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7/7/24

MACK - Sunday Morning Observations

 

 

Mack’s Observations –

 

            Question… based on five or more appearances, which Mets minor league pitcher has the lowest earned run average this season?

 

            We’ll get back to this later… 

 

            I was talking about following a pennant race with a friend this week.

 

            I told how an old track coach told me to “keep the blinders on” when I was running the mile. He said the worse things I could do when I was running was to get too comfortable while I was running and to look over my shoulder to see who was gaining on me. Even that little of a turn in the win would cut my speed down and could be the difference when I hit the finish like.

 

            Well, that fell

off the table as team after team caught and past the Mets during this past week. They could easily be playing themselves out of this race which could cause the decision to sell to be revisited before the end of the month. Then again, they could rebound as they seem to have started doing last night, catch their wind, and get back into this race between now and my next Tuesday post. We’ll see.

 

            Oh yeah… if you are still following this, don’t concentrate on the amount of WINS these teams have already played. No, it’s the LOSSES that matter here. Your fate remains in your hands if you have less losses. But these is nothing you can do about more wins. Rainouts and scheduling have currently cost the Mets playing less games for now, but it all catches up when everyone finishes with 162 games played. 

 

            The pitching stats for Tuesday night’s game was a gem and the combination of Jose Butto and Dedniel Nunez may become a fixture for mid to late inning relief for the remainder of this season.

 

            Pen wise, the addition of Butto adds some firmness to a squad that needs it badly. For me, Butto, Nunez, Reed Garrett, Adrian Houser, and the returning Edwin Diaz are locks going forward. IMO, the future of Adam Ottavino and others will rely on how many rentals are brought on this month.

 

            Starter wise, the addition of Christian Scott will increase the rotation to a six-man version while Syracuse will have Blade Tidwell, followed by Dom Hamel Mike Vasil, Joey Lucchese, and Tylor Megill.  Brandon Sproat remains anchoring the Binghamton rotation. 

 

            I asked a question earlier about which Mets affiliate pitcher leads the organization in ERA? If you guessed Brandon Sproat, you are so wrong. Sproat currently has a 2.05 ERA in Binghamton (Brooklyn doesn’t matter anymore).

 

            So who has the lowest ERA in the chain?

 

            Once again, we’ll get back to this later. 

 

            I had planned to write here about the next talked about emerging starter in Binghamton, but the Mets beat me to the punch on Wednesday and promoted RHSP Justin Jarvas to Syracuse.

 

            Jarvas is a 24/year old 6-2/185 RHSP that came to the Mets from the Brewers in exchange for OF Mark Cahna. He was a 5th round pick in the 2018 draft, out of Lake Norman HS (NC).

 

            His 2023 stat line for the Brewers AA affiliate was impressive: 6-4, 3.33, 75.2-IP, 91-K. This was followed this year in Binghamton with a 5-2, 2.90, 40.1/45 prior to his promotion this week. His first AAA start was Wednesday night, going three innings, giving up two earned runs, and striking out four.

 

            Jarvas pitches with long arm action and delivers with a fast arm. He woks downhill. 90-93 vel with more projected. 

 

            Okay, so who has the lowest ERA of any starters in the Mets chain?

 

Well, this goes to Brooklyn Cyclone 6-1, 22-year old RHSP Douglas Orellana.

 

            I spoke of this guy’s talent in both 2022 and 2023. I even had him as a BLUE prospect at times in both seasons, but his consistency, high WHIP, and BB/9 ratio always drove him back to BLACK levels.

 

            This season, for the Cyclones, he has 13 appearances, nine starts, and is carrying a 1.86-ERA with 49-K in 38.2-IP. He is currently under a very limited pitch count this season due to an early injury. Still, this is cream of the crop right now, even though this is being done at a lower level.

 

           Affiliate Moves –

 

   Mets –


            RHRP Eric Orze promoted from AAA

 

            RHSP Christian Scott promoted from AAA

 

            RHRP Jose Butto promoted from AAA

 

            LHRP Tyler Jay optioned to AAA

 

            RHRP Matt Fester selected free agency

 

   Syracuse –


            RHRP Ty Adcock optioned to from Mets

 

            RHRP Victor Casteneda promoted from A+

 

            RHRP Bryce Montes de Oca promoted from AA

 

            RHSP Justin Jarvas promoted from Binghamton

 

            OF Trayce Thompson – released from his contract

 

   Binghamton –

 

            RHRP Josh Hejka promoted from A+

 

            RHRP Shintaro Fujinami assigned to AA for rehab

 

            RHRP Jeffry Colon transferred from A+ Brooklyn

 

      Brooklyn –

 

            IF Jesus Baez – 7-day IL

 

            RHRP Victor Castaneda transferred from AAA-Syracuse

 

  

Prospect Rating Changes –

 

            Syracuse RHSP Justin Jarvas from BLACK to BLUE

 

            Syracuse 2B Pablo Reyes from BLACK to BLUE

24 comments:

  1. I think the bullpen for the Mets before yesterday, but after Edwin sticky finger episode, was allowing nearly a run per inning.. That will cook anyone’s goose. That catcher Torrens really saved the Mets bacon yesterday three hits and three RBIs, but yes, they are in limbo; they ought to win today, but there’s been a lot of oughts this year. A strange season so far.

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  2. The bottom line was pitching wins. Once the offense goes to slumps, it needs the pitching to carry it. The problem is the Mets just don’t have good pitching. Then the pitchers give up a lot of walks, driving up their own pitch counts. It actually is doing it the hard way. And if anyone wants to bring up Arizona from last year, tell me how many times a team with so little pitching even got into the playoffs much less go to the World Series…

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    Replies
    1. Correct. Lack of innings eaters will always put too much stress on pens but even when Mets starters seem to be efficient Mendoza pulls them early

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    2. Yes, that's noticeable. The question is: why?
      Is it part of a plan by Mendy to keep them fresh, is it just a case-by-case gut reaction, or is it a case of the dreaded "A-word", the Analytics dept.?

      Is it his decision, or "theits"?

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  3. Right now, I’m not buying anything but neither am I selling. I am hopeful that they will find their 13 best arms, and stop hiding them in upstate New York.

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    Replies
    1. It's just me but I don't think the Mets will convert anymore starters to the pen

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  4. How about a nice ten-two lead going into the ninth inning? Then the team can bring in Eric Orze and feel that the lead is sufficient for his first outing in the big leagues. I hope he doesn’t miss getting into today’s game, and then have the team think Fujinami is ready and get sent back down for Fuji without pitching.

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  5. I did not get to see the game yesterday, but I was highly disappointed that Peterson didn’t get through five innings, although he at least kept pirate scoring in check. We have to keep in mind that we may get Sanga back as the number one starter for the last 60 games, so that will be a huge upgrade if he stays healthy, which his last outing seem to be.

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    Replies
    1. Peterson threw 87 pitches in 4.1

      He easily could have thrown 23 more

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  6. Peterson was going through the order a third time, and he can get killed in a hurry. Especially with his lack of control, he will groove one and it will land over the Allegheny into Ohio. I had no problems taking him out. To throw 87 pitches and only pitch 4.1 innings is terrible. If he was cruising in the sixth, it would be more bothersome.

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    Replies
    1. Yeah

      Like Tom, I passed on the game too.

      You are correct about these many pitches

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    2. Or is it THIS many pitches?

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  7. End result, and you would think it would matter to Peterson, is that he did not get the W, but Jose Butto did. Peterson has not won a whole Lotta games in his pro career. Coming up short on innings is a big reason why

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  8. And Peterson is 3-0 as a Mets reliever. He also has a home park affinity….a 3.55 ERA in Citi, 5.20 on the road. It is not due to homers…he allows twice the rate of DOUBLES on the road than at home. Is it lack of ferocity? Or just lack of velocity?

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  9. On a separate subject, I am very happy to report that Ryan Clifford is following my advice, and most certainly the advice of other people who have his ear more than I do, and that is that in the last several games, he is 13 for 32 with just three walks. I had written recently that he needed to stop with the crazy high walks and Ksand low average, and start swinging at balls in the strike zone more. It’s hitting, not walking a lot and striking out a lot., that will get you to the big leagues. He’s driving a lot of extra bass hits in Binghamton. I would like to see him get promoted soon Swinging a lot..

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    Replies
    1. I was thrilled when this guy became a Met

      Huge pop potential but pop can only be determined if you swing.

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  10. First it was Houser, who was struggling (to put it mildly) as a SP, then became a very reliable long man in the pen.

    Then it was Butto, who was doing well as a SP but was a victim of the numbers game and stuck upstate. He's become (small sample) unhittable in the pen.

    Right now, we have ONE LHRP, and he's been ineffective. We have FOUR LHSPs, including Lucchesi. It's time to move Peterson to the pen, and if Diekman continues to struggle, add Lucchesi there and DFA or trade Diekman.

    We've got 3 weeks before the deadline. Try my plan now, and see how it works before giving up good talent to get someone else.

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  11. A wild guess

    The Mets will stop with Butto and going forward will only use relievers in the pen

    Butto and Hauser remain

    Rentals arrive soon

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  12. I just saw today’s lineup. Boy, Seeing Stewart in RF instead of Marte seems sad. Taylor doesn’t bother me as much, but Stewart does, especially on defense.

    How does Manaea only have a 3.67 ERA? Wow, that’s amazing. The only five starting pitchers I can trust are Severino, Senga, Scott, Butto, and I guess Manaea by default.

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  13. Lindor is our best player right now. Amen! Discussion closed!

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