12/12/19

John From Albany – Mets get Giants pitcher, lose Krizan in Rule 5 Draft

3 comments


No Mets prospects were taken in today’s draft and the Mets did not take any players in the Major League portion of the draft. 


The Mets did however pick 25 year old Right handed Pitcher Adam Oller from the Giants and lost Jason Krizan to the A’s in the minor league portion.

The 6'4", 225 pound Oller pitched for Augusta in the South Atlantic League last year, making 17 starts for a 5-6 record, 4.02 ERA, 87.1 innings, 93 Ks, 26 walks, 1.37 WHIP.  Career in the minors Adam is 15-16, 4.32 ERA, 76 games, 33 starts, 260.1 innings, 267 hits, 68 walks, 257 Ks, 1.29 WHIP.

Drafted by the Pirates in 2016 in Round 20, signed last winter by the Giants after the Pirates released him. 

So the good news, the Mets did not lose players like Shervyen Newton, INF; Patrick Mazeika, C; Desmond Lindsay, OFLuis Carpio, 2B/SS; Pitcher Matt Blackham or Pitcher Harol Gonzalez.


Jason Krizan was signed by the Mets as a minor league free agent before the start of the 2019 season.  A late season call-up to Syracuse after he played most of the season in Binghamton, Jason played the infield and outfield.  He hit .257 in 97 AA games and .375 in 20 AAA games.

They also chose to not draft any of the available outfielders that could have helped build outfield depth in the system like I suggested earlier today. 

This also means that Mack’s Mets Tom was right and I worried about the Mets losing players for nothing. 

Whew. 

Glad you were right Tom.

Read more...

Tom Brennan - METS GET RICK PORCELLO

4 comments
Rick Porcello on April 24, 2015.jpg
Shortly after the Mets nabbed Michael Wacha, they nabbed righty Rick Porcello.

Porcello has been a fine pitcher with the BOSOX, and is a 149 game winner in the bigs, but had a mid 5's ERA (to go with a 14-12 record) in hitter-friendly Fenway last year; in his career, his Away ERA is 4.11, while at home, it is 4.61.

Like Wacha, Porcello allowed a lot of homers in 2019.

Porcello did give up 20 earned runs in 15 innings against the Yanks, so factor in the switch in leagues, the friendlier-to-pitchers Citifield, and not having to face the Yankees, hopefully, and maybe he is a 4.00 ERA pitcher for the Mets in 2019.  Which would be solid.

As of now, the Mets have 6 viable starters in deGrom, Thor, Matz, Marcus, Michael, and Rick.  

We'll see if there are any more starter moves, but having 6 viable, experienced starters is a wise approach, given that most teams have at least one starter get hurt for a stretch during any given season.

Welcome aboard, Rick.

BTW, the translation of Porcello from Italian is "piglet."  Maybe the Mets have a ravenous innings-eater on their hands.

P.S. 

I guess this lessens the chances of seeing a lot of Walker Lockett.
Read more...

Winter Meetings -New Met - P Rick Porcello

6 comments
The Mets have signed free agent RHP Rick Porcello to a one year contract worth $10mil.

The 30-year old had his best year in 2016, when he went 22-4, 3.15.

Last year, in 32 starts, he went 13-12, 5.52 with 143-K in 174-K

Read more...

Tom Brennan - METS GET MICHAEL WACHA

3 comments
WACHA WACHA WACHA

My first thought on Michael Wacha was... 

He ain't no Gerrit Cole.  

He cost a lot less, too, something near and dear to the Mets' hearts.

2019 for Wacha wasn't so good.  He was, overall, 6-7, 4.76 ERA in 29 games for the Cards in 2019, 24 of which were starts.

But he had a very good, but abridged season in 2018.  In fact, he was 8-1, 2.47 in early June of 2018 before his last 2 starts, in which he went 7 2/3 innings and surrendered 12 runs and saw his season end with a left oblique strain..

In 2019, though, the thing that jumped out at me?

His 1.56 WHIP.

The highest team WHIP in 2019? The Rockies at 1.49.

So his WHIP was higher than that of any major league team.  That whipped my brain to attention.

MAN WATCHING A LONG HOME RUN SURRENDERED BY MICHAEL WACHA

He also surrendered 26 HRs in 127 IP.  

Sure, 2019 was the "Year of the Homer", but allowing a HR every 4.9 innings pitched is not reassuring.  

As an aside, in his one game against the Mets last year, Pete Alonso and J.D. Davis teed him up for long balls.  So, happily, he helped Pete get to his 53 homer major league rookie record.  


If Wacha is the Mets' 5th starter in 2020, he better have a big, bad, baseball bounce back season.  

Like he had in 2018 before he went down hurt.  

The Mets need quality starters, and tons of quality starts, if they intend to truly contend for the NL East.
Read more...

John From Albany - Rule 5 Outfielders Mets could target

13 comments


The Rule 5 draft is today.  The chance for teams to obtain unprotected minor league players from other teams.


Given that the Mets roster is currently full at 40 and they are picking 19th in the draft, I think the Mets will be pretty quiet.

However as players taken in the minor league portion do not have to be added to the 40 man roster, they may take players here. Last year, the Mets drafted 3 players in this portionChris Mazza, Catcher Mitch Ghelfi, and defensive outfielder Braxton Lee.


The Mets players MLB.com felt most vulnerable were Shervyen Newton, INF; Patrick Mazeika, C; Desmond Lindsay, OF; Luis Carpio, 2B/SS.  I also think that Matt Blackham and Harol Gonzalez who both pitched well at Syracuse last year could be targeted.


The fact that teams will be able to carry 26 players this next year, could also hurt the Mets.  The extra spot may allow a team may select a player like Shervyen Newton and keep them on their roster even if they see limited playing time. 

With some strong catching and infield prospects, I feel the biggest need for the Mets system is the outfield.

Therefore, using the MLB.com list and the Baseball Savant website, I looked at the 18 available outfielders.  Note: most of these players have ability in one or two areas but have just not put it all together yet.  Some have great arms, some great speed. I think there are some that could be upgrades to the Mets AA and AAA outfielders. Baseball Savant uses a top score of 80 to rate these players. 

Buddy Reed, Padres:

B/T: S/R | 6' 4" 210 | Age: 24, Bronx, NY USA; Scouting grades: Hit: 40 | Power: 40 | Run: 70 | Arm: 60 | Field: 65 | Overall: 45.  “Reed has the potential to hit for both average and power…Reed has a tall, athletic build that gives him the potential to do a lot of things well on the baseball field, but he still has gains to make as a hitter.”  Could be a good story bring back a NY native.  .249 career minor league average, 101 stolen bases in 132 attempts, 1,396 at-bats, 347 hits, 33 HRs, 160 RBIs, 123 walks, 423 Ks. 

Lolo SanchezPirates, OF | B/T: R/R | 5' 11" 168 | Age: 20, Santo Domingo, Dominican Republic, Scouting grades: Hit: 50 | Power: 40 | Run: 60 | Arm: 55 | Field: 55 | Overall: 45; 
Signed by the Pirates in July 2015 out of the Dominican Republic for $450,000…Sanchez's kryptonite in 2018 was the off-speed pitch. He hits fastballs very well and feasted on them in the GCL, but once he started getting a steadier diet of breaking balls and changeups, he often found himself diving and not seeing them come in because of head movement…The rest of his game is still very good, from the speed to wreak havoc on the basepaths, to playing a very good defensive center field…Sanchez will be playing at age 20 for most of the 2019 season, so there's still plenty of time for him to figure things out.” I think this is the kind of prospect the Mets should target as he has defense and running skills they lack. For his career Lolo has hit .254, 286 hits in 1,124 at-bats, 13 HR, 99 RBI, 121 walks, 168Ks.
Andy Sugilio of the Reds, Switch Hitter.  Per Baseball Savant: “A very lean kid listed at 170 pounds, …surprising 50-60 level raw power on the 20-to-80 scouting scale…above average base runner with speed that makes him a base stealing threat. Sugilio can also cover a lot of ground in the outfield. Not an instinctive defender, he has the arm for the corner spots but could still hold his own as a center fielder. Scouting grades: Hit: 50 | Power: 45 | Run: 60 | Arm: 55 | Field: 50 | Overall: 45.”  He has 73 steals out of 103 career attempts.  Last year he hit .294, 134 hits in 456 at-bats, .331 OBP, .360 slugging, 92 Ks, 24 BBs.  Not sure if he can justify a MLB spot all year, but if the Mets can get him in the Minor league portion, they should take him. 

Next up, The Phillies Jhailyn Ortiz, Right Handed batter. Per Baseball Savant: One of the best prospects in the 2015-16 international signing period class, Ortiz's power potential was great enough to entice the Phillies to give him $4 million to sign that July...raw power…a 70 on the 20-to-80 scouting scale….He continues to show he's athletic enough to play an outfield corner, showing a plus arm at times.  Scouting grades: Hit: 45 | Power: 60 | Run: 40 | Arm: 55 | Field: 50 | Overall: 45.  Phillies Blog, “That Ball’s outta here” had this: “This past season at High-A Clearwater, the 21-year-old slashed just .200/.272/.381 with 19 home runs and 149 strikeouts.” With Charlie Manual saying ““[Jhailyn’s] doing good. He’s got the chance to be a real good hitter. He has what I call a ‘strong back side.’ He stays behind the ball good and has quick hands. When he hits the ball, it looks like it doesn’t want to come down.”  Looks like a good gamble, but again I would see if he is available in the minor league portion. 

I really like this next prospect's power potential and arm:

Seuly Matias Royals:



RF | B/T: R/R | 6' 3" 198 | Age: 21, La Isabela, Dominican Republic; Scouting grades: Hit: 45 | Power: 60 | Run: 55 | Arm: 70 | Field: 55 | Overall: 45; “Matias has as much raw power as just about anybody in Minor League baseball, with some evaluators saying putting an 80 on the 20-to-80 scouting scale on it would not be outlandish. The big question is whether he can make enough contact to continue to get to that power in games. Blessed with one of the strongest arms in the system, Matias has the chance to truly fit the right-field profile in the future. Moving to more pitching-friendly parks and facing more advanced pitching should provide a good challenge for the 21-year-old.”  Again the tools to be an upgrade in Binghamton or Syracuse. 

Here’s one that I think is a real sleeper:

Reds AA CF TJ FriedlB/T: L/L | 5' 10" 180 | Age: 24; Sewickley, PA USA; Scouting grades: Hit: 45 | Power: 40 | Run: 60 | Arm: 45 | Field: 60 | Overall: 45; “Friedl needs to figure out how to maximize his offensive value and do the little things -- such as bunting, slashing hits on the ground, the hit-and-run and moving runners -- enhancing his chances to reach his floor as a really good fourth outfielder. But with his speed, personality and ability to provide maximum effort, he could work himself into becoming an everyday center fielder.” .277 lifetime minor league average with 351 hits in 1,265 at-bats, 20HRs, 134 RBIs, 147 walks, 260 Ks. 

Looking at these prospects and seeing just about all of them with more strikeouts than hits made me go back and look at the Mets players left unprotected.  

Come to find out that Mets Binghamton Catcher Patrick Mazieka in his minor league career has 430 hits and 248 K’s.  

So while others where stirking out more than getting hits, Patrick had almost double the hits than strikeouts.  Some people criticize his .245 average last year (after a .194 in the frigid/wet April).  But Patrick also drove in 69 RBIs (tied for second in the Eastern League).  That meant when he did make out, they were productive outs that drove in runs.  As a left had hitting catcher that can also play first base. He could be the third catcher, a lefty off the bench, give Pete Alonso a day off when needed.  

I hope they don’t lose him in the draft today.

Read more...

John From Albany – Mets Breakfast Links 12/12/2019

0 comments

Mets news from the Winter Meetings and we had winter league baseball last night.

MLB Trade Rumors: The Los Angeles Angels have signed Anthony Rendon.  At least he is out of the division.


MLB Trade Rumors reported that the Mets signed Michael Wacha. It guarantees $3MM…with up to $7MM in possible incentives.

Mets 360 said the Mets rectified 2012 draft mistake by signing Michael Wacha.  They note: “With the 12th pick the Mets took Gavin Cecchini…Wacha was the 19th pick and Stroman was the 22nd pick.”




SNY.TV says the Mets are talking to the Astros about Carlos Correa. “The Astros might want Matthew Allan, the first round-caliber high school pitcher the Mets smartly drafted with a third-round pick last June, ignoring warnings that he wouldn't sign, but they'd have to get more than that for Correa. And, in truth, with so little high-ceiling pitching in their system, the Mets can hardly afford to trade Allan. So while Brodie Van Wagenen should continue to explore the possibility, it's hard to see how the teams match up to make such a deal.”

The NY Post says that Steve Cohen is staying on right track to rescue Mets. “At the winter meetings, Commissioner Rob Manfred indicated he is satisfied with the manner in which team owners Fred Wilpon and Saul Katz are proceeding on the sale…Manfred said he had to be notified before Wilpon and Katz put the team on the market, and those guidelines were “followed to a T.” Manfred also indicated he has been kept apprised of the process.”




Elite Sports NY has how Yu Darvish says that J.D. Davis is one of the toughest hitters in MLB. “Davis could be a special hitter. If the Mets are serious about trading him, they have to make sure the deal is worth it.”

Reflections on Baseball asks why the Mets won’t take a flyer on Matt Harvey.  “Matt Harvey may or may not be an answer to strengthening the Mets team in 2020. But what would it hurt to at least try…”

The Rule 5 draft is today.  We will have more on this later this morning here at Mack’s Mets. 



In the Dominican league, Daniel Zamora was the only Met to see action for Toros Del Este as they won last night 4-2 (box).

With two out in the 8th and Juan Lagares on third base, Daniel came in and gave up a single scoring Juan.  Instead of facing the next batter, Carlos Gomez, Daniel was removed. The new pitcher induced Carlos to hit into a force play ending the inning.  So while he gave up an inherited runner, no runs were charged to Daniel Zamora.

Mack’s Mets blast from the past comes from January 2012: Mack on Baseball Chapter 7 – Do the Math.

UltimateMets has this date in Mets History:

Transactions:

New York Mets traded Jim Gosger and Bob Heise to the San Francisco Giants for Ray Sadecki and Dave Marshall on December 12, 1969.


New York Mets traded Rusty Staub and Bill Laxton to the Detroit Tigers for Mickey Lolich and Billy Baldwin on December 12, 1975.

New York Mets traded Gene Clines to the Texas Rangers for Joe Lovitto on December 12, 1975.

New York Mets traded Roy Lee Jackson to the Toronto Blue Jays for Bob Bailor on December 12, 1980.

New York Mets signed free agent Orlando Mercado of the Minnesota Twins on December 12, 1989.

New York Mets traded Alex Ochoa to the Minnesota Twins for Rich Becker on December 12, 1997.

New York Mets signed free agent Jose Valentin of the Los Angeles Dodgers on December 12, 2005.

New York Mets traded Scott Schoeneweis to the Arizona Diamondbacks for Connor Robertson on December 12, 2008.

Ambiorix Burgos granted free agency on December 12, 2008.

New York Mets claimed Jeremy Hefner on waivers from the Pittsburgh Pirates on December 12, 2011.

Michael Cuddyer announced his retirement on December 12, 2015.


Want something else tracked here each day?  Please leave a comment below.
Read more...

12/11/19

Mike Freire - Gerrit Cole's Monster Deal

1 comments

Good Day, Mets' fans.

I am sure most of you are aware that the prize of the 2019 free agent market has agreed to a contract with the Evil Empire across town.  Yes, Gerrit Cole will become the ace of the Yankees pitching staff and his contract is rumored to be for NINE years and 324 million dollars!

Let that sink in for a second.

I am not sure how the money will be disbursed, but the annual average is 36 million dollars. A "normal" season's worth of starts for a front of the rotation pitcher is usually around 32 or 33 starts depending on health, etc.  So, Gerrit Cole will be getting paid north of 1 million dollars per start for the duration of his contract.

Breaking this down further, if he averages seven innings per start, he will be getting paid roughly 158,590 dollars per inning.  Or, if he averages approximately 110 pitchers per start, he will be getting paid 10,101 dollars per pitch!



I probably sound a bit like a jealous Mets' fan looking longingly across town at a franchise that doesn't mind spending money to put a winning product on the field. That is mostly correct, but I am also looking at the money flying around this offseason and asking how long can this financial irresponsibility keep going?


Say what you want about the smaller market teams, but I don't see a future for a lot of the teams on the fringes of Major League Baseball if this keeps going.  The bottom five teams in 2019 regarding overall payroll figures were the White Sox, Marlins, Orioles, Pirates and Rays.  The average team payroll amongst those five teams was basically 75.45 million dollars.  Gerrit Cole will make just under HALF of what those five teams paid their entire rosters last year.

That is simply insane.

Gerrit Cole is a fantastic pitcher and if anyone in baseball deserved a monster contract, the 29 year old is the guy I would pick.  He has been pretty durable since his debut with the Pirates in 2013, averaging over 27 starts per year.  He has also produced an average of 3.23 WAR per year with the peripheral stats to support it.  Plus, he has been even better since landing in Houston so he is trending in the right direction.

But....you have to wonder if he will be able to live up to his new contract which will cover his age 29 through age 37 years.  Very few pitchers stay healthy during that window and most will start the inevitable athletic decline at some point during the same.  I think the Yankees will be happy if they get five or six good years out of that deal and a championship or two, which isn't that far fetched with their roster.

On a side note, for as much crap as Brodie takes from our fan base (most of it is deserved), you have to give him props for getting Jake DeGrom's contract extension done last year.  Jake signed a 5 year, 137.5 million dollar deal which averages 27.5 million dollars per season, or 8.5 million dollars per year less then Gerrit Cole's new deal.

I doubt that anyone looks at 27.5 million dollars as a bargain, but when you compare Jake's stats (5.81 WAR per year since 2014) to Gerrit Cole's, it is hard to come to any other conclusion.


Read more...

OPEN THREAD - Starling Marte

17 comments


Reports (sic) are that the Mets are kicking the tires on OF Starling Marte.

The Pirates are supposedly looking for a 'team controlled catcher'.


Marte will play 2020 as a 31-year old. Last year, he hit .295 while hitting 23 home runs and knocking in 82.

He is under contract only through 2020, at $11.5mil.

So...   are you interested here and, if you are, what kind of package would you offer,  


Read more...

Tom Brennan - WHEN DWIGHT GOODEN WAS SIMPLY SURREAL

5 comments
Dwight Gooden in 1986: Wikipedia

When Dwight Gooden burst upon the scene at age 19, he was a revelation.

But he had one multi-year stretch, amazingly at the ages of 19-21, that was simply surreal and astounding: unprecedented, even.

On August 1 and August 6 of his rookie season in 1984, just prior to an unparalleled stretch in baseball history, he seemed to violently hit the wall:

In just 7 IP over those two August starts, he gave up 13 runs and 18 hits.  Yep, that actually happened to Gooden in 1984.  Tattooed.  Destroyed.  Mortal.  Doing his best Chris Flexen imitation.

After that, though, came a simply stunning multi-season stretch:

From August 11, 1984 through the end of 1984, Gooden had 9 starts.  He went 8-1, with a 1.18 ERA, and in 76 innings (an average of 8.1 IP per start), he allowed just 42 hits and fanned 105, including 16 K outings in back to back games in September 1984.   

Everyone in baseball and in fandom was stunned.

He had 6 complete games in that stretch, and got a win in a game where he threw 9 shutout innings, where the Mets scored 2 in the 10th to get him the win. 

He turned 20 after the season in November.

1985?  Needs little explanation.  The 20 year old won the Cy Young, and did the following:

35 starts, 24-4, 1.53 ERA, 268 Ks in 277 IP, and a 0.96 WHIP.

He turned 21 after the season in November.

1986?  Some of his mortality started to show after several starts into 1986. 

But first. the brilliance of late 1984 and all of 1985 continued into early 1986.

In his first 6 season starts in 1986, he went 5-0, 1.04 ERA, with 39 Ks in 52 IP.

So, over that 50 start stretch from late 1984 into early 1986, Dwight did this:

37-5 (.881), 412 Ks in 392 IP.  Just 63 earned runs spanning 50 starts!  ERA? An astounding 1.40.  Complete games? 26.


Sadly, whether it was overuse at such an early age, drug abuse or both, he was good after that, but far inferior to that 50 game stretch.  

He was 17-6, 2.84 in 1986.  Still Great.  But after his brilliant first 6 starts in 1986, Gooden was still good, but comparatively was not close to his prior brilliance: he went just 12-6 with an ERA of 3.32 the rest of the way.  

His ERAs in the following seasons were good, but nver again great: 3.21 (1987), 3.19 (1988), 2.89 (19 G in 1989), 3.83 (1990), 3.60 (1991), 3.67 (1992), 3.45 (1993), and 6.21 (7 starts in 1994).   He went 111-72 during that stretch, much of that fine record being due to pitching for an above average offensive team.  

Quality years for most pitchers - but after that other-worldly, preceding 37-5, 50 game stretch with a 1.40 ERA?   He went all the way from All Time Great, to merely a solid SP 2 equivalent.  And, in 1992-94, going just 25-32, he pitched more like an SP-4 or SP-5.

Sadly, after he went 37-5 in that 50 start stretch, and was just 21 years old, I thought at the time that he would eventually be recognized post-career as the uncontested greatest MLB starter of all time.  The pitcher that Sandy Koufax once watched and essentially said, "I'd trade my past for his future."

Nope - Gooden didn't even make the Hall of Fame.

But, man, how exhilarating was that 50 game stretch?

Simply, the best.  

The only Mets thing to come close to approaching it for me was Pete Alonso's 53 HR rookie season.

Read more...
Mack's Mets © 2012