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2/1/09

Mack's Mets Prospect #3 - OF Fernando Martinez



Fernando Martinez OF L R 6’0” 185 01-01-1988

In July 2005, the Mets signed Fernando Martinez as a free agent. His signing bonus was 1.4 million dollars. Most around that week said that he was highly influenced by the Mets signing of Carlos Beltran.

In 2006, Martinez was assigned to Hagerstown. He was leading the team in hitting when he went on the disabled list, first for a thumb injury, and later for injuring his knee sliding into second base.

OnDeck ranks him as the 4th top Mets prospect, RotoWorld has him #9 and BaseballAmerica puts him at #7. John Sickles’ pre-season rating was a C+ and ranked Martinez as the 8th Mets prospect. Rotoworld updated their prospect list in July 2006 and now have Martinez ranked #80. Scout.com also updated their rankings in 7/06 and put Martinez at #37 in baseball. Gotham Baseball updated their Mets prospect list in August 2006 and Martinez was ranked 4th. Martinez was named by the Mets as the co-MVP (with Jonathan Niese) for the 2006 Hagerstown team (A) of the South Atlantic League. The only thing that slowed him up in 2006 was his injuries.

A scouting report said: “Martinez keeps the bat in the hitting zone for a long time and stays inside the ball while driving it from gap to gap and his approach is advanced for his age. Scouts see power potential, though he presently has more of a line-drive swing. With a plus arm and speed, Martinez should be able to stay in center field. His overall performance was all the more impressive considering that he was making his pro debut after signing last summer for the biggest bonus on the international market in 2005.”

InsidePitch published their prospect list in November 2006 and had Martinez as 3rd on the list. From Rotoworld: “When Martinez was signed out of the Dominican Republic in July 2005, the word was that he wouldn't be allowed to play in the minors in 2006. Well, play he did, and he's already established himself as one of the game's best outfield prospects. A left-handed hitter capable of handling center field, Martinez is a premier talent on his way to showing 30-homer power. He didn't walk much as a 17-year-old, but he's less prone to low-and-away breaking balls than most hitters his age. It's likely that he'll end up as a right fielder, but he should be a very good one. He could be ready for the majors as soon as the second half of 2008 or 2009.” An added bonus is his defensive abilities, and is considered a sound CFer with a plus arm. On the down side, most of his power is still being projected, and a couple of scouts have commented negatively on his swing, which doesn’t seem to create enough loft.

In December 2006 Scout.com listed Martinez as one of the Mets Top 10 prospects and the 12th best outfield prospect in all of baseball. Fantasyinfocentral.com ranks him #1. Baseball Prospectus updated their top 10 Mets prospect listin December 2007 and listed Martinez as #1, with the label “excellent prospect”. The Mets are pleasantly surprised how quick his tools are translating on the field. John Sickles has Martinez as the #1 2007 Mets prospect, with an A- rating, and the comment: “(tools and youth, just needs refinement.”

In January 2007, SI.com listed Martinez as the 21st top prospect in baseball. Also in January, Rotoworld ranked Martinez as the 2nd top Mets prospect, and was quoted to say: “Martinez has plenty of time to develop and is about as good of a bet as anyone in the low minors to turn into a star.” Also in January, www.ESPN.com‘s Keith Law presented the first annual Scouts Inc. top baseball prospects list, and coming in at #6 was Fernando Martinez, stating: “Martinez doesn't look or carry himself like a teenager, and had no trouble against Double-A and Triple-A pitchers in the Arizona Fall League. Plus glove in center as well.”

In Febraury 2007, Scout.com ranked Martinez as the 3rd top Mets prospect.

In March 2007, ProjectProspect.com listed their “Top OFer’s Under 25” and ranked him #14, stating: “Known as “ Pequeño ” in the Arizona Fall League, Martinez, 18, is the top teenage Dominican prospect in the minors. After signing to a $1.4 million contract in 2005, he tore up Low-A Hagerstown before being awarded a late-season promotion to High-A St. Lucie. His production slowed after the promotion, but he put up .279/.336/.457 combined vitals.” Baseball America ranked Martinez as the #22 top prospect in baseball, saying: Followed up an impressive debut as a 17-year-old by holding his own in the Arizona Fall League - Opening Day Age: 18. ETA: 2009

Also in March 2007, Rotoworld came out with their Top 150 Prospect List and Martinez was ranked 10th in all of baseball. Rotoworld said: “While he wasn't quite ready for the Florida State League or the AFL, Martinez was stellar as a 17-year-old in the South Atlantic League, amassing an 894 OPS in 192 at-bats. The native of the Dominican Republic is a phenomenal talent. He's on his way to showing 30-homer power and might go well beyond that. He can also handle center field, though he'll probably be in right by the time he reaches the majors. A left-handed hitter, he does have trouble handling southpaws at the moment. Also, while he rarely looks as bad as some teenagers on low-and-away breaking balls, he's not yet adept at waiting for his pitch. Martinez has plenty of time to develop and is about as good of a bet as anyone in the low minors to turn into a star. He should spend most of 2007 back at St. Lucie, but a midyear promotion to Double-A can't be ruled out.

In late March, Fox Sports ranked Martinez as the 8th top prospect in baseball, saying: “Martinez was tremendous in his full-season debut, but he scuttled a bit after a promotion to High-A St. Lucie. Still, his performance was thoroughly impressive for a 17-year-old. On the field, he's impressive on a number of levels. He's got speed, a quick and level bat through the zone, good range in center and a polished approach overall. The only question is whether he'll develop the power. Considering his success against much older competition and his natural hitting skills, the power will probably come.

In July 2007, Rotoworld updated their top prospect list and ranked Martinez 8th in baseball, saying: “Martinez is currently on the DL with a hand injury, but he's hitting at least as well as should have been expected after the Mets got ridiculously aggressive and pushed him up to Double-A to begin the season. Martinez batted .333/.389/.505 in 192 AB in low-A and .193/.254/.387 in 119 AB in high-A as a 17-year-old last year. The power is sure to come in time, and he already has a pretty good feel for hitting, rarely embarrassing himself on outside breaking balls. Martinez is likely to end up in right field and should be well above average there. He may not arrive as quickly as the Mets hope, but he'll likely be a .300 hitter with 25- or 30-home run ability in time.”

2007 was a disappointing season for Martinez. He spent much of it on the IR, but did manage to play some for Binghamton (.271/.336/.377 in 236 at bats).

In November 2007, ‘Project Prospect’ listed him as the 2nd top prospect in all of baseball, ‘BA’ had him as the 5th top Mets proepct (‘young Dominican signee looks like a bust, but still scouts favorite’), another ‘Scounts.com’ listing had him the 2nd rank Met, and another ‘BA’ ranking had him as the #1 Mets up-and-comer.

Also in November, MiLB.com listed Milledge aa the 17th overall prospect in baseball, saving: Despite playing less than half a Minor League season, Martinez is still highly regarded by scouts around baseball. The Mets sent him to the Arizona Fall League in 2006, where he became the youngest player ever to participate there, and continued to push him aggressively by making the 18-year-old the youngest player in the Double-A Eastern League in 2007. A hand injury hampered him for much of the year and eventually ended his season in July.When healthy, Martinez has tremendous potential with the bat. He should eventually hit for both average and power from a corner outfield spot. He has the ability to play decent defense and isn't a bad runner, but all his skills are still on the raw side. Assuming he's healthy in 2008, Martinez should be able to continue his quick ascent to New York. Starting the year back in Double-A might be the way to go, but even if he begins there, it's unlikely he'll finish the season at the same level.
Lastly in November 2007, ‘Project Prospect’ ranked Martinez the #1 Mets prospect:
Entering the season with about as much momentum as any hitting prospect, Martinez stumbled upon a major roadblock in 2007. The Dominican native accomplished little at the plate while playing through what was initially thought to just be a bad bone bruise. In early August the injury was diagnosed as a broken hamate bone. The $1.4 M international signee had already amassed a feeble 9.0% line-drive rate to go along with a .106 isolated power and 0.39 walk-to-strikeout rate by that time. Martinez finished the season at No. 25 in our Top 25 prospect rankings. The 6-foot-1, 190-pound lefthanded hitter still has the potential to climb as high as the Top 3 on that list by the end of 2008. But the kind of injury he’s recovering from can take over a year to fully heal from, so temper your immediate expectations and prepare to be patient.

In December 2007, Jonathan Mayo/MLB.com wrote:

Slipped a rung - Fernando Martinez, OF: Yes, he was by far the youngest player in the Double-A Eastern League. Yes, a hand injury hampered him for most of the year and ended his season in July. And yes, scouts still, for the most part, like his potential. That being said, an uber-prospect like Martinez is expected to do more than the .713 OPS he put up in 60 Double-A games. He's also only played 139 games over the past two years. He certainly has time to start turning potential into performance, and perhaps the Mets moved him too quickly, but the 2007 season certainly didn't help his prospect status.

In January 2007, John Sickles ranked Martinez in his “top 50 hitters” column:

#17 - Fernando Martinez, OF, New York Mets - ‘Hit .271/.336/.377 in 60 games in Double-A. Plagued with injuries and was extremely young for the level. Still a great prospect but exact shape of his future is unclear’.
In January 2007, Keith Law/ESPN ranked Martinez #10 in his Top 100 Baseball Prospects, adding:

It's been fashionable this offseason for some writers to bash the Mets' top prospects, mostly vis-à-vis the Johan Santana trade talks, but this criticism has been way overblown. Martinez's 2007 performance doesn't impress on a quick look, but consider these facts: He played the entire season at age 18 in AA; and he was hitting .309/.372/.409 as late as May 25 before the effects of a contusion on his left hand ruined what remained of his season. He was shut down on June 23 and missed the rest of the year. Martinez shows huge raw power in BP that will make its way into his game performances, and he has a solid approach with good pitch recognition for someone so young. He has good range in center and a plus arm if he outgrows center field and has to move to right. To put his development in more perspective, if he'd played a full year at AA and hit .290/.360/.410 or so, he would have been on pace to debut in the big leagues at 19 or 20 and be a big league regular before he turned 21. He's going to be a star, but everyone has to bear in mind how young he is to keep his performance in perspective.

In late January 2007, Baseball America listed Martinez as the #1 Mets prospect in their system.

In February 2008, Baseball Prospectus listed Martinez as the only 4-star prospect in the Mets system, and the #1 overall Met prospect.

Also in February 2008, Rotoworld ranked Martinez as the #1 Mets prospect, saying:
Sure, they needed a center fielder, but it's hard to believe the Twins sent Johan Santana to the Mets without getting the team's best prospect in return. That was Martinez, though the four players the Twins received would have occupied the next four spots on New York's list.

Martinez, who received a $1.4 million bonus to sign at age 16, quickly established himself as a top prospect by hitting .333/.389/.505 in 192 at-bats at low-A Hagerstown in his pro debut in 2006. Moved up in August, he proceeded to bat .193/.254/.387 in 119 AB for high-A St. Lucie. Still, the Mets opted to get extremely aggressive and send him to Double-A for his age-18 season. He barely held his own in 60 games when he wasn't sidelined with hand injuries, but even that was rather impressive. Martinez is an enormous talent with 35-homer potential and the ability to hit for average. He should also prove to be an above average defender in right field with experience. He's at least one and probably two years away, but he's a star in the making.

Also in February 2008, ScoutingBook.com listed the 238 top prospects in 2008 baseball and they ranked Martinez as 28th, stating:

When the Mets assigned Martinez to be the youngest prospect to attend the Arizona Fall League, many were left skeptical of the Mets' chances at maximizing their value with the phenom. After all, in his final 15 games in the Florida State League, Martinez had gone 9-for-57 with three extra-base hits and 13 strikeouts. However, injuries had kept Martinez inactive for much of his first full season, so the AFL presented an opportunity for consistent playing time. Martinez significantly responded, displaying huge power potential from the left side. It appears the Mets know how to handle the teenager, who could use some time in the weight room and some improvements against southpaws to take the next step in 2008. The idea of Martinez and crosstown phenom Tabata reaching New York at the same time almost seems too good to be true, but the Mets haven't been this excited about an outfielder in a very while.

ProjectProspect came out with their revised Top 150 Prospect List also in February 2008, and Martinez was ranked 20th in baseball, adding: “stayed more than afloat as teen in AA then broke hamate; expect modest improvement .”

Baseball America came out with their list on 2-27-08 and ranked Martinez #10 in baseball.

In March, BA wrote an article on the ten prospects to watch out for in 2008:

Fernando Martinez, OF

In some ways, the key to the Johan Santana deal was the fact that New York did not have to give up its top prospect. Martinez is a natural hitter, the kind of talent the Mets feel comes around once in a generation. Martinez missed a lot of time in 2007 with a broken hamate bone, but he's completely healthy and he showed up to camp this spring with the goal of reaching the big leagues this season -- before he turns 20. He has the ability to hit for average and power and can run, though as he fills out, that might not be the best of his five tools. His makeup is off the charts -- he's worked tirelessly at improving his English and is willing to do what it takes to become great. He'll start the year at Binghamton and the Mets won't get in the way of his talent. If he stays healthy and produces the way he's capable, he could see New York before season's end.

In late March 2007, MiLB.com ranked their top 50 minor league prospects and placed Martinez as 17th, saying:

Despite playing less than half a Minor League season, Martinez is still highly regarded by scouts around baseball. The Mets sent him to the Arizona Fall League in 2006, where he became the youngest player ever to participate there, and continued to push him aggressively by making the 18-year-old the youngest player in the Double-A Eastern League in 2007. A hand injury hampered him for much of the year and eventually ended his season in July.

When healthy, Martinez has tremendous potential with the bat. He should eventually hit for both average and power from a corner outfield spot. He has the ability to play decent defense and isn't a bad runner, but all his skills are still on the raw side. Assuming he's healthy in 2008, Martinez should be able to continue his quick ascent to New York. Starting the year back in Double-A might be the way to go, but even if he begins there, it's unlikely he'll finish the season at the same level.
In June 2008, BA did a post-draft adjustment of their top 10 Mets prospects and Martinez was ranked #1, with the comments: “still young and talented, but his lack of production may mean he's overhyped

In late July, Rotoworld’s came out with their mid-season adjusted Top 150 Prospect List:

11. Fernando Martinez - With a .328 average in 119 at-bats since the beginning of May, it seems like Martinez is starting to get a handle on Double-A pitching. He got off to another slow start in April, and 32 of his 53 strikeouts came in the first month of the season. He's made adjustments versus breaking balls since, and he's collecting a lot of singles as a result. His power stroke isn't there yet at age 19, and it's likely similar adjustment periods are in store when he's promoted to Triple-A and later the majors. However, he remains an elite prospect with All-Star upside. He should possess the power to his 30 homers per year, and he projects as an above average defender in right field.

In late July 2008, ProjectProspect.com updated their top 10 Mets prospect list and Martinez was ranked #1

Martinez spent the 2008 season with Binghamton. He was dinged up twice, but fishihed with impressive numbers: .287/.340/.432, 8 HR, only 43 RBIs

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