4/5/26

Tom Brennan: Why Don’t More Minors Hitters Become Catchers? Extreme Starts. Early Injuries


Mets win 9-0. Tyrone Taylor Goes Soto ++

Holmes and Myers are an ace duo, not an injury attorney law firm.


Tomas Nido As A Marginal MLB Catcher Has Earned Millions  

AS THE 2026 BASEBALL SEASON GETS UNDERWAY, HERE’S ONE LAST “OFF SEASON” TYPE ARTICLE” IN LATE MARCH BEFORE I SHIFT GEARS.

I occasionally wonder what goes on in the minds of minor league players. 

As you may recall, my question why minor leagues pitchers who are going nowhere (if those pitchers are being objective) don’t try to learn the knuckleball. Historically there have been many knuckleball pitchers who have pitched a tremendous number of highly successful years. And knuckleballers can still have success in today’s game, as the recent great success of Cy Young award winner RA Dickey showed that being a successful knuckleballer in today’s game is more than feasible. And can be more than lucrative.

RA Dickey indeed made a heck of a lot of money that he wouldn’t have otherwise made if he had not adopted the knuckleball. Multiple millions more. Tens of millions more in spendable income.

Someone just said to me, “ OK, Mr. knuckles, can we move onto another position, please?” So…

Let’s move on to the catcher position. 

Former major leaguer Keith Osik was no Keith Hernandez. Mr. Osik, a catcher who played parts of 10 years (1996-2005) in the major leagues, hitting just .231 with a slightly negative career WAR. 

If he played that many years in today’s game, as a backup, catcher, at today’s level of MLB salary rates, I am guessing he probably would’ve earned close to $20 million. I wonder, if he had not been a catcher, whether he would’ve made the major leagues at all, if he were forced to play another position. Had he not caught, then, he would’ve burned close to $20 million dollars (at current MLB salary levels) in lost opportunity revenue. 

Likewise, ex-Met Tomas Nido has played several years off and on in the major leagues as a (very) marginal catcher, and has made several million dollars in the process. His career is apparently not yet over, and he may make more money than that. Having seen him play, I can’t imagine that he was good enough that he would’ve made the major leagues at any other position, and he would’ve therefore made several million dollars less.

Then you have a guy like outfielder Cesar Puello, a former Mets prospect who, in 2013 in Mets AA, hit a sizzling .326/.403/.547. 

If you put up those kinds of numbers in 2025 in AA, the fan base would be drooling over him. After all, the revered Jett Williams in AA in 2025 hit a relatively inferior .281/.390/.477.

Puello played briefly in the major leagues, with some success. A not-shabby .246/.354/.347 in roughly 200 plate appearances, and then his big league dance was over. 

His 2013 AA Explosion was not his only banner hitting stretch in the minor leagues.

After his move away from the Mets to other organizations, in part-time play in AAA, he hit .327 in 2017 and .313 in 2018. He also had a strong arm, which successful catchers need, obviously.

He made less than $1 million in his career as a non-catcher. 

What if he had become a catcher? 

His bat seemed at least as good and most probably better than that of Tomas Nido. And he stole 44 of 54 in 109 minors games in 2010, so his speed was far superior to snail-speed Nido, who in nearly 1,000 pro games is just 5 of 10 in steals.

Perhaps Puello, like Keith Osik, could’ve been a 10 year, up-and-down guy if he had been a catcher instead, and made a whole lot of MLB cabbage.

So I just ask you: 

Why don’t you see any good minor-league hitters, who are running into the “can’t quite make it to the major leagues or only barely make it to the major leagues” syndrome, deciding to switch to catcher to try to become a second string MLB catcher in some organization and perhaps make $10 million or more in his career?

Typically, infield and outfield position players are more athletic than catchers. Someone would think that they could be adaptable to that position if they put in a grueling amount of work to hone catching skills and had a good arm.

I will make it personal before I leave….

If you were a good hitting minor league player, who is looking at the relatively few spots available at hitter positions at the major league level, and realize you might get shut out of the MLB game entirely just because there aren’t enough slots for a player of your talent level, why not switch to catcher and see if you can make it that way? What do you have to lose? 

AND A BETTER QUESTION: 

WHAT ($$$$$$) MIGHT YOU HAVE TO GAIN?

People in the real world switch jobs and careers all the time, and they do it many times because there are potentially far greater career earnings on a different path than what they started out on. 

Why do you see so little of that in baseball today? 

I understand that baseball specializes more than it used to, but that doesn’t mean a minor-league pitcher couldn’t try to master the knuckle ball, or a minor league position player with a strong arm couldn’t switch to a catcher role. And make a whole lot of dough.

That is one reason I really admire Chris Suero. He is pursuing the catching trade, even though he’s faster than most non-catchers in the minor leagues. I think the Bronx born Suero is really sharp in that regard and will be rewarded for his decision-making financially down the road.


EXTREME STARTS CAN SOMETIMES BE EXTREME INDEED

Hitters can struggle when they join a new team. 

Hitters can doubly struggle when they join a new team and they’re beaned by flamethrower Bob Gibson on the first pitch of spring training, as was Tommie Agee in 1968, just as Upper Deck Agee began his multi-season stretch with the Mets.

That pitch to the temple could’ve killed him. It didn’t but it did cause him a ton of post-event trauma. 

He started the season in 1968 well enough, going five for 16 over his first handful of games.  Then, pitchers began to realize that he was stepping in the bucket on pitches that started out inside, but broke away. He then started to get a steady diet of such untouchable pitches. So, after that 5 for 16 start, which looked so promising, he went five for his next 80. 

Surprisingly, in the second half of May he suddenly hit very well for 2 weeks. But then he went right back into the tank again, hitting just .136 in June and .125 in July. 

He ended that lost season hitting .217, with 5 HRs and 17 RBIs in nearly 400 PAs, only surpassing .200 due to a late season surge, finally climbing over .200 on September 19.

1969? Well, that year was pay back, wasn’t it? Pay back can be sweet.


ONE THING YOU DON’T WANT EARLY IN THE SEASON IS INJURIES

Jorge Polanco, he of the age of 32 who is set to turn 33 this summer, has a recurring Achilles tendon problem. Aging guys decline, at times due to chronic injury. Remember Yoenis Cespedes and his Achilles area injuries at around the same age?  I felt his pain.

The one thing that lessened the pain of Alonso’s  ew 5 year contract is he only misses a minimum amount of games and only when severely hit by pitches, so his COST PER GAME PLAYED is lower than the cost alone appears.


NOT AL JACKSON, BUT…

Saw this: The Mets are signing right-handed reliever Luke Jackson to a minor league deal.  Jackson, 34, pitched to a 4.06 ERA (4.49 FIP) and a 1.353 WHIP over 51 innings across 52 appearances last season while appearing for three big league teams: Texas, Detroit, and Seattle.


ODDS AND ENDS

Going into the season, Brooklyn’s line up to me looks - well, challenged - vs. high A pitching, and you can’t judge by very early games, except that ihe “challenge” showed up Friday evening in a 3-1 loss…4 hits, but 17 Ks. Next game, 3 hits, 13 KS.  SO…30 Ks in their first 2 games of 2026. Yikes!

Next…

Need to call up a reliever that is 7-0 in his MLB career? Try Austin Warren, who is 1-0, 2 saves, and just 2 baserunners allowed in 5 scoreless innings in early AAA action.

In Binghamton’s season opener, Crushing Chris Suero went 1 for 5 with 4 Ks. 

Terrible night?  Nope. 

He drove in 5 runs, with his one hit being a grand slam. And a sac fly.  

I’d take that every night, what about you?

Ewing is hot in just 2 games. Good sign. Very good sign.

In his first 2 St Lucie games, Elian Peña had 2 doubles, a single, and 2 walks. Sweet.

7-7-7 - it may look good on a slot machine, but not in pitching runs allowed.

Tong, (ex-Met) Sproat, and Scott each recently allowed 7 runs…that’s 21 total runs in approximately 8 total innings. Aces(?) Wild!


CAM TILLY PRO DEBUT

People loved his draft selection. Now, I see why. 

His St Lucie debut? 58 pitches, no hits, one walk, six Ks. 

Of course, if he debuted in AAA, he would likely have allowed 7 runs, too, like the three hurlers above…just kidding. 

GREAT FIRST OUTING! A DILLY FROM TILLY!

CONNER WARE, TOO. The 15th round lefty from 2025 went 3 scoreless one-hit innings, fanning 4 and walking nada, in his pro debut.



4/4/26

RVH – The Weekly Recap: Week 1, 2026 — Living on the Margins

 

This is the first pass at the weekly lens.

Same idea as last year’s monthly reviews, just compressed. The goal isn’t to react to a 7-game sample — it’s to understand how the games are being played and what’s starting to show underneath.

Week 1 doesn’t define a team. But it does start to show you how it’s wired.


Week 1 Snapshot

Metric

Value

Record

3–4

Pythagorean

3.3–3.7

BaseRuns

3.5–3.5

Run Differential

-2 (25 RS / 27 RA)

RS / G

3.57

RA / G

3.86

Clean profile. No luck gap. No distortion. The record matches the performance.


The Shape of the Week

  • One ceiling game

  • Two floor games

  • Most games inside a tight run band

  • Pitching kept them in almost everything

This was a margin week.


Run Creation — Distribution & RISP

Performance Tier

Games

Record

RISP AVG

Hits/AB

Ceiling (11+ Runs)

1

1–0

.385

5-for-13

Middle (3–4 Runs)

4

2–2

.192

5-for-26

Floor (0–2 Runs)

2

0–2

.000

0-for-11

Total

7

3–4

.200

10-for-50

The ceiling is real. The floor showed up twice.

The middle is deciding games — and right now, it isn’t converting.

Hitting Tier Performance

Tier

BA

OBP

SLG

OPS

RISP

Prime

.253

.366

.440

.806

.222

Structural

.241

.290

.283

.573

.278

Bench

.211

.255

.240

.495

.071

Prime: Lindor, Soto, Bichette, Robert Jr., Polanco
Structural: Semien, Baty, Benge, Alvarez, Vientos
Bench: Torrens, Taylor, Young

Prime is carrying but not truly clutch.

Structural is connecting but not extending.

Bench hasn’t impacted leverage spots yet.

It's an executional conversion breakdown.


Run Prevention — Segmented Performance

Tier

ERA

WHIP

K/9

K/BB

Length

Rotation

3.33

1.26

10.86

3.2

5.4 IP

Leverage Core

0.71

0.55

12.4

4.5

Support Relief

6.23

2.54

7.1

1.1

Rotation: Peralta, Holmes, Senga, Peterson, McLean
Leverage: Williams, Raley, Myers, Brazobán, Weaver
Support: Manaea, García, Lovelady

Rotation is stable.

Leverage group is dominant.

Support tier is the only real leak.

Zoom out — they’re in almost every game.

That’s structure.


Game Type Distribution (Early Read)

  • Few blowouts

  • Multiple tight games

  • Outcomes decided late

This is the competitive middle.

That’s where teams define themselves.


Execution vs Structure

Execution:

  • .200 RISP

  • 0-for-11 in floor games

  • Bench: .071 RISP

  • Structural strikeout pressure limiting innings

Structure:

  • Strong run prevention baseline

  • Prime tier performing

  • Consistent game control

Right now, it’s execution. That will evolve.


Signal vs Noise

Likely Noise:

  • RISP inefficiency

  • Bench timing

  • Early sequencing

Potential Signal:

  • Built to play tight games

  • Run prevention foundation

  • Outcomes will live in the middle


Strategic Read

Nothing is broken. But there is friction.

The top of the roster and the leverage arms support a good team. The issue is the bridge — turning traffic into innings.

Right now: The engine is fine. The transmission is slipping.


What We’re Watching Next Week

  • RISP in middle-tier games

  • Support bullpen stability

  • Whether tight games start flipping


Closing Thought

This looks like a team that will live in the margins.

That works. But you have to win them. They need to do better to deliver on the blueprint.

It is very early...


Sources

  • Baseball Reference (game logs, splits, Stathead)

  • FanGraphs (BaseRuns, Pythagorean metrics)

  • RVH Internal Tier Framework (Prime / Structural / Bench)