OF/DH - Marte, Nimmo, Siri, Taylor

(that's 17 players that are obvious locks for the 26 man)

Maybe:

SP - Megill 
RP - Brazaban, Kranick, D Young, Foley, Herget
IF - Acuna, Baty, Mauricio 

Longshot -

SP - Blackburn
RP - Covey, Zuber

Minors -

RP - Hagenman
OF - Azocar 

As you can see, there is plenty of room for new players to be added.

My thoughts on moving forward...

SP - obviously, two more are needed. Megill could be the emergency SP6 in Syracuse, joined by a dicey group of Hamil, Vasil, Tidwell, and Sproat. I know I have called in the past for Megill to join the pen, but starters go down and the picking is lean at the AAA level. My Longshot here as SP7 is Jonathan Pintaro.

RP - having four excellent relievers at this point in the off-season is pretty darn good. Hagenman, Covey, Zuber, and Herget are good organizational fills, but my guess is Herget will be the only one to open in Queens. That's five. AAA starters like Hamel and Vasil could move here, but I expect at least two more major league additions here. Maybe three.

C - Everything looks fine here but a quality AAA addition wouldn't hurt. I just don't have much faith in the current projected Syracuse backstop situation.

IF - need to make a decision on first. Past that, things look fine here (but a resign of Inglesias could push Acuña to a corner position).

OF - right now, I have Nimmo in left, Siri and Taylor in center, and McNeil in right. I have moved Marte to DH. Need one more here.

DH - either Marte or an additional slugger to platoon with him. Could be the additional 5th outfielder needed.





21 comments:

  1. Fangraphs has Joey Meneses and Edward Olivares at a combined total of 36 MLB at bats. I guess it is their assessment that both are either in steep decline or have been figured out.

    Soto would make that line up picture a whole lot brighter, as would Burnes in the rotation.

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    1. I goot caught up in college football yesterday and forgot to update this after this past week's additions.

      Sorry

      Obviously I would have added Holmes to the rotation but the two you mentioned would have been long shots at best

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  2. I think Sproat is ready by Memorial Day, Tidwell by August, and possibly Tong in Sept.

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  3. I saw this:
    32 year old veteran backstop Gary Sánchez is in agreement with Baltimore on a one-year, $8.5 million deal. He would have been a good back up, but given other spending priorities, that was too much for the Mets.

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  4. Great roll-up Mack. I think Danny Young breaks camp as a lefty. I also think they will sign (or trade) for one more pen arm. I wonder if they could put a decent package together for D. Williams from the Brewers.

    They need more power in the outfield. Soto?

    You are also on point with the organizational catching depth. Pretty slim pickings at the top minor league level. Maybe they'll get some of their lower level guys in camp and one or two might shine and get pushed through to AA this year. Parada to me is past peak.

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    Replies
    1. I expect a lot more additions to the pen than just one

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  5. So if Sanchez is going to back up Rutschmann in Baltimore, perhaps that McCann guy that has been there a couple years needs a new job?? :-)

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    Replies
    1. Ronald Hernandez could move fast in the organization and offer up an alternative 2026 backup

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  6. Right now that's a very weak looking team with non-contributors in CF, RF, 1B, 2B, the rotation and the pen. Oh yeah, the bench, too. Stearns has quite a lot of work to do with or without some guy named Soto.

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    Replies
    1. I am worried about this sugar free rotation they are building

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  7. It's early, and things can go in many directions based on where Soto lands. Stearns has added a couple of legit MLB arms at modest rates (by current standards). I trust him at this point.

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  8. Of all the pitchers out on the free agent list, my preference is to re-sign Manaea. Starting pitching has gotten ridiculously expensive for what they get out of it (5 innings - maybe 6). More on that in my Tuesday piece.

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  9. So we have long reached the point of anything money wise making sense. $700 million for Soto? We could sign Burnes AND Fried and Scott for the pen as well as Ozuna or Santander for DH and lets throw in Bellanger as our 4th outfielder and of course Alonso back at first. pretty good team I say and for far less years overall. what do you think fellas?

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  10. If the offer for Soto is indeed over 700 million, who ever gets him is going to regret it big time. There is way too many ways to improve a team without Soto while using 700 million.

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  11. Spend that 700 million for pitching, outfielders and a DH to have a competitive team for the next five years and keep it competitive with a good draft and international signings. No one player is worth 700 million at the expense of the rest of the team.

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  12. Wow, the tide is finally turning in my favor regarding Soto. No one player is worth that amount of money. Especially a one-dimensional player who isn't (in my opinion) a top five hitter.

    If they are going to go with this lukewarm starting pitching rotation, they must sign 2 stud relievers. McGil at best could be our long man.

    I'm guessing Buehler and Manaea have priced themselves out for us. If they don't sign Soto they should sign Pete, 2 stud relievers and a power bat (OF/DH). I would love for them to sign Burns, but I don't think it's in the cards. I wouldn't mind Iglesias back at the right price strictly as a utility man. But I think Acuna can fill that role, with more speed.

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  13. The $700 mil has multiple iterations, depending on the distribution. But just using the AAV, if he gets that over 14 seasons, it's $50 mil per. If it were "only" $40 mil per, would that $10 mil seriously impact our ability to sign others?

    Getting back to the SPs, I thought that Megill is out of options, meaning it's Flushing or bust, and leaving out Syracuse. Did I hear wrong?

    I like Mack's list, but I'd add our FAs (Manaean Qn Alondon and Iglesias) as "maybes until they sign elsewhere. Oddly, of that group, the one not mentioned anywhere I've seen is Q. IMO he'd be easy to sign inexpensively and short-term, and his pitching in big games in September and October should make him worth keeping.

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