5/30/15

May 30th 2015 -- Marlins 9, Mets 5

Saturday at Citi Field Giancarlo Stanton launched a pair of home runs as the Marlins go yard 4 times and beat the Mets 8-5.

 Jonathon Niese started and for the first time in his career gave up 4 earned runs in 3 consecutive games. The Mets took a 1-0 lead in the bottom of the first on a RBI double by the red hot Lucas Duda. In the 2nd a two run double by Donovan Solano made it 2-1 Fish. In the third Stanton hit his first dinger of the game to right center, # 14 on the year and it was 3-1. In the 4th J.T. Realmuto hit a 2 run shot to make it 5-1 Marlins and that was all for Niese. The Mets offense showed some life, as they scored 4 times in the bottom of the 4th to tie it. Wilmer Flores and Juan Lagares singled. Danny Muno walked. Granderson hit a ball off the left field wall that turned into an RBI single. Then Ruben Tejada followed with a gapper to left that cleaned the bases and the game was tied at 5-5. The Met bullpen held until the 7th. Hansel Robles struggled ultimately yielding a 2 run single to Christian Yelich for a 7-5 Marlin lead. Alex Torres took the mound and pitched a scoreless 8th but in the 9th allowed a bomb to Stanton, his second on the game #15 on the year in the 2nd deck in left. Jeff Baker followed with a solo homer to make it 9-5 Marlins. 

Niese goes 4 innings allowing 7 hits 5 runs (4 earned) walking 3. Robles take the loss falling to 0-1. Mike Dunn gets the win in relief he’s 1-3. A.J. Ramos notches his 4th save as the Marlins clinch a series win taking the first two games of the series. Martin Prado went 3 for 5 and 4 Marlins had 2 RBI apiece to pace a 14 hit attack. Ruben Tejada went 2 for 4 with 3 RBI for the Mets. 

With the loss the Mets fall to 27-23 overall 20-8 at the friendly confines. With another Nat loss they stay 1 ½ games out of first in the NL east. Sunday afternoon the Mets look to salvage the final game of the set. Bartolo Colon (7-3 4.82) goes for the Mets, David Phelps (2-2 3.56) goes for Miami.

Rotographs Rankings Updated - Catchers



NumPlayerTeamLeaguePaulZachMikeAVG
1Buster PoseyGiantsNL1111.0
2Evan GattisAstrosAL5524.0
3Stephen VogtAthleticsAL3284.3
4Russell MartinBlue JaysAL4374.7
5Yasmani GrandalDodgersNL2495.0
6Yan GomesIndiansAL7656.0
7Salvador PerezRoyalsAL8767.0
8Jonathan LucroyBrewersNL91148.0
9Brian McCannYankeesAL111238.7
10Derek NorrisPadresNL681610.0
11Miguel MonteroCubsNL1091110.0
12Wilson RamosNationalsNL12101412.0
13Travis d’ArnaudMetsNL14141012.7
14Yadier MolinaCardinalsNL13131313.0
15Matt WietersOriolesAL16181215.3
16Jason CastroAstrosAL15191817.3
17A.J. PierzynskiBravesNL19172018.7
18Mike ZuninoMarinersAL24161518.7
19Nick HundleyRockiesNL18201919.0
20Devin MesoracoRedsNL20241720.3
21Caleb JosephOriolesAL17212922.3
22James McCannTigersAL22222322.7
23J.T. RealmutoMarlinsNL21272725.0
24Kurt SuzukiTwinsAL26232825.7
25Carlos RuizPhilliesNL28282526.7
26Francisco CervelliPiratesNL27153627.0
27Wilin RosarioRockiesNL23372127.3
28Jarrod SaltalamacchiaMarlinsNL34292228.3
29Robinson ChirinosRangersAL29382430.0
30Carlos PerezAngelsAL31413031.0
31Blake SwihartRed SoxAL33352631.3
32Rene RiveraRaysAL25313432.0
33Chris IannettaAngelsAL44263133.7
34Brayan PenaRedsNL36254134.0
35Alex AvilaTigersAL30413334.3
36Tyler FlowersWhite SoxAL40303535.0
37Dioner NavarroBlue JaysAL32324235.3
38Kevin PlaweckiMetsNL41363236.3
39Welington CastilloCubsNL35334337.0
40Geovany SotoWhite SoxAL45343839.0
41Michael McKenryRockiesNL37414440.7
42Jordan PachecoDiamondbacksNL38414541.3
43Ryan HaniganRed SoxAL46413741.3
44Josh PhegleyAthleticsAL39404641.7
45Tuffy GosewischDiamondbacksNL46413942.0
46David RossCubsNL46414042.3
47Cameron RuppPhilliesNL42414743.3
48Austin HedgesPadresNL43414844.0
49Hank CongerAstrosAL46394944.7

http://www.fangraphs.com/fantasy/rotographs-consensus-rankings-may-update-catchers/

Rotographs Rankings Updated - 1B



NumPlayerTeamLeaguePaulZachMikeAVG
1Paul GoldschmidtDiamondbacksNL1121.3
2Miguel CabreraTigersAL2312.0
3Anthony RizzoCubsNL3433.3
4Jose AbreuWhite SoxAL5243.7
5Edwin EncarnacionBlue JaysAL4855.7
6Adrian GonzalezDodgersNL7566.0
7Freddie FreemanBravesNL10778.0
8Joey VottoRedsNL86108.0
9Prince FielderRangersAL61198.7
10Eric HosmerRoyalsAL991310.3
11Lucas DudaMetsNL11101512.0
12Albert PujolsAngelsAL1316812.3
13Chris DavisOriolesAL12151112.7
14Brandon BeltGiantsNL18121414.7
15Mark TeixeiraYankeesAL14142718.3
16Adam LaRocheWhite SoxAL20171918.7
17Chris CarterAstrosAL17232120.3
18Mike NapoliRed SoxAL15252220.7
19Adam LindBrewersNL24132621.0
20Billy ButlerAthleticsAL22222021.3
21Kendrys MoralesRoyalsAL16202821.3
22Ryan ZimmermanNationalsNL27261221.7
23Matt AdamsCardinalsNL28211722.0
24Pedro AlvarezPiratesNL21242523.3
25Victor MartinezTigersAL19361623.7
26Justin MorneauRockiesNL25281823.7
27Steve PearceOriolesAL30182323.7
28Logan MorrisonMarinersAL32193027.0
29Ryan HowardPhilliesNL23273127.0
30Joe MauerTwinsAL31312428.7
31Mitch MorelandRangersAL26323230.0
32Yonder AlonsoPadresNL29303832.3
33James LoneyRaysAL34333333.3
34Ike DavisAthleticsAL38293433.7
35Michael MorseMarlinsNL40342934.3
36Mark CanhaAthleticsAL35383536.0
37Justin BourMarlinsNL33384037.0
38C.J. CronAngelsAL39383637.7
39Kyle BlanksRangersAL37374038.0
40Max MuncyAthleticsAL36384038.0
41Justin SmoakBlue JaysAL41383738.7
42Jon SingletonAstrosAL42354039.0
43Garrett JonesYankeesAL43383940.0

http://www.fangraphs.com/fantasy/rotographs-consensus-rankings-may-update-first-basemen/

Reese Kaplan -- Six Degrees of Preparation

In a piece penned earlier this year, former journeyman hurler C.J. Nitkowski (who spent times in both NY dugouts) penned an interesting piece on the pros and cons of teams moving to a six man rotation for their starting pitching.  With many teams struggling to find 3-4 decent pitchers, asking them to come up with 6 seems like a burden most simply can’t entertain.  With a stretch of 20 games in 20 days you'd think THEN the Mets might have looked to this change.  However, they are seeking to begin a 6 man rotation starting now, so it might be worth revisiting both sides of the aisle in this debate.

All Those In Favor…

Tommy John Surgery is very real and some might even say inevitable for pitchers as part of their expected development path on the road to big league riches.  On the Mets alone you have Matt Harvey, Jacob deGrom, Bobby Parnell, Zack Wheeler, Josh Edgin, Steve Matz, Jenrry Mejia, Jeremy Hefner, and others just during the past few years who have undergone this procedure.  There are people who favor games like Death Pools already probably taking bets on the dates for Jon Niese, Dillon Gee, Rafael Montero, Noah Syndergaard and others to join this outpatient club.   Some feel that putting fewer innings on pitchers’ arms and giving them extended rest between starts might actually reduce the likelihood of the types of ulnar nerve strains that lead to going under the knife.  Still, there are pitchers like Tom Seaver, Bob Gibson, Steve Carlton, Nolan Ryan and even current starter Bartolo Colon who have thrown over 100,000 pitches in their careers with no ill effects. 

A six man rotation also keeps your pitchers fresher longer into the season.  Now for the Mets, a team for whom watching the playoffs meant buying a ticket or turning on the TV, that issue has not arisen in quite some time.  However, with the start in 2015 post season baseball looms as an actual possibility and during that time the manager gets to pick and choose who gets the ball (and how often).  Consequently, some feel that lightening the load on a Matt Harvey or Bartolo Colon now might make them more capable for a playoff battle. 

All Those Opposed…

Economically the prospect of paying six starters simply does not make sense IF the five preferred starters remain healthy.  Not only does it mean accommodating another 6-7 figure paycheck for that 6th starter, but it also means that your top starters (defined by either paycheck) are getting more expensive as they’re pitching less often.  The cost per inning goes up when you curtail the number of starts.

Similarly, if your top starters don’t happen to be making a lot of money (such as Matt Harvey or Jacob deGrom), then you’re still cheating yourself out of putting your best team on the field as often as possible by sacrificing 18% of their starts to lesser arms.  In a tight race to the postseason when just one or two wins could mean the difference between a Wildcard slot or staying home, do you want your arguable less effective pitchers in those games instead of the best you have to start as often as possible?

What will the overall impact be on the pitchers who receive that extra day of rest rather suddenly?  Pitchers have grown accustomed to an exercise routine with X number of days on and Y number of days off.  Now you throw a heretofore variable in the mix and no one knows mid-season what impact it might have.  Sinkerball pitchers, for example, tend to get more movement when they’re tired.  Flamethrowers might benefit from less strain on their arms.  It’s an unknown.

Another thing to consider is the Player’s Union and the impact on future free agent acquisitions.  Most starting pitchers have some accepted metrics of success – 35 starts, 200 IP, 20 wins, 200 Ks, etc.  If you reduce the availability to achieve these totals through the addition of another starter, won’t it have an economic impact on the Matt Harveys and Jacob deGroms of this world come contract negotiation time?  Would other pitchers want to volunteer to sign with the Mets knowing it could adversely impact their earning potential?

Historical Failure

The White Sox, Pirates and Braves are three other teams who have tried and abandoned the six-man rotation.  In each case it was done to preserve a key pitcher’s arm (Chris Sale, A.J. Burnett or Tommy Hanson).  Unfortunately, the results were not what was anticipated and the five-man rotation returned. 

Why Are the Mets Doing It?

Well, there’s the Matt Harvey innings limit to consider.  Jacob deGrom is also being watched closely.  Ditto rookie Noah Syndergaard.  There is the age of Bartolo Colon.   There are the annual injuries that have happened or will happen to Dillon Gee and Jon Niese.   However, the real reason may be posturing (particularly with starter number seven – Steve Matz – chomping at the bit in AAA).  Everyone in MLB knows the Mets are as pitching-strong as they are hitting-weak.  By allegedly using all of the pitching, it makes them look far less desperate to make a trade and thus increases the value of the would-be trade fodder such as Mssrs. Colon, Niese and Gee.    Having Dillon Gee pitch as a starter makes him a more valuable commodity than he would be if repurposed as a long reliever. 

What Do You All Think?

There are good arguments either way…but until David Wright, Travis d’Arnaud and Dilson Herrera return there’s little to trade but pitching.  At that time Daniel Murphy and Kevin Plawecki will join the pitchers on Sandy Alderson’s short list of players no longer destined to wear a Mets uniform.

Mack’s Morning Report – 5-30-15 - Q and A

Good morning.


Randy asked –

          Hey Mack… a quick question.

We all know the minor league prospects that should be arriving in the next few seasons, but is there any pitchers in the lower levels that stands out to you yet?

Mack – Hey Randy.

MiLB.com 

First of all, it’s always too early to speculate on anyone below the AA level; however, that doesn’t mean that there aren’t some guys that are playing excellent ball against other ballplayers at the same level and same age.

Savannah has two starters… Casey Meisner and Brad Wieck… that are both showing the ability to dominate while on the mound. Meisner’s early ability is translating in the stats while Wieck is producing a masterful K/9 ratio.

Relief wise, I have a man crush on Paul Sewald, while David Roseboom and Akeel Morris both seem to have the ability to go all the way here.

A little caution though… anything can develop at these levels, but these look like the guys that have best chance of making it.




MiLB.com 
      Michael asked -

Now that Wright has spinal stenosis and his career will slowly trend down to its eventual conclusion, are we more likely to trade for Tulo knowing he can shift to 3B when that eventually happens?

Mack – Michael, I live with spinal stenosis every day. Trust me… the Mets need a new third baseman.

Regarding Tulo, nothing has changed. You want something, you have to give up something.

This is just an opinion, but the Mets may have to take a step back after all the crap that’s gone on this year and regroup for another run… next season. In order to do that, they need good, tradable prospects that are both talented and healthy.

Kevin Plawecki looks like one, but only if you have a healthy Travis d’Arnaud on your team.

Other than catching, the Mets can only turn to pitching to create a trade and they better hurry up or they will lose the window to create a balanced team. It still comes back to trading either Noah Syndergaard or Steven Matz. You build a package around one of these guys, add Plawecki, and you’ll get yourself a quality player to replace Wright.

And, in the long run, you’re out a quality pitcher to break even. The hope is that the return of Zack Wheeler in around June of next year will make us all forget these days.

My first move would be to determine the extent of the stenosis and the long term prognosis. I would then do everything I can to convince Wright that the only way he can go forward as a professional baseball player is to shut to down this season and have back surgery.

Then, and only then, I would revisit the Rockies with a Matz-Plawecki-somebody package of prospects and see what kind of sympathy you could draw out of these guys.



Michael -  Re: Cecchini - Any chance the kid hits AAA this year?

Mack – Yes I do, because I think the whole Mets world is open to experimentation right now until either 1)things settle down, 2)things go back in the right direction, or 3)managers fly out the doors.

What Cecchini needs to do is work on his defense. It doesn't project out much better than Wilmer Flores (11-E in 38-G this year in Binghamton).


Frankie asked –

        Mack, how much does age come into play when they assign players to different levels in the minor leagues?

        Mack – Thanks for the question, Frankie.

        Everything comes into play, but anyone still playing minor league ball at 24 years old, or older, is considered by the scouts past consideration for stardom at the major league level.

        I happen to like the college process, especially when it comes to power pitchers. Let them work out their aches and pains during the three years you would only be pushing them through rookie ball. But, and this is the big but… make sure you start them off either at the A+ or AA level when you do sign them and assign them to one of your team. These are now young adults ready to do a man’s job.



Carly asked –

     
MiLB
   Hey Mack, do you think that Sandy Alderson will ever field an all-start shortstop again for the Mets?

        Mack – Yes, I most certainly do Carly, but not from the sources you and most other fans look to find them.

        Alderson and Company are attacking this problem the same way the Mets found Jose Reyes and other teams found their future stars… at the international level through the July bonus signing period. This is where every team can bid for, and sign, any player that has turned the age of 16.

        This is how the Mets found Amed Rosario in 2012 and signed him with a $1.75mil bonus.

        Since then, the Mets have signed eight more 16-year old shortstops, though some project out long term as third basemen. They are:

                  2013 – Yeffry De Aza - $475K bonus
                              Luis Carpio - $300K bonus
                              Cecilio Aybar - $231K bonus

                  2014 – Hansel Moreno - $50K bonus
                              Yoel Romero - $300K bonus
                              Edgardo Fermin - $250K bonus
                              Kenny Anderson (projected 3B) $1mil)

                  2015 – And the big prize who is expected to be signed in July:
                               Gregory Guerrero (projected 3B) $1.8mil

It is well know that most of the natural athletes in the Dominican (at this age) start out at shortstop. Eventually, the strong guys branch out and become corner outfielders, third basemen, or first basemen.

The entire future of this team in, oh, let's say, 2019, could have their names on this post.

Mets Minor League Games - 5-29-15


Two up, 2 down last night.
Minor League Player of The Night - Wuilmer Becerra - on base 5 times.


Honorable Mention - Tomas Nido and Michael Fulmer



AAA - Las Vegas - (29-20) 1 - Nashville (21-27) 2

    RHSP Darin Gorski -  4 IP, 3 H, 2 R, 3 BB, 2 K

    DH Jayce Boyd - 0-3

        Mack - this was Boyd's first AAA game of his career... 

Only Matt Reynolds and Alex Castellanos, with 2 hits each, generated any offense. 10 Vegas hitters' K's. 


AA - Altoona (27-19) 2  -  Binghamton (25-23) 1 

    RHSP Michael Fulmer -  6.0-IP 5-H, 1-R, 5-K, 4-BB, 2.63

    3B Josh Rodriguez -    1-4 1-R 1-HR (10), 1-RBI, .305

    RHRP Bobby Parnell -   1.0-IP 1-H, 1-R, 1-K, 1-BB, 3.00 

    OF Michael Conforto - DNP

        Mack - Conforto was promoted yesterday from St. Lucie to Binghamton but didn't arrive in time to make the starting lineup. Rumors that Ernest Dove's post this morning on Mack's Mets convinced the Mets to make the promotion could not be confirmed at any level with the Mets. What is exciting is the fact that a 2014 draft pick is now in position to compete for a 25-man position on opening day next spring.

Conforto should receive a more balanced amount of pitching rather than the constant 'pitching around' that went on in St. Lucie. 

Nice outing by Fulmer.  Cecchini's 2 hits bumped him to .303.


A+ - St. Lucie (23-25) 6  -  Lakeland (23-24)  3

    RHSP Kevin McGowan - 5.1-IP, 6-H, 3-R, 3-K, 2-BB, 4.68

    C  -  Travis d'Arnaud - DNP

                 Mack - it turns out that d'Arnaud took himself out of last night's game when he felt pain in his last wrist. Seems he has a 'bone bruise' which will set back his rehab a titch. He saw a specialist (how come it takes the VA 6 months to get me an MRI and he gets to see a 'specialist' in one day???) and he was told he can 'play to tolerance.

    LF Stefan Sabol -   2-3, .667

        Mack - this is Sabol's first game at the A+ level...  he's been laying in Savannah for three years.

McNeil with 2 more hits (.355),  Matt Oberste knocked in 3, and Akeel Morris tossed 2 scoreless, with a hit and 3 Ks.


A - Savannah - (23-25) 10 - Charleston (23-25) 6

    RHSP - Martirez Arias - 5.2 IP, 3 H, 3R, 3 BB, 8 K. All 3 runs let in by Frias.

    RF Wuilmer Becerra - 4-4, 3B, BB, 3 RBI, .270. Wow.

    C Tomas Nido - 3-5, 3 RBI, .244

Besides those 2 hitters, the 3 top of the order guys (Jon Johnson, Luis Guillorme, Jean Rodriguez) combined for 5 hits. Charleston's 5 errors provided 3 unearned runs to the Gnats.

Darwin Frias marred a brilliant outing by Arias, who left the game with a shutout with 2 outs in the 6th. Frias allowed all 3 Arias runners to score, and allowed 3 more of his own.

GOAT: Darwin Frias, with a poor relief outing.



5/29/15

May 29th 2015 -- Marlins 4, Mets 3

Friday night Matt Harvey struck out 11...but a 3 run home run by Justin Bour in the 3rd inning was more than the Mets offense could overcome. The Marlins beat the Mets 4-3. Harvey was throwing darts and had shut out the Marlins for the first 3. In the 4th Dee Gordon reached on an infield hit and stole 2nd.  Martin Prado walked and then Bour wrapped a 3 run dinger around the right field foul pole and the Fish led 3-0.  In the bottom of the inning Lucas Duda continued his long ball glut with a solo homer into the 2nd deck in right, his 9th on the year.  In the 5th a RBI single by Prado made it 4-1.  The Mets climbed to 4-2 when Curtis Granderson hit a solo shot, number 6 on the year for him in the 6th.  In the bottom of the 9th the Mets made a run at it. Ruben Tejada singled and went to second on a wild pitch. Daniel Murphy doubled him home to bring the Mets to within 1. But new Marlin closer A.J. Ramos struck out Michael Cuddyer and got Wilmer Flores on a ground out for his 3rd save.  Harvey went 8 innings allowing 6 hits 4 runs (all earned) he walked 1 and struck out 11. He takes his 2nd straight loss falling to 5-3.  Vet Dan Haren allowed just the 2 solo dingers in 7 innings to get the win. He’s now 5-2. With the loss the Mets fall to 27-22 on the year and 20-7 at Citi Field. Coming into the game the Marlins had lost 14 of 17. At the end of the game the Mets lose a chance to gain on the Nationals as they fell to the Reds on Friday as they stay 1 1/2 games behind in the NL East.Saturday Afternoon it’s game 2 of the series Jon Niese (3-5  4.08) goes for the Mets, Tom Koehler (3-3 3.44) goes for Miami.


Binghamton Mets 2015 Game Notes



Binghamton Mets (25-22) at
Altoona Curve (26-19)
(Double-A Affiliate of the Pittsburgh Pirates)

RHP Michael Fulmer (1-0, 2.95) vs. RHP Angel Sanchez (4-1, 3.02)

Friday, May 29, 2015 • Game #48 • Road Game #24
Peoples Natural Gas Field •  Altoona, PA • 6:00 PM

LAST GAME: The B-Mets tossed their fourth shutout of the season, beating Portland, 2-0, Thursday morning at NYSEG Stadium to snap a four game losing streak. Aderlin Rodriguezdrove in the only runs with a two-run double in the sixth inning. Josh Rodriguez added two hits while Gavin Cecchini went 3-for-4. Luis Cessa earned the win, scattering three two-out hits over six innings. Paul Sewald stranded the tying runs on base to earn his eighth save. The game was played in front of the largest NYSEG Stadium crowd in nearly three years (6,216).

BINGHAMTON STARTER: RHP Michael Fulmer makes his fifth start of the season with Binghamton and the first of his career against Altoona. Last time out, Fulmer allowed two unearned runs in 5.1 innings against Akron. He walked a season-high three, while matching a season-high with four strikeouts. This will be Fulmer’s second road start of the year with the B-Mets. His lone win came on the road against Akron. All of his earned runs allowed have come in either the first or fifth innings of his starts.

ALTOONA STARTER: RHP Angel Sanchez makes his 10th start of the year and the first of his career against Binghamton. The righty is coming off a win in his last start, allowing two runs over eight innings against New Hampshire. He has pitched to a 5.14 ERA in May after allowing an earned run in 22.2 April innings. Lefties are batting .291 against the starter, compared to .219 for righties.

VS. ALTOONA: Binghamton went 6-4 against Altoona in 2014, including 4-3 on the road. The B-Mets won their last three games at Peoples Natural Gas Field, scoring seven or more runs in all three games. Binghamton has won the season series each of the last two years.

WALK THIS WAY: Binghamton has drawn fewer than two times in three of their last four games. The B-Mets have walked nine total times in the four games.

NO DH: Binghamton is 4-6 against fellow NL teams, but not because of a lack of offense. The B-Mets are batting .274 in the 10 games, averaging 4.2 runs. Meanwhile, Binghamton is batting .262 in 37 games with a DH, averaging 4.1 runs.

SLUGGISH OFFENSE: Binghamton is averaging 2.6 runs over their last 11 games, going 4-7. Binghamton has scored fewer than three runs in five of those 10 games, including their last two. They have also been held to fewer than three runs in three of their last four road games.

WORKING FOR THE WEEKEND: Binghamton is 6-1 on Fridays this year, winning their last four.

STARTING ROTATION: The B-Mets starting rotation is 1-6 with a 5.47 ERA in Binghamton’s last 10 games. The rotation has one win in the last 11 games and is now 14-15 on the year.

SERIES OPENERS: The B-Mets are 8-6 in series openers this year, but 5-5 in their last 10.

ROAD WARRIORS: The road team has scored first in 31 of Binghamton’s 47 games this season.

ALLOWING HOME RUNS: The B-Mets pitching staff has allowed 11 home runs in their last 13 games.

DOUBLE TROUBLE: Binghamton has hit into 20 double plays over their last 12 games. The B-Mets lead the league with 48 double plays, seven more than any other team.

RUNNING IN PLACE: The B-Mets are 2-for-7 in stolen base attempts over their last 11 games.