7/8/26

MACK: Hot Arms - Alvaro Carrillo, Robert Stock, Henderson Hernandez, David Hurtado, Olmedo Barria, Leyvi Rodriquez

 


Period:  6/15-6/28

 


Alvaro Carrillo/DSL Orange – 1.67-WHIP, 3-IP, 3-K, 3-BB, 0-ER, 0.00

Alvaro Carrillo is a 21-year-old right-handed pitching prospect (born April 5, 2005, in Palo Negro, Venezuela) in the New York Mets organization. He signed as an international free agent with the Mets in July 2024 and has pitched exclusively in the Dominican Summer League (DSL Mets Orange).

He stands 6'4" and 175 lbs, with a projectable frame.

Career Stats

2024 (DSL): 7 G (0 GS), 1-0, 2.08 ERA, 8.2 IP, 8 K, 9 BB, 1.50 WHIP.

2025 (DSL): 14 G (4 GS), 3-1, 4.96 ERA, 32.2 IP, 33 K, 36 BB, 1.74 WHIP.

He shows strikeout ability (around 9-10 K/9 in small samples) but struggles with control and consistency, with a high walk rate.

As a DSL pitcher who has mixed starting and relief, he remains a low-level developmental arm with upside tied to his size and athleticism.

 


Period: 6/20-7/3

Robert Stock/Brooklyn – 0.47-WHIP, 6.1-IP, 8-K, 1-BB, 0-ER, 0.00-ERA

Robert Stock is a 36-year-old right-handed pitcher (born November 21, 1989) in the New York Mets organization.

He stands 6'1" and weighs 260 lbs, bats left, and throws right.

Stock was drafted by the St. Louis Cardinals in the 2nd round (2009) out of USC.

 He originally came up as a catcher before converting to pitching. He reached MLB with the San Diego Padres in 2018 and has had a journeyman career:

MLB teams: Padres (2018–19), Red Sox (2020, 2025), Cubs (2021), Mets (2021).

MLB stats (through 2025, 57 games/75.1 IP): 2–4 record, 4.90 ERA, 1.66 WHIP, 77 strikeouts, 44 walks. Mostly relief work with limited starts.

Best MLB stretch: Strong 2018 with the Padres (2.50 ERA in 39.2 IP as a reliever).

Other experience: KBO League with Doosan Bears (2022, 9–10, 3.60 ERA); various minor league and independent stops. He signed a minor-league deal with the Mets in late 2025 after a brief 2025 MLB appearance with Boston.

He is known for his durability in the minors, pitch development/analytics focus, and adaptability (including arm slot changes).

At age 36, he is a depth arm who has shown flashes but battled consistency and injuries.

Pitch Repertoire

Stock features a modern, multi-pitch arsenal with significant horizontal movement. He has evolved it over time, dropping his arm slot lower (into three-quarters/sidearm territory in recent years) to optimize his sinker and overall effectiveness. He uses pitch shaping, varying release points, and analytics heavily.

Key pitches (based on recent Statcast/BrooksBaseball/FanGraphs data):

Cutter (primary, often ~88–92 mph): High usage. Short horizontal break. Reliable for tunneling and weak contact.

Sinker (~93–95+ mph): Core pitch, especially after tweaks. Low spin, strong arm-side run (up to ~17–20 inches), near-zero vertical break. Excellent for ground balls and weak contact; he emphasizes "inefficient" spin for movement.

Four-seam Fastball (~94–97 mph): Used less as a primary but for elevation/ride. He has touched higher velocities in the past (triple digits earlier in career).

Sweeper/Slider (~80–84 mph): Big horizontal break (sweep up to ~17–19 inches). Strong whiff pitch, especially vs. righties. Varies between slider and true sweeper shapes.

Changeup (~78–86 mph): Used more vs. lefties for fade. Usage has varied; he has experimented with grips/slots.

Notable traits:

Big horizontal differentiation (sinker vs. sweeper can exceed 3 feet of movement).

Low arm slot enhances run on the sinker but can make lefties tougher (hence changeup/sweeper adjustments).

Good extension and varying arm angles/release points for deception.

In 2025 Triple-A, he showed solid strikeout ability and ground-ball tendencies with this mix, though MLB command has been inconsistent at times (career ~5.3 BB/9).

Stock is a classic late-career story of reinvention through data and mechanics.

 


Henderson Hernandez/DSL Blue – 0.50-WHIP, 4-IP, 3-K, BB, 0-ER, 0.00-ERA

Henderson Hernandez is a 19-year-old right-handed pitching prospect (born December 19, 2006, in Santo Domingo, Dominican Republic) in the New York Mets organization.

He stands 6'2" and weighs 182 lbs, and throws right-handed.

The Mets signed him as an international free agent to a minor-league contract in May 2025, and he has pitched for the DSL Mets Orange in the Dominican Summer League (Rookie level).

2025 Performance (DSL)Stats: 9 games (5 starts), 1-2 record, 5.01 ERA, 23.1 IP, 19 strikeouts, 1.33 WHIP.

He has shown some strikeout ability (around 7.3 K/9) but has also allowed runs and baserunners at a modest rate in limited innings. As a very recent signee in a complex/Rookie league, this is his professional debut season, so expect development-focused usage with room for growth.

Hernandez is a low-level prospect not yet ranked on major public top-30/40 lists for the Mets.

He has starter potential due to his size, athleticism, and pitchability, but he lacks high-end present velocity based on early reports.

 In one scouting note, he is described as an "advanced" 6-2 righty who commands a ~90 mph tailing fastball and a long, blunt sweeper. He profiles as a craftsman with starter traits, though velocity is not yet a standout tool.


Period:  6/15-6/28

 


Daviel Hurtado/Brooklyn – 0.42-WHIP, 12-IP, 14-K, ER, 0.75-ERA

Daviel Hurtado (full name: Daviel Hurtado Diaz) is a 21-year-old left-handed pitching prospect in the New York Mets organization (born January 26, 2005, in Havana, Cuba).

He stands 6'1" and weighs 166 lbs. He bats and throws left-handed.

Hurtado signed with the Mets as an international free agent on January 15, 2023, for a $640,000 bonus after leaving Cuba in 2022. He missed most or all of 2023 due to injury (including Tommy John surgery). He made his professional debut in 2024.

Minor League Career Stats (through mid-2026)He has progressed through the Mets' system with strong strikeout ability and improving command, though he had some early struggles and injuries.

2024 (FCL Mets, Rookie): 0-5, 6.32 ERA, 15.2 IP, 23 K, 10 BB (high walk rate in debut).

2025 (FCL + St. Lucie A): 1-2, 2.06 ERA, 65.2 IP, 75 K, solid improvement especially in the FCL (0.47 ERA).

Key 2026 notes: Promoted to High-A Brooklyn in late May. He represented Cuba in the 2026 World Baseball Classic. He has posted dominant performances, including multi-inning outings with high swing-and-miss totals and low hits allowed.

Repertoire

Hurtado mixes four pitches with good command and swing-and-miss potential from a three-quarters/slingy arm slot.

Four-seam Fastball (primary pitch, ~93-95 mph, up to 96): Average ride and moderate arm-side run from a high release point. Well-commanded; generates ground balls (~55% GB rate). Decent but not elite bat-misser on its own.

Slider (86-88 mph): Heavy gyro movement. Strong whiff tool (~14% swinging-strike rate) and ground-ball generator (~50% GB rate).

Curveball (78-80 mph): Heavy downer shape; effective complementary pitch with good depth.

Changeup: Rarely used (firm around mid-80s in some data); developmental pitch.

His fastball velocity sits in the low-to-mid 90s (touching 96), and he generates solid induced vertical break. The combination of stuff, command, and a high strikeout/low walk profile has drawn attention as a helium prospect in 2026.

Outlook

Hurtado is a high-upside lefty starter prospect who has taken a big step forward in 2026 with better health and command. He is not yet on most top-30 Mets prospect lists but is generating buzz for his performance at High-A. Continued development of his changeup and durability will be key as he climbs the ladder toward Double-A and potentially MLB in the coming years.

 


Olmedo Barria/DSL Orange – 0.71-WHIP, 7-IP, 8-K, BB, 1-ER, 1.29-ERA

Olmedo Elias Barria is a 19-year-old right-handed pitching prospect in the New York Mets organization (born December 7, 2006, in Chepo, Panama).

He stands 6'4" and weighs 190 lbs, with a right-right batting/throwing profile.

The Mets signed him as an international free agent (UDFA) on January 15, 2025. He has dealt with some injury time (60-day IL stint in 2025) but has pitched in the Dominican Summer League (DSL) for the Mets affiliates.

He has primarily worked in relief so far (no starts listed) and shows promising command and swing-and-miss stuff in limited innings.

At his size (projectable 6'4" frame), he is the type of arm organizations target for velocity and development.

He remains a developmental prospect to watch in the Mets' system.

 


Leyvi Rodriguez/DSL Blue – 1.00-WHIP, 5-IP, 7-K, 2-BB, ER, 1.80-ERA

Leyvi (Leyvi Manuel) Rodriguez is a 20-year-old right-handed pitching prospect in the New York Mets system (born May 17, 2006, in Yaguate, Dominican Republic).

He signed as an international free agent in January 2024 and has pitched exclusively in the Dominican Summer League (DSL) for the Mets.

6'2", ~195 lbs; righty thrower/batter.

Career MiLB (through 2026): Struggled with high ERAs (career ~7.7-8.8 range in limited DSL sample), high walk rates, but has shown strikeout ability.

In 2024 (age 18): 6.52 ERA in 29 IP with more strikeouts than innings.

2025 was rougher with elevated hits and walks.

He’s a lower-level developmental arm still working to refine consistency. Walk rates have been high (often 10+ BB/9 early on), but he generates swings-and-misses.

As of 2026, he’s shown some improvement in the DSL.

Overall Outlook: Rodriguez is a lottery-ticket type prospect—athletic with projection left in his frame and arsenal. He’s not on major top-30 Mets prospect lists yet and needs to cut walks while building innings. Continued strong DSL performance could push him toward the FCL or Low-A in 2027.


Tom Brennan: POTPOURRI POST: Mets Minors Hi’s & Lo’s; Bichette Turns 50; Bravo! And Wandy & Daviel

HEY!! I SEE SOME PEAKS AND VALLEYS

 

(MULTIPLE TOPICS TODAY. I STARTED WITH ONE, AND KEPT LAYERING.)


Sometimes, a game on a Sunday can tell a lot about a prospect.

Sometimes, though, it is just one game.


Binghamton?

They got meekly shut out on 1 hit on Sunday. 

Nick LoRusso had the one hit. He added a walk. Best AA Mets hitter.

- promote him.

On the debit side of the ledger? 

JT Schwartz & Jaylen Palmer? 0-7, with 7 Ks. 

 - Two Slices Of Burnt Toast? Maybe Schwartz isn’t.

 - He rebounded to hit a HR and drove in 4 Tuesday night.

 - At 1st glance, Schwartz’s 2026 looks weak, but has 9 HR in last 36 games.

 - Which I like.

 - So, play him every day and promote him to AAA, and see how he does.

Jon Santucci was superb in the loss, allowing 2 hits, 2 runs, and fanning 10 in 6 innings. But you cannot win when your feeble team gets shut out. Naturally, they scored 10 the next night.


Syracuse?

They lost. 

“Fireballer” Ryan Lambert walked 3 more, in one inning of inaccurate toil.

His 22 walks/hit batsmen in 20 innings are worse than the wildness of Bryce Montes de Oca when he was a Mets prospect. (See more on him below).

But, on the other hand:

Nate “the GREAT” Lavender? 

- He fanned SIX in 2 IP, and seems to be an authentic budding relief stud. 

- Nate’s 57 Ks in 34 IP? Super duper wow.

Nick Morabito remains hot. 50 runs scored in 74 games. I like runs myself.

 - Make him a Met by August 1. Once someone old and decrepit leaves.


St Lucie?

They trailed 5-1, heading into home 7th, but added 9 runs late to win 10-5. 

Antonio Jimenez (.174), in a rough season, had 3 hits. 

Maybe his big Sunday will get the 102nd pick of 2025 going.

(It seems so. In his next game Tuesday, Jimenez had 4 hits in a 11-2 win.)


Brooklyn? 

Yonaton Henriquez finally cracked .200, with a serious hot streak. 

He was somehow hitting a miniscule .145 in mid-June. 

To jump 60 points with a 22 for 63 (.350) break out in 3 weeks?  

That tells me to think he is perhaps getting close to AA ready. 

No one, including, I imagine, Yonaton thought AA was near-term possible 3 weeks ago.

His teammate, Colin Houck, OTOH, had a hit and an RBI - and 3 more Ks. 

Making it 111 Ks in 69 A ball games.  

18 Ks in his last 10 games, even while hitting a little better.

If he had not missed 10 games, but played every one of Brooklyn’s 79 games, he’d likely have 127 Ks, give or take one or two. 

As of the July 4 weekend. A bit rich for my “Low K” diet.

He mostly has hit 6th, 7th or 8th, limiting his total plate appearances.

He did bat leadoff in 62 PAs this year, fanned in 28 of them, and hit .145, so lead off was not working. 

In 280 plate appearances YTD, he fans once every 2.5 PAs.

To me, a true hitting prospect should be more like one K every 5 PAs.

So his task is quite simple…cut his Ks in half.

Houck, due to the 10 slot penalty, was drafted 32nd overall in 2023. 

Otherwise, the Mets would have drafted 10 slots earlier, at 22nd overall. 

Who was actually drafted 22nd overall? 

Colt Emerson.

Colt is already in the major leagues at age 20, a year younger than Houck,  hitting .212, but with an impressive 7 HRs and 19 RBIs in 132 at bats. 

And playing great SS and 3B, defensively. Better in that regard than Houck.

So…the “Ten Slot Penalty” can (did) have enormous negative implications. 

As it clearly has in this case. To the Mets’ long term detriment.


YES…WANDY ASIGEN IS PLAYING

The 16 y/o bonus baby had his first hit on Monday.  He is now 1 for 6 plus 6 walks in his ns ent career in the DSL League of Free Passes. 

In his team’s 13-8 loss Monday, there were 25 walks, of which he had two.  Wandy also plated 2 runs, and made his 3rd error. (He added another hit and walk on Tuesday).


ESCAPED AND THRIVING

“Let’s Go Brandon” Sproat, the guy traded for Never Ready Freddy, has allowed just 3 earned runs in 15.1 IP over his last 3 MLB Outings.  

 - All Sproat needed to do to succeed? 

  - - Leave Queens.


CRAZY WILD

The Mets minors, for possible closer-quality pen help, is bleak. 


Dylan Ross and Ryan Lambert, both of whom I was very optimistic about entering 2026, have been beyond extraordinarily disappointing this season, and can’t be counted on any more than Bryce Montes De Oca could.  


Can I be honest? Bryce was an almost a control freak compared to these two.


Those two bums have surrendered 37 runs in 40 combined AAA IP this year. 


And given up a staggering 43 walks and 8 hit batsmen in 40 frames. 


WHAT???

I hate to call them bums, but those stats scream “BUMS”.


My advice? Aim for the absolute dead center of the plate. Every pitch.


You’ll still miss a lot, I’m sure, but you’ll miss less.


Let hitters make contact, rather than coughing up prodigious levels of walks and HBPs.


WINNER OF THE GOLDEN METS MINORS DELIGHT AWARD SO FAR

Daviel Hurtado

21 year old lefty has simply been BRILLIANT IN BROOKLYN.

36.1 IP, JUST 15 hits, JUST 5 walks, 1.49 ERA, 4-1, JUST a 0.55 WHIP.

In a season of poor performances in the Mets minors virtually all across the board, THAT performance is frankly incredible. 

Daviel….Congratulations!


BO BICHETTE TURNS 50

It happened a few days ago. Up to 50…RBIs?  Hitting .333 after May?

Guy is awesome. Quit griping about him.

He just needed to adjust, just like Lindor did in his first Mets season. 

A first season in Queens through May is almost always painful for hitters.

The Mets are already bottom 3 in scoring with him.

Without him, they’d be ranked maybe 40th in a 30 team sport. Maybe. So…

Keep him if you don’t get GOLD for him at the trade deadline.


BRAVO!

A 17 year-old young man named Royner Bravo went 3 for 3 with 3 RBIs and a walk on Monday in his DSL game. What else can we say, but BRAVO.

Also worth a bravo is my guy, outfielder Randy Guzman, playing a rehab FCL game on Monday after missing a full month with an undisclosed injury. It was suspended after 4 innings, but Randy had a double and an RBI in 2 PAs.

OTHER MINORS INJURY NOTES:

The only remaining significant prospect with significant injury is Boston Baro, who went 4 for 5 in a brief rehab, then was shut down. Sadly, I read this recent Baseball America blurb about a guy who seemed to have the potential to be another AJ Ewing:

“SS Boston Baro remains on the 60-day injured list at High-A Brooklyn as he recovers from a shoulder injury. He attempted a rehab assignment in May before shutting things down again. The Mets expect him to be out until August or September.”

- I wonder if he hurt the shoulder on a head-first dive. I prefer feet first.

Jacob Reimer is out still, too. Regarding him, I read this BA blurb:

 “AA third baseman Jacob Reimer tweaked his groin and went on the injured list on June 18. It is expected to be a short absence.”

- Maybe Reimer returns this week, if it truly is “short term”? Not last nite.

If the minors system right now had the bats of Reimer, Guzman, and Baro, that would have been a true offense boost. Trey Snyder had missed much time, but is hitting a solid .271 since returning in over 100 ABs. Trey is fast, but needs to stay healthy.

LASTLY…

Matt Seelberger had pitched in the minors since 2017. Not in the Mets organization. Never in the bigs. 

However, the pitching starved Mets acquired him for cash, and due to the bullpen running thin, The Mets put him in last night for his major league debut. In his first inning, he gave up the seven deciding runs. 

But he rebounded to throw a scoreless 2nd inning. Hard hit balls, but a zero.

After that difficult debut, I don’t know if he’ll get to throw a third inning in the major leagues, but he finally made it, in what became a Mets 16-12 loss.  Four field goals were not enough.

He actually has pitched well in the minors in his career, but I see one flaw:

Just three hit batsmen in 390 innings. Matt, you’re being too nice. Start nailing some hitters, it might help.

Adam Warren sucked, too. Eve warned me about Adam.

However, AJ Ewing, the Mets new superstar, had 4 hits and 4 runs scored. Soto, the current superstar, hit another big blast. 

Only Mets hitter to go hitless was Hamate Bone Lindor (.210).

Besides Seelberger and Warren, Senga (8.92 ERA) sucked, again. 

That trio gave up all 16 runs against one of baseball’s weaker offenses.

He can quickly again become an ace, though. If he goes to the Dodgers.



Reese Kaplan -- So Who Will Possibly Be Available as a Free Agent?


One of the interesting things for the upcoming season is how the Mets roster will change.  While one would certainly prefer a solid core of players to build around from year to year, the truth is that the bottom dwelling Mets need to acknowledge the David Stearns roster failure and make some across the board changes to address what left them buried alone in last place.

As it is right now the Mets have some tangible needs going into the 2027 season.  There is no first baseman, a less than stellar second baseman, a potential opt out at third base, a starting rotation in disarray and various potential losses in the bullpen.  In addition, some of the bench and role players are heading into free agency as well.  It’s clear a lot of new faces will be wearing Mets uniforms.

 

Starting at first base, the Mets need to consider who is classified as playing that position and evaluating if any of them make sense.  Let’s see the list: 

  • Paul Goldschmidt
  • Christopher Morel
  • Ryan Mountcastle
  • Andrew Vaughn
  • Josh Bell (mutual option)
  • Yandy Díaz (vesting option)
  • Carlos Santana (mutual option)

While everyone respects Marcus Semien as a professional, it’s clear that the deterioration of his skills and his health mean that his employer may need to reconsider if he’s the right solution to pencil into the starting lineup on a daily basis.  Let’s have a look at free agent options:

  •  Luis Arraez
  • Jazz Chisholm Jr.
  • Mauricio Dubón
  • Jonathan India
  • Brandon Lowe
  • Gavin Lux
  • Gleyber Torres
  • Ozzie Albies (club option)
  • Jeff McNeil (club option)

Bo Bichette is in an odd position with his opt out possible if he feels he can land a longer free agent deal though likely at a lower annual rate.  Given his less than outstanding first year with the Mets he may feel it’s better to take the big bucks than to try to find a new employer elsewhere.  Still, options do exist should he leave:

  • Alec Bohm
  • Isiah Kiner-Falefa
  • Yoán Moncada
  • Anthony Rendon
  • Edmundo Sosa
  • Eugenio Suárez
  • Bo Bichette (opt-out)
  • Ramón Urías (mutual option)

In the outfield many people feel that the club is set with a combination of Juan Soto, Carson Benge and A.J. Ewing.  That group may indeed be adequate but there are some names available who might be worth considering, particularly if Ewing moves to 2B or Soto moves to either 1B or DH:

  • Randy Arozarena
  • JJ Bleday
  • Nick Castellanos
  • Adolis García
  • Trent Grisham
  • Ian Happ
  • Austin Hays
  • Ramón Laureano
  • Starling Marte
  • Rob Refsnyder
  • George Springer
  • Seiya Suzuki
  • Tyrone Taylor
  • Lane Thomas
  • Daulton Varsho
  • Taylor Ward
  • Ronald Acuña Jr. (club option)
  • Lourdes Gurriel Jr. (club option)
  • Cedric Mullins (mutual option)
  • Luis Robert Jr. (club option)
  • Victor Robles (club option)

Designated Hitter has been a black hole for the Mets since it arrived in the National League.  We don’t need to rehash what hasn’t worked.  Right now chronically injured Jorge Polanco may be slated for that role but if he indeed returns to 1B then the Mets need a thumper there:

  • Jorge Soler
  • Marcell Ozuna (mutual option)
  • Joc Pederson (mutual option)

Going into 2027 the Mets figure to have Nolan McLean, Christian Scott and hopefully Clay Holmes.  After that the picture gets muddy with Sean Manaea and Kodai Senga under contract but not delivering as expected.  There are indeed some quality starters available to the highest bidder:

  • Chris Bassitt
  • Shane Bieber
  • Jack Flaherty
  • Zac Gallen
  • Kevin Gausman
  • Shota Imanaga
  • Tyler Mahle
  • Casey Mize
  • Freddy Peralta
  • David Peterson
  • Robbie Ray
  • Trevor Rogers
  • Max Scherzer
  • Brady Singer
  • Tarik Skubal
  • Jameson Taillon
  • Justin Verlander
  • Taijuan Walker
  • Brandon Woodruff
  • Sandy Alcantara (club option)
  • José Berríos (opt-out)
  • Matthew Boyd (mutual option)
  • Corbin Burnes (opt-out)
  • Zach Eflin (mutual option)
  • Lucas Giolito (mutual option)
  • Sonny Gray (club option/player option)
  • Clay Holmes (opt-out)
  • Tatsuya Imai (opt-out)
  • Michael King (opt-out)
  • Zack Littell (mutual option)
  • Nick Martinez (mutual option)
  • Dustin May (mutual option)
  • Nick Pivetta (opt-out)
  • Drew Rasmussen (club option)
  • Luis Severino (player option)
  • Jeffrey Springs (club option)

Now in the bullpen the Mets have a bit of an opportunity for some improvements to be made if current players indeed decide to test what other clubs would pay for their services:

  • Bryan Abreu
  • Jason Adam
  • José Alvarado
  • David Bednar
  • Danny Coulombe
  • Pete Fairbanks
  • Raisel Iglesias
  • Evan Phillips
  • Paul Sewald
  • Matt Strahm
  • Blake Treinen
  • Alex Vesia
  • Kirby Yates
  • Shawn Armstrong (mutual option)
  • Aroldis Chapman (mutual option)
  • Emmanuel Clase (club option)
  • Carlos Estévez (club option)
  • Ryan Helsley (opt-out)
  • Kenley Jansen (club option)
  • Andrés Muñoz (club option)
  • Emilio Pagán (opt-out)
  • Garrett Whitlock (club option)

7/7/26

MACK: Hot Bats – Bohan Adderley, Randy Guzman, Christian Arroyo

 


 

Minimum 113 at-bats

 

Bohan Adderley/FCL Mets - .851-OPS

Bohan Adderley (full name: Bohan Christopher Adderley) is a 19-year-old (born November 10, 2006) Bahamian professional baseball prospect in the New York Mets organization. He plays primarily as a shortstop and outfielder (with some time at third base and second), bats and throws right-handed, and stands 6'3" / 180 lbs.

From Nassau, Bahamas.

He initially tried baseball briefly as a child but stepped away before returning around 2015, inspired by his older brother Bakari and friends.

He developed through the Junior Baseball League of Nassau and the International Elite (I-Elite) Sports Academy.

Signed with the Mets as an international free agent on January 15, 2024 (announced around January 17). He was one of the first from his academy to sign with the Mets.

He has a notable personal connection to MLB player Jazz Chisholm Jr. (Yankees), as Chisholm played with his brother in the Bahamas and has mentored him.

Minor League Career Stats

2024 (DSL Mets, age 17): 47 G, .229 AVG, .356 OBP, .320 SLG, 1 HR, 27 RBI, 27 SB (in 28 attempts), 28 BB, 49 SO in 188 PA. Showed speed and plate discipline but struck out often.

2025 (FCL Mets, age 18): 49 G, .175 AVG, .296 OBP, .263 SLG, 3 HR, 15 RBI, 21 SB, higher strikeouts.

Key tools:

Plus speed (elite baserunning), developing power, and a strong arm. He has shown flashes of hitting ability and on-base skills but needs to reduce strikeouts for further advancement.

Adderley is a toolsy, athletic prospect with high upside due to his speed and frame, though he is still raw at the plate. Mets fans and prospect watchers often note his potential as a versatile defender and base-stealer. Keep an eye on him as he climbs the system in the coming seasons.

 

Randy Guzman/St. Lucie Mets - .826-OPS

Randy Guzman (full name: Randy Enmanuel Guzman) is a right-handed hitting and throwing first baseman/corner outfielder in the New York Mets minor league system.

Born April 19, 2005, in Tenares, Dominican Republic, he is currently 21 years old (as of 2026), stands 6'4" and weighs 215 lbs.

The Mets signed him as an international free agent on September 22, 2022, for a small $10,000 bonus. He was considered a "passed-over" prospect at the time due to his relatively advanced age for an international signing. He is the younger brother of former Texas Rangers first baseman Ronald Guzman.

(2023-2024): He spent time in the Dominican Summer League (DSL) with modest results (.175/.333/.294 in 2023; .209/.303/.388 combined in 2024). He showed some power but high strikeout rates.

2025: He made his stateside debut and exploded, hitting a combined .302/.375/.524 with 10 HR, 22 doubles, and 2 triples in 75 games split between the Florida Complex League (FCL) and Low-A St. Lucie. In a strong 26-game stint at St. Lucie, he slashed .333/.381/.604. He earned FCL Post-Season All-Star honors and FSL Player of the Week.

Career minor league line (through 2026): Around .251 AVG with solid on-base skills and emerging power (24 HR in limited action).

Strengths: Plus raw power (60 grade) with easy bat speed (often in the mid-70s mph range) and high exit velocities (90th percentile around 108 mph; he's hit balls over 117 mph). Good contact when he stays in the zone (strong zone contact rate).

Weaknesses: Below-average runner (30 grade), high chase rate, and swing-and-miss potential. Hit tool is fringe (35 grade). Defensively, he's played multiple positions (mostly 1B, some corner OF) but projects as a first baseman long-term due to limited range.

Overall: Mets #23 prospect with an ETA around 2028. His power gives him a chance to profile at the demanding 1B spot if the bat keeps developing.

Guzman is a toolsy, power-focused prospect who turned heads with his work ethic and 2025 breakout after quiet early years. He has boom potential if he refines his plate discipline, but he remains a developmental project in the lower minors.

 

Christian Arroyo/Syracuse Mets - .797-OPS, 41-RBI

Christian Arroyo (full name: Christian Israel Arroyo) is a 31-year-old veteran infielder (born May 30, 1995, in Tampa, FL) currently in the New York Mets organization, playing primarily at Triple-A Syracuse.

Selected by the San Francisco Giants in the 1st round (25th overall) of the 2013 MLB Draft out of Hernando High School in Brooksville, Florida. He was once a highly regarded prospect.

MLB Debut: April 24, 2017, with the Giants.

Previous MLB Teams: San Francisco Giants (2017), Tampa Bay Rays (2018–2019), Cleveland Indians/Guardians (2020), and Boston Red Sox (2020–2023).

He has not appeared in the majors since 2023.

MLB Career Stats (through 2023, 295 games)

Batting: .252 AVG, .299 OBP, .394 SLG, .693 OPS

Power/Contact: 24 HR, 120 RBI, 231 hits in 917 AB

Defense: Versatile infielder who has played 2B, 3B, SS, plus some 1B and outfield.

Solid contact skills and a strong arm, though not an elite defender.

He showed some promise in limited action (especially with Boston in 2021–2022) but has mostly been a utility/bench player or depth option due to injuries and competition.

Signed a minor-league deal with the Mets in January 2026 (with a spring training invite).

Arroyo is a depth piece/utility option for the Mets. He provides veteran infield insurance and has experience across the diamond, but the team’s crowded middle infield and focus on younger players make a major-league return challenging.

Physical: 6'0"–6'1", 220 lbs, bats/throws right-handed. Known for making consistent contact and developing some power, though strikeouts have been an issue at times in the majors.

Overall, he’s a classic journeyman infielder — a former top prospect who has carved out a long professional career through versatility and minor-league consistency, now hoping for another MLB opportunity with the Mets.

Steve Sica - Does Tanking Really Work in Baseball?



With the Mets sitting at 37-54, if the season ended today, they would have the fourth overall pick. Of course, the MLB Draft Lottery could move that pick around, and if it falls to seventh or worse, the Mets' selection would drop another 10 spots because of the MLB's luxury tax penalty. 

While the Mets sit in a very distant last place in the NL East, the division title and all three Wild Card spots seem out of reach heading into the All-Star Break. There are already fans across social media rooting for the Mets to tank and land a top draft pick. 

As of July 6, they are just two games better than the Angels for the No. 1 overall selection. But for all the losing involved, is tanking, whether intentional or not, really worth it in the long run? Is the cost of playing horrible baseball for a season or two, risking alienating your fan base, and establishing a losing culture around your franchise actually worth the chance at sustained success over the next five to seven years? 

Unlike the NFL or NBA, tanking in baseball isn't nearly as common or as obvious. The MLB Draft is also very different from those of the other two sports. The NFL Draft is an event. It's discussed throughout virtually the entire offseason leading up to the end of April. It draws higher television ratings than the first round of both the NBA and NHL playoffs, which are taking place at the same time. That's because in the NFL, one player—especially a quarterback—can completely change the course of a franchise. 

One thing I like about baseball is that it's perhaps the ultimate team sport. One player doesn't automatically make you a World Series favorite. Just ask Mike Trout or Shohei Ohtani during his Angels days. Bryce Harper, the first overall pick in 2010 and one of the most hyped prospects in recent memory, has yet to win a World Series. That's not a knock on him at all. 

He certainly helped turn the Nationals into winners during the mid-2010s, though they ironically won the World Series the year after he left for Philadelphia in 2019. Harper reached the World Series with the Phillies in 2022 and won NLCS MVP honors that year, but you could argue he wasn't the only reason for their success. Philadelphia has done an excellent job of surrounding Harper with talent through both free agency and smart trades. 

High draft picks are nice because they bring in a player who immediately becomes one of the top prospects in your system, but that doesn't guarantee Major League success. Plenty of top prospects become busts. The Mets selected Kevin Parada with the 11th overall pick in the 2022 draft, and he has yet to make it past Triple-A. 

If tanking really worked and high draft picks were the secret formula for winning World Series titles, the Los Angeles Angels would be the late-1990s Yankees by now. They haven't made the playoffs since 2014 and haven't posted a winning season since 2015. They also haven't finished higher than 10th out of 15 American League teams in each of the last six seasons, and that streak is likely to reach seven by the end of 2026. Not only have the Angels been one of baseball's worst teams over the past decade, but their farm system is also routinely ranked near the bottom of the league. 

Meanwhile, their crosstown rivals, the Dodgers, have won back-to-back World Series, made the playoffs every season during that same span, and consistently boast one of baseball's best farm systems. They've accomplished all of that despite rarely picking until the late 30s or early 40s in the draft and often forfeiting selections after signing qualified free agents. 

The best modern example of tanking working is the Houston Astros. Between 2011 and 2013, they lost a combined 324 games and failed to win more than 56 games in a single season. Those lean years paid off with several outstanding draft picks. By 2015, they had reached the ALDS. By 2017, they had won the franchise's first World Series. They sustained that success throughout the late 2010s, returning to the World Series in 2019 and 2021 before winning another championship in 2022. For the sake of this discussion, we'll ignore the trash can scandal. The point remains that being very, very bad can eventually produce tremendous rewards for a franchise.

The Baltimore Orioles followed a similar path during the late 2010s and early 2020s. They went 47-115 in 2018, lost 108 games in 2019, and then lost 110 games in 2021, securing the No. 1 overall pick after each of those seasons. Eventually, they emerged from their rebuild. In 2023, just two years after losing 110 games, they won 101 games, the franchise's best record since 1979. However, they didn't experience the same postseason success as Houston. 

They were swept by the Rangers in the ALDS. The following season, they won a respectable 91 games but were swept again, this time by the Royals in the Wild Card Series. In 2025, they fell below .500, and now, in July 2026, they sit at 42-48. After all that losing, their peak still didn't produce a single postseason victory, something they haven't accomplished since 2014. 

Tanking can improve your draft position, and in theory, the higher you pick, the better your chances of landing a star player. But scouting, player development, and drafting well matter far more than draft position alone. So does navigating free agency wisely and making trades that strengthen your organization rather than weaken it. It's still too early to fairly evaluate David Stearns' draft classes since he's only overseen two. 

Carson Benge looks promising, but that's about all we can say with confidence. The 2025 class has shown flashes of promise, but there are also early concerns, both about performance and staying healthy. 

To all the fans, myself included, who are starting to root for this team to tank, ask yourself one question: Do you trust David Stearns and this Mets front office with a high draft pick, even the No. 1 overall pick in the 2027 MLB Draft?