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11/21/17

Tom Brennan - FIRST, YA GOTTA SHOW UP



Tom Brennan - FIRST, YA GOTTA SHOW UP

I hate tables, like the one below - I went to edit the table in Excel, and when I returned it from Excel, my article was gone.  POOF!  So I will try to recreate the concept briefly.


There is much discussion about the Mets' needing to stay within a spending budget.  We as Mets fans, all we hear is that we're working within a budget, that there isn't much to spend, and how should we spend our paltry ducats on middle of the road players while other teams splurge on the high profile guys.

What about the revenue side, though? 

Simply put, winning teams win more games.  An 80 game winner will, all other things being equal, draw fewer fans than if it were a 90 win team.  A 90 win team will , all other things being equal, draw fewer fans than if it were a 95 win team.

Fewer tickets get sold at big discounts when the product is more in demand, and concessions and food and beverage sales also ascend northward.

TV ratings go up too, as fans love to watch, and that drives ad revenues.

Spending well and generously can have an ameliorating impact on revenues, franchise value and the like.  And, of course, if the team makes the playoffs and gives it a nice run, that is Jackpot City for ownership.

In the table below, we see that the Yanks averaged 36,048 fans, while the big market Mets averaged a middle of the pack 30,563.  At home, the disparity is more like 9,000 fans per game at the House that Ruth Rebuilt, all of whom spend $$ on tickets, food, brews, etc.

What would a return to health for our pitchers and Cespedes, and some dandy, even if costly acquisitions do for the Mets?  What if there were even 5,000 more fannies in seats for Mets home games because last year's 70 win team becomes 2018's 92 win team?  Revenues would go up, what, $40 - $50 million? Maybe more? 

My call?  Go for the wins, spend the real money for real quality players, and buy your team a playoff lotto ticket that you might actually get to cash in, you low budget owners. 

The minor league system won't get it done for you in 2018, because you, well, didn't draft all that good in 2011-17, so spend the money, Sonny.

Also in the table below, what you see is primarily that the teams that drew more than the Mets were big market, strong teams, and smaller market, really strong teams.  Below the Mets?  Mostly lousy teams in big markets and not-very-good teams in smaller markets.  Owners, let's get Mets' attendance into the top 5 - get some real players - by spending some real money.

OK, I'm signing off before my article vanishes again.  Have a great day, and SHOW UP.




2017 Attendance Home Road Overall
RK TEAM GMS TOTAL AVG GMS  AVG  GMS AVG
1 LA Dodgers 81 3,765,856 46,492 81 33,579 162 40,035
2 St. Louis 81 3,447,937 42,567 81 31,324 162 36,945
3 San Francisco 81 3,303,652 40,785 81 31,376 162 36,081
47 NY Yankees 79 3,146,966 39,835 81 32,354 160 36,048
5 Toronto 81 3,203,886 39,554 81 29,912 162 34,733
6 Chicago Cubs 81 3,199,562 39,500 81 34,460 162 36,980
7 LA Angels 81 3,019,583 37,278 81 27,663 162 32,471
8 Colorado 81 2,953,650 36,464 81 30,575 162 33,520
9 Boston 81 2,917,678 36,020 81 31,563 162 33,792
10 Milwaukee 81 2,558,722 31,589 81 30,530 162 31,060
11 Washington 81 2,524,980 31,172 81 29,967 162 30,570
12 Texas 81 2,507,760 30,960 81 26,699 162 28,829
13 Atlanta 81 2,505,252 30,929 79 29,230 160 30,090
14 NY Mets 80 2,460,622 30,757 81 30,372 161 30,563
15 Houston 81 2,403,671 29,674 79 27,678 160 28,689
16 Detroit 81 2,321,599 28,661 80 26,725 161 27,699
17 Kansas City 80 2,220,370 27,754 80 28,458 160 28,106
18 San Diego 81 2,138,491 26,401 81 32,161 162 29,281
19 Seattle 81 2,135,445 26,363 80 26,797 161 26,579
20 Arizona 81 2,134,375 26,350 81 31,939 162 29,144
21 Minnesota 80 2,051,279 25,640 80 27,797 160 26,719
22 Cleveland 81 2,048,138 25,285 80 27,729 161 26,499
23 Baltimore 81 2,028,424 25,042 81 29,457 162 27,250
24 Philadelphia 79 1,905,354 24,118 81 30,940 160 27,571
25 Pittsburgh 81 1,919,447 23,696 81 32,633 162 28,164
26 Cincinnati 81 1,836,917 22,677 81 32,094 162 27,386
27 Chicago White Sox 79 1,629,470 20,626 81 28,443 160 24,583
28 Miami 81 1,651,997 20,395 80 29,160 161 24,750
29 Oakland 80 1,475,721 18,446 80 29,466 160 23,956
30 Tampa Bay 80 1,253,619 15,670 81 29,898 161 22,800









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5 comments:

  1. Reese KaplanNovember 21, 2017 at 11:28 AM

    So in other words, it takes money to make money. Therein lies the rub. You are asking the Wilpons to allocate some of their country club dues, private jet funds, Italian sports cars and designer clothing allowance to instead put a quality product on the field with the long term goal of building a revenue generating machine. To do so would require both courage and vision which, outside of the real estate aspect, have not been hallmarks of the family style. Where's Bernie Madoff when you need him?

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. UnknownNovember 21, 2017 at 12:58 PM

      Have you ever eeen how Jeff dresses ? More like off the rack at Simms than at Gucci .. that being said I have been in a Mets sponsored blogger think tank back in the day & Jeff’s baseball & I have found business acumen to be lacking

      Delete
  2. Tom BrennanNovember 21, 2017 at 11:36 AM

    Reese, as always, the choice is the Wilpons (and other owners). Of course, unlike, most teams, they do not have the Yankees playing 10 miles away. Some non-rabid people may have to decide between the Mets and Yanks when deciding where to spend their finite dollars on ball games - they are not automatically Mets or Yanks - those people will continue to more and more heavily skew to opting to buy Yanks tickets instead of Mets tickets, unless the Mets fight fire with fire.

    ReplyDelete
  3. Mack AdeNovember 21, 2017 at 12:33 PM

    Tom -

    That might be the worse Excel sheet reprint I have ever seen. Good work, son.

    ReplyDelete
  4. Tom BrennanNovember 21, 2017 at 1:00 PM

    It looked better positioned when I first had it in there, but had some unnecessary columns that caused part of it to hide beyond the right border.

    After I cut it out to resize it in Excel, then went to paste it back in, the whole article was gone.

    So I copied the slimmer schedule in there, as is (looking ugly), and did not try to fix it again!! Fool me once...

    ReplyDelete