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4/4/20

Mack – FWIW – Coronavirus Edition - Daily Thoughts 4-4



Good morning.



The Mets released pitcher Luis Silva. How would you like to be a minor league player right now and find out you not only can’t leave your home, but you have lost your job too? Sounds like a restaurant worker.

Silva was signed as an undrafted free agent, out of Venezuela, in 2013. He was lost for the entire 2015 and 2017 season due to injuries and pitched in only 53 games over the six years he was a member of the Mets. Last year, he went 6.60-ERA for Brooklyn and 9.95 for Kingsport.

PC - Ernest Dove

Fangraphs on Noah Syndergaard

But it is bad news. Bad for the Mets and bad for Syndergaard himself. How bad? For a change of pace, let’s start off with the long-term projection rather than finish with it. The projection is notable in this case as there’s a key difference in the model. With no actual game-related news to distract me, I’ve been able to complete work on one of my ongoing data projects: better long-term playing time projections for players with injuries, especially serious ones that cause entire seasons to be missed.

            Mack – Check the ZIPS projections pre and post-TJS for Noah.




Jayson Stark - @jaysonst

 “There is no way it’s all going to look like it looked before"
1,000 kids who won't get drafted
Seniors & juniors coming back
How do they all fit?
Where's the $?




PG featured their ;ist of the top 10 college players that were moving up the draft mocks before their season shut down. One of the bats was:

            Jordan Nwogu, of

One of the more physically-impressive prospects in the class, Nwogu came to Michigan as a physically talented but extremely raw player, but his elite-level makeup and work ethic have helped him rapidly develop. There's some unorthodox elements to his hitting approach, but tremendous hand-eye coordination as well as excellent physical strength allow him to barrel the ball at a high level, and he walks a lot as well. He's likely a left fielder long term, and has the chance to be an average defender there, though the profile draw here is assuredly the righthanded bat.



Kendall Rogers - @KendallRogers

I think it would be very smart for the @NCAA  Council, etc, to approve a longer practice period in the fall. If no spring and summer ball, all players will need more development/training time. WTS, don’t look for admins to increase expenses by adding fall games that involve $.

Travis Drawbaugh - @travisdrawbaugh

@KendallRogers ...with summer leagues like the Valley League now cancelling their summer season, will the NCAA be looking to allow teams to expand the fall season to allow teams to play more games?



R.J. Anderson - @r_j_anderson

Talked to a bunch of people in baseball about what the draft changes mean for scouts, the minors, and what one source described as a "generally [f'd]-up situation."


Brian Wright - @BrianWright86

#OTD (yesterday) in 1966, MLB holds a special drawing among three teams for the rights to a former USC pitcher. It comes up Mets. The prize? Some guy named Seaver. That worked out well.


Ken Rosenthal - @Ken_Rosenthal

The players’ union has set up a support program for non-roster players in spring training who were not covered in the advance payment the union received from MLB. More than 300 players eligible for money that would supplement $400 per week they will receive from MLB through 5/31.



Will Middlebrooks - @middlebrooks
I feel like I’m 16 again... gas is cheap and I’m grounded.




With both sides facing the financial concerns that come from the need to delay the start of the baseball season, many involved in MiLB are hoping for a pause. As they see it, it makes sense to extend the current PBA by a year or two to allow all sides to get through the current pandemic, return to financial health and then sit down to hash out the structure of Minor League Baseball for years to come.

That is unlikely to happen. MLB has no desire to extend the current agreement by two years, a year or even a month. Come Sept. 30, 2020, the current PBA will expire. And with it comes another reality. Whether the 2020 season is played or not, it’s almost assured that a significant number of current MiLB teams will not be playing affiliated professional baseball in 2021.



            Michael Baron - @michaelgbaron

I'm going to be stepping away from Twitter for a while. I’m sick, so I need to focus on my wellness and that of my family.

For me, this is mild, but I need to work to make sure it stays mild, and keeping the rest of my family healthy.


Stay strong, stay well, see you soon.

11 comments:

  1. Obviously there are health issues and monetary issues with this mismanaged pandemic, but the biggest issue for most folks right now is boredom. They are not accustomed to being imprisoned in their own homes and not ready for that much togetherness.

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  2. My wife and I have practiced mutual social distancing for years. We got this down.

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  3. Mack and I are about 800 miles apart. I think that is safe. I think.

    Luis Silva - should have planned to do something else long ago. Hope he did.

    25,000 confirmed COVID cases in Nassau and Suffolk County. That is about 1%. And climbing.

    Meanwhile, NYC subways and buses are reported to sporadically still be crowded! Saw a TV video.

    What is that jackass de Blasio thinking?! SHUT...IT...DOWN.

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  4. What are your thought as to when we will see sports again in the USA? After we get a vaccine which is 12 months to eighteen months at the earliest?

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  5. RAW

    Sadly, I expect 2020 is a wash for all sports.

    The NBA is shutting down as I write this.

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  6. I felt you did not answer my question as to when you see sports starting up again.

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  7. Raw -

    Ny guess... some time in early 2021

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  8. Mack - These posts are great. Thanks for doing these. As far as the virus up here, Albany Med is receiving virus patients from NYC. Also, we are being told pregnant women in labor are arriving at upstate hospitals to give birth saying they were turned away from NYC Hospitals because they had no room.

    All, stay safe.

    Raw - I think we will see a 60 day MLB Baseball season plus playoffs late in the year - possibly to empty stadiums. Not sure about the minors but we could see a shortened season too. I think the NFL and College Football could be delayed but there will be a season. A lot depends on sports in the Asian countries. IF they can get up and running, MLB and other sports can learn from that. I remain hopeful.

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  9. I think baseball would be smart to skip the season in the interest of safety of the fans since the person in charge of the whole pandemic response waited so long to even acknowledge a problem exists that it's gone completely out of control. A few dollars of receipts or advertising isn't worth the first illness contracted by a fan or employee in that haste to get back to "normal", but then again most sports owners are much more interested in immediate profits than in repeat business.

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  10. Reese -

    You are right. We should have had a huge stockpile of everything needed that our progressive democrats could have built up in the 8 years prior to the Trump administration.

    Or... the least President Trump should have done is close travel from China the day he found out the virus was coming from there.

    Wait...

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  11. Interesting article in today's Post. If you want to play the blame game fingers can be pointed all around, including Cuomo and DeBlasio. Better to band together and get through this crisis. Afterwards, we can figure out what could have done better.

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