I thought it might be fun to look back at:
1) How Mets kiddies drafted in rounds 1 thru 5 panned out, 2012-23, and
2) Which of all the Mets' picks actually made it to the dance.
Today?
The Mets' 2017 Draft:
Round 1 (20th overall) goes to big lefty David Peterson.
He has had some success, but ups and downs. I still think at least moderate success lies ahead for the southpaw Peterson.
Round 2? Listening to the Brennan refrain of "Drafting power arms and power bats", the Mets no doubt said, "Why not?" They selected Mark Vientos. We can only hope he soon is Alonso II. His 2023 season was not terrible, but not terrific, either.
Round 3 Quinn Brodey struck out too much in the minors to succeed, and courageously gave up the bat and toed the mound in 2023. The pitching experiment started well, but ultimately did not succeed.
Round 4 - righty Tony Dibrell has had TJS, and failed to achieve anything more than minor league mediocrity. 21-24, 4.58 lifetime, just turned 28, after a bad 2023.
Round 5 - Matt Winaker - failed to hit. No longer in the system.
37th rounder Josh Walker made the Mets in 2023, but will his brief cameo lead to future success?
NOT A GOOD DRAFT YEAR.
It can still become a fair draft year if Peterson and Vientos both get better.
Next article? 2018 Draft.
But before I go:
Lucas Giolito signs with Red Sox in their hitters' park for 2 years and a whopping $38.5 million.
After an 8-15, 4.88 ERA in which he allowed 41 HRs in 188 innings.
DARN!! HOW DID WE MISS THIS GEM??
Baseball Reference for 2024 projects Giolito at 166 IP, 9-11, 4.66 ERA, 30 HRs allowed. At $19 million.
Makes me ask myself a question:
Assuming he is healthy, can't our very own Tylor Megill do that, or better?
Megill is projected by Baseball Reference for 2024 at 8-7, 4.65 in 124 innings, with 19 HRs, and 44 in 263 innings in his career. Very comparable to fellow big man Giolito. But a little better, especially in HRs allowed.
Last year, Megill was a relatively superior 9-8, 4.70, 126 innings, 18 HRs.
So, he seems far less HR-prone than Giolito, and had (despite Megill's struggles at times) a better year than Giolito.
After all, I ask myself, would you prefer a 9-8 pitcher, or an 8-15 pitcher?
I'll take the 9-8 guy. And save a ton of $$.
Megill made "just" $750,000 in 2023. Meanwhile, Giolito made $10.4 million, before his hefty raise for 2024 for "outstanding performance", and his 2024 salary no doubt will be more than 10 times as high as that of Megill.
Bang for the Buck? Give me Tylor Megill.
If Megill improves and stays healthy, he can look forward to turning free agent in 2028. That is a ways off, which is good from a budgeting standpoint for the Mets. But...
What would he then get paid? Back up the Brinks truck.
And I dunno...BR projects him at 8-7 in 2024. But I say 11-9. Why not?
I really wanted the Mets to draft Gio
ReplyDeleteLiked him and had a relationship with his father
It obviously was the wrong choice
As for him vs. Megill, I vote for neither
Megill would have a place in my pen or on top of the heap of so many failed Mets starters before him
It is written (watching too many episodes of The Last Kingdom)
LAST kINGDOM? i'LL HAVE TO LOOK IT UP.
ReplyDeleteWhat would Quintana have cost this year? Last year, 2 years, $24 million. This year, 2 years, $36 million?
The Last Kingdom on Netflix is as close to Game Of Thrones
DeleteI am thrilled that we didn't sign Giolito. He is a gopher ball pitcher who might give up close to 50 dingers at Fenway this year if they give him a similar amount of innings to pitch as last year. IMHO, Tylor Megill is a much better risk. Megill has shown that he has nasty stuff when healthy. The only problem is that he had difficulty finding home plate when he was healthy. But if we look back at April 2022 (4-0 with a 1.93 ERA), he was near the top in many pitching categories in the NL. He injured himself and was never the same for the remainder of 2022. Hopefully, Megill can reexperience the success he had in April of 2022.
ReplyDeleteIt looks like the organizational strategy is to sign as many 1-year, prove it contracts as they need for 2024. I'm OK with that provided that the kids (Acuna, Williams, Gilbert, Vasil, Tidwell & Scott) are ready to step up in 2025. However, that's alot to ask.
It all started out so good. Wendel and Severino everyone agreed were solid signings. But since then,crickets? It’s like Cohen read The Tortoise and the Hare and suddenly believe slow and easy wins the race.
ReplyDeleteJoc Peterson,Lorenzen, Hand,would that be enough to be competitive?
ReplyDeleteMegill also had a brutal mid-season stretch in mid 2023, when he had to be injured. He couldn't fan anybody.
ReplyDeleteFrom late August, Megill's last 6 outings of 2023, when healthier? 35 innings, 10 earned runs, 31 Ks.
His last 2 starts? 13 innings, 9 hits, 4 runs, 13 Ks.
I think we are badly underestimating what Megill might be in 2024. I expect 11-9, and that may be conservative. I'll take that.
I'm with you, but I discount w/l. By that standard, Jake was nothing more than mediocre as a Met.
Delete11-9 and you’ll take that? You bet! How about 3-8 and and two DL stints?
ReplyDeleteSongs always come to mind with me as in Tom Petty's "The Waiting" is the hardest part as Spring training can't come soon enough then I switch to Fats Domino's Blueberry Hill like "I found my thrill when Megill's on the Hill" or thats what we hope for and how about jumping to Pink Floyd's "Another Brick in the Wall" because DS is doing this one brick at time and driving us alittle crazy in the process. I have to add a positive tune to end with so lets go with gone way to Whitneys "One Moment in Time" we're we finally get to the top of the mountain and were all still alive to see it. LGM PLEASE soon.
ReplyDeleteSongs,maybe Steaens should sing heigh ho,heigh ho,it’s off to work we go.
ReplyDelete3-8? He had a 3.00 ERA over his last 45 innings, a quarter of a rotation starter's full season...your take is very negative, based on that. Giolito got DESTROYED over his second half last year, by comparison. Who is better?
ReplyDeleteGary? Good songs. I think the Ramones' "I Wanna Be Sedated" is particularly applicable.
ReplyDelete