Good
morning.
Fangraphs
Top 25 Mets Prospects –
9.
Anthony Kay, LHP - Drafted:
1st Round, 2016 from UConn (NYM)
PC - Ed Delany |
Age 23.8 Height 6′
0″ Weight 218 Bat
/ Thr L / L FV 40+
Tool
Grades (Present/Future)
Fastball Curveball Changeup Command Sits/Tops
50/50
50/55 50/55
45/50 91-94 / 96
21
months elapsed between when Kay signed his pro contract and when he finally
threw a pitch in affiliated ball. UConn rode him hard during his junior year in
Storrs. He faced 36 hitters in a March game the Huskies won 18-to-1. During
conference tournament play, Kay threw a complete game, then pitched again
during the tournament on three days rest; he threw 90 pitches amid an hour-long
lightning delay. It was unsurprising when he blew out in the fall of 2016. When
Kay finally returned last year, he looked markedly different than he did in
college when he was a lefty changeup monster with mediocre velocity. Kay’s
fastball has ticked up and now sits at about 93 mph instead of peaking there,
and his two-plane breaking ball is better. His once-dominant changeup has
regressed. There’s a strong chance Kay ends up as a good lefty reliever but if
the changeup ever returns, he could be a No. 4 starter.
Team: Brooklyn
Cyclones (A Short) ETA: 2021
Position: RHP Age: 21 DOB: 06/19/1997
Bats: R Throws: R Height: 6' 0" Weight: 188 lb.
Signed: Nov. 10, 2015
- NYM
Scouting grades:
Fastball: 50 | Slider: 50 | Changeup: 45 | Control: 45 | Overall: 45
Signed in November
2015 out of Venezuela, Vilera excelled in the Dominican Summer League during
his pro debut and enjoyed similar success the following year in the
Rookie-level Gulf Coast League, finishing with the circuit's second-best ERA
(1.59) and WHIP (0.96). Advancing to the Class A Short Season Brooklyn in 2018,
Vilera paced all qualified New York-Penn League hurlers in ERA (1.83), WHIP
(0.98) and strikeouts (78).
Vilera compensates
for his lack of standout stuff with good feel for changing speeds and executing
a solid three-pitch mix. His fastball sits around 88-90 mph, but his physically
strong frame suggests there could be some more velocity to come. A slider and a
changeup comprise his secondary arsenal, with the former currently ahead of the
latter, and he's shown the ability to throw all three pitches for strikes.
Vilera's success
comes with the caveat that he's been a slightly older pitcher in younger
leagues, but there's something to be said about his sheer dominance to begin
his career. A move up to full-season ball in 2019 should offer a more
representative glimpse of his potential.
In 2017, the Mets’ average fastball was located 0.23 feet outside, away from the horizontal middle of the strike zone. That was the fifth-most outside average location in baseball. Put another way, the Mets threw 38.1% of their fastballs over the inner half. That was baseball’s fifth-lowest rate.
In 2018, the Mets’
average fastball was located 0.04 feet inside, away from the horizontal middle
of the strike zone. That was the most inside average location in baseball. Put
another way, the Mets threw 51.3% of their fastballs over the inner half. That
was baseball’s highest rate.
He has put up monster
numbers in two seasons, and he won the 2018 Golden Spikes award after an
incredible 2018 season.
As a sophomore he hit
.349 in 218 at-bats with 36 runs scored, 7 doubles, 12 home runs, 50 RBI, and a
.414 on-base percentage.
It was April 2017 when then-Boise State President Bob Kustra announced the big news: The school was dropping wrestling to revive a baseball program, with the 2020 season targeted for the sport’s return.
About a year away
from that first season, the Broncos have coaches, uniforms, the first dozen
recruits on campus — they held practices starting last September — and land
that the university acquired to build a stadium near campus.
What’s still missing
is a place to hang their hats and bats for games.
D.Peterson, SSzapucki & Kay. If you were to predict one to rise well above the other two LHP, which?
ReplyDeleteAnd...
will the Boise Broncs play on a blue field is the question.
Does a player have a ceiling if he is underpreforming?
DeleteLike Tom, I believe Szapucki projects out as an upper level rotation piece with a 2021 ETA
I'll jump in and state that Szapucki's ceiling is probably highest. As of right now.
ReplyDeleteBrandon and Jed with the sharp orbits!
ReplyDeleteMack, true - Kay and Peterson were combined just 14-21 in 2018.
ReplyDeleteIf a major league pitcher went 14-21, one would conclude he had a busy but bad season.
Let's see this duo WIN, then I will get excited.
Question for Tom: I notice that Tomas Nido is on your Top 20 prospects list, yet none of the relievers who have under 35 innings of MLB service (Bashlor, Conlan, Gagnon, Hanhold, Tim Peterson, Drew Smith, Zamora) even made your Top 50. Is this an oversight, or is someone like Danny Zamora (8 MLB innings) no longer considered a prospect? And if that’s the case, what’s Nido doing there?
ReplyDeleteDave while my list was jokingly deemed "indisputable" by me, your dispute of Nido in the top 20 is certainly warranted!!! I choked putting him there, as I doubt his hit tool greatly until proven otherwise...on the other hand, Jerry Grote hit like crap early on, too, and got over the hitting hump, so Tomas could too.
ReplyDeleteyes, Zamora at the time of writing I considered a major leaguer and no longer a prospect - then the Mets got Avilan and Wilson, whom had the Mets had them when I wrote it, I would have been more conservative in considering Zamora what he really is - a prospect as you note.
Bashlor (24 Mets games) I felt had pitched long enough as a Met to be considered a major leaguer not a prospect, and Drew Smith (27 games) as well.
As I recall, Hanhold, Villines, Torres, Ryan, Roseboom, and Pobereyko were also in my top 50. I believe Hanhold was in m upper 20's.
Thanks for clarifying, and, yes, you did have Hanhold in there. Sorry.
ReplyDeleteDid folks know that Koufax made roughly just about
ReplyDelete$500,000 in his entire career, including bonus? Jake is also attempting to avoid being underpaid in his career.