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5/22/09

Top 10 OFres - New Ranking

OF:

Dustin Ackey - UNC junior… 6-1, 184… L/R… pure hitter with developing power… .477 wOBA high average, and walk hitter with speed. Through 4-1-09: .421 with eight homers and 23 RBIs in 28 games... .729 Slug% .530 OBP… TJS over the summer… excellent base-runner… now limited to playing 1B instead of outfield… probably the best hitting in the country… as freshman: .402/.448/.591… led nation with 119 hits… as sophomore: .417/.503/.597… was hitting .415/.586/.707 in Cape Cod League before quitting for TJS… has superstar potential… 2009: as of 4/7: matched career high with 10 HR… also: .411/.520/.734… has enough athleticism to play the outfield, perhaps even center field… through 4/23: 395/.505/.716… many consider the best overall hitter in the country. Thru 4/25: .310 IsoP… thru 5/7: .395, 15 HRs, 47 RBIs… from BP: 5/12: It wasn't a good week for the Tar Heels, as one of the top teams in the country dropped two of three to sub-.500 North Carolina State. Scouts got what they wanted, however, as Ackley spent the entire series in center field after playing the majority of the year at first base due to some arm troubles. The difference in the draft between a guy who can hit and play center field and the same guy playing first base and possibly a little bit of center is massive, and now that Ackley is proving he can handle center field, his draft stock is sitting firmly in the first five picks. As for the hitting, we know he can do that; after two hits on Friday, a triple and two walks on Saturday, and a double and a home run on Sunday, his batting line is a very healthy .401/.510/.746. 5/12: played center field for 18 straight innings, effectively answering the questions about his ability to make the necessary throws and thus pushing his draft value… named ACC player of the year, as first baseman… From Lincoln Hamilton’s Top 30 draftees… #2 (top outfielder on list) - CF - Draft's best hitter, .405/.511/.744 with 44 BB and 27 K, ++ runner should cover ground in CF – age: 21.2… 5/21: Jonathan Mayo’s Top 10 picks for the draft: - #2 (1st outfielder on list) - Seattle Mariners: Dustin Ackley, 1B/OF, North Carolina - This is where it gets murkier. After Strasburg, it's still very much up in the air. If the Mariners want to go with a pitcher, it's looking like Crow and perhaps Kyle Gibson are still in the mix. It's no secret that when he was the Brewers' scouting director, Mariners general manager Jack Zduriencik loved the bats, and Ackley's the best one in this class. The question mark around him is his position, as most would like him to play the outfield, but he hasn't been out there very much for scouts to evaluate. Considering Zdureincik took Matt LaPorta and turned him into an outfielder, it might not matter.




2. Donavan Tate - Cartersville HS, Georgia… 5-tool talent – may not sign due to commitment to UNC… 6-3, 200… 5-tools… runs 6.34 in 60-yard dash… 80 speed, 70+ arm, 60+ defense…in October 2008, Baseball America projected him as the seventh overall pick in the draft… committed to UNC. Football star as well… ***possible draft signing problems*** - From Lincoln Hamilton’s Top 30 draftees… #4 (#2 outfielder on list) - CF - Tremendous athlete with fantastic five tool potential, UNC commit could be pricey – age: 18.6

3. Jason Kipnis - ASU junior… 6-0, 180… L/R… 18.9% BB .380 IsoP… 4th round pick '08… thru 4-1-09: .469, 9 HR, 39 RBI, .561 OBP, .919 slug%, 11-13 SB… polished.. limited power… strong for his size… through 4-7: .429/.536/.829… through 4-19: .383/.491/.780, 14 HR, 14SB… leads team in walks. Through 4/23: .403/.506/.763… 11 HRs, 15 SB, 29 BB, 16K/139AB… thru 5/6: .376/12HRs/58RBIs… From Lincoln Hamilton’s Top 30 draftees… #23 (#3 outfielder on list) - CF - Productive speedster with patience (17.7% BB) and power (.349 IsoP) 4th round pick '08 age: 22.1


4. Mike Trout – ( up from #16) Millville HS (NJ) – from BA 5/8: - Every Draft class has a share of exciting toolsy high school outfielders and this one is no exception. Trout has been rising up Draft boards as the weather in the Northeast has improved and he showed his skill set recently in a game against Ocean City High School… From Lincoln Hamilton’s Top 30 draftees… #24 (#4 outfielder on list) - CF This spring's NE pop-up guy, very toolsy and competitive, solid hitter w/ pop, + range in CF age: 17.7… 5/21: Jonathan Mayo’s Top 10 picks for the draft: - # 6. (2nd outfielder on list) - San Francisco Giants: Michael Trout, OF, Millville Senior HS, N.J.- And now we have our first high schooler going off the board. This is a little bit of a leap, but there's no doubt Trout has been a late riser on Draft boards. Word is the Giants have been in heavy to see the toolsy outfielder and they are an organization willing to take whoever they want, regardless of perception. In that regard, they could also have interest in Tate. They could have an interest in Wheeler if they wanted to go with the young power arm instead.


5. Kentrail Davis) - strong & athletic… production down in '09… in October 2008, Davis was ranked as the projected 15th overall pick in the draft… 2009: as of April: stats way down in 2009 from last year… very well built… gap-to-gap power… great command of strike zone… threat to steal… below average throwing arm. As of 4/23: .297/.428/.525… strikeout rate high… a rival coach who saw him recently said Davis looked to be pressing…

6. Jared Mitchell - LSU sophomore… 6-0, 192, L/L… 5-tools… .316 IsoP, 29.3% BB, however, only K 18.3%, ++ speed… was drafted in the 13th round of the 2006 draft by the Twins… 2008: .297 (52-175), 10 doubles, 6 HRs, 29 RBIs, 44 R, 16 SB… thru 4/25: .310/.470/.595, 33 BB, but struck out 26.5% of at bats… may return to school to play football…

7. Tim Wheeler - Sacramento State junior… 6-4, 205… .718 SLG and 7 stolen bases through March 2009… plus speed and above average presence on the bases… limited power… through April 25: .383/.491/.780, 12 HRs and 14 stolen bases in 16 attempts… 5/16: Showing power/speed combo with .786 SLG and 15 stolen bases

8. Jake Marisnick - Poly HS… 6-4, 200… toolsy… plus power and speed… turning 18… 2007: .495, 5 HR, 22 RBIs… verbally committed to Oregon… runs 6.7 60-yard dash; has 35.8-inch vertical leap… pure athlete…

9. A.J. Pollack –(up from 11h) - Notre Dame… junior… 6-1, 200, R/R… great approach to plate… gap-to-gap line-drive hitter… above-average runner… a little flat footed… strength is hitting ability… also, has above average speed. Considered one of the top hitters in the draft… as of 4/23: 352/441/.528 with 15 steals in 19 attempts, 21 walks, 15 strikeouts in 142 at-bats… From Lincoln Hamilton’s Top 30 draftees… #29 (#5 outfielder on list) - CF - Good athlete and a plus runner, showed solid power (.239 IsoP) great contact (8.0% K) age: 21.4

10. Brett Nommensen - Eastern Illinois senior… 5-10, 190… as of 4-2-09, Nommensen leads the nation in OBP with .643… also: .518/.643/1.024, 10 HRs, 21 RBI, 5 SB in 24 G… 2008: .402… led the team in batting average, hits, multi-hit games, runs scored, doubles, slugging percentage, walks, on-base-percentage, stolen bases and outfield assists… 4-6-9: named Ohio Valley POW… hit .739 for the week… 2nd pow this year… as of 4/8: 17th rank nationally with 11 HRs… as of 4-7-09: .516/.642/1.022… April 21: out with a wrist injury

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