While everyone is dancing up and down about the prospect of
new Mets ownership, the vast majority of fans are excited about the prospect of
seeing the club spend money more wisely to become post-season contenders regularly.
Certainly there’s something to be said for
being in on the top tier of independent free agents available on the market for
writing a check, but there’s also the consideration of the fact that their farm
system is ranked in the lowest 1/6 of all major league ballclubs.
Remember, a Mike Trout might get you there
today, but a Pete Alonso can keep you there inexpensively for many years.
There are an awful lot of personnel decisions that need to
be made internally come the close of the 2020 season. Yoenis Cespedes, Jed Lowrie, Marcus Stroman
Rick Porcello, Michael Wacha, Justin Wilson and others are slated to be
eligible for free agency at the close of the season.
Noah Syndergaard and Steven Matz are still
Mets property for one more full season, but a decision needs to be made about
Wilson Ramos on whom the Mets hold a 2021 option worth $10 million (vs. a $1.5
million buyout).
Perhaps even bigger than the personnel question is the front
office hierarchy. Brodie Van Wagenen had
a checkered year one as GM. Everyone is
well aware of the criticism he’s received for saddling the club with his former
clients for big money while providing going-away tickets to some of the club’s
most promising minor leaguers.
He picked
up some performance stiffs (Jed Lowrie, Keon Broxton, etc.) However, he did sign some good free agents
(Justin Wilson and Wilson Ramos), made some good trades (JD Davis), and fired
an overwhelmed manager.
He compounded it
by hiring another ground zero guy to fill out the lineup card who inevitably
had to be fired before Spring Training began, but then ceded the job to the
internal guy who probably should have gotten the gig in the first place.
He sent some coaches packing and filled their
slots with others who have yet to demonstrate whether or not they were
improvements.
If you took a poll of Mets fans and asked them what they
would do to improve the club (aside from kidnapping Mike Trout or Mookie Betts
from their current employers), most would say to clean out the dead wood and
spend more prudently.
Few here thought
Jeurys Familia was going to flourish in a $10 million per year setup role, few
thought the Jed Lowrie signing at his age made much sense, and even fewer were
behind the year number two for Mickey Callaway.
It is ironic that in producing a winning record without Lowrie, without
Yoenis Cespedes, without David Wright, without Brandon Nimmo most of the year
and with a great many other extended injuries his club finished the year 10
games over .500 and was shown the door.
For that reason alone I applaud BVW as his predecessors were happy to
keep Terry Collins around for no logical reason whatsoever (a seven year itch
after going 551-583 during that horrendous stretch).
This off-season there was little done in terms of personnel. They kept some folks around who might have
fetched something on the open market.
They’re hoping for bounce backs from some of the low lights of 2019
(cough, bullpen).
Otherwise the
off-season was about Jake Marisnick, Michael Wacha and Rick Porcello, not
exactly the prime All-Star material to improve the roster significantly,
considering spare parts like Zack Wheeler, Juan Lagares and some non-descript
bullpen arms are no longer in orange and blue. Dellin Betances could be a good acquisition depending on the state of his health.
You could spin that minor additions as not substantially changing what
was working in the second half, or you could call it payroll stagnation during
the open solicitation for a buyer.
Either way, it appears little was done.
So the question I pose to the Mets fans is whether or not
Brodie Van Wagenen is going to get additional time under someone who isn’t his
best-paying golf buddy?
There is a lot
that went right last year in addition to the multitude of things that went
wrong. I am guessing the year 2020 is
the decision point for the eventual new team owner who must decide if a GM with
no experience in the job is the right approach for building a winning
team.
Winning usually fixes everything (except
Callaway’s job), so a strong finish with a post-season berth could buy BVW
another short-term lease on GM life.
I would give BVW some credit for his draft last year, too. If strengthening the minors is important, then getting guys like Baty, Wolf and Allen looks good. Trading Kelenic wasn't.
ReplyDeleteAll in all, Brodie may last one year under a new regime while they get their bearings, then they will bring in their own guys.
Whether BVW trade of Kelenic and Dunn for Diaz and Cano is a complete disaster will become apparent this year. If Diaz saves 50, we may grin and bear it.
ReplyDeleteDraft was very good.
To think that if Diaz and Familia had 4.00 ERAs, which any Met fan going into 2019 was a lousy projection, it would have been the Mets, not Nats, in playoffs, gotta cut Brodie some slack.
I think the end of this story can not be written until a) the end of this season b) what we do in both the domestic and Intl draft and c) if a new owner with deep pockets does take over.
ReplyDeleteBelieve me... signing Springer AND Realmuto will quickly make everyone forget the Kelenic trade.
The first thing the Agent needs to do is stop trading top prospects. You can't maintain a team with just free agents while trading top prospects to patch holes. Every successful team needs to have a good farm.
ReplyDeleteSign Syndergaard to a five year extension. Something like 5 year 80M with a 20M club option. Being that he is 2 years away from free agency, he probably takes it.
Sign Conforto to a 5 years 75M extension.
Depending on how Matz pitches in 2020, he may be either an extension candidate or trade bait.
Improve the BP after the season and use Lugo as SP4 as Stroman replacement. Improving the BP is cheaper than extending Stroman and you probably end up with a better starter and happy Lugo.
Good points, Mack and Viper. I like aggressiveness. I still hope Cohen buys the team and makes big things possible.
ReplyDeleteHere is a question to you guys.
ReplyDeleteIt is reported that the Mets lose about 50M per year. If that is the case, why would anyone want to buy the Mets for 1.6 billion in order to lose money?. I am confused by this, can someone explain where other money may come from?
Mack the only way to forget the Kelenic trade is if he turns into F_MART...
ReplyDeleteif he a solid MLBer then is was a bad trade, if he is Yelick everyone should be Fired...
Viper
ReplyDeleteCohen is worth over 10 billion dollars.
On billion is 1000 million
10 billion is 10,000 million
50 million is chump change
Eddie
ReplyDeleteI thought the Kelenic trade was a good one for the Mets because it brought 2 battle tested vets to the team that could get us to the 2019 playoffs.
I have changed my mind now.
So an interesting full article or discussion would be "What would I have done differently in the 2019/2020 offseason?" I hear (read) a lot of people complaining about not spending money or getting this guy or that guy, but what would you really do?
ReplyDeleteA couple points here
. the Kelenic trade was already done, we have Cano, so there is no point on beating that horse again
. the suggestions have to make both financial and baseball sense - no "trade for Mike Trout for 15 minor league non-prospects"
My personal thoughts going into the offseason were pretty much limited to:
. I'd like to see them either re-sign Wheeler or have him take the Qual offer (I actually thought he might do that after the previous year issues with Keuchel and Kimbrel)
. I felt that catcher was the most exposed position for 2020 - that needed to be shored up.
. I was riding the wave of the really nice second half, going 20 games over .500 after the all star break. I saw some good team chemistry developed and really didn't want to break that up too much.
. I was a bit worried about left field. I like JD's bat and thought he was a keeper, but wasn't 100% sure how to get the best out of him.
. In parallel with that, I have always been a Dom Smith fan; the last thing I wanted to see was him traded away for a back end bullpen piece or something along those lines.
. With all that in mind, I am happy with this team. I have no issue with letting Wheeler walk for that kind of money - I would not have paid him $120M to stay. I like the Porcello and Wacha signings, altho I don't want to see Matz screwed over. To me Matz is the #4 guy until he shows he cannot be.
. I (still) think Russell Martin would be the best catching insurance. Not a fan of Nido nor Rivera. I think that is the biggest failure of the current GM.
. I am OK with Marisnick - I think good defense and some speed for the 5th outfielder is the right way to go.
. I would not have signed Matt Adams . that is a headscratcher to me.
. I might have tried to make a bit more effort to sign either Will Smith or Will Harris, but with the volatility of relief pitching, I think they both signed for more than I would have given them. As much as I don't like this as a strategy, I think we need to get as much out of Diaz and Familia as was anticipated prior to last year. It looks like both should be better than they were in 2019. The pieces of the bullpen are there - it could be a strength in 2020.
. I thought for a bit about a big splash and taking a run at Rendon, but could not see how he would fit - it would create too many moving parts with the rest of the roster for a lot more money. We would have had to install McNeil as the everyday leftfielder and probably trade Davis and/or Smith. Rendon at third over Davis anywhere would make baseball sense with everything else being equal, but for $240M more? I don't think so.
. Make sure the training staff from last year stays intact and keep the team healthy.
. My last move would be to DFA Lowrie, eat the dollars, and keep Nunez on the 26 man. Did you see that guy run out that triple yesterday? He appears to have his legs back - if so, he is a valuable piece.