Ernest Dove - Ryan Lambert’s Triple-Digit Fastball Highlights Mets’ Emerging Relief Prospect Pipeline

PORT ST. LUCIE, Fla. — The New York Mets may be quietly building a new wave of bullpen arms in their farm system, and right-hander Ryan Lambert is quickly emerging as one of the most intriguing.

Lambert, ranked No. 17 in My Dove Report Mets’ organizational prospect rankings, features one of the most electric fastballs in the system — a pitch that has already been reported touching 100 mph early in spring camp.

The 23-year-old right-hander was selected in the eighth round of the 2024 Major League Baseball Draft, part of the first draft class overseen by Mets president of baseball operations David Stearns. Since entering pro ball, Lambert has shown a mix of overpowering stuff and developing command that has evaluators intrigued about his long-term bullpen role.

Dominant Results in 2025

Lambert put together an impressive statistical season across High-A and Double-A in 2025.

Over 50 innings, he posted:

• 1.62 ERA

• 81 strikeouts

• 27 walks

Opposing hitters struggled to square him up, batting just .178 against him while producing a .539 OPS.

The strikeout numbers reflect Lambert’s ability to generate swings and misses, largely thanks to a high-velocity fastball that has been described by some evaluators as one of the best in the Mets’ minor league system — regardless of whether the pitcher is a starter or reliever.

Elite Fastball the Calling Card

Lambert’s fastball is his defining trait.

The pitch consistently sits in the upper 90s and has already reached triple digits during early workouts in spring training at Clover Park, the Mets’ spring complex.

That kind of velocity — combined with late movement and swing-and-miss ability — has led to comparisons in style to high-powered relievers such as Jhoan Duran, Hunter Harvey, and Jordan Hicks.

While those comparisons are largely tied to the explosiveness of Lambert’s fastball, the next step in his development will be refining his secondary pitch.

Development Focus: Slider and Command

Lambert is currently working to sharpen a slider that could become his primary secondary offering. As well as a new kickchange.

The pitch will be critical to his long-term outlook, particularly against advanced hitters who can adjust to velocity alone. Improving command of both the fastball and slider will also be key after his 27 walks in 50 innings last season.

If those areas continue to develop, Lambert’s ceiling could be significant.

Projecting Lambert’s Future Role

With his current arsenal, Lambert projects as a potential late-inning reliever.

At his best, he could develop into an eighth- or ninth-inning bullpen weapon, capable of overpowering hitters with elite velocity and swing-and-miss stuff.

Even if command inconsistencies persist, Lambert still profiles as a high-octane bullpen arm capable of filling important middle-inning roles.

For an organization that has often relied on external additions to build its bullpen, the emergence of power arms like Lambert could represent an important step toward developing impact relievers internally.

And if his triple-digit fastball continues to play at the upper levels of the minors, Lambert may not be far from forcing his way onto the Mets’ major league radar. ⚾

For more of my New York Mets content in video form, check out The New York Mets Dove Report on YouTube @ernestdove

Reese Kaplan -- How Have Mets Offensive Rookies Performed?

With all of the hoopla about Carson Benge possibly winning the starting right field job in 2026 it got me to thinking a bit about other position players the Mets have had in the past ten years who were given some opportunity to show what they could do. For the most part it is a rather unspectacular list.

2016

Opening Day saw two rookie infielders on the Mets roster, neither of whom made much of an impact during their big league careers.  Prospect Gavin Cecchini and utility man Matt Reynolds were both on that roster but neither in a starting role for the club.  Also premiering that year was recently traded outfielder Brandon Nimmo.

2017

As the calendar turned to 2017 there were a number of rookies getting opportunities including backup catcher Tomas Nido, infielder Phillip Evans, top prospect Amed Rosario, first baseman Dom Smith and outfielder Travis Taijeron. 

2018

Making his debut this year was infielder Luis Guillorme who never amounted to much at the plate.  Recently traded hot hitting Jeff McNeil also made his debut that year.  Midway through the year outfield prospect Kevin Kaczmarski also made his major league debut.

2019

The big rookie addition this season was 53 HR hitting first baseman Pete Alonso.  He got the starting assignment based upon a hot Spring Training appearance and pushed Dom Smith off the starting role he had held there.  He took the chance and ran with it, easily becoming Rookie of the Year for the National League after tallying 120 RBIs to go along with this power and a .260 batting average.  He's working his way towards a possible Hall of Fame career and was easily the best big bat to debut as a Mets rookie.

2020

The sole rookie offensive player to appear on the roster was 21 year old infielder Andres Gimenez who then GM Brodie Van Wagenen felt was going to be something special.  He is still in the major leagues and had consecutive seasons with the Indians hitting 17 and 15 HRs including an All Star appearance but overall his glove and legs play better than does his bat.

2021

Quite a few offensive rookies made appearances for the club this year including Travis Blankenhorn, Jake Hager, Johneshwy Fargas and Khalil Lee.  None of them obviously did much with the parent club nor elsewhere in baseball during their careers. 

2022

Three current Mets made their debuts during the 2022 season.  Infielders Brett Baty and Mark Vientos were rookies as was young catcher Francisco Alvarez.  Of these three it would seem Baty and Alvarez still have viable roles with the club with Vientos on the bubble.

2023

The sole rookie offensive player to debut in 2023 was infielder Ronny Mauricio coming off some solid numbers in the minors.  Unfortunately his role as a shortstop was blocked by All Star Francisco Lindor and he couldn’t really push anyone off of 2nd or 3rd base to get himself more playing time.

2024

Recently departed infielder/outfielder Luisangel Acuna was the sole offensive rookie to see time for the big club during this solid Mets season.  He was not slated to be a starter until some injuries and slumps forced Carlos Mendoza’s hand.

2025

The only rookie to play for the Mets as a hitter in 2025 was longtime minor league catcher Hayden Senger who helped Luis Torrens as his backup while Francisco Alvarez started the season on the IL.

MACK - Weekly Highlights & Thoughts

The reassignment of SP Christian Scott and OF MJ Melendez make the guessing game of who will be the five outfielders and six starters that go north easier to guess. To me, they strengthen both Carson Benge and Tobias Myers claim for one of those slots.

Your thoughts?

In what world do you see Carl Edward's Jr. making the opening day 26, either as a starter or in the pen? He's 38 now and really has never been burdened by success. The Mets played two on Friday and they piggybacking Kodai Senga and Clay Holmes in one of them. Why? Couldn't Holmes ride the bus and stay a starter and give the extra innings in both games to relievers trying to make this team? Both bad planning and execution in my playback.

Boy, you couldn't ask for a better outing than the one Kodai Senga produced on Friday. Well, you could have asked for it to be longer than three innings, but what's better than 0-H, 0-R, 0-BB? And how would you like thrown at you a 99 MPH fastball followed by a 67 curve?

In my opinion, Freddy Peralta is looking more like the ace this team needs going into this season. Saturday's outing strengthens this statement. Right now, it looks like the first four Peralta, McLean, Senga, Holmes combo will stack up against any four starters other teams will throw at the Mets this season.

Where the rotation goes from here is currently undetermined. You all know the usual suspects... Manaea and Myers... only the rest of ST will tell.

I've spent a considerable amount of time this spring thinking this year's offense looks quite anemic, without spending any time realizing I've been analyzing team B or team C, but it took a return Sunday to a lineup full of projected starters for me to finally realize this offense has the goods to go deep into the playoffs. And... Juan Soto is just returning.

Watched the DR/USA WBC game on Sunday night. Brought back memories of a guy I wrote about in one of my 2022 draft posts. A guy I recommended that the Mets pick in one of their early picks.  A guy that watched the Mets pick four players before the Commish called his name in the second round. By Boston. Named Roman Anthony. Who may turn out to be the best outfielder over the next 10 years. 

So, who were the four players picked by the Mets? Well, three were Jett Williams, Blade Tidwell, and Nick Morabito, but they started with perennial all-star Kevin Parada. Yes, Kevin  Parada. Don't ya just love it?

I was very impressed with the results produced in the WBC by Huascar Brazoban... 4-IP, O-H, O-R, O.OO, O.25, 7-K, 15.75-K/9. It would be very difficult to do better than this over four games. It's going to make it much easier to build the OD pen if El Fenix keeps this up. 

(PC - Ernest Dove)

We're getting to the point in ST where rotation pitchers should be putting up quality outings. Yes, there has been concern about Sean Manaea, but the rest of the projected Mets starters are on track, right? Right? 

Well, then David Peterson and Christian Scott combine Monday for 7-R in 7-IP. Should we be concerned here or do we just write it off as just two bad days at the office? 

The good news is Sean Manaea delivered a perfect four innings on Tuesday. Really don’t care if his velo is down if he keeps this up, but I still can’t help think he's not 100%.

It's hard to criticize what Nolan McLean did Tuesday night. He threw secondary pitches that no one will ever hit. And his fastball was never faster. A wild pitch, a long ball, and no support did him in. 

Most important, he goes back to Clover intact. Mets fans are going to fall in ❤️ this season with the one-two combo of Peralta-McLean. They really are. 

Cautious Optimist - Biomechanics Part II: Worries: Tong, Alvarez and Vientos

 

So what's the problem?

I am a self-described 'cautious optimist'. Would that I were a full-fledged, even an over-the-top optimist, After all, it's rational to experience the joys of day to day optimism, especially as regards future events we have no control over.  If those events don't turn out as we would have hoped, we will have to deal with them when the time comes.  Anticipatory anxiety about how they will turn out is unlikely to make one feel better should things not go well.   

Still, I am helpless to prevent myself from worrying about clouds in the forecast that may darken even the brightest day.  The best I can hope for is to be cautiously optimistic. 

And so, true to my personality, I have found myself unable to sleep well having spotted three issues that are potential clouds hanging over the heads of young Met players that so many fans and fellow bloggers are relying on to be part of the future core of the team.  The players and my concerns about them are: Jonah Tong (injury due to too much spine bend in his delivery), Francisco Alvarez (inefficient mechanics and poor kinematic sequence) and Mark Vientos (limiting myself to his steep angle of attack)   

In what follows, I present videos demonstrating both the evidence of the problem each faces and the potential consequences for each's long term prospects.  I have intentionally resisted suggesting solutions in the cases of Tong and Alvarez as I am just a commentator and not accountable for the suggestions I would otherwise make.  The Mets have  excellent coaches whose job it is to minimize adverse consequences both to health and performance, and they have lots of experience they can rely on as well as enjoying a direct relationship with the players.  In contrast, I have suggested a potential solution to one of the problems that Vientos suffers from because shallowing out a swing path that is too steep and too far to the left too early is something I have a lot of experience with as a golfer and golf coach; and the solutions to those problems in golf transfer to baseball naturally as the video will show. 

As in the Tuesday post on biomechanics, I begin each section below with the key points I am hoping to get across in the videos that immediately follow.

Tong's Delivery

Key Video Features: Three ways of pitching over the top: arm extension, tilting and side-bending.  Arm extension and tilting can keep spine relatively straight which is a healthy alignment, but both are problematic; lateral side bending invariably bends the spine as well which can be very unhealthy, especially if it occurs at vulnerable locations along the spine, leading to back problems.Videos also show other disadvantages of each approach including, too much reliance on independent arm speed (direct arm extension); instability (tilting), lower back injuries (side bending); and disruption of the kinematic sequence (all three)

Video 1:  How Tong delivers from a (near) 12 O'clock position

https://youtu.be/8QcjuaqLMZ0

Video 2.  The risks and limits of doing so

https://youtu.be/vOr1XXSr_D0

Alvarez's Kinematic Sequence

Key Video Features:  His lateral move also opens hips and shoulders, reduces ability to torque and rotate hips without opening shoulders too much. reduces plate coverage, too much reliance on initiating swing with upper body and arms, not sustainable over the long haul, he is left to start swinging motion too early in order to generate adequate speed.  Very high effort swing relative to actual bat speed produced. 

https://youtu.be/EqHIWs_yb4Q

Vientos and the steep angle of approach

Key Video Features:  Steep and shallow are matters of degree.   Shallow just means more level, like an airplane landing as it gets close to runway.  Two ways to shallow: arms down and then around;  ulner deviate (uncock the lead wrist) as you rotate.  Aaron Judge's approach is second and that is my preferred approach as well.

https://youtu.be/04sCV1-7aeM

Summary

My goal has been explanatory and educational.  I am just employing a decently trained eye to help fans and others look beyond the numbers and to understand the modern baseball lexicon in plain language.  I want to be clear that with the exception of my views about leveling or shallowing a steep or over the top swing, I am making no recommendations regarding how to fix the problems Tong and Alvarez may face, nor am I predicting that the issues I identify will shorten their careers or reduce their success. 

At the same time, I would not back away from my claims that there are real issues that Tong and Alvarez face. There are concerns about how long one can absorb punishment to the spine before the brain changes the motion to reduce its impact.  There are real concerns about the efficiency of a swing that relies too much on speed initiated through early initiation of the arms and hands, including collateral consequences implicating plate coverage and pitch recognition.

But these are all great athletes with excellent coaching and medical staffs to support them  So, as they say, while I am not as 'sold' as others are on the futures of these players, I remain 'cautiously optimistic.'  

Alex Rubinson - World Baseball Classic Standout is Electric News for Mets Bullpen

The World Baseball Classic took the sports world by storm over the last couple of weeks. The drama and attention reached new heights with baseball gaining tons of momentum heading into the 2026 season next week. Fans of all 30 clubs tuned in to watch Venezuela take down the United States with just about every team being represented among the 20 teams in the tournament. As we flip the switch to the MLB season, the same questions persist for every organization: will they have enough pitching? Although that might start in the rotation, it trickles down to the relief corps. The New York Mets completely overhauled its bullpen, signing Luke Weaver and Devin Williams to anchor its backend, as Edwin Diaz joined the defending back-to-back World Series Champion Los Angeles Dodgers. Despite the last couple of innings looking a lot different for the team from Queens, one of the key contributors will be a returning member. 

Last season, Huascar Brazobán pitched to a very solid 3.57 ERA across 63 innings. He showed he had a lively arm, as his fastball velocity averaged nearly 96.5 MPH. According to Baseball Savant, that was good to be in the 84th percentile in fastball run value. What was strange about Brazobán ’s sequencing last season is that he threw his changeup 38% of the time, the most of any single pitch. Granted, the other 62% was his hard stuff, but his offspeed value was in the 12th percentile and was a negative four run value. Despite his poor offspeed output, the right-hander finished the year in the 90th percentile with a hard hit rate under 35%. He also finished in the 87th percentile in ground ball rate. This lines up with how he only surrendered six long balls over the course of the year. Although he certainly was not a household name across the MLB landscape and maybe even took a backseat in the minds of Met fans, he has shown the world the talent he possesses in his right arm. 

The 36-year-old may have only tossed four innings in the World Baseball Classic, but he looked about as dominant as one could have in that short stint. Of the 12 outs recorded, seven came via the strikeout. More encouragingly, he only issued one walk and did not surrender a single hit. The Dominican reliever made his presence felt in the Dominican Republic’s epic battle against the United States. After forcing a red-hot Gunnar Henderson to ground out, Brazoman mowed down all three hitters he faced in the sixth frame. He struck out Will Smith swinging before freezing Roman Anthony, who had homered earlier in the contest. Brazobán finished his outing by making quick work of Brice Turang, who struck out swinging on three pitches. Turang whiffed on two of the three strikes, yet both of those pitches were in the zone. When one can make MLB All Star caliber players swing and miss on pitches in the zone, one knows they have nasty stuff. 

The four innings of work is definitely something that should excite Mets fans, but there is reason to pump the breaks as well. This past offseason, Brazobán played in the Dominican Winter League. He did struggle with giving up free passes, as he recorded a walks-per-nine of over five. He put up a strikeout-to-walk ratio of just 1.25. Walking that many hitters is a non-negotiable and will get one sent down to the minor leagues. Of course, that was only over the course of seven frames, so like the WBC, a lot of it can be attributed to small sample size. 

Brazobán has the potential to be a rock solid option in the back of Carlos of Mendoza’s bullpen. Although Brazobán’s walk rate per nine innings usually doesn’t come anywhere close to what he averaged in the Dominican Winter League, he was in the 17th percentile with a walk rate of over 10 percent. He also just finished in the 38th percentile in whiff rate and 44th percentile in strikeout rate. Maybe Brazobán was pumped up on adrenaline when he toed the rubber at LoanDepot Park, but those numbers do not back up the eye test when he took the mound in Miami. Given how well Brazobán pitched to contact last year, he can take his game to new heights if he manages to punch out more hitters. 

For a lot of relievers, it is the strikeouts that come naturally but struggle to pitch to contact. In 2025, the opposite was true for the Mets relief pitcher. It will be fascinating to look at his pitch usage in the early months of the season to see if he peels back on his changeup more and focuses more on the higher velocity pitches. He has a four-seam fastball, cutter and sinker, so it’s not like he only has one type of fastball. 

By leaning even more heavily on his harder pitch mix, that can also help out his changeup and make it so it resembles more of a league average pitch. If his offspeed value can creep up to league average to go with fastball run of value of nine, he could see a massive jump in the traditional statistics. 

It remains to be seen what Brazobán’s role will be throughout the 2026 season. Weaver and Williams will be patrolling the end of games while Brooks Raley figures to be the lefty specialist. With the Mets getting ready to square against the Pittsburgh Pirates a week from today, the roles in the bullpen are still in flux. 

It’s crazy to say based on how Brazobán looked on the national stage on Sunday, but if he can prove that his strikeouts are not just a flash in the pan, he can be turned into a real weapon for his organization and be used in a multitude of ways. He just needs to cut down on his free passes, and if he does that, we still may have not seen the best from the 36-year-old Dominican hurler.

Paul Articulates - Syracuse Strong

We are rapidly closing in on the end of spring training.  In about a week, the final roster decisions will be made, and the Mets will have their initial 26-man roster.  There are some really tough choices to make, and with reference to my Monday post, some of those decisions will be based upon pure performance and some will be “business of baseball” decisions.  The winners will be many this year.  

1) Mets win: First of all, the New York Mets have benefitted from a great spring session.  There were many players that performed at or above expectations.  This sets up the team to have a strong roster no matter who they choose.  

2) Vets win: Another beneficiary are the veterans that David Stearns brought in on one-year contracts that make the team.  They are getting a new baseball life, with an opportunity to fully realize their potential.

3) Prospects win: One of our favorite beneficiaries are the prospects making the grade, getting the opportunity to not only play in “the show”, but to play with a team that has playoff aspirations.

4) Minors win: Here is another beneficiary that doesn’t first come to mind: the Syracuse Mets.  Sometimes the AAA team is parking lot full of 4A players with a prospect or two sprinkled in.  Not with the David Stearns Mets.  This year Syracuse promises to be a mixture of MLB-ready veterans and a big contingent of almost-ready top prospects.  As of this week, there have already been several players assigned to the Syracuse roster that are quality players.  Here is the list as of noon Wednesday:

Starting Pitchers: Jack Wenninger, Christian Scott, Jonah Tong, Jonathan Pintaro 

Relief Pitchers: Dylan Ross, Alex Carillo 

Position Players: MJ Melendez, Nick Morabito

The rest of the assignments are yet to follow, but when you consider the likely candidates, the picture in Syracuse only gets better.  Catchers Austin Barnes and Kevin Parada are already on the roster, and Hayden Senger and Ben Rortvedt are still to be assigned.  Outfielders Ji Hwan Bae, Mike Tauchman, and Cristian Pache are listed on the Syracuse roster but are still vying for a fifth outfielder position on the MLB club.  At least two will head to Syracuse.    First baseman Ryan Clifford has not officially ended his bid for the majors, but it is just a matter of time before his bags arrive in Syracuse.  Similarly, Christian Arroyo, Jackson Cluff, and Jose Rojas will soon be shopping for warmer clothes.  And then there is the battle for utility infielder that will include only one of Mauricio or Brujan.

Next week things will come into focus.  My projection is that the Syracuse Mets will field a team that features:

Starters: Jack Wenninger, Jonah Tong, Christian Scott, Zach Thornton, Jonathan Pintaro, Jonathan Santucci

Relievers: Dylan Ross, Alex Carillo, Joe Jaques, Nate Lavender, Carl Edwards, Brandon Waddell, Richard Lovelady, Joey Gerber

Infield: Chrisian Arroyo, Jackson Cluff, Ryan Clifford, Jacob Reimer, and Ronny Mauricio or Vidal Brujan

Outfield: AJ Ewing, Cristian Pache, Nick Morabito, MJ Melendez, Jared Young

Catchers: Austin Barnes, Hayden Senger, Kevin Parada

I would consider this a very strong cast of players that is one phone call from Queens.

RVH – The Blueprint for 93: Part IV – The Run Creation Model

 

The Other Side of the Equation

Through the first three parts of this series, we have focused heavily on run prevention.

The Engine manages innings.
The October Contraction secures postseason outs.
The Shield and Spine convert contact into efficient defensive results.

But a team cannot reach the 93-win threshold through prevention alone.

Eventually the scoreboard has to move.

The 2026 Mets are not built around a single MVP-style offense carrying the roster. Instead, they appear to be building something more stable:

A distributed run-creation model.

Rather than relying on two or three hitters to produce the majority of the offense, the lineup is structured so that multiple players contribute in different ways — power, on-base skill, gap hitting, and situational contact.

The goal is not explosive nights.

The goal is consistent pressure across 162 games.

---

The 93-Win Run Threshold

Historically, teams that win around 93 games tend to score roughly 750–780 runs over the course of a season.

That translates to roughly:

4.6–4.8 runs per game.

That number becomes the practical offensive target.

Because the Mets’ defensive system projects to suppress roughly 28 runs over the course of the season, the offense does not need to chase league-leading production.

It simply needs to produce enough consistent scoring to support the pitching model.

Which raises the key question:

Where do those 760 runs come from?

---

The Run Creation Pyramid

Rather than coming from a single dominant hitter, the Mets’ projected offense can be understood as a run-creation pyramid, where different tiers of the lineup contribute in different ways.

At the top are the players expected to drive the bulk of offensive production.
Lower tiers lengthen innings, convert traffic into runs, and introduce upside.

Tier 1 — Core Run Producers

These hitters form the central offensive engine.

Francisco Lindor
Juan Soto
Bo Bichette

Lindor is not simply the emotional leader of the roster — he is one of the most complete offensive players in baseball and the central driver of the Mets’ run-creation model. Soto provides elite on-base production and power, while Bichette supplies high-contact gap hitting that keeps innings alive.

Projected contribution: ~420 runs created

---

Tier 2 — Pressure Layer

These players extend innings and keep the lineup moving.

Jorge Polanco
Luis Robert Jr.

Polanco’s switch-hitting contact ability and Robert’s speed-power combination make it difficult for opposing pitchers to escape the middle of the lineup cleanly. Their role is not necessarily to carry the offense, but to sustain offensive pressure.

Projected contribution: ~190 runs

---

Tier 3 — Run Multipliers

Players who convert baserunners into runs.

Francisco Alvarez

Alvarez’s power from the lower portion of the lineup creates instant scoring potential. When catchers provide legitimate home-run power, opposing pitchers lose the ability to treat the bottom of the order as a recovery zone.

Projected contribution: ~80 runs

---

Tier 4 — Emerging Production

This tier introduces the most intriguing offensive variable in the system.

Carson Benge

Benge represents the most significant potential accelerator in the Mets’ offensive architecture. If his spring development translates into regular-season production, the Mets gain a left-handed bat capable of providing contact quality, gap power, and lineup balance much earlier than expected.

In many ways, Benge is the wild card in the run-creation pyramid. The rest of the model is built for stability. Benge introduces the possibility of acceleration.

Projected contribution: ~60 runs

---

Tier 5 — Variance Power

Brett Baty
Mark Vientos

These bats carry the widest range of possible outcomes. When either player is locked in, their power can dramatically increase the lineup’s run production. If both struggle, the distributed model still allows the offense to function.

Projected contribution: ~60–70 runs

---

Tier 6 — Complementary Production

Bench players and rotational bats.

Projected contribution: ~40–50 runs

---

Quantifying the Model

Offensive Tier	Players	Est. Runs Created
Core Producers	Lindor / Soto / Bichette	~420
Pressure Layer	Polanco / Robert	~190
Run Multipliers	Alvarez	~80
Emerging Production	Benge	~60
Variance Power	Baty / Vientos	~60
Complementary Bats	Bench / rotation	~40
Total	Team Run Production	~760 Runs

---

How the Run Estimates Work

The numbers in this model are not simply the sum of runs scored plus RBI, which would double count many offensive events.

Instead, the estimates are based on the logic behind the Runs Created framework, which measures how much total offense a player generates through reaching base, hitting for power, advancing runners, and baserunning.

Modern metrics such as weighted Runs Created (wRC) and wRC+ estimate this production directly.

For context:

• A 130 wRC+ hitter typically produces roughly 90–110 runs created over a full season.

• A 110 wRC+ hitter produces roughly 70–80 runs created.

• A league-average hitter (100 wRC+) produces about 60–65 runs created.

By distributing reasonable production ranges across each tier of the lineup, the Mets’ offense projects to roughly 760 total runs.