6/20/26

MACK - Strike News Update

 

Strike News


 

Well, it looks like the owners have come up with a new offer to the Player’s Association which sort of changes everything.

Among the highlights:

- baseball would eliminate high school eligibility

- baseball would cut the draft from 20 rounds to 12

-baseball would cut draft bonuses by 50%

-bonuses would be a set amount determined by draft position

-baseball would establish an International draft that would have the same amount of bonus compensation as the MLB amateur draft..

- MLB’s proposal also assures these changes will not impact the number of affiliated teams in the MiLB Professional Development License (PDL) system. MLB stated that the number of affiliated MiLB teams would remain at 120, and that MLB would not be seeking reductions in the 2030 PDL negotiations with MiLB club owners.

Thoughts?

RVH - Rethinking the Mets, Part 8: What the Mets Need to Become

 

Seven articles ago, we started with a simple observation.

The Mets do not have an ambition problem.

They have an execution problem.

That may sound harsh.

It is not intended to be.

In many ways, the first six years of the Steve Cohen era have been the most ambitious six-year stretch in franchise history.

The organization has invested in payroll.

The organization has invested in infrastructure.

The organization has invested in analytics.

The organization has invested in player development.

The organization has invested in baseball operations.

The organization has invested in people.

The mission has been clear from the beginning.

Build a championship organization.

Not simply a championship team.

A championship organization.

The question now is whether the Mets can turn those investments into the kind of self-reinforcing advantages that define the Yankees, Braves, and Dodgers.

Because that is ultimately the standard.

Not one great season.

Not one great roster.

Not one championship.

Something bigger.

Something more durable.

Something that lasts.

What We Learned

Throughout this series, a pattern emerged.

The Mets' biggest challenges are rarely isolated problems.

They are connected.

The slow starts.

The pressure.

The roster construction.

The player development questions.

The Citi Field environment.

The recurring instability.

They influence one another.

Which means the solutions must connect as well.

The Yankees taught us that pressure never disappears.

They simply learned how to carry it.

The Braves taught us that randomness never disappears.

They simply became better at absorbing it.

The Dodgers taught us that uncertainty never disappears.

They simply created more options than everyone else.

Each organization solved a different problem.

Over time, those solutions became advantages.

Then those advantages became expectations.

Then those expectations became identity.

That is how championship organizations are built.

The Mets Are Closer Than People Think

This may be the most important point in the entire series.

The Mets are not starting from scratch.

They already possess many of the ingredients.

An owner willing to invest.

A top baseball executive.

Growing infrastructure.

Improved development systems.

Financial strength.

Market strength.

Revenue strength.

Fan passion.

Brand relevance.

The foundation exists.

The challenge is moving from investment to results.

From activity to outcomes.

From aspiration to execution.

That is where the next phase of the Cohen era begins.

The Next Mets Model

The goal is not to become the Yankees.

The Yankees spent generations building what they have.

The goal is not to become the Braves.

The Braves spent decades building what they have.

The goal is not to become the Dodgers.

The Dodgers spent fifteen years rebuilding themselves into what they are today.

The goal is to become the best version of the Mets.

But that version should borrow lessons from all three.

From The Yankees

The Mets need greater organizational stability.

Fewer emotional swings.

Fewer dramatic pivots.

More consistency.

More patience.

More trust.

Pressure should become part of the environment.

Not something that changes the organization's behavior every time adversity appears.

From The Braves

The Mets need more replacement power.

More internally developed solutions.

More contributors arriving from within.

More confidence that the next answer is already somewhere in the system.

Not every problem should require an external acquisition.

The strongest organizations continuously produce their own solutions.

From The Dodgers

The Mets need to use financial strength differently.

Not as a weapon.

As a force multiplier.

Money should create flexibility.

Money should create depth.

Money should create options.

Money should create time.

The goal is not winning the bidding war.

The goal is improving decision quality.

The Mets Must Reduce Self-Inflicted Friction

One theme appeared repeatedly throughout this series.

Friction.

Pressure amplification.

Slow starts.

Roster instability.

Environmental challenges.

Organizational uncertainty.

Each makes winning harder.

Each compounds the others.

Championship organizations become great by relentlessly identifying and removing unnecessary friction.

Not all friction can be eliminated.

The Mets cannot change New York.

They cannot change expectations.

They cannot change taxes.

They cannot change forty years of history.

Those realities must be managed.

But many other variables are entirely within the organization's control.

Citi Field is one.

Roster continuity is another.

Spring training philosophy is another.

Player development processes.

Communication.

Role clarity.

Decision-making discipline.

All controllable.

The next phase of the Cohen era should be focused on reducing friction wherever possible.

Optimize Citi Field

The conversation should not begin with:

"How do we build a team for Citi Field?"

The conversation should begin with:

"How do we optimize Citi Field?"

The organization controls the ballpark.

If modest changes to dimensions create a more balanced offensive environment, improve player attraction, reduce early-season offensive suppression, and strengthen home-field advantage, they deserve consideration.

Championship organizations do not simply adapt to their environment.

They improve the parts of the environment they control.

Then they build around it.

Reduce Constant Roster Churn

One of the least discussed challenges of the Cohen era has been turnover.

New players.

New roles.

New expectations.

New relationships.

Every spring requires another adjustment period.

The Yankees, Braves, and Dodgers all make changes.

But they generally preserve a recognizable core.

The organization remains familiar to itself.

That familiarity creates trust.

Communication improves.

Expectations become clearer.

Players spend less time figuring each other out and more time competing.

Championship organizations do not simply accumulate talent.

They compound familiarity.

Rethink Spring Training

The purpose of spring training should not simply be avoiding injury and building fitness.

It should be preparing to win games immediately.

April counts.

May counts.

The standings do not wait for teams to get comfortable.

The Mets should constantly evaluate whether their spring preparation is producing enough early-season readiness.

Are players getting enough repetitions together?

Are defensive units prepared?

Are communication patterns established?

Are bullpen roles understood?

Is the team's identity clear before Opening Day arrives?

The goal should not simply be physical readiness.

The goal should be organizational readiness.

Build For The Entire Season

The best organizations understand something simple.

The season begins on Opening Day.

Not Memorial Day.

Not the trade deadline.

Not September.

Opening Day.

Championship organizations are built to survive six months.

But they are also built to start six months.

That requires:

  • Better roster balance

  • Greater athleticism

  • More continuity

  • More versatility

  • More internal replacements

  • Greater adaptability

Every small improvement reduces friction.

Every reduction in friction makes winning easier.

Over time those advantages compound.

The Yankees accumulated them over generations.

The Braves accumulated them through continuity.

The Dodgers accumulated them through relentless optimization.

The Mets should be doing the same.

The Real Goal

For much of their history, the Mets have chased teams.

The 1986 Mets.

The 2006 Mets.

The 2015 Mets.

Individual rosters.

Individual moments.

Individual windows.

The Yankees, Braves, and Dodgers think differently.

They are not chasing teams.

They are building organizations.

Organizations that continuously produce teams.

That distinction matters.

One creates occasional contention.

The other creates sustained contention.

One relies on timing.

The other relies on process.

One hopes the window stays open.

The other keeps building new windows.

That is the real opportunity in front of the Mets.

The Next Six Years

The first six years of the Cohen era answered one question.

Would the Mets finally operate like a major franchise?

The answer is yes.

Without question.

The next six years will answer a much harder question.

Can the Mets become a championship organization?

Can they build enough trust that a difficult month no longer creates panic?

Can they build enough development strength that every problem does not require a transaction?

Can they build enough flexibility that adversity becomes manageable rather than disruptive?

Can they build enough stability that winning becomes expected rather than hoped for?

Those are the questions that matter now.

Because championship teams come and go.

Championship organizations endure.

The Yankees built one over generations.

The Braves built one through continuity.

The Dodgers built one through reinvention and execution.

The Mets have spent the first six years of the Cohen era laying pieces of the same foundation.

The next phase is about putting those pieces together.

That is the challenge.

That is the opportunity.

And ultimately, that is what the Mets need to become.


Final Series Thesis

The Mets do not need a new mission.

They do not need another reset.

They do not need another grand vision.

The mission has been clear from the beginning.

The challenge now is execution.

Build greater stability.

Build greater resilience.

Build greater flexibility.

Reduce friction.

Create trust.

And over time, turn those strengths into the kind of self-reinforcing advantages that define every championship organization.

The first six years of the Cohen era were largely about adding advantages.

The next six years may be about removing friction.

That is how the Mets close the gap.

That is how the Mets stop chasing sustained success.

And that is how the Mets finally start expecting it.

A Short Break

As this series comes to a close, it feels like a natural time for me to step away from writing regular articles for a while.

This isn't a reaction to the season, and it certainly isn't me stepping away from the Mets or from the Mack's Mets community.

Quite the opposite.

I'll continue following the team closely and expect to remain an active participant in the comments and discussions over the coming months. I simply plan to take a break from publishing longer-form pieces for a period of time.

Thank you to everyone who has read, debated, agreed, disagreed, and contributed to the conversation. One of the things I've enjoyed most about writing for Mack's Mets has been the quality of the community and the willingness of readers to engage thoughtfully with different ideas and perspectives.

The Mets will undoubtedly give us plenty to discuss between now and the end of the season.

I look forward to being part of those conversations and returning to the writing chair down the road.

Until then...

LGM!

Reese Kaplan -- How Have the David Stearns Draft Picks Performed?


Yesterday we took a look at the one thing David Stearns has done well since taking charge of the Mets organizational structure.  While he has not done well at all in finding major league quality players he has accurately evaluated the caliber of the players he’s traded away (none of whom is truly making anyone feel regret). 

Please bear in mind the sheer odds against draft picks advancing to one of the 30 major league teams.  Various studies have been done to determine the likelihood of the ultimate success happening.  Of the 600 players drafted in 20 rounds in June each year, 97% of them will never make it to the majors.  Of the 3% who do, that amounts to just 18 players of 600. 

Today let’s take an early look at the two years thus far he’s been in charge of the collection of high school and college players who were available in draft to become eventual major leaguers if they progressed as hoped when selected.  It’s still early in the development process so most are still toiling in the minors.
 
In 2024 two of the picks opted to go to college and did not sign.  Let’s have a brief look at most of the the rest of them.  I’m leaving out players no longer with the Mets organization: 

  • Carson Benge — taken as a somewhat rare two way player who was shifted exclusively to offense, Benge has already made it into that magic 18 number and appears not to be overmatched at all after a rough start to his rookie season.
  • Jonathan Santucci appears to be one who will crack the major league plateau as well.  In 37 games (35 as a starting pitcher) he has an over .500 record a 3.41 ERA, a respectable 1.205 WHIP and 206 strikeouts in iin 174 innings pitched. 
  • Young Eli Serrano III has had the equivalent combined of a single major league season while working his way up the minors.  The 12 HRs and 72 RBIs are pretty good but the low batting average suggests he needs to work on consistent contact. 
  • Speedy Trey Snyder has 45 stolen bases over a couple of years and 508 ABs, but that’s where most of the highlights end.  He has hit 5 HRs and drive in 60, but only has managed to hit .228.  You can’t steal regularly if you have trouble getting on base.
  • Slugging Corey Collins has clubbed 13 HRs and driven in 51 in 388 minor league at bats but has done so while hitting a combined .178.  All or nothing players seldom thrive but the power is worth watching if he can work on non home run swings effectively. 
  • Starting pitcher Will Watson has had a commendable if not noteworthy ascent up the ladder.  He has a career minor league 3.81 ERA with a respectable WHIP while notching 164 Ks in 174 IP.
  • Reliever Ryan Lambert has indeed posted some gaudy numbers.  Over 66 games he has earned a tidy 2.61 era with a 1.261 WHIP.  Most noteworthy is his fanning 110 batters in just 69 IP. 
  • Starting pitcher Brendan Girton is hanging around the fringes with a 4.29 ERA and a 1.357 WHIP.  He has fanned better than 1 per inning pitched so there is some potential there.
  • Nick Roselli has done a little of everything but hit for average.  In 414 ABs he has slugged 10 HRs and driven in 60 runs while also adding 10 SBs.  Unfortunately he did all of this at a Mendoza line batting average.
  • Ethan Lanthier has a minor league ERA of 7.00.  Ugh!
  • Starting pitcher R.J. Gordon has a minor league ERA of 4.42 with a WHIP of 1.362 and an average of about 1 K per IP.
  • Pitcher Tanner Witt has been in 17 games thus far with an ugly 7.85 ERA.
  • Pitcher Josh Blum has kept his ERA a tad under 4.00 over 43 games but the WHIP is high at 1.320 and he strikes out less than 1 per inning pitched.
  • Batter Jacoby Long is slightly better than Nick Roselli as his minor league average is all the way up to .203.
  • Starting pitcher Jace Hampson began his Mets minor league career with flashy numbers.  Over 9 starts he had a nice 2.79 ERA and a respectable 1.190 WHIP.  He did this without striking many out, but now is on the shelf after Tommy John Surgery.
In 2025 the Mets made a collection of 20 draft picks most of whom are not far enough along to make definitive conclusions:
  • Speed burner Mitch Voit has had just 279 minor league ABs and is hitting a paltry .237.  However, he also has 8 HRs and 33 RBIs in roughly an aggregate of a half season’s worth of playing time.  What really catches your eye, however are the 43 swipes he’s made as a base runner.
  • Another guys whose best attribute is his legs is Antonio Jimenez who has had 275 ABs while hitting 4 HRs and driving in 27.  The good number is his total of 17 SBs, but he did all of these things while hitting a combined .198.
  • Pitcher Cam Tilly over 11 starts has earned a 4.56 ERA with less than a strikeout per inning pitched accompanied by a 1.305 WHIP.
  • Starting pitcher Camden Lohman is off to a 6.17 ERA earned across 6 starts.  He has a 1.671 WHIP and struck out 28 in 23 innings pitched. 
  • Another base runner Anthony Frobose has notched 8 SBs in 79 ABs but also has hit a paltry .203.
  • Pitcher Tyler McLoughlin in 16 games has a 9.17 ERA and a WHIP of 2.170.  The only positive thing is 26 Ks in 19 IP. 
  • Draftee Wyatt Vincent in 62 ABs has a .226 average not showing much run production nor speed.
  • Pitcher Frank Camarillo is off to a start that should keep him around for a little while.  His 4.07 ERA is not great but the WHIP of 1.212 is good.
  • Pitcher Conner Ware has frankly not been good as a starter.  He’s got a 5.80 ERA and a WHIP of 1.395 while striking out a hair over one per inning.
  • Pitcher Zack Mack has had a nice start over 13 games with a 2.16 ERA, a 1.200 WHIP and 21 strikeouts in 16 innings pitched.
  • Another base stealer who can’t seem to hit is Sam Robertson who, over 193 ABs has swiped 33 bases but shows no power whatsoever and is hitting just .193. 
  • Starting pitcher Dillon Stiltner is suffering through a 13.50 ERA with a horrific WHIP of 2.438. 
  • Pitcher Joe Scarborough is sporting a 4.64 ERA and an ugly 1.969 WHIP while fanning just under 1 per inning pitched.
  • Hurler Garrett Stratton is still working his way up but has just a 2.48 ERA accompanied by a not too good WHIP of 1.316.  He has fanned 44 in 30 IP.  There’s some potential there.  



6/19/26

Tom Brennan - Happy Recap of Thursday Action


The Happy Recap!  Hoo, Hoo, Hoo!

 

Lots of “Happy”, and not much “Crappy”, on Thursday:


Mets win, 6-4. ALL STAR Soto (.480/.594/.920 over last 7 games) blasts 2 more (17), and on his second, he was stunned that his high fly blew out for a HR. NICE to hit in a hitter-friendly park, huh, Juan?

Manaea pitched well for the W, and the Phillies hit like, well, like aging guys.  

Benge and Ewing hit, well, like rising young stars, going 5 for 9; Semien had 2 hits and 2 RBIs, too (last 7 games, .400 OBP). Pen was super again.


Syracuse? Nick Morabito “got his Soto on”, also blasting 2 homers (6, 7). Syracuse won 6-5, with 6 hurlers fanning 15.

 - Clifford fanned 4 times. 101 Ks thru June 18. Draw your own conclusion.


Binghamton and Santucci (6 shutout innings) won 8-1. 

Catcher Vincent Perozo is SIZZLING in June, including 3 hits last night.

BTW…”Guess who’s coming to dinner?”

Francisco Lindor will begin a minor league rehab assignment Friday for AA Binghamton, and could return to the Mets lineup by early next week.

And the line up could become…dangerous?

We can only hope he returns like Braves superstar catcher Blake Baldwin, who recently missed 4 weeks, and in his first game back, cranked a 473 foot home run. Fourteen homers in 50 games for the catcher whom the Braves selected 85 picks after Kevin Parada.


Brooklyn lost 5-4, but Mack’s favorite, Houck the Hulk, had a HR and 3 RBIs.


St Lucie won. Mauricio PLAYED! 

- He was 1 for 3 at shortstop. Hopefully, feet first slides from now on.

Pena? He had a single and 2 walks. 

19 y/o Joel Lara threw 4 brilliant hitless innings, fanned 7, but got a ND because he did not go 5 innings. 

Change the darned rule. At least in the minors. Four innings for a win.


The FCL Mets won, 4-2. Vladi Gomez has 2 hits (.361).  

80 of 91 career steals in 165 games. 

Mack already knows: Watch this guy.


Both DSL teams won, with one score being 15-14. Thank heavens for a late two point conversion.

Reese Kaplan -- David Stearns is Better At Judging Who to Lose


After writing a bit about the oddball trades and under performing free agent acquisitions engineered by David Stearns which unfortunately has yielded very little in terms of quality beyond Juan Soto, a good question arose regarding younger players/prospects Stearns traded away or DFA’d during his tenure and how they’ve done overall.

As a precursor to looking at this list is the overall conclusion that as bad as Stearns has looked with the higher profile player acquisitions, the departed former Mets organization properties have not exactly set the world on fire.  In a more-or-less chronological order let’s see if anyone truly outstanding is no longer here.  (Ummm...no!):

  • Reliever Eric Orze has appeared in 64 games between 2024 and now while earning a 4.21 ERA split between Tampa and Minnesota.  His 1.442 WHIP suggests he’s not doing a very good job keeping batters off base each inning.
  • 21 year old young starting pitcher Wellington Aracena is now employed by Arizona and despite a quick start to his new career he’s not been good this year at all.  He’s currently sporting a 4.23 ERA and a 1.443 WHIP in A+.  He’s young enough to blossom but overall he has an ERA of 5.39 for his entire minor league career.  So far he’s not been a major loss.
  • Pitcher Cameron Foster has debuted for the Orioles this year and it’s not gone well.  Thus far through 9 games he has a 9.00 ERA and a WHIP of 2.778.  Now aged 27 making his major league debut it may be valid to suggest his prospect window has all but closed.
  • Jose Butto pitched fairly well for the Mets while making his early major league roster and as such he was a part of the trio sent to San Francisco in the 2025 last ditch effort to acquire solid players for reliever Tyler Rogers.  Unfortunately he’s not done well on the left coast with ERAs for 2025 as a Giant of 4.50 and in 2026 he’s at an eye popping 22.50. 
  • Blade Tidwell was once a fairly highly regarded pitching prospect in the Mets minors (and briefly majors) but all has not gone well in the city by the bay.  He did show a 3.00 ERA in a brief end of year trial in 2025 but this year he’s been struggling in the PCL with an ERA of 5.30.  Another one whose luster has gone somewhat dull.
  • Outfielder Drew Gilbert has had nearly 250 ABs for the Giants between 2025 and 2026 while tallying an above Mendoza line .207 batting average with 6 HRs and a single stolen base.  Now aged 25 he still has some time to improve but early indications are not causing Mets fans to lose sleep.
  • Reliever Anthony Nunez made it to The Show with the Orioles this year but is pitching to a 4.98 ERA with 3 Saves and a WHIP of 1.282.  It’s not horrendous at a David Peterson level yet but it’s not noteworthy either. 
  • Big reliever Chandler Marsh at age 23 is struggling in the Orioles organization at the A+ level this year with a 5.01 ERA and a WHIP of 1.371.  He has time but at age 23 many are already higher up in the minors.
  • Brandon Sproat was indeed one of the notable chips gone in the Devin Williams/Tobias Myers trade and some wondered that for a rental were the Mets giving up too much.  Thus far Sproat over 14 games (12 of them as a starter) he’s pitched to the cacophonous tune of a 5.94 ERA and a WHIP of 1.461.  No one is losing sleep over this deal either.
  • Now Jett Williams was a much more highly regarded future Met and many felt his inclusion in the Milwaukee Brewers deal was a high mistake.  Unfortunately for Williams 2026 has not gone well at all.  In Nashville at the AAA level he’s clubbed 9 HRs and driven in 36 while stealing 13 bases but is only hitting .227.  This backslide was certainly not expected. 
  • Now age 27, former Mets prospect Dom Hamel who was DFA’d by the Mets is now with the Yankees organization where all has not gone well.  In 2026 in AAA he’s started 13 games and has an ERA north of 7.00.  Moving on...
  • The under age 30 Vidal Brujan has bounced around the majors and minors since 2021 and now he’s a casualty of a Mets DFA.  A career .197 hitter in nearly 600 ABs he’s not proven to be a quality reserve for any of his baseball employers. 

Overall you do have to tip your cap to the much criticized POBO for not giving up future talents that have helped their new organizations.  While Stearns has not been good at identifying major league talent he’s shown an affinity for understanding which minor league players are indeed expendable.