For the start of this week it would be a good time to review the MLB Rule V Draft It is a time when a club need to look through the depth of its minor league organization and who needs to remain a part of the long term plans. It is held this week on Wednesday on the last day of the Winter Meetings.
There is a concern this year that there may not be a Rule V Draft because of the impending lockout expected to happen on December 1st. If that occurs then players added to the 40-man roster would be ineligible to play minor league ball in the Spring.
According to the MLB printed rules, "Players first signed at age 18 must be added to 40-man rosters within five seasons or they become eligible to be drafted by other organizations through the Rule 5 process. Players signed at 19 years or older have to be protected within four seasons.
“Clubs pay $100,000 to select a player in the Major League phase of the Rule 5 Draft. If that player doesn't stay on the 25-man roster for the full season, he must be offered back to his former team for $50,000."
Assuming however that there will still need to be a traditional Rule V Draft then the Mets have a sizable laundry list of players who fit within the MLB regulations stated above.
Let’s have a look at the whole grouping of minor leaguers who might be protected by the Mets by moving them to the 40-man roster:
- Pitchers: Ryan Ammons; Eli Ankeney; Justin Armbruester; Juan Arnaud; Brett Banks; Jose Chirinos; Irving Cota; Candido Cuevas; Felipe De La Cruz; Jorge De Leon; Joel Díaz; Zach Franklin; Saul Garcia; Gary Gill Hill; Cristofer Gomez; Noah Hall; Dakota Hawkins; Wyatt Hudepohl; Bryce Jenkins; Jonathan Jimenez; Gregori Louis; Ernesto Mercedes; Douglas Orellana; Cesar Rivera; Christian Rodriguez; Luis R. Rodriguez; Ben Simon; Austin Troesser; Jack Wenninger; Calvin Ziegler;
- Catchers: Ronald Hernandez; Kevin Parada; Vincent Perozo; Chris Suero; Francisco Toledo;
- Infielders: Ryan Clifford; Randy Guzman; Nick Lorusso; Jacob Reimer; Jefferson Rojas; D'Andre Smith; Marco Vargas;
- Outfielders: Yohairo Cuevas; Estarling Mercado; Yonatan Henriquez
Here’s where David Stearns and his staff theoretically earn their money by making the best possible decisions on which prospects deserve to be elevated to the 40-man roster.
The most obvious one, of course, is infielder Jefferson Rojas who was raking in the minors since arriving to the Mets organization last August. You need to keep your hands on your in-house number one player prospect.
After that you get the list of reasonably strong candidates would include Chris Suero and Marco Vargas. Others on the list whose names jump out but whose metrics do not would include Ryan Clifford and Kevin Parada. You could make a case for catching prospect Ronald Hernandez but since he’s not appeared above A ball it’s entirely reasonable to expose him as he’s not likely to make any club’s Major League roster for the full 2027 season.
On the pitching side of the ledger you have quite a few names but not very many that would likely tempt the other 29 ballclubs. On the top would be newcomer Gary Gill Hill who struck out quite a few after arriving. Then you’d have to consider protecting Jack Wenninger who still owns a minor league career ERA of 3.89. After that there’s no one near enough to the majors and good enough to pique interest by other teams.
Next time around we’ll take a look at another aspect of the 40-man roster. The deadline for cuts is November 17th and the Mets have quite a few choices that need to be made. Depending on how many players the Mets want added to it will dictate how many must be removed.

18 comments:
Pitchers seem more likely to be taken because the can more easily be hidden at the backend of the bullpen. Not so with position players. The four names most talked about include Rojas, Gill Hill, Wenninger and Reimer. Reimer being one of those position players.
Zach Franklin most likely is a major league bullpen pitcher next season. He got a late career start and just turned 28, but he really put up strong #’s in his first full minors season in 2024, and even stronger in 2025 and 2026. Low WHIP, high Ks, very solid. Acquired as part of the Brazoban trade.
I would not be surprised if they protect him. But they have certainly gotten a good chance to watch him in action. So if they don’t protect him, I guess there could be a good reason for that.
Cota has been pitching well, too. My guess is he wont get drafted, because he barely pitched and AA last year, and didn’t pitch well there, and has pitch well in Arizona, but has really almost know Upper, minor quality, track record, but he is at some risk.
My slam dunk protections would be:
Jenkins
Garcia
Rojas
Can’t argue with Jenkins. He has a great 2026. Garcia? Not nearly as much.
I cannot help, but think that some of the players on the 40 men roster right now will be jettisoned and there’ll be a few more spots for young, healthy relievers, like Jenkins and Franklin, who will be dirt cheap in 2027
Not up to speed on Franklin
Trust me. Need a future major league reliever?
Better call Saul
Rookie of the Year announcements today
"For the minor league phase specifically, players listed on an organization's 38-player Triple-A-level reserve/PROTECTION list are also protected from being selected." Who might this protected list include?
sounds to me like you can protect a total of 78 players
Ya got me
The rule 5 service time applies to all players within the system. Assuming the list above is correct, all the players are eligible for the major league portion of the draft regardless of minor league roster placement. To protect them from the minor league draft they need to be on the AAA reserve roster.
Wenninger - rule 5 eligible. If on major league roster, cannot be drafted in the major league draft.
If on the AAA reserve roster, can still be drafted on the major league draft but cannot be drafted in the minor league draft.
Reimer, in my opinion, would not be drafted in the major league draft. However, based upon his rankings on most lists, would most likely be drafted in the minor league portion. In my opinion he will be placed on the AAA reserve roster.
Thanks Steve
I could see coming off the 40 man roster in the next several days Mark Vientos, Ronny Mauricio, Hayden Senger, Chris Morel, and Robert Stock. Thoughts?
I believe that several trades may be attempted. With that, I would think that both Vientos and Mauricio may have some value in a trade. Not the center pieces. Agree on the other three.
True
None of them worthy of being protected
Maybe they could be included in the Jonathan Taylor trade
Agree
Since the criteria for a team to retain a player selected in the rule 5 draft is that they must stay on the active roster all season, it really limits the number of names that are likely to be drafted. This creates a little bit of a gamble when considering who to protect. I agree with earlier comments that it is easier to hold a pitcher in the back of the bullpen, but when you consider the amount of bullpen adds and subtracts over the last two years, the Mets probably couldn't afford to try that trick. I would protect Rojas, Wenninger, and Garcia. Vargas is a tough call - he was so good last year after the deadline, but has not had a solid full season at the AA level and has never seen a pitch in AAA. Would you take a gamble on a full season at your MLB roster level?
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