Tomorrow one of the first big tests of Brodie Van Wagenen’s
short tenure as the GM of the Mets will take place as teams must provide to MLB
their 40-man roster list prior to the Winter Meetings that take place next
month. It is the final opportunity to protect
minor leaguers from the Rule V draft that takes place after the winter
meetings.
As it stands today, the Mets have 38 players on their 40-man
roster, including the infirmed David Wright and Yoenis Cespedes who are
occupying places. Of course, once the
season begins they can be shifted to the 60-day DL and thus free up their
40-man roster spots, but that doesn’t help the club in November.
There has been some coverage in the media about the Mets
needing to work out an insurance company buyout of David Wright in order to
remove him from the roster in permanent retirement, much as the Rangers did
with Prince Fielder. That is a test of
both BVW’s ability to get things done and his talent for convincing his golf
buddy Jeffy to spend now for the benefit of closing the chapter and opening up
a roster space.
A few names immediately jump out at you for possible consideration
for protection, including catchers Patrick Mazeika (career .290 hitter in the
minors) or more defensive-oriented Ali Sanchez who has hit but 10 HRs and
driven in 108 in over 1000 minor league ABs.
David Thompson was once a great hope to be a David Wright
replacement, but his minor league numbers don’t wow you and he missed nearly
all of 2018 with an injury. Personally,
I would risk losing him. Ditto shortstop
Luis Carpio.
There are, however, some other names eligible for protection
worth considering, including relief pitchers Matt Blackham, David Roseboom and
Joshua Torres. Blackham is 13-7 and owns
a 2.30 ERA for his minor league career.
He’s ascended as high as AA and posts some gaudy strikeout numbers, well
over 1 per inning pitched.
Roseboom had the misfortune of having a foot injury happen
as he made it to pitching hell in Las Vegas.
Those two factors derailed an otherwise dominant minor league
career. The lefty is now 26 and hasn’t
yet had a taste of the majors, but he owns an 8-8 record for his minor league
career with a 3.00 ERA (including a 3:1 strikeout to walk ratio). If you throw out his AAA numbers, it’s a 2.26
ERA. Being left handed and healthy might
mean they want to take one more look at him.
In 40 AA games this year he had a 2.72 ERA. Protecting him would let them stash him in
Syracuse until they were sure he could handle the next level of competition.
Joshua Torres is a 24 year old skinny right handed reliever
who had an up and down (mostly down) minor league career until this past season
when something seemingly clicked. He
appeared in 35 games for Binghamton and provided a 1.59 ERA, 6 saves and 11.5
Ks per 9 IP. A brief 5-game trial in Las
Vegas was ugly, so you can’t be sure if he’d reverted to previous form or was a
victim of the PCL. Certainly the
pitching was dominant enough that you’d have to consider protecting him.
On the flip side, there are some folks on the 40-man roster
whose security is tenuous. This group
would include Paul Sewald, Corey Oswalt, Tim Peterson, Jacob Rhame, Bobby Wahl,
Chris Flexen, and Drew Gagnon. Franklyn
Kilome is on the shelf for the full year but must be protected.
Two players are at risk of being non-tendered to create
roster space (and to save money) – oft-injured underperformer Travis d’Arnaud
and DH-type with arthritic knees, Wilmer Flores.
Personally I’d keep the latter two, but certainly consider
cutting loose (or outrighting) Gagnon, Sewald and Flexen. That would open up five slots (six if David
Wright’s situation is resolved). With
those six slots I’d protect the two catchers and these three pitchers, leaving
one more slot open for a possible Rule V selection or a multi-player trade.
Who would you keep?
Who would you set free?
What is the deadline date to have a deal with Wright done so he can be left off the 40 man roster?
ReplyDeleteIf the Mets left Cespedes off the 40 man roster, would anyone take him, considering the club who'd draft him would have to pay the $28 million for 2020 and a lesser but large amount for 2019, when his return to being a healthy Cespedes again is suspect? I'd think not.
I agree that I would leave off the winless Sewald and Gagnon.
So, let's say the Mets leave off the current 2 openings, Wright, Cespedes, Sewald and Gagnon. That is 6 openings.
I'd protect Mazeika, Sanchez, Blackham, Oswalt, Flexen (depending on his projected health, and Roseboom if Flexen is not ready for spring training), and, reluctantly, Kilome.
I think the Mets would also have to make a decision on whether the improved Gagnon is better to keep than Flexen.
Not protected? Thompson, Torres, Sewald, Peterson, probably Gagnon, and maybe Roseboom.
Fortunately, we do not have to protect Tebow :)
Does Jenrry Mejia have to be protected? If so, he would bump one of those 6 I just mentioned, if he is not already in the 34.
ReplyDeleteFlexen vs. Gagnon is not much of a tough choice. Flexen was quite mediocre in AAA in 2018 and in 2017 and 2018 in the bigs, simply awful. Gagnon, despite his improvement, seems overly homer-prone. Maybe Roseboom instead of either of those 2.
Tim Peterson has pitched very well in winter ball, but was very poor down the stretch with the Mets last year....I just wonder if anyone would draft him.
The deadline on Wright is tomorrow, November 20th, when 40-man rosters must be submitted to the league office which is primarily done to indicate which minor leaguers will be protected. Having a deal done with Wright frees up an open slot to protect someone else.
ReplyDeleteI honestly don't know about Mejia. He's not currently listed on the 40-man roster.
Oswalt and Flexen are currently on the 40-man roster and thus would not have to "gain" a spot there.
ReplyDeleteMejia had a great 4 inning outing in winter ball yesterday. If he has to be protected, he will be on the list.
ReplyDeleteHere is the exact quote from major league baseball regarding Mejia's reinstatement:
ReplyDelete"...reinstated from the Restricted List and will be eligible to resume all baseball activities beginning with 2019 Spring Training."
So what that says to me is that the Mets don't have to add him to the 40-man roster tomorrow.
The onlyname that screams out at me is Mazeika, especially since we are so thin in the pipeline for catcher talent.
ReplyDeleteTom, any player under contract is on the 40-man. Sorry, good try.
ReplyDeleteMack is right that Mazeika must be protected with his nice bat and improving defense. As for Sanchez, if you like him so much, why don’t you like Juan Centeno?
Flexen is too young to just be cut loose. Seward, Gagnon, TJ Rivera are cuts. Rivera will be out a full two years when he comes back in July. That’s a minor league invite guy.
Peterson is on the bubble for me. His winter league stats this year are swaying me a smidge.
I defer to others about the relative merits of the MnLers, so I will leave those decisions to the FO members who have more knowledge.
ReplyDeleteWhat I would ATTEMPT, if I were part of that FO, is to work out a deal with Wilmer and Travis, by which I would non-tender them.and simultaneously re-sign them to MnL deals with ST invites.
If that can be worked out, we gain 2 slots on the 40 while losing no one in the process.
I don't understand Tom's point about Yo. The only way to take him off the 40 would be to DFA him, in which case he becomes a FA if unclaimed. In that case, we'd still have to pay his full salary while any other team could sign him for the ML Minimum.
Am I missing something here Tom?
It seems to me that there is plenty of players to remove from the Mets 40-man to make room for a couple of Rule 5 picks.
ReplyDeleteBut do we WANT 2 guys clogging the 25 this year?
DeleteI keep asking myself, "if they weren't NYM property, who would I be willing to burn an entire season 25-man slot for?
ReplyDeleteA defensive catcher possibly (that's Sanchez, not Maz) or a 12th pitcher. Of those eligible to risk, that might be Kyle Regnault, Corey Taylor or Rosebloom (over, say, Gagnon). Would other teams feel the same way?
True on 40 man, Bill. I got my wires crossed, as I am past 40, man!
ReplyDeleteGot it, Tom. I'm WAY past it myself.
ReplyDeleteI seem to remember that in the past, if a team lost a player in the Rule 5,they could protect an additional player as replacement.
ReplyDeleteAm I mistaken, or is/was there such a rule?
Anybody know
Bill, no you cannot “pull a player back” if one is chosen, as it used to be. You can technically lose your entire eligible farm system if the other teams want to punish themselves by keeping them active all year.
ReplyDeleteAlso Bill, why would a player be willing to agree to a minor league contract with you rather than test the waters. Flores and TDA will definitely find work, so instead you must keep them. Even if you release them in Spring Training, you are only responsible for 1/6 of their salary, so it’s not a major cost in MLB dollars. In Coupon dollars, it’s the end of the world expensive.
Gus, how does "I would ATTEMPT" translate to "they would"? They may or may not go for it, but if they want to stay here and are willing to compete for a job in ST vs being dumped and having to find a job elsewhere, then they MIGHT go for it.
ReplyDeleteBut whether they do or not, it's worth an ATTEMPT.