11/29/12

BP - Top 10 Boston Red Sox Prospects



The Top Ten
  1. IF Xander Bogaerts
  2. CF Jackie Bradley
  3. RHP Matt Barnes
  4. RHP Allen Webster
  5. C Blake Swihart
  6. 3B Garin Cecchini
  7. LHP Henry Owens
  8. OF Bryce Brentz
  9. SS Jose Iglesias
  10. LHP Brian Johnson
1. Xander Bogaerts

Position: IF

DOB: 10/01/1992

Height/Weight: 6’3’’ 175 lbs.

Bats/Throws: R/R

Drafted/Acquired: International free agent, 2009, Aruba

2012 Stats: .302/.378/.505 at High-A Salem (104 games); .326/.351/.598 at Double-A Portland (23 games)
The Tools: 6+ hit; 6+ power potential; 6 arm

What Happened in 2012: You mean, besides hitting for power and average in the Carolina League before moving up to Double-A as a teenager and continuing the offensive onslaught by ripping 15 extra-base hits in only 23 games?

Strengths: Simple, fluid swing mechanics; very natural barrel-to-ball relationship; projects to hit for both plus power and batting average; shows plus-plus bat speed; shows ability to drive the ball all over the park; can square velocity; arm is plus; plays game with feel and instincts; solid glove; could have above-average defensive profile at third base.

Weaknesses: Aggressive in the box; soft and spinning can get him off-balance; will need to expand pitch appetite (fastball eyes); exaggerated swing plane limits stay in the zone; good athlete, but lacks plus speed; physical maturation process could leave speed below-average; limited range at shortstop; fielding actions can be stiff; not ideal profile for middle-of-the-diamond.
Overall Future Potential: 7; all-star

Explanation of Risk: High risk; excellent makeup, but lofty ceiling; still lots of developmental space between present/future.

Fantasy Future: At his peak, Bogaerts could approach a .300 average and 30-plus bombs a year; bat will play anywhere on the diamond, but most likely will find a home at third base.

The Year Ahead: It’s hard to imagine Bogaerts taking another step forward in 2013, but it’s entirely possible. His swing is full of grace, and the power that flows from the hit tool could make him a very special player if everything goes according to plan. He still needs refinement in all phases of the game, and an extended stay in Double-A could expose some of the weaknesses in his offensive approach. While its possible that he remains at shortstop going forward, his defensive profile isn’t ideal at the position at the highest level, and as the 6’3’’ 175-lb. 20-year-old continues to grow into his body, his average-at-best speed will tick down and his range at the position will prove to be inadequate. Regardless, his bat has middle-of-the-order potential, and could make him an all-star if he reaches his ceiling.


for the rest of the list... http://www.baseballprospectus.com/article.php?articleid=19018 

Mack Stuff – No More Dickeywright, Barry Bonds, Second Base, Jon Niese




I’m not going to write about either David Wright or RA Dickey until a deal is done. I know this will eliminate around 85% of what’s going on in Metland right now, but enough is enough. Now, it even looks like Wright is pissed about all these stores, tweets, and other shit floating around the internet. Let me be the first to step back and I welcome the rest of the Mets sports world to follow my lead. It’s November. Give it a rest.


Jonathan C. Mitchell ‏@FigureFilbert - Co-sign. RT  Barry Bonds should be a unanimous HOF selection. It's a damn shame that he probably won't make it at all…

                -my spin on Bonds and the other PED’rs that are eligible this year of the Hall of Fame is simple. Most of what they did was legal at the time. I was charged with a DUI in 1984 when I first moved to South Carolina. I blew the minimal limit at the time, 1.0. Since then, the limit has been reduced to 0.8. Let me ask you a question… should the police go back and charge me now for all the times I would have blown a 0.9 back in the day? Ballplayers have been pushing the limits since the Ty Cobb days. My generation was greenies and cortisone. Today it’s the latest still undetectable miracle drug. It’s not going to stop folks… hell, we’ve had eight major leaguers (that would make for a decent starting lineup) busted this past year. Barry Bonds broke Roger Maris’ record, who just beat out Mickey Mantle that year. Mantle played the entire year either under the influence of alcohol or pain killers. How many times did Doc Gooden pitch high? This isn’t going to change until you change the penalty, but, if you’re doing Andro when it’s not on the bad list, then it wasn’t a bad thing. It wasn’t natural, but it wasn’t banned at the time. Vote these guys in. They played the game better than 99% of the other players have played the game. Now, ban a player for six months for the first bust of an illegal substance, a year for the second time, and a lifetime ban for the third. Do that, and all this will go away.


pic by Mack Ade
Rob Castellano (amazinavenue) on second base: 

The pipeline for second baseman in the Mets' system is in a bit of flux, with its longtime headliner suddenly dropping off the map. I’m talking, of course, about 2008 first-round draft pick Reese Havens, who, as compared to his contemporaries, is turning out to be more Brad Holt than Ike Davis. The 26-year-old Havens was long considered the future of second base at Citi Field, yet myriad health problems got in the way. And if injuries harmed his chances, a disastrous showing at Double-A in 2012 nearly killed them. It’s premature to say he’s no longer a factor, but he’s certainly been passed by in the pecking order.

I don’t agree with Rob, though I am a minority here. I think Havens will bounce back big time in 2013 and will be ready to play Queens in 2014. The problem is so may Danny Muno, who’s biting up his ass a level below. Havens is also getting a little old to still be playing minor league ball, but, if I’m wrong about both these guys, you still have a guy that has a top 20 National League batting average over the past two seasons. Murphy will always make you hold your breath when a ground ball is hit to him, but put some bats around him and you’ve got quite a hitter that has to be pitched to.

pic by Mack Ade

Jon Niese delivered supplies to help repair the damaged Evangel Revival Community Church in Long Beach yesterday.

Let’s talk a little about the forgotten lefty. Oh, one thing… do you notice what recent Cy Young pitcher isn’t being used by the Mets for their charity events this off season? Getting back to Niese, the best thing that ever happened to him is, first, Matt Harvey, and second, Zack Wheeler. There will never be any pressure on him to be either an SP1 or SP2. He will be a three in 2013 (Santana out of respect, Dickey) and a three again in 2014 (Harvey, Wheeler). Don’t be surprised if he becomes the most successful Mets starter for the next two seasons. He went 13-9, 3.40, 1,17, 155-K, 49-BB in 2012 and nobody ever talks about him.


11/28/12

Draft 13 - Nick Ciuffo – C - Lexington H.S., Lexington, SC



Mack - The first question is always an easy one, though it might take you a little time to finish it. Take us back to that first day a baseball was placed in your hand and take us up to day. I’m talking 8-11yr. old years, travel teams, positions, coaches, etc.

Nick - I've been playing baseball for as long as I can remember. Everyday since I have been big enough to handle and bat and a ball I've played baseball. For the most part I have always been a catcher. I tried to play the infield and other positions but basically got bored. I wanted to control the game and be the "coach" on the field. I first played travel ball when iIwas 11 years old. My first coach was Nick Cummings. My first catching coach was Johnnie Cribb (caught at the citadel). I played for the Diamond Warriors until i was 14. My last tournament was with the 18u team in Atlanta. I played for Eddy Barwick, David Wolfe, Matt Ishee. I then went to play for the SC Diamond Devils. I played for the 15u team for a summer when I was 14 and played for Ashley Farr. The next fall was my freshman fall of HS when i played for the 18u team. i played for John Rhodes who I  I still play for now.

Mack - Nick, PG says “Outstanding at PG National, 1.83 pop time and very good left handed bat with power”… tell us a little about your game from your perspective.

Nick - There is always room for improvement with every players game. Everyday there is something that you can get better at. I feel like right now the best parts of my game are all around defense, knowledge/maturity when playing the game, and hitting. Defensively I feel like I have an above average arm/release and good fundamentals blocking and receiving behind the dish. With my bat I have good power but am still working on getting it to translate all the time into the games. And last, with knowledge/maturity level I feel like I know the game very well. As a young kid I basically lived at the College of Charleston baseball field. Most kids learn from their dads or rec league coaches, I learned from college coaches and players, so the only way I knew how to play the game was at the Division 1 college level. I learned from Cougar greats like Brett Gardner(LF for the Yankees), Brandon Siezmore, Chris Campell, and many other players who were drafted. I learned just as much about the physical part of the game as I did the mental. I learned things like how to think through at bats and how to call a game and control a pitching staff.

Mack - Nick, you play for a killer school that is ranked 9th nationally and 3rd in the state. Do you find there is an extra amount of pressure on you as a player when you have this kind of schedule to defend each season?

Nick - I am asked questions about pressure a lot, but through my 3 HS seasons the most pressure I felt was when I was catching Drew Cisco my freshman year at Wando. He was a 6th round draft pick by the Reds. He was such a good pitcher and expected a lot out of himself and also expected a lot out of me. If I wasn't on my "A" game every time i caught him it made him look bad and as a 14 year old freshman on a varsity team you don't want to disappoint the best player and someone I had looked up to for many years. If it wasn't for the pressure he put on me as a young player catching him my defensive game would not be as good as it is.
Other then that I always put pressure on myself to be the best whether I am representing Lexington High School, myself, or the United States of America. But overall yes, when playing for a good team like we had at Lexington it's always more pressure when playing on one of the best teams in the state and in the country.

Mack - Here’s an indie scout’s thoughts on you:  “C-1b, Nick Ciuffo (shoe-fo) (American Legion) 6'1 190, L/R, one of better hitters in tourney, shows good presence as a fielder, idea as receiver, with arm strength, also pop in his bat, with some power, had some trouble vs. LHP, but there is something there to work with, Lexington HS, Lexington SC, watch him in 2013, has gotten a bit better last 3 yrs. I've seen him.” – Thoughts?

Nick - Those are all good points. The biggest thing that sticks out in that statement about me is the LHP comment. During HS I saw a lot of lefties. It had been a while since I had seen a lefty and I feel like that was a big reason why I struggled. During HS when I would see a lefty almost every game I felt very comfortable and hit well against them.

Mack - You transferred from another great school, Wando. Did you find any new challenges with that process?

Nick - There weren't very many challenges moving to the new school. After about 2 days it was like I had lived there my entire life. The team was very accepting of me on and off the field. The biggest challenge on the field was learning the pitchers, the way they liked to pitch and what their biggest issues mechanically were. Off the field in the school it was learning where the classes were and how to get around the school.

Mack - Lastly, I’m sure you’ve been busy this summer. Have you played at any level and what are you doing to get ready for the most important season of your young lifetime?

Nick - This is a summer I have been waiting on for a long time. I have been preparing for this summer my entire career. Still today just like my whole life I try to improve on every aspect of the game every day. The only difference this summer that I've done different is I've taken time off. I've played so much baseball that I have had to take time off before I play the next 3 week

Mack – Thanks Nick. Email me your schedule when you get it and I’ll drive up (around 100 miles) and catch the game you want me attend.

FLASH - B. J. Upton signs with Braves


B.J. Upton signs 5-year, $75 million deal with . That's a lot of money for a career .255 hitter, who strikes out 150 times a year.



BJ Upton gets 15M/year. Only OFs to sign for between 15-19 a year Carlos Lee, Magglio Ordonez and Jason Bay.What could possibly go wrong?


In 1884 my WAR (18.6) was 5 points, or roughly two B.J. Upton seasons, higher than $75 M man B.J. Upton has produced in his career (13.6).


B.J. Upton's precise haul was $75,250,000 for 5. Not sure what the extra 250 clams are for (can't hurt tho!) 



If B.J. Upton is worth $15 million per for 5 what is David Wright worth? More than $17 million per for 7 that’s for damn sure.



The Official BJ Upton Twitter


Draft 13 – Q and A – RHSP – Matt Hockenberry – Temple



Mack – Good morning folks. We’re featuring today the Temple Owl’s Friday starter come fall, junior righthander, Matt Hockenberry. Hey Matt. First of all, please confirm what I just said about you so it sounds like I know what I’m talking about.

Matt - As of right now that is the way it is looking. For the first half of the Temple season last spring I was the Friday guy, and then we reversed the rotation a little to let one of our redshirt juniors get back in the mix. This year, we are going to have two other sophomores that are probably going to be in the rotation with me who are twins, Patrick and Eric Peterson. One is a righty the other is a lefty so the rotation might stay righty lefty righty.

Mack – You will play as a junior and are eligible for the June draft, right?

Matt – Correct

Team Web site - 2012: Made 14 starts on the mound and was called out of the bullpen twice…Recorded the most wins by a Temple starter since 2008…Earned a no decision as the Owls’ opening day starter at ODU (2/17)…Nabbed first victory of the season at North Carolina A&T (2/24), throwing just 2.0 innings of work…Defeated Central Connecticut State (3/9) and then struck out a career-high seven batters and lasted 8.0 innings in his next start against Saint Peter’s to improve to 3-0 on the year…Defeated Monmouth at home (4/1), allowing one run on six hits over 6.0 innings of work…Collected first A-10 win at St. Bonaventure (5/11)…Pitched an inning of no-run, no-hit ball, while not issuing a walk against Villanova (4/25)…Threw 0.2 innings of work in the series rubber match at North Carolina A&T (2/26) and didn’t allow a run nor a hit.

Mack –Matt, you have had a killer summer so far that has raised the bar for you, scout wise. Tell us about it.

Matt - I didn't really expect to have the summer that I did. I just played every game as if it was just a game and nothing more than that. I had a pretty decent defense behind me that gave me the mindset to just throw strikes. I believe that my ERA this summer was the lowest that it ever has been in my baseball career. I was voted by the coaches all around my league to perform in the NYCBL All-Star game and there were at least 15 scouts at the game. All summer there were a few sitting in the stands here and there. That raised the bar for me because this is my junior year of school. If I don't perform they won't come back. Pressure will always be present when I'm on the mound, whether I'm ready for the next level or not will only depend on how I handle it. Scouts aren't a foreign body to me as I have had contact with them in high school, but now that they are allowed to talk to me in manner of following through with the draft, It's a pretty big deal to just go out there and have fun, yet understand that it's time to be serious and show them what you've got.

Mack –Look, let’s face it. Temple isn’t South Carolina. Do you think having a higher caliber of field players around you this summer led to better stats off the mound?

Matt - I wouldn't say that it had much to do with the defense honestly. I'd compare the two teams that I played for this past spring and summer almost the same. I think the biggest difference that helped my stats this summer was my mindset. There were still errors made behind me this summer, but I had learned to compose myself and get myself out of rough situations. I think another factor of the summer was that my coaches weren't there. It's not like they put an enormous amount of pressure on me, but the summer baseball placement was just a place for me to figure out what I can do when there is no one there to coach me on the mistakes I make on the mound. I had to figure them out on my own which in turn will help me out a great deal this coming spring. 

Mack – Is there anything else you want to say to the readers out there as we begin to track (I’ll be back in touch with you mid-season) your junior season?

Matt - It'll be a pleasure talking to you again. I hope this year the team and I can make a push to restore the program that Skip Wilson left after 2001.

SB Nation - Top Baltimore Orioles Prospects



1) Dylan Bundy, RHP, Grade A: Is he the product of genetic experimentation? Bundy has everything you want in a pitching prospect...excellent stuff, good command, superior makeup, great performance. As long as he remains healthy, he should be a legitimate ace.

2) Kevin Gausman, RHP, Grade A-: LSU product has excellent fastball/changeup combination and strong makeup. Development of breaking ball is key but I'm optimistic about that. Like Bundy, he can be an ace.

3) Jonathan Schoop, INF, Grade B: He's been pushed, but I like him better than the raw numbers and I think he will develop into a very solid regular infielder with good pop. Pronounced "Scope" like the mouthwash.

For the rest of the list...

http://www.minorleagueball.com/2012/11/27/3698600/baltimore-orioles-top-20-prospects-for-2013
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Rumor Mill: 11/28/2012



  • MLB.com's Lou Brock writes that the San Diego Padres would like to add two SPs but will not take a chance on injury risks. (Another team that could be a potential trade target for RA Dickey if negotiations take a turn)
  • According to Ken Rosenthal C Russell Martin is receiving significant interest from both the Seattle Mariners and the Pittsburgh Pirates and although the New York Yankees want him back they may have to financial fight to keep him. (Wow...I never thought i would hear about a bidding war between those three teams.)
  • Speaking of the Yankees, according to Mark Feinsand of the Daily News, the team has not spoken yet with OF Ichiro Suzuki and have not make any offers to ANY position players at this point in time. Meanwhile SP Andy Pettite has announced that he will play in 2013 if he can reach a new agreement with the Yanks. (This is just a formality for the Yanks. They always go after pitching first then position players follow.) 
  • CBS Sports John Heyman is reporting that CL Johnathan Broxton and the Cinncinnati Reds have agreed to a 3 year/$21MM deal that will allow the Reds to move P Aroldis Chapman to the starting rotation. (Watch out folks....if you thought the Reds were good last year, they may be the National League favorites in 2013.)
  • Ken Davidoff via Twitter spoke with 3B David Wright after the news broke yesterday about negotiations heating up and while he DID NOT say that the reports were false, he was displeased that the nature of the negotiations became public and declined to comment further as he wishes to keep negotiations private and confidential. Reports indicate that a 6 year/$100MM extension and a 7 year extension/$129MM have been offered. Both could  include deferred money similar to the deals Carlos Beltran and Johan Santana signed.
  • Philadelphia Phillies C Carlos Ruiz has been suspended 25 games for a performance enhancing drug. The team has also signed C Humberto Quintero and IF Pete Orr to minor league deals. Jim Salisbury
  • The Washington Nationals are now expected to non-tender SP John Lannan and Will Ladson believes that he would be a perfect fit for the Mets. (Absolutely...minus the fact that he starting rotation is already extremely crowded and he is expected to make around $5MM through arbitration. Even with a 50% pay cut he would be too expensive to just be pitching depth in AAA.)
  • The Atlanta Braves are expected to non-tender SP Jair Jurrjens and could non-tender RP Peter Moylan as well according to David O'Brien Twitter. Jurrjens was expected to net $5.5MM through arbitration and Moylan is only expected to grab $800k. (Moylan is coming off back to back shortened seasons back for me he is a no-brainer target for the Mets. He has a career 2.59 ERA  and has 3 80+ appearance seasons. He can be had on a minor league deal. As for Jurrjens he was downright awful last but he is only 26 and will probably sign for cheap in order to re-gain value. I'm inclined to give him a shot as a late inning reliever. I dont know why but I have a feeling he would be darn good in that role if he was open to it.)

Mack Stuff – RA Dickey, Josh Satin, Mike Pelfrey, B-Mets




Matthew Cerrone, MetsBlog.com -

I’m obviously confused about R.A.’s demands. I originally heard from sources that Dickey would be seeking at least three guaranteed years on top of 2013, with maybe a fourth-year option. However, the Daily News and others have reported that he’s willing to accept just two years beyond 2013. So, I can’t tell what’s what. But, I do know the team is being rather reserved with how they’re promoting him and utilizing him this winter, and I’ve heard that’s not an accident. I suspect they’re keeping plans for Dickey close to the vest as they continue to balance exploring the trade market for him and signing him to a reasonable extension.
             
   -I see Dickey as an upfront, honest man, far past any drama. If he says the negotiations are too slow, then they are too slow. And, only people that want to sign say things are too slow. He could care about the time spent here if he was looking for employment elsewhere. Could the Mets be trying to close the Wright deal? None of this goes against the 2013 budget and there will be plenty of money in 2014. I like what Ted Berg said today: “I want the Mets to sign David Wright because I am bored’. This whole process is so bush.

Sorry ladies… Josh Satin is engaged to Allyson Murrow.

Mike Pelfrey told Adam Rubin of ESPN New York he expects to be ready to pitch by Opening Day…
 Interesting that this comes just before the Mets have to decide on whether or not they will non-tender him. Trust me about TJS surgery… you have no idea how that ball is going to come out of your palm after the surgery. Normal recovery is 12-18 months and Big Mike had his on May 1st. We will all know the first couple of times he throws his slider to a lefty, trying to hit the inside portion of the plate. If it starts out like it’s heading to the batter’s chest and then, at the last second (there’s only 4.5) it curves back in the zone… well, then the old Pelfrey is back. Is it worth over $5mil to find out? Hell no. We talk all the time about the great, young pitching staff here, but, right now, three of these guys (Pelfrey, Dillon Gee, Johan Santana) are on the shelf. There’s still a ways to go before calling this the best staff in the NL East, but the job would get a lot easier if Pelfrey was back in the $1-2mil range.

The sale of the B-Mets to a Nolan Ryan run company out of Ottawa has fallen through. Told ya this never was going to happen. The next thing the Mets should do is put this to bed and re-work their long term deal with the owners of Binghamton (currently through 2016) that gives both parties the security needed to prevent this kind of drama from happening again. There’s enough things that are needed to be worked on with this team and the last thing they need is the loss of an AA-affiliate. 

11/27/12

Draft 13 – Q and A – SS – Kramer Robinson – Midway H.S. (TX)



Mack - Good afternoon everyone. Today, we're speaking with Midway H.S. (TX) (see... they call it Midway because it's midway between... oh, never mind) SS, Kramer Robinson. Good morning, Kramer, did you have fun this summer?

Kramer - I did, it was very busy and exhausting but I had a great time traveling the country doing what I love!

Mack – Same first question I ask everyone. Take us back to that first day someone put either a glove, bat, or ball into your hands and take us through the steps that got you to where you are today.

Kramer - Well I've always grown up around sports but believe it or not baseball was the last sport I picked up on, basketball and football were my first loves but once kid pitch started I really started to excel In baseball.

Kramer Robertson is a 2013 MIF with a 5-11 170 lb. frame from McGregor, TX who attends Midway HS. Medium athletic build, wiry strength. 6.87 runner, loose quick actions, good footwork, hands smooth and soft at the ball, plus arm strength, has the athletic ability to make the great play, much less effort than in past, has really improved defensively. Right handed hitter, quick swing with bat speed, aggressive approach, loose hands, hits against hard front side, some lift, ball comes off the barrel hard, bat improving as quickly as his glove. Has already had tools, playing the game easier and smoother. Good student, verbal commitment to Louisiana State.

Mack – I see your pic on Facebook. Are you still playing football now?

Kramer - Yes sir, I play quarterback for my high school team, we lost last year in the state championship at Cowboy Stadium in front of 34,000 people!

Mack – Well, I hope you won last night (and I hope no one rolls up on your leg). Are we looking at a possible sports confliction here come college time?

Kramer - We did win last night 34-27, and there will not be any conflict for college. I am only going to play baseball when I get to LSU, I am quite undersized to be a college quarterback!


ESNHS - What Robertson lacks in ideal size -- he's 5-foot-11 and 170 pounds -- he makes up for in actual tools. The LSU commit has a plus arm -- he's hit the 88-90 mph range from the mound -- and is an above-average runner. He's also full of good instincts and plus makeup and projects to hit for enough power -- mostly doubles -- to play regularly. He handles all balls he gets to, but profiles better at second base, at least as a pro.

Mack – A recent ESPNHS scouting report projected you out as an eventual second baseman, rather than shortstop (buy, I hate early projections). Is the plan to stay on short through your senior year?

Kramer - Absolutely, I will play shortstop this season and that is also where I plan on playing in college. I want to stay at shortstop as long as I can. Although I am not opposed to moving over to second in the future.

Mack – Especially if someone gives you a million reasons to do it, right J ? Kramer, your future is your destiny right now. My last question this round (we’re going to check in with you throughout the season, plus we hope you contact us when there is something worth crowing about) is simply. What’s it going to take inside of you to get you to next level, whatever it will be?
Kramer - If I want to get to where my ultimate goal is I'm going to really have to love and respect the game, it's a long journey and most guys can't deal with it.