11/12/26

MACK – MEDIUM - 2027 MLB Draft Top 9 Prospects

https://medium.com/@oliver.mitsuo/2027-mlb-draft-top-100-prospects  

Picks 7-9:


7. Malachi Butler (HS SS)

McEarchen HS (GA), Georgia Tech Commit

6' 3", 190 lbs, L/R

Butler is how you draw them up. A 6' 3", left-handed shortstop, Butler’s swing and operation is very efficient. There’s little to no unnecessary moving parts, quiet triggers, and a direct, compact path to the zone. It’s a swing built for contact, and Butler makes tons of it. It’s a simple approach best suited for working the gaps. 

Butler doesn’t chase out of the zone much, and pulls the trigger when he does get pitches within the zone. It’s already one of the most distinguished hit tools among the prep crop. The swing is very short, and can look to lack some leverage at times, but Butler hits the ball hard enough, and can put a charge into one enough to suggest he’ll end up someone with average raw power. Though, he’ll have to take more chances early in the count to punish the ball pull-side if he’s to tap into it.

Butler’s more of an average runner, but he’s got all the actions to suggest a long-term shortstop. He makes up for a his more lacking raw foot speed with a quick first step and the ability to make tough throws on the run. 

Butler is quick laterally and has solid average arm strength that’s good enough for shortstop. He’s no defensive show pony, either. The actions have consistently translated well to in-game settings. He’s got the potential to be an above-average defender there, although average may be a safer bet long-term.

Butler’s entire profile from top to bottom screams pro-caliber. It’s an offensive profile that keeps hitting easy and simple, it’s strong defensive actions at shortstop, and enough size to hope on some power coming on. A fairly high-floor hitter with enough upside to get potentially excited about. 

Additionally, Butler won’t even be 18 years old on Draft day, another plus in his game. There’s just simply not many holes to poke in Butler’s profile. This looks every bit the part of a first round prep shortstop.

 


8. Gavin Kelly (C/UTIL, West Virginia)

6' 0", 185 lbs, R/R

Kelly is yet another in the recent trend of athletic amateur catchers with speed and defensive versatility. Kelly may be the most athletic one yet, however, and may still have room left to grow.

At the plate, Kelly is rather upright, with a short stride forward, keeping his weight back, and getting the toe down early. He has obvious contact skills, showing big bat speed when he uncorks, both staying on velocity and holding his own on secondaries. He effectively spoils even when he’s fooled, shortening up with two strikes, and still generating enough force to consistently impact the baseball. 

He can get the ball in the air, working a gap-to-gap approach, more intent on impacting the ball than selling out for his game power. He’s able to have the ball squeeze out over the fence with a metal bat, though his power stroke is primarily to dead center field, and the opposite way. The raw power is mostly average to this point, and whether the game power can effectively translate with a wood bat like it has with metal is a question he’ll need to answer. 

He’s very adjustable, able to let the ball travel with ease, and recognizing spin within the zone, with some natural loft to the smooth right-handed stroke. He possesses a quiet approach that effectively stays off balls out of the zone, while not keeping the bat on his shoulder when he gets pitches within the zone. 

As currently constructed, his swing isn’t the most constructed for pull-side damage. He projects more as an average power, primarily doubles hitter kind of guy. He has the tools to potentially be a plus hitter.

Kelly is a true Swiss Army Knife that can fit in any position on the field. The catching chops are quite impressive, with impressive framing skills, plus lateral agility and blocking skills, and an above-average arm, showing himself adept at managing the running game and throwing out baserunners. 

He’s got the look of a plus or better catcher defensively. That’s not the end of the defensive train for Kelly, however. He’s a plus runner on the whole, who has good twitch and bend on the dirt, most of his time coming at second base there. He’s got plenty of range going to his right, and could be tried out as a shortstop in the low minors and see how he takes to it, as well. 

He’s gotten time in the outfield, too, and he’s got plenty of range out there, with strong reads and routes. Unlike your classic utility player who is a jack of all trades, master of none defensively, Kelly legitimately could play any defensive position on the infield, outfield, or behind the dish, and be a defensive asset.

Kelly’s best defensive position currently does appear to be catcher currently, but there is a not so silent crowd of evaluators who would like him to move out from behind the plate in favor of a position where he’d be able to get his bat in the lineup every day with less bodily risk to himself. Second base has been the most popular suggestion, though Kelly becoming a full-time second baseman removes a whole lot of the allure of the athlete.

 


9. Ryan McPherson (RHP, Mississippi State)

6' 3", 215 lbs

McPherson is a legit arm talent who checks a lot of boxes, even if he doesn’t necessarily excel at any one thing. Up to 99 mph, McPherson has a powerful frame and holds 94–97 mph in his starts with some authority, leading with the pitch and trying to establish it early. It’s very low-effort velocity. 

The shape is more solid than anything, and McPherson doesn’t hide the ball exceptionally well, leading to it playing more mediocre compared to how hard he throws it. It has more visual running life than carry, though the raw velocity certainly helps, he pounds the zone and can get it to the top rail when he’s on.

While McPherson won’t have every single pitch firing on all cylinders in one outing, each pitch can shows it’s flashes of being above-average or better depending on the night. His best bet of the bunch is an upper-80s changeup that he seriously sells, with impressive tunnel and depth. 

He can manipulate both more of a true changeup and splitter-like offspeed within that bracket, a testament for his feel for the offspeed. That feel makes it easy to project the pitch out as plus. His firm 83–86 mph knuckle curveball was once his bread and butter, though the pitch is more inconsistent now as the arsenal around it has improved. It still has solid, short movement, and can be effective when he’s picking and choosing his spots right, and putting it where he wants instead of letting it hang up in the zone. 

He began to show a harder upper-80s slider shape later into the year that looked better than his curve. So, while the changeup is the most effective weapon, he’s shown capable of spinning the ball and being able to get to firm, distinct shapes.

McPherson has a nice, simple motion that he has fantastic feel to consistently repeat. He does everything fairly well, with four pitches that can flash above-average, a plus changeup, good velocity, a good body, and above-average strikes. This is as good of a bet to be a big league arm, and a big league starter at the next level as it gets. 

It’s merely about what it looks like when he gets there. But this is a fairly low-variance number 3/4 starter at the next level who doesn’t have the raw traits or explosiveness to be too much more, and does too much well to be too much less. 

There’s a good deal of similarities in the motion to Brandon Woodruff. He may never have the fastball value Woodruff had, but the rest of the profile looks rather similar otherwise.

RVH - Milwaukee and the Mets, Side by Side (Part 4)

 

Milwaukee won 29 more games than the Mets in 2026 on an estimated payroll of roughly $142 million to New York’s $358 million. The difference extends beyond one season. Over three years, the Brewers reached October every year and won a pennant. The Mets made one postseason run and reached the National League Championship Series. 

The comparison raises a practical question for New York. What did Milwaukee have across its roster that the Mets could not consistently replace when players got hurt or underperformed?

Three seasons of results

Measure

Milwaukee Brewers

New York Mets

2024 record

93–69

89–73

2025 record

97–65

83–79

2026 record

103–59

74–88

Three-year record

293–193 (.603)

246–240 (.506)

Postseason appearances

3

1

Deepest postseason result

2026 World Series berth

2024 NLCS

Estimated 2026 payroll

$142M

$358M

Payroll figures are October draft estimates. Postseason results are stated through the original comparison date.

Where the production came from

Milwaukee’s selected six included Jacob Misiorowski, Brice Turang, Jackson Chourio, Jake Bauers, Garrett Mitchell and William Contreras. Together they produced 26.9 FanGraphs wins above replacement. The Mets’ selected six produced 17.1 fWAR. The cost comparison uses annual average value (AAV) for both groups, which differs from the listed 2026 salaries used for Milwaukee in Part 1.

Selected six players

Milwaukee Brewers

New York Mets

2026 fWAR

26.9

17.1

Combined annual contract cost

$28.2M

$86.0M

Annual cost per fWAR

$1.05M

$5.03M

Estimated value at $8.5M per WAR

$229.0M

$145.5M

Estimated value above cost

$200.8M

$59.4M

The valuation benchmark is illustrative. Figures reflect the original draft’s rounded estimates for six players per club.

Depth and the next wave of talent

The Mets had a version of Milwaukee’s affordable core starting to emerge. Carson Benge, Nolan McLean, Christian Scott and A.J. Ewing accounted for about 11.8 fWAR at roughly $3.1 million in the October analysis. That gives New York players it can build around at a manageable cost. It also raises the importance of the roles around them. An injury to a starter tests the quality of the next pitcher. A weak bat in a regular lineup spot tests whether the next player can improve the offense while handling the position.

Control affects how long each club can benefit. Milwaukee’s guarantee with Chourio runs through 2031 and includes club options for 2032 and 2033. The October estimate put Misiorowski under club control through 2031 and Turang through 2029. 

New York has years of control over its emerging young group and long-term commitments to Francisco Lindor and Juan Soto. That combination gives the Mets room to improve the supporting roster through both internal promotions and external acquisitions.

The October prospect snapshot identified five Brewers prospects graded 50 future value or higher by FanGraphs, led by Jesús Made at 65. The Mets had two at 50 or higher, Jefferson Rojas and Elian Peña. A future-value grade is a scouting estimate. The decision that matters this winter is whether a prospect is ready to cover a major-league role on the date the club needs him.

The offseason implication

Milwaukee has had more ways to replace innings and position-player production without relying on a single acquisition. It still has injury risk and uneven depth in some roles. New York has the financial capacity to buy coverage where its pipeline is thin. The immediate work is to go position by position, identify who can carry the load and decide where a dependable second option is worth paying for.

The Mets already have expensive stars and promising inexpensive players. Turning that combination into a contender requires enough dependable production between them. Part 5 looks at how much of that roster took shape under David Stearns.


Paul Articulates – How close are the Mets?


The GM meetings began on Tuesday in Las Vegas.  The baseball world is swirling with discussion about what will transpire at the meetings, as it is the first big opportunity after the free agent market opened up for the GMs to come together face-to-face.  Also present will be several key agents and possibly even some of the clients.  The urgency, of course, is due to the pending expiration of the collective bargaining agreement at the end of the month.  If unresolved, which is almost a given, a lockout would ensue and shelve any negotiations and signings that are not completed.

The buzz on the street is that the Mets are in the thick of the Tarik Skubal race, and several other teams including the formidable Dodgers are in competition.  The prevailing opinion is that the Mets need to sign Skubal and that need will drive a very aggressive posture by David Stearns and Steve Cohen.

It is obvious why the Mets need Skubal, but that is the same reason that other teams need Skubal – he is the most talented pitcher out there, with multiple Cy Young awards before his 30th birthday (later this month).  He would be a game changer for any playoff-ready team.  One could count on him to bring more regular season victories than any predecessor, and once in the playoffs he would be the favored ace in any game 1.

But if the Mets are to cash in on Skubal, they have to be ready to win more than just a wild card series.  They need to be a team that has a high probability of overcoming some already talented teams in the National League like the Dodgers, the world champion Brewers, and the Braves.

Mets fans have shown great optimism about their future, as they have a young, talented group of starting pitchers in Nolan McLean, Christian Scott, and Zac Thornton.  They have two dynamic young players in AJ Ewing and Carson Benge (who should have been rookie of the year) and the generational player Juan Soto.  With Francisco Lindor and Bo Bichette anchoring an infield that will likely see the infusion of additional young talent like Jefferson Rojas, what is not to like?

Well, frankly, the answer is history.  The Mets, who had many of these players available throughout 2025 and some of them in 2025, accumulated a 112-143 record (.439) from June 13, 2025 through the present.  Skubal, who has averaged 14 wins per season in the last three years with good teams, would only add 8-9 wins over Sean Manaea (6 wins last year) or Freddy Peralta (5 wins last year).    That may or may not get a 74 win team to the threshold of a wild card game, but it does not feel like domination.

I admit that there are many variables at play here.  The Mets had some tough luck with injuries, they had a manager in Carlos Mendoza that was not pulling the right levers, and their losing streaks lacked a pitcher that could be a streak stopper every five days.  But it takes a lot more than that to be a team that competes with franchises like the Dodgers who averaged 100.4 wins per season over the last five years or the Brewers (95.0 wins/year) or the Braves (96.2 wins/year).

Here is what I believe a Tarik Skubal-led New York Mets team needs to have to win a championship:

• A first baseman capable of 30 HR and 100 RBI in a season

• A second baseman with a strong positive DRS/OAA rating and a .380 OPS

• Dominance from McLean and/or Scott, not just very good seasons.  Think what Koosman was to Seaver or Darling/Ojeda/Fernandez was to Gooden

• A lock-down closer that saves 90% of opportunities

• A team batting average in the .255-.260 range

Here is what the current New York Mets roster has:

• The current roster does not include any first basemen close to the mark.  

• The team has some legitimate prospects for second base that some day may reach the mark, but not likely in their first season.  Semien won’t get there.  

• Both McLean and Scott are capable of being great pitchers but have not reached that level yet.  Scott spent last year working his way back into full-season play after over a year down with injury but was only 4-5 with a 3.85 ERA.  McLean had dominant innings but needs to eliminate “bad innings” to reach his potential.  

• Nine teams last year had closers with a 90% save percentage.  Devin Williams had an 84.2% save percentage (16/19).

• The Mets team batting average last year was .239.  In the last five years, their best season (2022) was .259, led by four players that are no longer with the team: Jeff McNeil, Starling Marte, Brandon Nimmo, and Pete Alonso.

I would not discourage David Stearns from making the big play to get Tarik Skubal.  I just think that there is a whole lot of work to be done to turn that play into a championship season.


11/11/26

MACK – MEDIUM - 2027 MLB Draft Top 9 Prospects

 


https://medium.com/@oliver.mitsuo/2027-mlb-draft-top-100-prospects  

Picks 4-6:


4. Dylan Seward (HS SS)

Norco HS (CA), Tennessee Commit

6' 0", 180 lbs, S/R

Seward is an exceptional athlete who brings with him true impact tools on both sides of the ball. A true 80 grade runner, Seward can really turn on the jets and post loud run times on the bases. It translates well to the field, too. Seward is an excellent shortstop defender. It’s elite actions with above-average arm strength. He combines violent athleticism with a polished defensive toolkit. He could be a double plus defender. And he’s a presence on the bases, a true stolen base threat who projects as a 30+ SB a year kind of guy. The combination of such loud defensive and baserunning value already provides him a high floor off the rip.

Offensively, Seward is a switch hitter who shows plenty of promise and tools. He’s better from the right side, where he typically hits the ball harder, and shows more bat speed. The left side is passable, though the bat’s more sluggish, and he has less barrel accuracy from that side presently. He tends to show out best in batting practice, where he shows solidly average power in the tank long-term, with the potential for 20+ home runs. Converting those tools into games has been more difficult, however. Seward’s shown hit tool risk from both sides of the plate, the biggest hole being velocity up in the zone, present from both sides, but more prevalent from the left side. He has experience, and has been tested against good competition throughout his high school career. Against better competition, he has a tendency to fold a bit more than you’d like to see.

There’s been plenty of examples of this archetype in recent years near the top of the draft. The best comparison would be Jacob Lombard in terms of tools. That being said, Seward’s overall swing and hit tool visually looks much better than did the ultra-risky Lombard who ran one of the highest summer circuit whiff rates we’ve ever seen among top draft prospects with an extended sample size. The tools are truly elite, and Seward provides a higher innate floor than does someone like Lombard. His tools are albeit a gurantee that Seward won’t make it out of the top 5–8 picks of any class, realistically. And he looks to have the highest ceiling out of anyone in the class, with true superstar level tools if it all works out. 

5. Tomas Valincius (LHP, Mississippi State)

6' 2", 225 lbs

Valincius has as dynamic of a pitch mix as you’ll ever find in a college lefty at this stage. Up to 98 mph, Valincius holds 94–96 mph on his fastball that naturally possesses late running life that’s a real pain to square up. He gets weak contact from hitters of both handedness. More than that, Valincius naturally hides the ball well in his motion, releasing from a low launch, and he can blow some guys up at the top of the zone if need be, too.

Valincius’ best pitch is a slider he manipulates that can look like one of the best sliders in the country when it’s on. It’s a hard breaking ball into the upper-80s at times with sharp, hellacious late break. He can pitch it to both LHH and the back foot of RHH if he needs to. It pairs with the two-seamer quite well, the two pitches staying in the same tunnel until they both break late in different directions. It’s a bit of a baby sweeper, but the action is befitting of a true impact offering, a potential double plus breaking ball from the left side. It’s a tight, hard breaker that looks big leaguer ready today.

He’s not just a sinker/sweeper merchant, though, and shows a variety of differing shapes. He pronates an upper-80s changeup well that projects forward, as well. The pitch projects above-average, with solid action off the firm fastball and good feel to sell and locate the pitch already. There’s a slower true sweeper that he’ll throw in the mix as well, and a cut fastball he’ll flash as well. A good diet of secondaries behind a firm foundation.

Valincius possesses a workhorse frame with a clean, polished delivery. He has good pace to his motion, and has learned to better tap into his athleticism below the bulky body. He’s put in the work to improve the look of the body as a whole, too. He is a consummate strike thrower that’ll stick as a starter with solidly above-average strikes. It’s extremely polished. This clay from the left side is rarely this refined, and it’s not hyperbole to say Valincius is a pro ready prospect right now.

 


6. Jimmy Janicki (C, Troy)

6' 3", 230 lbs, R/R

Janicki possesses one of the more lethal offensive profiles in the class, and has tools suggesting real aircraft carrier kind of potential. At the plate, Janicki has a high handset with the hands fairly out from his body, and works completely no-stride. While it can look unorthodox, however, Janicki’s operation works quite well for him, hinging on his back-side, and generating impressive force, loft, as well as hand and bat speed.

Janicki possesses loud offensive traits and skills. An aggressive swinger, Janicki does run high chase rates, but it’s excused by his many other offensive abilities. His feel for contact is very impressive, able to cover both in and out of the zone. And, an immensely physical hitter, Janicki is in no hurry to try and pull the ball. But he’s as good as any hitter in the country when it comes to getting to the fat part of the bat. He absolutely pummels the baseball, boasting double plus raw power and top-end exit velocities, and has added more depth to his swing, allowing him to get the ball in the air more often, allowing the raw to translate to game power. He lets fastballs travel the other way, with impressive back-side power, picking up and adjusting to spin in the zone, and torching it pull-side. On the whole, Janicki is a player who’s incredibly difficult to pitch to. He hammers every pitch type, covers every part of the zone with ease, and makes tons of contact. The only potential hole may be big velocity, given his no-stride nature, but it’s not even really a yellow flag. Janicki has the look of a potential monster bat, and he’s certainly got the makings of a 30 home run hitter if he can get enough at-bats to get to that threshold at the next level.

Janicki is an impressive athlete who’s shown he can man third base in a pinch, the position he manned as a freshman. He got to be the backstop as a sophomore, and looked like a real natural immediately. The visual framing skills are very impressive, with big, sweeping glove movements, looking at his best at the bottom of the zone, primarily, though he overall looks like an above-average receiver. He’s a strong athlete as a whole, an above-average runner with an above-average arm, which should both show out well defensively as he gets more reps and pro coaching. Janicki will comfortably stick behind the dish with the look of a solidly above-average defender.

Janicki is an extraordinarily well-rounded player who’s really come into his own. He is a mid-major hitter, but he was one of the biggest standouts in the country in the playoffs and MCWS, facing premier competition, and still didn’t break a sweat against some of the best in the country. More than that, it seemed as if he got better every game. He was still constantly finding refinements and adjusts that unlocked another gear, even against the best in the country. Janicki is a really explosive talent, with the look of a potential middle of the order bat who holds his own at the most rigorous position on the field. He’s got star upside.

Tom Brennan: Mets Prospects 41-50; And ROY Blues

COMING TO A CONCLUSION ON MY TOP 50 SERIES 

HERE ARE THOSE A TAD FURTHER DOWN THE LIST, AT 41-50

AND THOUGHTS ON A FEW WHO MISSED THE TOP 50


I’ve already studiously and impeccably covered my top 40.

Who, then, are the final 10 to bring it up to 50? 

Hey, first, let me say, even being in the top 50 at all is an accomplishment. Those 50 still represent a small minority of all Mets minor leaguers. Kudos.

OK. Let’s go…


41) John Bay

He is 25 now, but the undrafted Bay strikes me as tough and determined. 

He seems to have played college ball until he was 24, and swatted 55 HRs in 550 at bats, with a K per game. So, as a pro, he was a late starter.

In 2025, the 6’1, 220 righty bat had just 85 pro debut at bats.

In 2026 in High A and AA, the undrafted righty hitter put up a solid .239/.361/.428 split with 29 steals in 116 games, along with 16 HRs, an impressive 85 runs scored, and 61 RBIs. 29 steals, too.

The 136 Ks in 482 PAs is what pushed him down on my list to # 41. My impression is that he is a fighter, who will not leave anything on the table. I expect 110% out of him in 2027.

Here is a fascinating article on Bay, who was a childhood friend in the small town of Shattuck, OK with Mets prospect Brendan Girton and a college friend of Mets ace Nolan McLean. I’d like to interview Bay. Seems like a great young man.

https://www.rockawave.com/articles/the-brooklyn-cyclones-report-95/



42) Eli Serrano

He had a brutal 2026 season. .185? Really? 

To me, that is more SUSPECT than prospect.  

And just 163 games in two years. I was tempted to drop him out of the top 50 altogether. Everybody sees potential; I just see .185.

But let’s assume the 6’5” Eli is healthier in 2027, and then let’s see.  I am far less hopeful here than many seem to be.


43)  Bryan Metoyer

If he was not turning 30, and was instead just turning 25, he’d be in my top 25. But, he had a fine relief year in the upper minors, after a shaky early few games, ending up with a truly high 87 Ks in 56 games. 

7-3, 4.37, 1.28 WHIP.  

The last of the 40th round prospects standing.  Good stuff. 

Most likely he will be a major leaguer in 2027. 

May he turn out to be the next Huascar Brazoban.

How do I have him BEHIND Eli Serrano, my shrink just asked me. I dunno.


44) Nick Lorusso

Had him higher until he struggled a bit in AAA, but he ended up hitting .238 with 22 homers and 65 RBIs. 1B/LF righty bat. He has a chance, but MLB roster spots are so few in number for hitters. 

I like Corey Collins better than Nick, due to his superior ability to get on base.


45) Ryan Tayman

Catcher who was picked in the 9th round, Tayman hit well in his 2026 pro debut (.316 in 21 games in A ball). 

But…remember that 8th rounder in 2015 Patrick Mazeika hit a scintillating .354 in 62 games in Rookie Ball in his pro debut season…I was excited…but Pat was not great in the long run. 

Tayman has to be better than Mazeika in the long run to be successful. 2027 is a big year for the 21 y/o righty catcher. Show us you got the goods.


46) Zach Franklin 

Probably ranked too low for a righty who pitched well in 2026, but he is already 27, with no MLB breakthrough yet. That could well come in 2027.

Acquired in the Brazoban trade with CWS, Zach went 2-2, 3.69, 7 saves, 61 IP, 75 K, and a very commendable 1.10 WHIP in AAA. 


47) Saul Garcia 

I likely have him too low. 2-2, 3.56, 74 Ks, 61 IP, 1.14 WHIP. His 10 HRs allowed in 61 mostly AA innings makes me a bit nervous.

He and Zach Franklin have virtually identical stats. Another reliever likely to see some major league innings in 2027. May he become the next Dedniel Nunez.

To Garcia’s credit, he succeeded when he finally got some AAA action: 

11 innings, 4 hits, 3 walks, 8 Ks. Small sample, but successful. 

He spent most of his season in AA and posted a 3.99 ERA and 1.25 WHIP there.



48) Bruin Agbayani

18 regular season pro games in 2 seasons (prior to his AFL assignment this fall) - that would be light for a starting pitcher. 

He is however a hitter…or so they say.

The trade-acquired Bruin needs to get healthy and play 120 games next year.  If so, he could vault up in the ranks next year.

He was assigned to Arizona Fall ball, a very challenging assignment for essentially a teenage newbie. Has hit poorly. Let’s give him the benefit of the doubt and see what he does in 2027.


49) Chase Meggers, or Ronald Hernandez

Yes, two catchers for one slot. Take your pick. I’d probably go with Hernandez due to his speed. But he did not hit well in 2026, despite a surprising 10 homers. He can also play elsewhere other than catcher. Still young. 

Meggers is newer to the organization, hit reasonably well, and will be much more clearly identifiable on the radar screen next year, with more playing time.


50) Ryan Clifford

I dropped him like a rock after a brutal season, hitting .180 with oodles of strikeouts (174 in 115 games). Well, actually, he dropped himself.

Hit extremely poorly after late May.  He was hitting .229 thru May. Then:

June - 23 games - .099.

July - 19 games - .157

Aug. - 7 games - .038

Sept. - 11 games -.250.

June thru August? The worst 3 months of any Mets minor leaguer that I can ever remember.

He needs to go to Lee Myles for a new transmission, one that transmits more contact to pitched baseballs. 

I was tempted to drop him out of the top 50 altogether. But perhaps he finds the cure to his ills and bounces back. I am not holding my breath.

The recently updated Mets Top 30 prospects on Mets.com still has Clifford at # 14. Count me as befuddled. Meanwhile, Billy Amick, who had a far superior year, they have outside the Mets’ top 30 altogether. Doubly befuddled.  2027 will show who is a knucklehead, I suppose.


I still left out a few notable names. 

Colin Houck whiffs at insanely high rates, 154 times in 99 games, Noah Hall (drafted in 2023) had a lousy 2026, Channing Austin (pitched well but on 60 day IL), and Cris Gomez, among others.

Calvin Ziegler, too. He is Ziggy Stardust sprinkling bases on balls in Arizona.


But they didn’t make it, so what?

That is why there is also a 51-100. I won’t go there. 

You can do the second 50 of a Mets top 100 if you’d like, though. 

Be my guest.

Of course, also feel free to tell me who you think I totally overlooked.


I wanted Bohan Adderley in here, in part because I love the Bahamas, but he needs to play a full season to demonstrate who he is. Vladi Gomez being an example of what can happen after promotion from the FCL to low A ball: at midseason, I thought he’d be top 30, but his .328 early on in the FCL fell to just .211 in St Lucie A ball. Reality check.

Low league guys are hard to predict/project.

Simon Juan didn’t survive. 

He took his $1.9 million in 2022 bonus money and headed home. He had a .258 OBP in 2026 when released. Otherwise, had he stayed, he’d still be in my Top 200. He was hoping to hit like Colin Houck.


I did, lastly, sadly exclude a 21 year old prospect who hit .285, with 41 HRs and 120 RBIs in 118 games…because the youngster in question, Jesus Baez, was traded away for Ryan Helsley in 2025. 

I also left out swift Alex Ramirez, still just 23, who departed the organization in total multi-season regression, then rebounded in 517 at bats in St Louis’ AA, where he hit .277 with 15 HRs, 87 RBIs, 46 steals, with a low K rate in 126 games. He also hit a terrific .356 with RISP.

Easy come, easy go, I always say. 

Be generous and donate to organizations in need.


ROY BLUES

Sal Stewart wins ROY over Carson Benge.  

Gaudy stats from Sal, but just 2.0 WAR for Stewart.

Carson Benge? Put up 4.3 WAR. More than double.

WHAT DO I THINK? I THINK THAT THE VOTE WAS RIGGED.

Not a big deal though. It’s not like Benge winning would have gotten the Mets an extra high draft pick or anything, right?

Wait, my bad. That is exactly what the Mets won’t get. RIGGED.


And…What a difference a draft year makes. 

Stewart was the 32nd pick in 2022. Huge win.

Colin Houck? The 32nd pick in 2023. 

WHAT DO I THINK?

Can’t shine Stewart’s shoes. Even one of Stewart’s shoes, to be more precise.

Reese Kaplan -- Sometimes You Gotta Have Options...or Not?


Whether or not there is a Rule V Draft this year it doesn’t make the Mets roster decisiions any easier.  The next challenge won’t happen until next week but it concerns the players who do and do not have options remaining.  All teams need to decide who really is going to be a part of their squad of playing personnel for the 2027 season.

First, let’s consider the definition of a minor league option and what it mans for roster decision needing to be made:

“Minor League Options allow a team to send a player from the 40-man roster to the minor leagues without exposing them to waivers.  

“Players typically have three option years during their first five years of service.  An option year is consumed if a player spends 20 or more days in the minors in a single season; within that year, the player can be called up and sent down an unlimited number of times.  

“Once a player is out of options, they must be Designated for Assignment (DFA) and clear waivers to be sent to the minors.”

To add complication to this process are the rules concerning injured ballplayers who had been off the 40-man roster.  The Mets had three such indivduals and on the second of this month returned pitchers Reed Garrett, Tylor Megill and infielder Jorge Polanco to the protected 40- 

To do so it meant removing others from there.  Already the Mets have outrighted to AAA Syracuse a pair of players — Cristian Pache and Eric Wagaman.  In addition they have DFA’d two more in Christian Cairo and Kyren Paris.

In constructing the list of who or who is not a part o the team’s roster for the upcoming season, let’s take a look at two more lists — players who are out of options and players who can still be demoted to the minors.

On the first list the Mets started off with ten players on whom they must either trade, release or secure them for the 2027 season.  They include:

  • Daniel Duarte
  • Ronny Mauricio
  • Chayce McDermott
  • Christopher Morel
  • Tobias Myers
  • Cristian Pache
  • Cionel Pérez
  • Robert Stock
  • Mark Vientos
  • Austin Warren

Some have already received action.  Pache is not having his option picked up.  Robert Stock already received a split contract which could start him either in the majors or minors but already absorbing one of the 40-man roster spots.  That still leaves eight where decisions need to be made.

The ones with more major league experience could either be traded away or DFA’d.  In no particular order you have Mark Vientos who has yet to establish himself as a consistent hitter after a rookie sensational output.  Former Brewer Tobias Myers could be a swingman out of the pen but also was demoted durng the 2026 season given his subpar output. 

Three have more teeth gnashing on the decisions.  Infielder Ronny Mauricio and pitchers Daniel Duarte and Austin Warren have at times contributed quite well and other times not so much.  If given DFAs thy would have takers for sure.  Trades could be made but with the Winter Meetings ending today it is less likely to happen. 

Then there are the remainder — Chayce McDermott, Christopher Morel and Cionel Perez.  This trio are likely to be looking for new employers if indeed there is a 2027 season. 

Following them are the players who have options remaining:

  • Philip Abner
  • Justin Hagenman
  • Nate Lavender
  • Nick Morabito
  • Dedniel Núñez
  • Jonathan Pintaro
  • Dylan Ross
  • Hayden Senger
  • Zac Thornton
  • Jack Weisenburger
  • Cameron Weston

Obviously Lavender, Morabito and Thornton are players the Mets will want to retain.  The next tier could include Pintaro, Weisenburger and Weston.  Then comes the remainder unlikely to travel north which includes Abner, Hagenman, Nunez, Pintaro, Ross and Senger. 

By the 6:00 PM November 17th deadline for these decisions quite a lot should become clearer.