Andrew Painter
Mack's spin -
You know how much I have liked this guy. He was my early pick for the Mets as ten and I would still be thrilled if the Mets picked him.
To me, he is a front end prospect.
RHP 6-6 220 Calvary Christian Acamedy (FL)
1-26-21 - BA -
10. Andrew Painter, RHP, Calvary Christian HS, Fort Lauderdale, Fla.
Areas To Improve: Be the same pitcher last summer this spring over more innings
Of all the players on this list, Painter might be the toughest to find a true area of weakness to suss out. He’s a complete prep pitching prospect that checks most boxes scouts want to see with a projectable frame, loose and easy arm action, four-pitch mix and potential for above-average control. Since “be lefthanded” isn’t really an option, we’ll instead say that Painter needs to go out this spring and simply be the same pitcher he was last summer, but over more innings. If he can increase the power of his breaking balls, that would be a cherry on top.
1-22-21 - fish stripes
RHP Andrew Painter, Calvary Christian Academy (FL)
10th-ranked draft prospect on Baseball America, 11th on MLB Pipeline, 16th on Prospects Live
Andrew Painter would be a great pick for the Miami Marlins if he’s available at 16. Painter is a right-handed pitcher at Calvary Christian Academy in South Florida and he might be the top prep pitcher in the draft.
At 6’7” 230 pounds, Painter has a very large frame and could still add more solid weight to his frame. Painter has a four-pitch mix on the mound with a fastball that tops 97 mph. He also manipulates his fastball at times to be a two and four seamer. His best two secondary pitchers are his curveball and changeup which are graded as a 55 on MLB Pipeline.
Painter also has good control on the mound and does a good job of mixing his pitches to keep hitters off balance. He has an advanced feel for his pitches and also does a great job of repeating his delivery.
If Painter is somehow available at 16, the Marlins should at least really consider taking him. The only thing that could hold the Marlins back from taking Painter is the fact that the Marlins only took pitchers last draft and they already have an incredibly deep pitching farm system. Andrew Painter is signed to the University of Florida.
1-20-21 - prospect live -
#13
Philadelphia Phillies
Andrew Painter
RHP, Calvary Christian Academy (HS)
The Phillies taking the best prep pitcher two years in a row? Certainly a good possibility as the organization has been shy to hunt upside. Painter has shown improved velocity over the past year, now topping out at 97 MPH and sitting in the mid-90's. There's a curveball and slider that he has good feel for, as well as a change-up that's flashed above average. Command for his arsenal is average right now, so that will be a point of development as he jumps to pro ball. With a big, long, projectable frame and effortless operation on the mound, Painter is pretty comfortably the top prep arm in the 2021 class.
1-14-21 - Baseball America
Andrew Painter
Calvary Christian HS, Fort Lauderdale, Fla. RHP
Ht: 6-6 | Wt: 230 | B-T: R-R
Commit/Drafted: Florida
Age At Draft: 18.3
Painter established himself as the top all-around arm in a deep and dynamic 2021 high school pitching class this summer. While there may be pitchers who reach more impressive high-end velocities, it’s hard to find a high school pitcher who checks as many boxes as Painter—leading many evaluators to compare him to 2020 first-rounder Mick Abel. Abel has a large, still-projectable frame and is listed at 6-foot-6, 230 pounds and he throws with a tremendously loose and easy three-quarter arm action with little to no effort in the finish. Painter has a complete four-pitch mix, led by a fastball that’s routinely in the mid 90s initially, before settling into the 90-94 mph range. He spins the ball well and throws two distinct breaking balls, including a low-80s slider and a mid-to-upper-70s curveball. He also has shown feel for a low-80s changeup. On top of his four-pitch mix, frame and delivery, Painter also has a long track record of standout strike throwing, projecting for at least above-average control. While the industry has generally steered away from prep righthanders in the first round, a handful still go high and Painter is as close to the ideal version of a prep arm as you could design in 2020. It’s difficult to envision a scenario where he makes it to Florida, as the industry sees him as a no-doubt top of the first round talent.
12-26-20 - Baseball Prospect Journal Mock Draft 1.0 -
13. Philadelphia Phillies: Andrew Painter, RHP, Calvary Christian (Fa.) Academy
Painter currently is the top prep arm in the 2021 MLB draft class. He has a notable 6-foot-6, 210-pound frame, repeats his low-effort delivery well, and fills up the strike zone. He has a fastball that sits in the mid-90s and shows a solid feel for his changeup, curveball, and slider.
12-25-20 - https://medium.com/minor-league-madhouse/2021-mlb-mock-draft-3
San Francisco Giants
You have to go back to 2018 to find a high school pitcher that was chosen in the top 10, that was Carter Stewart who went 8th to the Braves and didn’t sign. Since then the first prep pitchers taken were Quinn Priester (18th, 2019, PIT) and Mick Abel (15th, 2020, PHI). Andrew Painter will likely continue this non top 10 trend barring an outstanding spring for Calvary Christian. That said, Painter does check off certain boxes. He has a strong four pitch mix, an ideal pitcher’s frame, athleticism and easy, repeatable mechanics. Painter is intriguing enough as his offerings show potential and yet he seems to bring a veteran mentality to the mound. The Giants could use a young starter like him, and he would thrive in the pitching friendly environment.
12-24-20 - Jim Callis Q and A -
Q - In recent years, the industry seems to have soured on drafting high school pitching. Would you say that it's still trending that way? Or is the pendulum going to move back as high school pitching starts to get undervalued?
Due to this, how late could Andrew Painter be on the board?
Jim Callis - The industry considers high school catchers and pitchers (especially right-handers) the riskiest demographics in the Draft. The best ones typically go lower than media outlets rank them and Mick Abel (No. 15 to the Phillies, 2019) is the only prep arm to go in the upper half of the last two first rounds. But four did in 2018, Hunter Greene and MacKenzie Gore went second and third overall in 2017 and five of the first 12 picks were high school pitchers in 2016.
The 2021 Draft is still seven months away, but as of now, I don't anticipate many high school arms going in the first round. That's not because teams are running way from them, rather that the prep arms are a weaker class than usual. Calvary Christian Academy (Fort Lauderdale, Fla.) right-hander Andrew Painter has the size, stuff and polish to go in the first 10 picks, though based on recent history it wouldn't be a surprise to see him last 5-10 selections longer than that.
12-18-20 - Future Sox Mock Draft -
11. Washington Nationals: Andrew Painter, RHP, Calvary Christian HS (FL)
Mike Rizzo and the Nationals haven’t been afraid to tab prep righties in the past and Painter is the best one in this class. The 6-foot-6 Floridian possesses raw stuff and an advanced feel to pitch which is rare for high school hurlers. He has a legitimate four pitch mix and touches 96 mph with his four-seam fastball. He’s big and athletic and already has a plus changeup in tow with the makings of a solid breaking ball as well.
12-3-20 - Perfect Game combined their picks for the first two rounds in this mock draft -
13. Philadelphia Phillies | Andrew Painter, RHP, Calvary Christian Academy (Fla.) | (2/42) Christian Franklin, OF, Arkansas
Getting the chance to select the top-ranked prep pitcher in any class is something to be thrilled about and the Phillies get a good one with right-hander Andrew Painter here in this mock. His fastball works comfortably in the mid-90s, with flashes of even more at times, while showing polish to a full four-pitch mix to go with projection to even more at a daunting 6-foot-7, 230 pounds. Christian Franklin in the second round gives them an established outfielder from the talent-rich program of Arkansas who has a combination of high contact rates and present power that could carry him through to the big leagues at a pretty quick rate. -Tyler Russo
Sakowski’s Take: Painter has established himself as the top prep arm at this point and while prep arms are extremely volatile, there’s a certain degree of polish to his profile and the mid-1st looks like a good value pick this far out. Franklin seems unlikely to get to pick 42 at this point given his toolset and performance, but that’s a monster pick in this hypothetical, and the Phillies would certainly feel great if they were able to nab this type of haul next July.
Mack, if they were all in this draft and if you as GM got to pick only one of the three in this draft: Matt Allan, a healthy J.T. Ginn, and Andrew Painter, who would you pick?
ReplyDeleteHmm.
ReplyDelete1. Pre TJS Ginn
2. Allan
3. Painter
4. Post TJS Ginn
Mack, I would flip a coin on pre-TJS Ginn and Allan. I would have Painter a close 3rd, from what I read in your article.
ReplyDeletePainter is one and one half seasons away.
ReplyDeleteI don't understand your last comment .. 1.5 seasons away?
ReplyDeleteHe does look like a great pick. .
From the majors
ReplyDeleteWow, for a current prep guy, that is a pretty strong statement. Sign me up as a fan.
ReplyDelete