4/23/26

Paul Articulates - Random thoughts


It finally happened.  The Mets were able to hold on and secure a win last night, ending a twelve game losing streak.  Frankly, we are all exhausted right now.  We used up an entire season worth of emotional energy trying to will away this bad streak.  So here are a few thoughts going through my head as I process this victory.

  • Another very good starting pitching job.  Clay Holmes went 7 innings, gave up only two runs, and propelled the team into the late innings with a chance.  This is what we need our starters to do.  McLean did it last night, Holmes tonight.  Great job.
  • Residuals from the losing streak were in full display tonight.  Really bad judgement by Mark Vientos to try to score on a play that was not close.  This is the losing mentality - trying to do more than you can to get over the top; but not understanding that the consequences were worse than the benefit of that run.  Vientos also came off the bag on the throw from short in the ninth - once again trying to gain a split second when the consequence was to lose any chance at a close call.
  • Bad luck stuck with this team for quite a while during the streak and it is still with them.  Losing Lindor to a calf injury is not a good thing, especially when he showed signs of coming out of his annual April funk.  His last 23 at-bats had him hitting at a .360 clip.
  • On second thought, if Lindor sits down for a week or two and Ronny Mauricio comes up to play short this may not be bad luck.  Mauricio is on a tear in Syracuse right now, having hit three homers in a game on Tuesday.  The Mets have a significant power void right now, and if Mauricio can add some pop to the lineup the results could be good.
  • Did Soto make the difference?  Well, not on the scoreboard, but he had some very good at-bats and had some hard hit balls caught that won't show up.  Maybe just his presence in the lineup let the other guys breathe instead of trying to do it all themselves.  It can't be a coincidence that Baty walked twice when he swung at just about everything in April.
  • Confidence builder #1: Brooks Raley came in and did his job - no lingering effects from his blown game last series.  
  • Confidence builder #2 - Luke Weaver closed the game out with a 4 out save and looked very confident in the ninth striking out three of four batters.
  • Confidence builder #3 - Carlos Mendoza left Weaver in to finish the game.  It doesn't seem like much, but just seeing Weaver run back out there in the ninth made me feel like judgement can overcome analytics every once in a while.
  • What is wrong with Luis Robert's arm?  He used to have a cannon, and has produced two weak, off-line throws in two games on plays that he typically makes.  Maybe he was disoriented by waking up from the nightmare that he was back playing with the White Sox in the last dozen games.

Enough said.  Christian Scott on the mound tomorrow.  Let's win two!

4/22/26

RVH – This Isn’t a Slump. It’s Worse Than ‘62.

 


This was prepared before the 4/21/26 game ended. As I post this, the Mets are trailing 5-3 bottom of the ninth. Blew a 3-0 lad and another great Nolan McLean start...

There’s no fair way to compare an 11-game stretch to a full season.

So let’s do it anyway — because what’s happening right now in Queens isn’t normal variance. It’s something else.

When a team stops hitting for a week, that’s baseball. When a team stops functioning offensively, even over a short window, that’s a signal. And the signal coming out of this 11-game stretch is uncomfortable:

This offense isn’t just struggling — it’s operating below the floor of even the worst teams in franchise history.

The Historical Comparison: A Race to the Bottom

To put this in perspective, we’re comparing the current 11-game stretch to three of the weakest offensive teams the Mets have ever fielded: the 1962 expansion team, the 1968 “Year of the Pitcher” club, and the 1993 collapse.

Yes, it’s apples to oranges.

That’s the point.

Team / Era

AVG

OBP

OPS

K%

HR / Game

Runs / Game

2026 “Streak” Mets (11g)

.173

.241

.508

28.4%

0.36

2.1

1962 Mets (40–120)

.240

.312

.683

14.8%

0.86

3.9

1968 Mets

.228

.294

.618

17.5%

0.57

2.9

1993 Mets

.247

.303

.671

16.6%

0.58

3.5

Even in an unfair comparison, the gap shouldn’t look like this.

But it does.

The "Empty-Out" Offense

The most jarring number on that table isn’t batting average or OPS.

It’s the strikeout rate.

At 28.4%, this lineup is striking out at nearly double the rate of the 1962 and 1993 teams. Those teams were bad — historically bad — but they still put the ball in play. They still created moments where something could happen.

This group isn’t doing that.

Too many plate appearances are ending without the ball ever entering the field of play. No contact. No pressure. No chance for a mistake, a bad hop, a misplay, or a productive out.

That’s not just poor execution. That’s an offense that’s effectively removing itself from the game.

The Power Vacuum

You can survive high strikeouts if you compensate with power.

This team isn’t.

At 0.36 home runs per game, this is a lineup producing less power than the 1968 Mets — a team that played in the most pitcher-dominated environment in modern baseball history.

Let that sink in.

Even in the “Year of the Pitcher,” the Mets generated more damage than this current stretch.

A .508 OPS isn’t just low — it’s functionally what you’d expect from a lineup full of pitchers in the 1960s.

There’s no contact. There’s no power.

Which leads to the real problem.

No Floor

Bad teams usually have a floor.

They scratch out runs. They stumble into rallies. They find a way to get to 3 or 4 runs often enough to stay in games.

The 1962 Mets — the gold standard for losing — still averaged 3.9 runs per game.

This team, during this stretch, is at 2.1.

That’s not just worse. It’s 46% lower than the worst full-season team in franchise history.

At that level, you’re not competing. You’re asking your pitching staff to be nearly perfect just to have a chance. And when the pitching inevitably cracks, the games get out of hand quickly — which is exactly what we’re watching.

Bad vs. Non-Functional

Here’s the distinction that matters.

Those historical Mets teams were bad.
They lacked talent. They lost games. Sometimes a lot of them.

But they still played baseball in a functional way:

  • They put balls in play

  • They created pressure

  • They allowed randomness to work in their favor occasionally

This stretch of the 2026 Mets is different.

This isn’t just underperformance. It’s an offensive approach that, under pressure, is breaking down to the point where it produces almost no outcomes at all.

No contact. No power. No run creation.

When that happens, variance disappears. There are no lucky innings. No cheap runs. No momentum shifts.

Just empty outs, over and over again.

The Pressure Gap

And it’s getting worse when it matters most.

In close games — the ones that are supposed to be coin flips — the strikeout rate is spiking even higher. The offense isn’t tightening up. It’s unraveling.

That’s not a talent issue.

That’s an approach under stress that isn’t holding.

Conclusion: A System Lock-Up

This isn’t about one bad week.

Every team has those.

This is about what the offense looks like when it’s not working — and right now, it looks like a system that has locked up entirely.

Until something changes — approach, sequencing, mindset, whatever you want to call it — this isn’t just a slump you ride out.

Because even the worst teams in Mets history still found ways to function offensively.

Right now, this one isn’t.

Tom Brennan - Injuries; Where the Problem Lies; Minor League Hitter Prospects Progress


CHRIS SUERO: A WALK MACHINE, PLYING HIS TRADE IN BINGHAMTON 


INJURIES:

A) Soto return? Fairly soon. Tonight, in fact, against the Twinkies.

- Obviously, Soto is huge to ANY hopes of a Mets team rebound.

Soto was .355/.412/.516 pre-injury.

- How will that affect Carson (9 for 63 through Sunday) Benge?

B) Polanco return? Not fairly soon.

I read this: Wrist soreness popped up postgame on April 14 in addition to his Achilles discomfort, which he had been dealing with since late March. No timetable or rehab progression has been announced yet. 

- couldn’t make it through mid-April. “Good”, expensive acquisition.

C) Lindor return?

- He returned TOO SOON? 22 games, just 1 RBI.

- His 3 run homer Tuesday was the entire Mets’ offense. Just 4 Mets hits.

- Devin Williams simply SUCKED in relief, to lose it. 5 batters, no outs.

12 STRAIGHT LOSSES! WHAT!! 

WHEN WILL THIS NIGHTMARE END? ANSWER: IN A LITTLE OVER 5 MONTHS.


LAD’s Edwin Soto?  El Azucar will miss months with elbow chips surgery. 

Call him Mr. Chips. Or Senor Chipotle.

I wonder if that relates in any way to his stint in the mid-March WBC?


WHERE THE PROBLEM LIES

The team’s record is abysmal.

Some blame the pitching. 

But the Mets were 16th in ERA through Sunday. That is mediocre.

But the Hitting? 

Despite 11 opening day runs, the team is DEAD LAST in scoring.

Blame the hitting. Therein lies the problem.


FIREWORKS ON THE FARM



RONNY MAURICIO, TAKE A BOW!

Ronny Mauricio hit THREE HRs! Now 8 for 15, and 5 HRs, in last 4 games!

And Jonah Tong was also awesome in AAA on Tuesday. Christian Scott reportedly to start for the Mets on Thursday…how long thereafter until Mauricio and Tong resurface in Queens?

Since Benge is now 9 for 66, I think he and Mauricio should immediately switch places. 


Minor Leaguer Hitter Prospects Progress To Date:


Here is how most of the top prospects are doing (thru Sunday’s action): 

TOP 30 PROSPECT HITTERS

AAA:

 - Ryan Clifford: Up to .254/.338/.429; pace of Ks way down in recent games

 - Nick Morabito: .262/.333/.443 (3 HRs in 61 ABs)

  - - Each also homered Tuesday, giving Nick 4 and Clifford 3.

 AA:

- AJ Ewing: .356/.473/.489, 8 of 9 steals

 - Jacob Reimer: .136/.269/.295 - SLOW START

 - Eli Serrano III: .256/.365/.488 - six XBH

 - D’Andre Smith: .171/.293/.343 - SLOW START

 - Chris Suero: .242/.469/.606 - 14 BB, 3 HRs, 10 RBIs!

 - Marco Vargas: .143/.263/.184 - SLOW START

HIGH A:

 - Colin Houck: .256/.346/.326 - heating up. Two 3 hit games in his last 3.

 - Daiverson G.: .220/.407/.341 - walking a lot. .407 OBPs are nice.

 - Mitch Voit: .212/.268/.385 - picking it up lately.

 - Antonio Jimenez: .130/.196/.283 - SLOW START

FULL A:

 - Elian Peña: .333/.426/.474 - just 9 Ks in 68 ABs! Soon-coming STAR?

 - Randy Guzman: .200/.344/.440 - 3 HRs, 11 RBIs, picking it up

 - Simon Juan: .178/.245/.200 - YET ANOTHER SLOW START

 - Others who weren’t top prospects, but are doing quite well for Lucie:

  - - AJ Salgado: 315/.406/.537 - AJ IS SOCKING!

  - - JT Benson: .353/.450/.588 - JT IS ROCKING!

  - - Sam Robertson: .302/.455/.326 - 11 of 11 in steals; 10 RBIs! Sammy!

 

I will cover top prospect pitchers on Sunday, giving them a little more time to develop their early season track record.

Overall? Some hitter disappointments so far, but it is still early. 

And except for in St Lucie, it is still chilly, which can’t favor hitters in the top 3 minor league rungs of the Ladder Climbing To Queens.


LASTLY…

Trevor Bauer opened the season for the LI Ducks, going 4 innings, 2 unearned runs, 5 hits, 3 walks, 8 Ks, 93 pitches.

If he had Mets bats backing him, he surely would have lost.

Reese Kaplan -- Finding the Delusional Good Mets News


We’ve all heard the cliches like, “It’s always darkest before the dawn” and “Optimists see the donut, not the hole.”  Right now optimists are getting as hard to find as a good price on gasoline.  Still there remain some pink eyeglass wearing types who are willing to look past the 11 game losing streak as the club begins its home series against the Twins and try to reassure everyone that all is a temporary slump and that good things are coming to Citifield’s ballplaying employees. 

Hmmn...

So let’s try to put some optimism into the cerebellum for a little while and see if there is indeed room for positive thinking in this cesspool of pessimism.  There have to be some good things on the horizon, right?  Right?  RIGHT?


Well, there is the recovery of slugger Juan Soto.  After a somewhat slow start to his Mets career he rallied in both home run power and baserunning speed to make himself into a middle-of-the-order major threat to any opposing teams the Mets face.  The injury this year could not have happened at a worse time as the club was already struggling without his contributions but it removed the major offensive cog from a suspect scoring machine.  Word has filtered out that he’s returning to the lineup during this homestand though no one is committing to which date or against which team. Still, knowing that Soto’s bat is within a reasonable interval from happening is surely an overdue cause for celebration.

Similarly, reliever AJ Minter has been performing in games during his rehabilitation and estimates range from late April until early May for a return to a big league uniform.  Given the highly uneven pitching the club has received both from starters and relievers it is a most welcome message that the $11 million per year year man is soon to be on his way back to wearing orange and blue. 

On the current roster there are opportunities arising due to injuries to various ballplayers.  It is at this time players like MJ Melendez, Tyrone Taylor, Brett Baty, Mark Vientos and Tommy Pham are all getting more playing time than anyone anticipated during Spring Training in Port St. Lucie.  Right now the only offensive players with available options are Ronny Mauricio and Carson Benge.  Consequently you live with who you’ve got or you need to get busy in the mid year trade market. 

Furthermore on the positive front are the slow starts from nearly every hitter in the lineup.  Obviously Bo Bichette if healthy is a far better hitter than he’s shown.  Francisco Lindor has been a notoriously slow starter and given his injury healing time that prevented him from playing in Spring Training, it’s likely a doubly whammy thus far for 2026 but his career suggests the tide will eventually turn.  Luis Robert is still a great unknown between his one stellar year and the injury plagued ones that have followed that were quite poor.  Carson Benge has recently started landing a few of his batted balls, but it takes awhile to advance from a sub-.100 average into respectability.  Marcus Semien has shown a few flashes but he’s like Robert in that you don’t know what to expect.  Then there’s the ailing Jorge Polanco who has problems with his Achilles bursitis and now also a wrist injury that’s landed him on the IL.  On paper he’s a good hitter but he’s also a bit of a poster child for missing time due to injuries.  Francisco Alvarez has been better than expected.

For now we won’t focus on the players not providing good value.  The list is long and already well known.  The pessimist post will be forthcoming in the near future. 

John From Albany: 40 Years Ago - Bobby O Gets a W in his Mets Start, 4/22/1986


1986, the last year the Mets won the World Series.  This daily post will detail the game by game journey to that Fall Title.  Click here for More Mets History and Calendar Classics.

Year: 1986; Game #10; Tuesday;  Apr 22, NYM 7  Vs. PIT1;   boxscore  W: Ojeda; LP: Kipper; Time: 02:46; NIGHT; Attendance: 15,668; Record: 7-3; Standings: 1; Games up/behind: Tied; W;

Kevin Mitchell CF-LF: 2 for 4; 2 runs; 1 RBI; 1 walk; 1 K; Tim Teufel 2B: 1 for 3; SB; 2 walks; 2 Ks; Keith Hernandez 1B: 1 for 5; HR,2B; 2 RBIs; 1 K; Gary Carter C: 1 for 3; 2 RBIs; 1 walk; Darryl Strawberry RF: 1 for 4; 1 walk; 3 Ks; George Foster LF: 1 for 5; SB; 1 run; Ray Knight 3B: 1 for 1; 2 runs; 1 RBI; 3 walks; Howard Johnson 3B: 0 for 1; 2B; Rafael Santana SS: 2 for 4; 2 runs; 1 RBI; Bob Ojeda P: 2 for 4; 2 Ks; Lenny Dykstra CF: 0 for 1; Bob Ojeda, W (2-0): 7 innings; 1 run; 1 ER; 4 hits; 1 walk; 3 Ks; Roger McDowell: 2 innings; no runs; 1 walk; 3 Ks; 

Bob Ojeda (W,2-0) wins in his first Mets start, 7 innings, 1 run, 1 ER, 4 hits, 1 walk, 3 Ks.  Mets score 8 on 5 doubles (Strawberry, Rafael Santana, Hernandez, Mitchell, George Foster) and Ray Knight's 4th homer of the year.  

The win was the Mets 5th straight and moved them into a tie for 1st with the St. Louis Cardinals.


NL East Standings - 4/22/86
Tm W L W-L% GB RS RA pythW-L%
STL73.700--4425.738
NYM73.700--5438.655
PIT64.600 1.05440.634
MON56.455 2.54151.401
PHI37.300 4.03656.308
CHC38.273 4.53861.296
Provided by Baseball-Reference.com: View Original Table
Generated 4/22/1986.