While everyone is getting either pumped for the potential of
a competitive 2020 run towards the post-season or already disenchanted by the
whole “we didn’t know he was cheating in Houston” Carlos Beltran fiasco, the
fact remains the baseball season is just about upon us and no one knows how it’s
going to unfold.
Throw in the whole
Steve Cohen purchasing storyline and this often unremarkable team that
struggles for a newsworthy identity is almost ripe with too many of them.
While a great many folks are laser-focused on the upcoming
season, the general manager should be looking down the road a bit as there are
players entering what could be their final year before hitting the free agent
bidding war. Marcus Stroman is a good example
of someone who would likely be playing for that next contract (not that he can’t
scrape by on the mere $12 million per year).
He’s likely eyeballing the AAV of $23.6 million for the next five turns
of the calendar. Wheeler is a career
44-38 pitcher with a 3.77 ERA. By
contrast, Stroman is younger, healthier and has a 51-47, 3.76 stat line. Methinks he’s looking to double his contract.
Now as a point of comparison, take a look at the resume of
one Noah Syndergaard, still under Mets control for both 2020 and 2021. He is 47-30 with a 3.31 ERA, a better WHIP
and a more lethal strikeout pitcher. He’s
had some health issues for sure, but there’s an almost cartoonish intimidation
factor when the big man takes the mound.
If you’re Brodie Van Wagenen, shouldn’t you be considering
not just what you need to win in 2020 but in 2021 and beyond? Towards that end would you consider trying to
lock up childhood Mets fan Marcus Stroman or Met fan favorite Noah Syndergaard? Both would help now and in the future, but if
the club is truly seeking to improve, sometimes you have to think about the
sacrifices you need to make in order to improve down the road.
Towards that end, for all of the rumors you’ve heard about
Noah Syndergaard possibly being on the trading block for the right price, it
would seem to me the man to peddle to another team would be free-agent-to-be
Marcus Stroman. That team would get a
full season of the man seeking to drive up his price and the return for him
should be commendable (if not awesome).
Syndergaard is more like when the Mets acquired Stroman last year. You gave up some goods because he wasn’t
merely a short season rental, but a legitimate player for the following year as
well. The return for Syndergaard in
trade would be greater, but then you run the risk of missing out on both of
them if Stroman wants to test the bidding during the next off-season.
The Mets are in a somewhat similar situation with the hitter
who wears catching gear, Wilson Ramos.
They are paying a fair price for his services -- $10 million per year –
and even hold an option for a third year.
However, Noah Syndergaard and others were whispering about their
disdain for the big man behind the plate.
Even if you are content to get 130 plus games out of him this year, what
happens in 2021? I hear a great many
folks talking about the need for a backup catcher who barely hits above the
Mendoza line (and who would be in there every day should Ramos suffer another
injury). A lot of folks are banking on
Francisco Alvarez to be the catcher of the future, but the portly 18 year old
is still in rookie ball.
Perhaps the better move for the Mets to make now is to try
to lure another club to sacrifice its AA or AAA top catching prospect as part
of a trade. Whether the Mets use one of
the aforementioned pitchers, Dominic Smith or some other resources to execute
such a deal, it would give them that backup to Ramos now and in the future.
There are other players who may not be a part of the club
going forward, too, including Justin Wilson, Jed Lowrie and Yoenis
Cespedes. What are the plans for
replacing these resources? Building a
winning ballclub is not just a single season effort.
One thing's for sure - all the pieces that are currently on the roster? There will be some real movement over the coming months to realign. When and how to optimize that is the key.
ReplyDeleteI agree Reese. The Mets don't plan long term enough. Especially, if they trade more prospects for Marte like reports suggest. I would stop trading prospects and try to extend Stroman and Thor.
ReplyDeleteGood to see a Steve Cohen mention. A lot of this team's dysfunction (if not all of it) starts with the name Wilpon. Hopefully, Fred and Jeff don't screw up the deal by trying to hold on to control. I honestly believe they have to sell, though. They are too deep in debt and need $800 million for the Islanders/Belmont Park project.
ReplyDeleteBob W., we all fervently hope for the Wilpons to cede control ASAP
ReplyDelete1. I extend Thor thru the yrs Jake is signed.
ReplyDelete2. Ditto Strman and Conforto
3. I start sending flowers to the homes of George Springer and J.T. Realmuto
With our young core of talent worth keeping, we will still have a budget regardless of who the owner is. Yes, it may be higher under Cohen, but it still won't be unlimited.
ReplyDeleteDo we want to keep Pete, Squirrel, Nimmo, Thor, 4to, Stroman, Diaz (if he has a strong '20) and others, or do we put our eggs in one basket by giving long-term, high $$$ deals to Realmuto, Springer or other FAs.
Barring regression by our kids this season, I'd rather spend to extend as many of them as possible. And not see them reach FA and walk like Wheeler.